Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋
Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀
Key Observations 📊
Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom.
Rebound Levels:
Alt. 1: $101,000
Alt. 2: $82,000
Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188.
Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥
Pro Tip 💡
I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬
BTCUSDT
All you need for Bitcoin to see top, bottom or a crash.These charts show everything you will ever need to buy and sell Bitcoin.
5 day BTC chart.(right chart)
Orange vertical lines on chart show when the RSI touches the pink horizontal line after it touches the top red horizontal line. This indicates a bear market.
Yellow vertical lines on chart show when RSI rose above orange line after touching the blue line but failed to touch the red horizontal line before hitting the pink horizontal line. This indicates a crash is coming.
The green arrows on chart show whenever the blue EMA8 goes below the yellow MA55 after being above it.
This indicates either BTC has entered a bear market or a crash like setup similar to covid. If we get another green arrow you will know what to do as it will be a crash or bear market.
The green trendlines on chart show each bull run Bitcoin touches this trendline 3 times or more before it has a parabolic move. The anamoly being the covid crash. So far this bull run it is only twice that Bitcoin has touched the green trendline.
On the LMACD the green vertical lines show everytime the 5day LMACD crosses down (blue LMACD line going under orange LMACD line) when it is above the horizontal yellow line. This has happened 21 times with only 1 time (red vertical line) where price did not drop to the EMA21 (orange moving average line) on the chart.
BTC just did this cross on LMACD so it has a 95% chance of moving down to touch the orange EMA21.
Based off all this clear evidence it is easy to see that you sell Bitcoin when RSI hits red horizontal line. Confirmation of bear market is as per indicators mentioned above.
You buy when RSI touches blue horizontal line.
You won't sell the exact top or buy the exact bottom but very close to it. You would need a different chart to calculate the exact top.
This chart will stand the test of time if history keeps rhyming for Bitcoin.
Monthly BTC chart.(left chart)
On the monthly chart the orange vertical lines indicate whenever the Stoch RSI went above the green horizontal line. The yellow vertical line on the chart shows the covid crash as the Stoch RSI did not stay above the green horizontal line for very long.
The green arrow on the Stoch RSI shows when it fell straight through the red horizontal line after being above the green horizontal line. This indicated a bear market.
The pink arrows on the Stoch RSI show the crossover of the Stoch RSI (blue RSI line crosses under orange RSI line) after it fell below the green horizontal line and bounced off the blue or red horizontal lines. This indicated the top and a bear market.
After seeing this current information on the Stoch RSI (bounce off blue line) it looks like the upcoming crossover will be a pink arrow.
These arrows indicate time to exit the market as you can see.
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-term!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell to the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is moving in a Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) near the Support line .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the first 5 downward waves , and we can wait for upward corrective waves . Bitcoin has completed two corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame , and we can wait for the next corrective wave .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern in the 15-minute time frame , and if Bitcoin breaks the upper line of this pattern, we can confirm this pattern.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $95,170 AFTER breaking the Upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the support line, we can wait for the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) to break.⚠️.
⚠️Note: In general, if you open a Long position, you can keep it up to the Resistance zone($96,680-$95,520) or Risk-Free your position.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSDT h4 : UPDATE ROADMAPHi Good day,
after the decline that I explained to you in the previous analysis, now another perspective has been added that you can expect.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 10/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Please note that we are in complex corrections, and trading in these areas requires thorough analysis. We aim to update our analyses step by step. In such conditions, it’s better to analyze the data rather than make predictions.
According to the previous analysis, we expect the price to reach the green zone.
The demand and supply zones in this analysis have been updated.
On the green zone, the price could potentially bounce upwards.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will negate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential SThe chart highlights critical support and resistance levels along with possible price scenarios for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. The combination of technical patterns and momentum indicators offers a roadmap for potential future movements.
Key Levels:
Resistance at $95,600:
The $95,600 level serves as a key resistance point. A breakout above this level could signal a bullish continuation toward $100,740.93, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
Support Zone at $91,400–$90,400:
This area is a strong support zone, highlighted in blue, and represents a potential bounce point if the price continues to decline. Failure to hold this level could push Bitcoin further downward.
