BTC/USDT 1H Chart: Testing Critical Support!Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment after showing weakness at $104,000 !
BTC recently hit a high of $104,338 but failed to hold, pulling back to $102,500 . The big question now: will this level hold as support?
I seeing a potential support at $102,500 . A break below could send BTC toward the Prev Day Mid at $100,600 , while a bounce might push it back toward $104,000 or even $109,100 to Yearly Highs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $104,000
Support: $102,500, $100,600 (Prev Day Mid)
Breakout Target: $109,100
Breakdown Risk: $98,00
Will BTC hold $102,500 , or are we in for a deeper correction? Let’s hear your thoughts below!
BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
As you can see byc is moving up and down in the green tunnel
My last target (yellow rectangle) is touched and byc couldn't break the upper side of tunnel
Now, my target is 120.000 $ ( red rectangle)
If this time , btc can break the green uptrend line as resistance line , my next target is 145.000$,
👉👉Important notice 👈👈
Here is not suitable Time for entry the long or short position because btc is in the middle of the tunnel
BTCUSDT: Drops Towards $53000 region may help us hitting $80000.BINANCE:BTCUSDT price currently in making of AB=CD pattern, it is likely to touch and reject at the $53000 which area remain crucial for most of the swing investors. The following news we can significant impact in the crypto market also 50k to 53k area remain extremely bullish. With accurate entry at 530000 area when we can target 80-100k possibly.
BTCUSDT: Safe Zone Vs Risk Zone, Which one would you choose? Dear Traders,
WE have possible buying opportunities, with the first entry, the only reason that we think that price would reverse is, possible end of year bullish push which may take price to another record higher high. Although, since the price already has rejected we think price is unlikely to reject at the level, and may drop to 75k region.
good luck.
#BITCOIN: Another drop and then Swing Bounce $125,000The current market sentiment is bearish, indicating a potential further decline towards the 65k price point. However, we anticipate a rebound towards the 125k region. As we approach the 65k threshold, we expect a substantial price increase.
To make informed investment decisions, it is crucial to observe a strong bullish trend before considering any bullish entries.
For more insights and market analysis, please like and comment.🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Bitcoin has not yet reached our zone, but it has formed a correction of the same degree as the previous ones and has also created a support area. The diametric pattern could potentially shift into a symmetrical one, and Bitcoin may even reach the 100K–105K zone.
We should keep a close eye on the 100K level for now, as it also serves as a psychological resistance.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫
Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation.
But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor?
🧠 A Quick Historical Detour
Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21...
When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include:
0.618 (the “golden ratio”)
1.618
2.618, and so on.
While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move.
📊 Fibonacci Extensions
To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points:
The Start of a Trend (Point A)
The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B)
A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C)
This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues.
Common Extension Levels Include:
1.272
1.618 (golden ratio)
2.0
2.618
Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react.
🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly
It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes.
The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle.
Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash)
to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak)
From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph.
🔍 Why This Matters
Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market:
Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5
Panic at 0.618
Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown
And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025
This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis.
⚖️ Final Thought
Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative.
And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
one last dancegm.
you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring.
you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines.
you convinced yourself the bottom was in.
you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.”
you wanted to believe.
and that’s exactly what wave B needed.
because this wasn't a breakout.
it’s a reset.
a psychological rinse,
engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n.
this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y).
not hopium, not dreams structure.
wave A brought devastation.
wave B brought complacency
wave C brings the execution.
make no mistake:
we’re not going up,
we’re being set up.
the chart says $742.
you call it impossible.
but the market doesn’t care what you believe.
the market only exists to find the maximum pain,
your maximum pain.
eth to $700 is not a prediction.
it’s a scheduled event.
and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up.
wave C of wave (Y) is coming.
and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel.
---
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break trend line and fall to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After a strong rally, зкшсу has reached a critical zone, and the reaction here might become a key pivot for short-term price action. Price managed to break above the ascending trend line, but instead of continuation, we saw a clear rejection from the 99500 area, followed by a sharp drop back below the trend structure. This type of movement often indicates bull trap behavior. Breakout traders enter on momentum, but then get squeezed as the price fails to hold above the trend. At the same time, buyers are beginning to lose control, and sellers are regaining initiative near major resistance. Importantly, BTC is now pulling back toward a support zone between 97500 and 97000, which previously acted as a base for consolidation. If this level fails to hold, the next support lies around 93000, where the trend originally started. The structure is shifting. A trend line break followed by a failed retest often signals a trend reversal or, at least, a deeper correction. I expect BTCUSDT can drop to the 97000 level, breaking the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
#BTCUSDT:Price Moving Well From $88,000 to $96,000,Next $128,000Bitcoin has moved well from our last idea of $88,000 to $96,000. However, a small correction is expected, which could be a good point to enter a swing trade. This could take the price to a new record high of around $128,000.
We have three targets, but each can be set based on your overview. The last three candles are not clear, so it’s best to wait for price to have a clearer indication of its next move.
