BTC ~ MACRO Bounce ZoneBTC has been holding the 80K zone well, but from the macro perspective the bearish cycle should be starting soon.
This is due to simple logic (after such a dramatic ATH) as well as the Wyckoff Method.
Unless we can reclaim 90K, it's likely that this will be the third touch on the parabolic curve - which is usually when the bearish cycle starts.
Previously, BTC retraced and bounced one Fib higher than the price at the start of the bullish cycle. This puts us roughly at 28k, as well as at the neckline of the previous resistance zone before the new ATH:
______________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K.
Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown.
Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated!
Jon
@JHartCharts
BTC Update 4 Hour/ FOMC Day March 19, 2025, GAME PLAN!🚨 FOMC Day Update – March 19, 2025 🚨
BTC at ~$83,244 (+0.28%–1%) as markets stay cautious. Fear & Greed at 23, RSI at 44.05 = neutral momentum.
While BTC is trading below all significant EMs, 50 100 and 200, It has broken above the 21EMA which is bullish for the short term.
Fed likely to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50% (99% odds) – a surprise cut could ignite a BTC rally. Whale accumulation signals potential upside.
Sentiment data and whale accumulation hint towards a possible upside but only if FED surprises with a rate cut.
The current pump in the market will be short-lived if there's no change in the rates which is very likely.
So be careful with your longs and shorts.
Volatility will kill both bears and bulls.
You need to keep an eye on Powell’s 2:30 PM EST speech.
Inflation & liquidity outlook will shape BTC’s next move. Stay sharp!
I'll keep you updated.
Let me know what you think in the comments and do hit that like button if you like this post.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC/USDT Analysis: Climactic Moment on the Bitcoin ChartBitcoin managed to hold above the local range despite seller pressure, tested the key volume zone of $85,000–$88,000, and has already shown an initial selling reaction.
Currently, a local support zone has formed at $84,800–$83,500, casting doubt on the scenario of a decline to the lower boundary. If this zone is tested and buyers react to it, the current uptrend will continue. If there is no reaction, the trend will shift to a bearish direction.
Selling Zones:
$85,000–$88,000 (volume zone)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buying Zones:
$84,800–$83,500 (pushing volumes)
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Bitcoin Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a selling opportunity around 90000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin can rebound from triangle pattern to 90K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Not long ago, the price was trading within a range, where it quickly entered the seller zone and remained near this area for quite some time. BTC attempted to rise but failed, and after nearly reaching the upper boundary of the range, it dropped sharply. The price broke through the 94000 level, exiting the range as well, and then fell to the support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. Shortly after, the price made a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level before starting a decline within a downward triangle. Inside this pattern, BTC initially made a correction, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then resumed its decline. Eventually, the price dropped to the 78900 support level, where it touched the triangle’s support line and then began to rise. At the moment, BTC continues to climb near this level, and I expect it to rebound from the support line of the triangle and break above the resistance, signaling an exit from the pattern. If this happens, I anticipate further growth, so my target is set at 90000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Rebounds with Dovish FOMC, Preparing to Test TrendlineBitcoin has broken out of the ascending triangle and is starting to regain some lost ground. While the medium-term trend remains downward, if BTC holds above the upper boundary of the triangle (around 85K), another leg higher with a potential target between 90K and 91K becomes more likely, depending on the pace of the move.
Supporting the bullish case are factors such as the Ripple case drop, a slightly dovish FOMC, and rumors of new crypto-related actions from Trump.
However, if Bitcoin falls back below the 85K level today, the next key support to watch is around 82,500. A move down to this level alone wouldn't completely negate the bullish outlookfor short term. But if Bitcoin also breaks below the lower boundary of the former triangle too, it would significantly increase bearish pressure.
Long Term Bitcoin SituationRemember the time that we broke out the major bull flag in Bitcoin? It caused many new all time high levels in recent months. The problem is that Bitcoin lost its 5 waved bullish momentum. We see an upwards move only because of the fundemantel news.
I believe we are currently in a correction phase known as A-B-C pattern according to Elliot Waves theory. In order for Bitcoin to create another all time high level, there some requirements to achieve.
First, another bullish fundemantel actor in macro economic events. This could be an interest rate cuts, something about ETF's or even some crayz idea from Trump himself. Problably, it will be about intrest rates to be cut down in next june.
Second, Bitcoin needs to gain its delta momentum back (it's called CVD). For many weeks while Bitcoin has risen up, there were some significant movements in futures section. Bulls and long term holders were keeping their positions. With acceptence of the ETF's, spot Bitcoin volume was increased as well. The problem about this part of the story is, big instutial money that carried Bitcoin upwards is leaving. It's mostly because of the new politics that Trump has brought to the US. Instutial money or simple retail traders don't really like when there is an uncertainity about the economy. Fear and uncertainity is taking smart money away from Bitcoin. When this situation changes, money flow will change again and Bitcoin may catch the momentum it needs.
