Bitcoin TA 25.4.12Bitcoin is currently correcting towards the range of 87 to 90 thousand dollars, and after that, we will enter a short position if we see a valid setup. The target levels are 74 thousand dollars, 70 thousand dollars, and lower targets can also be observed in this view. We will wait for the valid setup before entering the short position.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.12
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BTCUSDT
The key to trading is finding support and resistance points
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a short-term uptrend.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 89294.25 point, it can be interpreted that it has not yet escaped the low point.
Therefore, it is recommended to trade with a short and quick response such as scalping or day trading until the price rises above 89294.25 and maintains.
I think the rising trend line (2) is an important trend line that changes the trend.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise along the rising trend line (2).
Therefore, it is important to see whether it rises above the rising trend line (2) after passing the next volatility period, around April 14 (April 13-15).
If it fails to rise, that is, fails to rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is expected that it will eventually show a downward trend again.
Since the StochRSI indicator has risen above the midpoint, it is better to start focusing on finding a selling point rather than a buying point.
In summary, in order to rise above 89294.25, I think it is possible if the StochRSI indicator shows a wave that moves from the overbought zone to the oversold zone and from the oversold zone to the overbought zone, and it is supported near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If not, and it goes up right away and touches the area around 89294.25, there is a possibility that the area around 89294.25 will act as resistance.
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(30m chart)
I think the important thing is where to start and where to end the trade.
The indicators used to find the answer are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
When the HA-Low indicator is first created, if it receives support and rises and the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend, it is a buying period.
In other words, when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is an aggressive buying period.
Then, when it rises and meets the HA-High indicator, that is the first selling period.
The HA-High indicator, like the HA-Low indicator, also receives resistance and falls when the HA-High is newly created and the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend, it is a selling period.
In other words, when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator, it is the first selling period.
In the case of futures trading, it is the aggressive selling (SHORT) period.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators can be used as criteria for creating trading strategies.
Most of the trading is in the sideways and box sections within the HA-Low ~ HA-High indicator range.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you should switch to a trading strategy in the trend.
Therefore, if you bought near the HA-Low indicator, you can sell first near the HA-High indicator and then respond according to the situation.
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Rather than thinking about how far it will rise or fall before starting a trade, it is more important to find out which points are important support and resistance points.
Once you find that point, you can boldly start trading and respond to the rest according to the situation.
I use the HA-Low, HA-High indicators as the standard.
The most important indicators for creating a trading strategy are, of course, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
I use the Trend Cloud indicator and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts as reference indicators for buying or selling from the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The remaining indicators are auxiliary indicators for conducting detailed corresponding transactions.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Rising Wedge for #BTCUSDTWhat’s visible on the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart:
📈 Rising Wedge:
➡️ This is a potentially bearish pattern for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P , especially when it appears after a strong rally following a deep drop (which is exactly the case here).
➡️ The price has almost reached the upper boundary of the wedge and has already formed a second top (Top 2) — a signal of possible weakness.
🔵 Levels:
➡️ POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P — $82,490.8 has already been broken to the upside, indicating current market strength.
➡️ The price is approaching major resistance at $83,807.1 — momentum is already slowing down in this zone.
➡️ Support remains in the $80,449.7 – $78,412.7 area.
📊 Volume:
➡️ The rally was supported by high volume, but the most recent candles show declining volume as the price nears the top of the wedge.
➡️ This could indicate weakening buying pressure.
📉 Why it’s important to be cautious with long positions:
➡️ A rising wedge can act as a bull trap.
➡️ The price is near a critical resistance — even a small pullback could lead to a wedge breakdown.
➡️ After such a steep run (from 73K to almost 84K), the chance of profit-taking and a pullback is high.
➡️ Volume is declining — bullish momentum may be fading.
📢 Conclusion:
➡️ Opening a BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P long position right now is risky because:
- the wedge structure suggests a potential reversal to the downside;
- there’s no breakout above the previous high with confirmation;
- and volume does not support further upward movement.
❗️ It's better to watch how the price reacts to the wedge and BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P key levels — a long entry is only valid if the price breaks and holds above $83,800–84,000 with strong volume.
➡️ Until then, a neutral or cautiously bearish position is more appropriate.
Bitcoin Weekly Update: Support Found (With Updated 2025 Targets)I want to highlight both, EMA55 and the 0.5 Fib. retracement level for the August 2024 - January 2025 bullish wave. These two levels have been tested and so far hold as support.
Good Thursday my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Things are good and everything is good. Bitcoin is back above 80K.
Bitcoin first pierced below 80K in early February, a long lower shadow on a candle with a high close. The close happened at 94.
Then again Bitcoin moved below 80K in the 10-March session but closed at 82K.
Last week Bitcoin closed below 80K. I mentioned that this is indeed a major development but market conditions do not change, we continue bullish. Last week, the first time ever below 80K, this week back above 80K. The week is not yet over so this signal is not confirmed.