We wish you the best and good luck in your trading journey. Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
Bitcoin's Blueprint: Channel Breakout Sets Stage for $104K Push
Looking at the Bitcoin/TetherUS 1D chart from May 6, 2025, we're witnessing a critical technical setup that suggests significant upside potential.
The price is currently at $94,758 , having established a solid foundation after the April recovery. This technical analysis reveals a powerful bullish scenario developing:
Master Pattern: Ascending Channel Continuation
Bitcoin has formed a textbook ascending channel (yellow boundaries) since the February-April bottoming pattern. After testing the lower boundary in April at approximately $74,508, price has rebounded sharply and is now consolidating in a rectangular accumulation zone (purple box).
Key Technical Elements:
- Diagonal Support Break : Price has successfully broken above the descending trendline (gray) that had capped gains since early 2025
- Channel Position : Currently trading in the lower half of the ascending channel, suggesting significant upside room
- Volume Confirmation : The 10.61K volume with positive price action (+0.03%) indicates healthy accumulation
Projected Movement Pattern
The blue arrows map out the anticipated price movement:
1. Current consolidation within the purple box (accumulation phase)
2. Initial thrust to upper channel boundary (~$100K)
3. Minor pullback to establish higher support
4. Final push toward the target of $104k
Strategic Insight: "The Channel Magnet Effect"
Bitcoin's price action demonstrates the magnetic pull of the upper channel boundary after confirmed breaks of diagonal resistance. The purple consolidation zone serves as the launchpad for this measured move.
This pattern is particularly significant as it mirrors Bitcoin's historical tendency to build momentum through rectangular consolidations before channel expansions.
Traders should watch for a convincing break above $98,000 as confirmation of this bullish scenario, with potential for acceleration once psychological resistance at $100,000 is breached.
For risk management, the lower boundary of the purple box provides a clear invalidation point for this bullish thesis.
Millions Of Trades Liquidated —Bitcoin Flash Jump Beyond $100KMillions of people are about to get liquidated. The thing is that they set up their orders so that liquidation only happens above 100K and they think they will be able to close their position before Bitcoin reaches that level if it doesn't break down.
First, Bitcoin is not breaking down. Just notice that every time there is any type of bearish action it is quickly bought.
Second. No, no second that's all.
Bitcoin is set to grow and will do so in a flash. Rather than a flash crash, a flash advance.
Bitcoin always surprises so prepare because this is what will happen. Rather than going down as the majority actually expect, Bitcoin will break-up and do so strong, so strong that there will be no time to react. People will be caught in the shock and while they wait to look around and see what happens, Bitcoin will be moving up.
Instead of $100,000, it will go to $102,000 or $104,000 or higher just to make sure that all the over-leveraged are kicked out before additional growth.
This is just a friendly reminder.
Pray for the dead bears and people without a clue, they are about to lose everything, for them, it will be tough.
On our side though... Enjoy the profits as they come.
Namaste.
Scenario #BTCUSDT long📉 LONG BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $104,353.0
🛡 Stop loss: $103,572.0
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Market overview:
➡️ The price confidently broke above $103,729 and held, confirming the uptrend.
➡️ The next target zone is $104,720–$105,090 — nearest movement objectives.
➡️ Volume increased during the impulse, indicating strong buyer presence.
➡️ A local support level formed around $103,729 — on a pullback, this zone may hold the price.
➡️ POC at $94,479 remains far below — the market has left the balance zone and is trading in an impulsive phase.
🎯 TP Targets BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P :
💎 TP1: $104,720.0
💎 TP2: $105,090.0
💎 TP3: $105,275.0
⚠️ Important: current structure BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P suggests possible correction (wedge breakdown), requiring caution or exit on key level loss.
⚠️ Despite the initial long from $104,353, a breakdown below $103,572 (stop loss) invalidates the long setup.
📢 If H1 closes below $103,572 — better to exit, scenario invalid.
🚀 Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P valid while holding above $103,729 — below that, correction likely toward lower targets!
BTC Breaks 100K: Trend Analysis & Trading AdviceFrom the 4-hour K-line chart of BTC, the bullish power in the market has been overwhelming. There have been six consecutive bullish candles. Not only has it successfully broken through the important defense line of the 100,000 mark, but it has also continued to rise with increasing trading volume after the breakthrough, indicating a strong bullish momentum.
The MACD indicator has been diverging above the zero axis, and the fast and slow lines are extending upward at an angle of 45 degrees. The RSI indicator remains in the overbought area above 70 without showing any obvious signs of turning down, which validates the strong characteristics of the current market trend.
When observed from the 1-hour time frame, the market is also dominated by bulls. The price has been steadily moving above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Although there have been pullbacks, each pullback has found effective support at the previous high, forming a standard bullish arrangement of higher highs and higher lows, and continuing to maintain an upward trend.
BTCUSD
buy@100300-100800
tp:101500-102500
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
BTC.D : READY FOR ALT-SEASONHi Guys, Hope You well
As you can see, the trend is finally breaking and the downtrend is starting again for the growth of the altcoins in the market. I hope you get the best profits from this alt season, which may be the last alt season and the best in this market cycle.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 9/May/26
⛔️DYOR
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury "
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack .
Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSUSDJPY is currently trading around 145.300 and showing clear signs of bearish pressure from the upper resistance of a broad ascending channel. The market structure suggests a potential rejection, and price action confirms the formation of a rising wedge pattern—a classically bearish setup indicating an upcoming correction. With momentum slowing and sellers starting to step in, I anticipate a move toward the 143.500 zone as price seeks support near the lower trendline.
From a fundamental standpoint, the US dollar is experiencing slight weakness today following softer-than-expected jobless claims data and a cooling CPI projection. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is finding strength from renewed risk-off sentiment and speculation that the Bank of Japan may subtly shift its ultra-loose stance if inflationary pressures persist. This macro backdrop adds more weight to the potential downside in USDJPY over the next few sessions.
Technically, the price has tested the 146.000 resistance zone multiple times but failed to break above it with conviction. This repeated rejection near the top of the channel adds credibility to the bearish outlook. A breakdown from the rising wedge would likely accelerate selling pressure, pushing USDJPY toward the 143.500 level, which aligns well with previous demand zones and the channel’s lower boundary.
I’m closely watching for confirmation below the 145.000 level, which would act as a trigger for short positions. With risk-reward favoring the bears and fundamentals aligning with the technical setup, this is a solid opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a potential pullback in USDJPY.
Whether it can be supported and rise at 102429.56 is the key
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, I think that for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance must be maintained below 55.01 or continue to decline.
If USDT dominance falls and BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
In other words, it is highly likely that only BTC will continue to rise.
-----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Based on the current position, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If not, it is likely to fall to around the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
If the uptrend continues, the point to watch is whether it can renew the new high (ATH) this time.
-
(1W chart)
It is rising after touching the 73499.86 area.
It is showing a large increase as it breaks through the HA-High indicator point of 97226.92 on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone, it is highly likely that the future rise will be limited.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the left Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If it falls, you should check whether it is supported near 97226.92.
If it falls below 97226.92, you should check whether it is supported in the 1st and 2nd sections marked on the chart.
You should check where the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed when the next candle is created.
The StochRSI 80 indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 102429.56 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the StochRSI 80 indicator point on the 1W chart is formed around the 102429.56 point.
-
(1D chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart is located below the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a buying point.
With this rise, the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise above the midpoint.
If the StochRSI indicator is located above the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) as we pass through the next volatility period around May 19.
-
Among the interpretation methods of the OBV indicator, there is an interpretation method that there is a possibility of an increase or decrease when the previous high or low is broken.
This time, it showed an upward break through the upper line of the OBV and broke through the lower line of the previous OBV.
In other words, it showed an upward break through the A section.
If this upward break through the B section is continued, it is expected to renew the ATH.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin Just Blasted Through $100K – Why $108K & $115K Are Next!
Summary
Bitcoin has staged a clear turnaround after holding support near $76K in April and reclaiming critical dynamic resistances at $89.3K and $96.7K. On May 8, BTC printed a powerful rally candle that peaked at $102.7K, signaling a potential shift from range-bound chop back into an up-trend. This piece unpacks the price structure, macro drivers, and key levels, and lays out the scenarios for the next leg higher or a corrective pullback.
Macro & Sentiment Backdrop
Macro liquidity ebb & flow: Recent dovish commentary from the Fed reduced forward rate-hike risk, restoring confidence in risk assets.
Regulatory clarity: transparent guidelines in major markets continue to draw fresh institutional capital.
Network health: On-chain metrics such as rising active addresses and declining exchange inflows reinforce supply scarcity narratives.
Chart Structure & Technical Evolution
Declining volatility and volume contraction characterized the consolidation phase.
Dynamic Resistance Breaks
R1 (~$89.3K) & R2 (~$96.7K) (grey/green labels) had capped rallies in mid-April and late-April.
The decisive May 8 candle surged through both, converting them into short-term support pivots.
Current Momentum
A long green daily bar with above-average volume implies genuine buying demand (not a thin-market spike).
Price now trades above $100K, a major psychological and technical threshold.
Key Levels & Zones
Level Type Significance
$108K Static Supply Prior swing high; first major profit‐taking zone
$102.7K Recent Peak Near‐term resistance; tag of psychological $100K
$96.7K Dynamic R2 → Support Ideal retest area for dip buyers
$89.3K Dynamic R1 → Support Secondary support if $96.7K fails
$76K–$78K April Range Support Invalidation zone for bullish thesis
Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios
Bullish Path
Retest & Hold: A pullback into $96.7K–$100K on lighter volume that finds support would validate the breakout.
Accelerate Toward $108K: A sustained move above $102.7K with daily closes above $104K clears the way to challenge the $108K supply zone and beyond.
Bearish Risk
Rejection at $102.7K: Failure to close convincingly above peak time resistance could trigger profit-taking and a swift drop to $96.7K.
Breakdown Below $89.3K: A daily close back under the first support zone would re-trap bullish participants, risking a deeper pullback into the April range near $76K–$78K.
Is $108K or $115K Next? No one knows
Follow the momentum and Trend