Btcusdsignals
BITCOIN The 2D chart and RSI reveal the market bottom!As unusual as it may be to chart an asset on the 2D time-frame, on this particular occasion, it serves Bitcoin a great deal at assessing the current market situation.
I will keep it short as the points this approach makes are few but clear. As the bottom we have the (2D) RSI indicator which has a Higher Lows trend-line that offers Support since the late November 2018, which is basically since the bottom of the last Bear Cycle. Since then, the RSI has made contact with that trend-line another 2 times, all of which have been respective bottoms on a yearly basis (March 2020 and May 2021). At the moment, the price is consolidating just above that 2D RSI trend-line, potentially forming the new Support base.
At the same time, we see that the 2D MA200 (orange trend-line) has contained the early December 2021 correction and is still holding since. Going back to the price action, it is obvious that this MA level has been the key support band for BTC since it broke above it in May 2019. It held contact in July 2021, May - July 2020 and November 2019. Notably, the only time it broke since the 2018 Bear Cycle was during the March 2020 COVID led flash-crash but we can't really consider this a technical event as the melt-down was asset wide and global and was driven by a once in a decade event (global pandemic).
As long as both the 2D RSI Higher Lows trend-line and the 2D MA200 hold, we have a strong case of a market bottom. What do you think? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
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BTCUSD -where do you go?Hello Traders,
The situation on the market is clear. Price is moving between 51500 and 47530. Momentum is in the sell zone but is very weak. I will not recommended to sell yet. Keep in mind that situation could be temporary and change any time. Candlestick indicate that we have temporary support on 47530 level (not a zone) and it’s mark on close/open price - grey rectangle).
Red vertical line indicate future price change direction. This one of my fevered techniques.
When the price reach vertical line price should change direction - if it’s low then will go high, if it’s high then should drop.
If the price start getting higher then we have resistance on 49211. Remember that Dojo is always support/resistance level.
Cheers,
Jim
BTCUSD :: Rebound Possible Ahead of Options ExpiryBTC/USD Technical Analysis
The four-hour chart shows that the BTC/USD pair has been under pressure lately. The pair is trading at 47,615, which is lower than the chin of the double-top pattern at 49,418. It has also moved slightly below the 25-day and 50-day moving averages and is a few points above the key support at 46,000. It is also a few points below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Therefore, while the overall trend is bearish, there is a likelihood that the pair will rebound in the coming days after the options expiration. If this happens, the next key resistance to watch will be at 50,000.
Bullish View
Buy the BTC/USD pair and add a take-profit at 50,000.
Add a stop-loss at 46,000.
Timeline: 2 days.
Bearish View
Sell the BTC/USD and add a take-profit at 46,000.
Add a stop-loss at 48,000.
The BTC/USD pair remained under pressure on Thursday morning as demand for Bitcoin remained sluggish. The pair is trading at 47,615, which is about 10% below its highest level this week.
Options Expiry
It is unclear why Bitcoin has struggled in the past few days considering that American equities have been relatively strong in the past few days. The S&P 500 is trading at a record high while the Dow Jones is a few points below its all-time high.
A possible reason is that investors are selling Bitcoin ahead of the options expiry that will happen on Friday. A total of 129,800 options contracts worth about $6 billion will expire. In most cases, Bitcoin tends to see some weakness ahead of expiration.
This trend happens because of spot traders who try to push the spot price closer to the strike price. At this point, the highest number of open options usually expire worthlessly, which leads to max pain for options buyers. This point will be $48,000, which is slightly above the current level.
Another possible reason for the current price action of the BTC/USD pair is that the low volume in the financial market is leading to substantial volatility. We have already seen some volatility in other markets, including the bond market.
In addition, the BTC/USD pair is likely falling because of the Federal Reserve. The Fed has hinted that it will start to unwind its easy-money policies in the coming months. It will end its quantitative easing program in March and then implement three rate hikes in 2022. In most cases, risky assets like Bitcoin tend to underperform when the Fed has embraced a hawkish tone.
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish SequenceI wrote last Monday that the technical picture here had become more bearish, with the price dominated by a descending bearish trend line suppressing the price for more than one week. I foresaw lower prices as likely. However, I did think that the support level at $46,381 was likely to produce a firm bullish bounce if reached.
I was correct to be bearish insofar as the price traded lower over most of the day, well into the New York session, before bouncing close to the support level at $46,381 and then rising ever since. I was on the right track as seeing that level as likely to be strong, although my call was not actionable for a long trade.