The 0.5 Fib. retracement support level stands at $78,000. Any trading below 80,000 is a super strong buy opportunity. The market gave us a second chance and we took it with confidence and force.
EMA55 sits at $76,195 and was challenged for the first time since September 2024. It was challenged this same week and it holds. Bitcoin right now is safe and strong on the weekly timeframe.
Bitcoin is safe.
Lower is the least likely scenario.
Impossible for Bitcoin to hit 40K. Please ignore these people because they don't have a clue about Crypto and how the market works or behaves. Anybody calling for 40K must be ignored because this is either an attempt at some bad joke or indeed, complete insanity.
From the ~$74,000 March 2024 market high, after 5 months of distribution Bitcoin crashed and bottom at 49K. After reaching $110,000, only 3 months of distribution, a crash cannot lead to 40K. We still have all previous ATH as support and of course, we are going up. Let's not waste anymore time on something that doesn't make any sense at all but I still wanted to mention this to avoid and remove any confusion. Some people are just evil.
Let's consider the worst case, bearish scenario. If Bitcoin were to continue lower, it would find support in the blue zone on the chart. That is between 0.786 and 0.618 Fib. retracement. This is also the same range in which Bitcoin consolidated for months in 2024. So, in the worst case scenario, Bitcoin has strong support between $62,000 and $71,000; the truth is Bitcoin is going up.
Why we need not worry about this scenario?
Look at the volume on the chart.
A lower low and the lowest price in years and trading volume is really low. Both sessions producing the lowest prices, 10-March and 7-April closed green. This means that buyers were ready and waiting. If bears start selling, the bulls are happy to buy everything quick.
Since the downside is not our concern, we can focus on the future, higher prices which is what will happen next and long-term. Bitcoin is going up for a long while, until late 2025 minimum. It can extend and go into early 2026, we will know soon.
Now that we have a new low we can project more accurate and new targets. These can be seen on the chart and below:
1) $96,377 (Very easy)
2) $131,777 (Easy)
3) $145,300 - $167,177 (Strong)
4) $202,577 (Potential ATH)
5) $237,977 (Strong bull market)
With a strong market, which is standard for Crypto, Bitcoin can easily hit $167,000. Just a little more and we have $202,577. For this level market conditions should be really good. If things are great, Bitcoin can move and grow beyond 200K. Here we have 238,000 based on the most recent and accurate numbers.
Everything is pointing up.
We have long-term higher highs and higher lows.
The recent correction is very small compared to the past, but still reached beyond 30%. A 30% correction in a bull market is a strong correction, do not expect lower prices, we are going up next.
Bitcoin cannot go down 50% nor 60%, too much interest, too many people ready to buy, way too many people are aware. Bitcoin is solid and ready now, soon to trade beyond 100K.
The proof is in the chart.
Not only Bitcoin but also the stock market will grow.
The correction is over!
This is good.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
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BTC bottom at 2D 200MA?I think we're following the fractal of 2021 bull market, and I was looking for similarities between the consolidation phase that came after the sharp decline. And in fact, there are some similarities.
The first test of the 200MA on the 2D chart and the build-up of a bullish divergence with a fakeout below the trend line on the RSI. It's not exactly the same, but I would say it's very similar.
This week should give a good bounce from the 2D 200MA for the fractal to remain relevant. In case of a breakdown, this idea is canceled.
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CADJPY WILL BULLISH OR BEARISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISCADJPY is currently forming a clear descending wedge pattern on the 12H chart, which historically signals a high-probability bullish reversal. The price has respected both the upper descending trendline and the lower support line with precision over the past few months, but the recent reaction near the wedge support is showing signs of buying interest. With the current price trading at 103.10, we are at a critical juncture where a breakout to the upside could initiate a strong momentum rally toward the 109.00 target.
Technically, this setup is supported by multiple touchpoints on both trendlines, suggesting a mature wedge structure ready to break. The risk-reward ratio is extremely favorable here, with clear invalidation below 100.90 and upside potential aligned with the upper structure of the broader consolidation zone. A confirmed breakout and candle close above the 104.00 resistance area would likely signal the start of a bullish impulse wave targeting 109.00 in the medium term.
On the fundamental side, CAD is supported by firm oil prices, which have remained elevated due to ongoing geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production cuts. Meanwhile, the JPY continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan remains firmly committed to ultra-loose monetary policy, even as inflation expectations globally stay elevated. This divergence in monetary policy between the BoC and BoJ is fueling carry trade flows, further boosting CADJPY's bullish outlook.
Looking ahead, any signs of risk-on sentiment in global markets, combined with resilient Canadian data, could act as a catalyst for the breakout. With the market positioning leaning heavily on JPY shorts and crude oil demand remaining strong, CADJPY is technically and fundamentally poised for a breakout rally. I'm watching the 104.00 zone closely—once cleared, I anticipate a swift move toward 109.00 with momentum on our side.