Lower Support Levels:
$82,265.90 and $76,125.14 are critical lower support levels if bearish momentum intensifies.
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin rebounds from the $91,400–$90,400 support zone and breaks above $95,600, we could see a rally toward the $100,740.93 target.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the $91,400–$90,400 zone could lead to a decline toward $82,265.90 or even $76,125.14, driven by increased selling pressure.
Indicator Insights:
DT Oscillator: Currently in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. However, confirmation is needed from price action and resistance levels.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a pivotal point with significant support and resistance levels clearly defined. Traders should monitor price reactions closely around the $91,400–$90,400 zone and watch for a breakout or breakdown for directional cues.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to follow me for more detailed analyses!
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements.
Recent Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024.
As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal.
The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level.
Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed.
The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend
Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday.
This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum.
Why Is This Concerning?
Daily 60 EMA Resistance:
Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment.
The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend.
Support Breakdowns:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one.
Key Support Zone:
The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support.
However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger:
A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels.
What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound?
For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700.
Why This Level Matters:
A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal.
It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk.
Key Support Zone: 90200–85160.
If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase.
Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
BTCUSDT - near to his support? Holds or not??#BTCUSDT .. well guys market just near to his supporting area and that is 94200 around.
That was supporting area is history as well.
And keep close it because if market not hold it in that case we can expect a drop towards 89000 and 84000 in extension.
Good luck
Trade wisely
"BTC Alert: Sellers Dominate Until the Price Hits the Bottom!"BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently forming a repetitive pattern. 📈 The price will test the identified support at the bottom of the channel, which could drive the price down toward the 86K-88K level. 📉
If the price drops below 92K, we may see a more significant decline into the 84K range, possibly accompanied by a long shadow reaching the 80-82K area (highlighted in red). 🔻🔍
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position below or above the trigger zone (92K), the setup will be canceled.
bitcoin price bounce on January 14th @ 89377 USDTbitcoin will bounce from the green line on January 14th where you see the green heart.
that line is close to an important fib level. but it also shows that on november 18th, price retested november 11th's high, which is also on that line.
on november 18th planet Venus travelled between 14-15º of Sagittarius.
on January 14th Budha (Mercury) will reach that point.
there is more information on the January 14th bounce in the book SHININGBULL 2025
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000.
With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone.
This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ?
1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity.
3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup:
Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk.
Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels.
4. Scenario Analysis
Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower.
To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam,
We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared.
If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap.
What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart.
On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms.
Exact quoted news:
“According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today.
Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30.
The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets."
DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold.
USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month.
This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month.
On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business
days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame.
My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 .
At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards.
This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks.
By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow.
Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading.
This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500.
Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow.
Ali Rezaei
some more bleeding for BitcoinersLike most other charts, a massive dump followed by a downward channel
expected scenario is here
Yellow line MUST work as bottom and lead to a V shape recovery
if it doesn't we can go much lower as medium term bullish structure will be definitively broken. Let's hope the support holds
Bitcoin Daily ReviewSeven 8H bear candles in a row... approximately 1 billion liquidations in longs alone within past two days. BTC finally dipped below 2024 close ✅
I still believe that BTC should bounce back to +/- 98k. At least while market moves sideway (for the past 2 months) its justified to expect price to stay within the range (until it is broken). Previous consolidation stage took more than 8 months, so I hope this time it won't be that extended.
If that consolidation range will get broken, correction target is pointed by multiple factors: CME gap + 2024 VAH + developing Week 20sma - it all comes to +/- 80k
Nearest liquidity pools:
above - 93850 / 95750 / 96710 / 97350
below - 92540 / 92025 / 91065 / 89590
Lines on the chart:
🔸99660 - November high
🔸98340 - week close
🔸97843 - Q4 VAH
🔸96475 - November close
🔸93549 - 2024 close
🔸91510 - week low
🔸90200 - December low
Trend: D ➡️ W 🔼 M 🔼
🤑 F&G: 69 < 70 < 78 < 76 < 72