The technical picture is considerably more bullish, as we have seen a succession of higher lows and higher highs over recent days. The technical feature which really stands out in the price chart below is the support level at $49,576 which looks very likely to hold if reached again, especially as it is confluent with the very major psychological round number at $50k.
The problem bulls are facing is that although risk sentiment is quite good in the market right now, Bitcoin seems to be running out of steam in recent days as it gets close to the resistance level at $51,912. I do not want to take a short trade there as the dominant structure remains bullish.
I am persuaded by the bullish case although I am not strongly bullish. I will take a long trade from any bullish bounce at either of the nearby support levels at $50,153 or $49,576 especially.
Long Trade Ideas
Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe following the next touch of $50,153, $49,576, or $48,111.
Put the stop loss $100 below the local swing low.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $100 in profit by price.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $100 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
Short Trade Ideas
Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe following the next touch of $51,912 or $53,201 or $53,853.
Put the stop loss $100 above the local swing high.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $100 in profit by price.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $100 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
BTCUSD is in possible sell area!!Hello Traders, BTCUSD currently has broken the trend line and is likely to create a false breakout to the downside. As it has broken to the upside, the trend is bearish, it is highly likely that this instrument will create a false breakout and will drop to the downside.
BTCUSD - almost signal for long positionMorning Traders,
After price drop of 21% we can see slowly rising price. Price just Break through upper Tl of the channel – Resistance.
Last candle (size of over 500$) may close over the top of the channel. Last candle may be the signal of long position.
But be careful, some time next candle may return to TL to indicate that TL perhaps will be support.
Also we have resistance level of 50,000$.
I will wait for H1 candle closed above this level.
Momentum is become strong on rising trend and approaching buy zone.
Recommendation: Go down on the to H1 chart and wait what will happen with resistance level and situation with resistance on channel. Only strong candle (read long candle) we may have long position signal.
Please do not forget to like this analysis. Thank you.
Cheers,
Jim
Early profit take indicator set upI have used 3 indicators here all settings are shown in the picture. This settings works best for weekly and daily chart. U can use in low time frame but will be a little bit difficult.
1.bollinger band basis. -- for early reversal
** candle cross Bbb is the 1st sign of reversal **
Turned off upper and lower band from settings
2.hull suite-- for secondary confirmation
2.hull moving average-- for final confirmation
I u find this set up helpful and useful
Plz help me also
Usdt Trc20 --TNPS8wmWSiw3uXJpHugFeG2R2hWoD6t7hQ
Btc bep20---0xe55ad4b97cdaf233383c2991bfcb5515bf9c1a1b
BTCUSD 0 what is happening? God morning Traders,
very interesting situation on Bitcoin.
We have few support and resistance levels (not zones).
Rising price created rising channel and price is on resistance line.
In channel there are two lines – bottom is support and upper line is resistance.
Also we have resistance on split candles (52060) and on Doji (53069).
but first we have 50000 resistance. If the price will ris above 52060, then there is possibility to open long position after candle that close above that specific level.
Those levels should created significant resistance for the price to rise higher.
For the passed 250 years Japanese traders saying that “essence of the price changes is real body of candlestick” – open and close price. Do not ignore this old wisdom. - Level of 49275.4.
Most of the traders looking for SR level on Highest and lowest price. This is wrong.
But check on the chart yoyr self where is SR levels.
Wisdom saying - that Is not highest or lowest price is important but the open and close price.
For the support level we have: 49000, 48000 and 46584 levels.
Price remain on the top of the channel, then we should not open long position.
Within 30% of the channel if the price will start going down then we can open short position.
But price reaming over support level of 50000. So be careful.
Momentum is on very high level -in zone of buing. But last peak stop price from rising higher.
If price will start droping (long candle) we will be able to open short position.
Do not forget to click on like this analysis. .
Cheers,
Jim
BTC: Retest of 55k first, back down to 35K is next.Dear Crypto Degenerate,
As the weekly tops and bottoms indicator (below the chart) shows we're having more sellers then buyers(only 33% are buyers) and the price is underneath the local support line (blue line).
Bitcoin is ready to retest 55K before dropping into the crypto abyss.
Short at 55K, Take profit 35K... is my opinion based on new bearish trend on the daily also,
Wish you a lot of money and fun.
Cheers,
The Crypto Weatherman
NeutralHi guys, if we see bitcoin in weekly time frame and from another angle we can see an uptrend wedge, I predict three scenarios for the next move. , Scenario 2: Reject Bitcoin 53 but suffer for a while to stabilize above it and continue to climb again. Continue the upward trend and finally be able to pass 53. You should always look at the prices and use the trend based on their proximity to each of the scenarios, also keep in mind that if the uptrend breaks, the whole scenario is void.