As the last requirement, Bitcoin hasn't actualy swept all the remaining liquidtiy below the lastly formed bullish flag. It's important for two reasons:
1: In technical terms, it will be fine retest and safe entry.
2: All the rookies who play around with futures sections in exchanges will be eliminated. So there will enough liquidty to go upwards again.
Remember, market always run for the liquidty and all the tecnical things you heard from people around is shaped by this consept. We will meet below 70K again before this summer.
For short term, I believe there will be another uprising move before upcoming pullback. It will be a short one and will get people in.
You see RSI below the chart that it's broken a trendline. Usually it's something good but in this case, even though some other indicators tells us that Bitcoin catch is momentum back again, I don't believe its that simple. As an another example, MACD also screaming out for Bitcoin to rise at the this moment in the daily chart. As I mentioned earlier, it's all caused because of the fundemantel news. Nothing real.
Good Luck to us all .
Btcusd to moonThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase shows a recent downtrend, with the price currently at $85,749.48, down 1.30%. A potential bullish reversal is suggested with an upward projection toward the $100,000+ range, as indicated by the hand-drawn price path.
Key observations:
Volume Profile on the Right: Indicates high trading activity around current levels, with less resistance above $90,000.
Projected Price Movement: Suggests a breakout from recent lows, a pullback, and then a strong upward move ("BTC to the moon").
Buyer-Seller Levels: The buy price is slightly above the current market price, indicating demand.
This analysis suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation through further price action and volume is needed.
BTCUSD:Real-time trading opportunities.The buying opportunity for BTCUSD is still at the current price. 85000-85600.
Buy BTCUSD at a low yesterday, and the market rose 3k points crazily. Successfully hit TP/
The upward channel is now open. Now remember the risk of shorting. Long is still the current trend. Ultra-short-term trading 85000-85600 is a good buying point. Long-term target 94000. If the short-term target stands at 86800-88000, it will be an epic moment. Continue to go long.
The US cryptocurrency summit will be a boost to the rise.
BitcoinSupport and Stop Loss Levels:
Support at $85,058.00 (marked in green).
Stop-loss level at $84,500.00 (marked in red).
Target Price (Take Profit):
$89,230.00 is the marked profit-taking level.
Trend & Price Action:
BTC has broken out of a descending trendline.
Recent bullish momentum led to a price spike.
A minor retracement is occurring.
There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) below the price, suggesting possible retracement before another leg up.
Trading Plan Based on This Analysis:
Bullish Setup:
Entry likely around $85,058 - $85,430.
Stop loss at $84,500.
Target $89,230 (Potential ~4% upside).
Volatility Period: Around March 22-25
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I think it always falls less than expected and rises more than expected.
Therefore, trades should always be done in split trades.
This volatility period is expected to last from March 21st to 26th.
Therefore, the key is whether it can break out of the downtrend channel and maintain the price after this volatility period.
In order to do that, it is important to see if it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If it breaks out of the downtrend channel and falls, if it does not fall below the downtrend line, it is expected to rise.
In other words, we need to check if it is supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12).
If not, if it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, it is expected to touch near 73499.86.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Critical zone for Bitcoin – Pump or Dump!(Mid-term Analysis)Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on a weekly time frame so that you can take a mid-term view of BTC. On November 12, 2024 , I shared with you another weekly analysis in which we found the All-Time High(ATH) zone well.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin has been on an upward trend for the past 27 months , increasing by about +600% . Have you been able to profit from this upward trend in Bitcoin?
During these 27 months , Bitcoin has had two significant corrections , the first correction -20% and the second correction -33% (interestingly, both corrections lasted about 5 months ).
Another thing we can understand from the two main corrections is that the second correction is bigger than the first correction , and since Bitcoin is currently in the third correction , we can expect the third correction to be either equal to the second correction or greater than the second correction . Of course, this is just an analysis that should be placed alongside the analyses below .
It seems that the start of Bitcoin's correction can be confirmed with the help of the Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . Bitcoin also created a fake breakout above the Resistance lines .
Educational tip : The Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT) is a bearish reversal pattern characterized by two sharp, ^-shaped peaks at nearly the same price level. It indicates strong resistance and a potential trend reversal once the price breaks below the neckline between the peaks.
Bitcoin appears to be completing a pullback to the broken neckline .
According to Elliott's Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . It is a bit early to determine the structure of the corrective waves , but I think it will have a Zigzag Correction . The structure of the corrective waves depends on the news and events of the coming weeks and months.