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!50-day moving average (red line):
This is a short-term trend indicator. It reacts more quickly to price changes and is often used to identify short-term trends.
When the price is above this moving average, it usually indicates bullish momentum; when it is below, it may signal bearish momentum.
200-day moving average (green line):
This is a long-term trend indicator. It provides a smooth moving average that helps identify the overall trend over a long period.
A price above this line indicates a long-term bullish trend, while a price below it indicates a potentially bearish market.
Current Analysis
Price Action: As of the current date, the price is hovering around the 80,000 USDT, just below the 50-day MA, which may indicate a potential resistance area.
Convergence of MAs: The behavior of both the 50-day and 200-day MAs can provide insight:
If the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA (a “golden cross”), this typically indicates a bullish signal.
Conversely, if it crosses below (a “death cross”), this can indicate a bearish sentiment.
Support and Resistance: The chart also shows areas of support (horizontal green lines) around 76,000 to 80,000 USDT. If the price breaks this resistance, it may have room to move towards the next levels indicated.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Possible Mid-Term Long Position BTC/USDT before Short to 73,700🔥 BTC/USDT – Key Demand Zone Holding
Bitcoin tapped into a high-probability long zone (78,318 - 77,979) after a sharp retracement — and we’re already seeing signs of a short term bullish reaction.
🟣 Zone to Watch:
“Possible Long Zone” marked in Red — structurally aligned with previous breakout demand.
Price tapped into the “Possible Long Zone” with precision — strong reaction confirms it’s a high-probability entry area for bulls.
🟢 Key Zone Support: 78,318 - 77,979
🎯 Take-Profit Zones:
✅ TP1: 79,417
✅ TP2: 80,526
✅ TP3: 81,839
✅ TP4: 83,510 (Final Zone)
❌ Invalidation Level: 75,783
(Break below this = setup fails)
🚀 Momentum is building.
🧠 Narrative:
This looks like a retest before continuation. If price consolidates above 78,800 with volume, the next impulse could send us toward new local highs.
🎲 Context:
This looks like a smart money move — liquidity grab below support, followed by a strong rejection.
1050 days of bull, 380 days of bearPlanning for the afterlife already. Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. The big bounce should happen just before the summer, then consolidate, and the last leg up should come after, and we peak in late October. Let's try this
Bitcoin -Weekly, Daily, H4, H1 Forecasts, Trading IdeasMidterm forecast, Weekly Timeframe:
While the price is above the support 70550.04, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks.
If the support at 70550.04 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
Daily Timeframe:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 74545.70 on 04/09/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 86499.57 and maximum to Major Resistance (91037.20) is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57
91037.20
94505.46
98675.19
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
130000.00
140000.00
H4 Timeframe:
H1 Timeframe:
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Bitcoin Short-Term Setup: Watch $79K Resistance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall again ,as I expected in the previous post .
This post is also a short-term analysis and is on the 15-minute time frame .
Bitcoin is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a 5-wave downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend in the coming hours , at least to the Resistance zone($79,350-$78,540) .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $75,470, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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TAOUSDT UPDATETAOUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $231.9, with a target price of $360.0. This represents a potential gain of over 60%. The technical pattern observed is a Bullish Falling Wedge, indicating a possible trend reversal. This pattern suggests that the downward trend may be coming to an end. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a significant upward movement in price. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive indicator, signaling a potential price surge. Investors are showing optimism about TAOUSDT's future performance. The current price may present a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in substantial returns for investors. TAOUSDT is positioned for a potential breakout and significant gains.
Bitcoin Prediction - Crypto MarketBitcoin has broken the weekly structure to the downside, and we’ve been bearish since then.
However, the monthly chart still looks bullish, and I expect the price to return to the monthly demand zone and get a reaction from there.
I believe the crypto market could turn bullish again by the end of summer 2025.
Possible scenario:
We short from the current levels down to the monthly demand zone, sweeping the engineered weekly liquidity (by 'engineered,' I mean a level designed to push price higher). That level is around $67,000.
I’ll be watching for LTF confirmations to take longs from that zone.
Most likely, the monthly demand zone will hold and send us toward new all-time highs.
BTC/USD) rejected point analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a bearish short-term technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Structure:
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
A clear downtrend is marked on the chart.
2. Rejection Zone:
The yellow highlighted area near $83,800–$84,000 is labeled as a “rejected point.”
Price touched this zone and got rejected again, confirming resistance.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
The 200 EMA is at $82,291, acting as dynamic resistance. Price is currently below it, reinforcing bearish momentum.
4. Support Level / Target:
The yellow box at the bottom around $74,559 is marked as the support zone and target level.
This is the previous low and aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is showing a potential bearish divergence and is pointing downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and a likely move lower.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Around $81,300–$82,000 (after rejection confirmation)
Target: $74,559 (support level)
Stop-loss: Could be placed just above the rejection zone, around $84,000
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