I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) will be a very sensitive zone for Bitcoin.
I expect Bitcoin to start correcting again when it approaches $87,000 or $90,000 at most, and fills the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) , and at least approaches the Heavy Support zone($73,800_$59,000) AFTER breaking the uptrend line .
In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again?
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $90,500, we should expect further increases and even make a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), Weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Scalping Long Setup
Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named.
This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Be successful and profitable.
Btcusd trade idea e read caption This chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe from Coinbase. Here are the key elements of the analysis:
1. Order Block (Green Zone):
The green zone represents a significant order block, indicating an area where institutional buying or selling activity previously took place. The price has reacted strongly to this zone, confirming its importance.
2. Entry Point (White Line & Label):
The price has broken above the order block, suggesting a bullish entry. This level is marked as an optimal entry zone for a long position.
3. Price Movement & Target Levels (Yellow Arrows):
Two yellow arrows suggest that the price is expected to move upwards towards key resistance or profit target zones.
4. Target Levels (Dashed Lines & Blue Labels):
$88,000.17 and $90,681.03 are identified as potential profit targets, indicating resistance levels where the price may face selling pressure.
5. Current Price & Trend:
Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,511.26, with a 3.40% increase. The strong breakout suggests bullish momentum.
6. Market Volume (Right-Side Volume Profile):
The volume profile on the right shows high trading activity around the $84,000 level, which could act as support in case of a pullback.
Summary:
A breakout above a key order block suggests bullish continuation.
Entry is positioned above the breakout.
Target levels are set at $88,000 and $90,681.
High probability of upward movement based on volume and trend analysis.
This analysis suggests a bullish setup with potential gains if the price sustains above the order block and moves toward the target zones.
BTC ANALYSIS🚀#BTC Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #BTC that there is a crucial support and resistance zone. Now trading at a crucial resistance zone. We could expect a bullish move from this level
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BTC price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTCUSDT EA MAN UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTAIN **BTCUSDT EA MAN Update – Analysis in English**
---
### **BTC/USDT Analysis (15 min) – Bullish Trend in Sight**
#### **Key Observations:**
- **FVG Support Zone (Fair Value Gap):** The price has reacted positively to this zone and is showing signs of a bullish recovery.
- **EMA Confluence:** The price is currently below the 30 EMA (red), but a breakout above could confirm stronger bullish momentum.
- **Target Point:** The analysis anticipates a move towards **85,104 USDT**, possibly after a slight pullback to test the support zone.
If the price sustains above the 30 EMA and breaks through the minor resistance, the bullish target seems achievable.
BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Signal#BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Potential formation of Double Bottom + formation of the 3rd wave from the level. It is better to reduce risks - news background + correction. Stop at the minimum of the 2nd wave.
Entry: 85302.95
TP: 87193.74 - 90677.11 - 94083.46 - 99390.73
Stop: 81089.58
Bitcoin's Wild Ride: Will It Moon or Crash and Burn?Ah, Bitcoin—the digital rollercoaster we all love to hate. Currently lounging around $84,000 , but what's next? Let's dive into the crystal ball of crypto predictions, shall we? 🔮
The Bullish Dreamers:
Derivatives Delight: Some analysts are giddy over derivatives metrics, suggesting Bitcoin is "poised" to reclaim the $90,000 level in the coming weeks. Because who doesn't love a good gamble?
The Bearish Realists:
Death Cross Drama: Hold onto your hats! Bitcoin is flirting with a "death cross," where the 50-day moving average dips below the 200-day. Historically, this is like the crypto version of a horror movie—cue the dramatic music.
Support Level Shenanigans: If Bitcoin can't muster the strength to stay above $81,000, we might be sliding down to $76,000 faster than you can say "HODL."
The Fence-Sitters:
FOMC Follies: All eyes are on the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Will they hike rates? Will they cut? Will they order pizza for lunch? Their decisions could send Bitcoin on a joyride or a nosedive.
So, what's the takeaway? Is Bitcoin gearing up for a moon mission, or are we strapping in for a freefall? As always, keep your wits about you, and maybe a parachute handy. 🎢🪂
If you want the deeper breakdown (the one nobody’s telling you), drop a comment or DM me. Maybe I’ll let you in on the real insights. 👀🔥
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before diving into the crypto abyss.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase.
Key Support Levels:
$78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in.
$80,000: Psychological support level.
Key Resistance Levels:
$84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested.
$85,996: Next major resistance level.
$89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs.
$92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level.
Chart Pattern & Price Action:
Descending Channel (Early March)
Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern.
The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum.
Range Consolidation (Current Pattern)
After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box).
Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision.
Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias)
A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond.
The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance.
Support Retest (Bearish Risk)
If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000.
A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.