Bitcoin Holding Strong — Next Stop: $150K?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
BTC price is currently retesting its major support zone, which was previously a strong resistance area, now acting as support at the $70K–$75K level. The price has just touched the $75K support zone, and we can expect a consolidation above the $70K level followed by a potential bounce back or a V-shaped recovery from the current level.if we see a strong bounce from the current support level, the next potential target could be around $150K
BTCUSDT
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, US President Donald Trump announced the amount of trade duties on imported goods. Bitcoin was restrained from falling in the $83,600–$82,500 zone, but the selling pressure turned out to be stronger, and we updated the local minimum.
At the moment, we’ve dropped to the buy zone of $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies pushing volumes). Volumes have been increased, and most liquidations are priced at $75,200.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect a rebound from the current buyer's zone. The reversal formation hasn’t been formed yet, so long positions are only possible on the spot asset. For margin trading, it’s necessary to wait for additional confirmation.
A more negative scenario is a decrease to the next zone of accumulated volumes of $69,000-$60,600. The probability of such a decline without a proper rebound is very low.
Sell Zones:
$82,000–$83,900 (high-volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer's market aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
We’re following these macroeconomic developments:
• Wednesday, April 9, 2:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
Wednesday, April 9, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC minutes;
• Thursday, April 10, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for March, as well as in comparison with March 2024, and the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, April 11, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for February and German consumer price index for March;
• Friday, April 11, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US producer price index for March.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT: Bounce Incoming?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
-March 2024 resistance is now expected to act as a strong support level.
-The price has touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal from this zone.
-The 200 EMA on the 2-day chart is positioned as a strong dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish case.
We can expect a bounce from the $72-75k level.
Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
#BTCUSDT.. single supporting area, holds or not ??#BTCUSDT. perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding #btcusdt
Now market have current supporting area that is around 82300
Keep close that level because if market clear that level then we can expect a further drop towards downside next areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTC HTF ThoughtsChart from end of Dec/early Jan. Idea back then was that the top is in, and we'll revisit at least 51.5 levels. IMO low will be between 41.5-32.5, with potential to reach 23s.
However, it won't happen in one day and it's finally at prices i want to scale in and hold for the next weeks/months incase i'm wrong with the macro idea.
I'm a buyer between 74-62, levels in between are 72, 69, 65 and 62.
What’s the Most Valuable Token in the Crypto World?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Regarding the movement of the Bitcoin market, I'll briefly mention that the price is currently near a very strong monthly support, which I’ve marked on the chart for you. I believe now is not the time to break this support, and the price will likely retest it. I foresee at least a 10% increase from here, with a short-term target of $83,000. 📈
Now, let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
What’s the Most Valuable Token in the Crypto World?
If we were to simplify things, one could argue that the most important token in the world of crypto is... the Gold Token.
Yes — a digital representation of gold itself. 🪙✨
Why Gold, and Why Now?
With the return of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States, global markets are likely to face renewed uncertainty and directional shifts. Historically, political shake-ups like this have had a profound effect on financial systems, commodity prices, and investor sentiment.
In times of unpredictability, gold has always been a safe haven. It's trusted, time-tested, and globally valued. That’s why it makes sense for investors to allocate a portion of their capital to gold — especially now.
But what if you didn’t have to deal with storing physical gold? What if you could hold it digitally, within the same crypto ecosystem you’re already familiar with? That’s where gold-backed tokens come into play.
What Are Gold Tokens? 🌐
Gold tokens are digital assets built on blockchain networks (typically Ethereum) and backed by real, physical gold held in secure vaults. These tokens offer a modern bridge between traditional wealth preservation and decentralized finance.
They’re designed to let users enjoy the benefits of gold investment — without the inconvenience of owning, storing, or securing physical bars.
Key Features of Gold-Backed Tokens:
🔹 Real Asset Backing: Each token typically represents a fixed amount of gold (like 1 gram or 1 troy ounce).
🔹 Transparency & Security: Since they're built on blockchain, transactions are traceable, secure, and publicly verifiable.
🔹 Redeemability: Some platforms allow users to exchange their tokens for physical gold if identity verification conditions are met.
🔹 Liquidity: Unlike physical gold, these tokens can be traded instantly on major crypto exchanges.
🔹 Divisibility: You can own fractions of an ounce — making gold more accessible than ever.
Leading Gold Tokens to Know About:
Here are three of the most recognized gold-backed tokens in the crypto market:
PAX Gold (PAXG) : 1 token = 1 ounce of London Good Delivery gold
Tether Gold (XAUT) : Issued by the same company behind USDT, backed by Swiss vault gold
AurusGOLD (AWG) : A decentralized token fully backed by gold, built on Ethereum
Let’s focus on the two most dominant players: PAXG and XAUT.
1. PAX Gold (PAXG) 🏛
Issuer: Paxos Trust Company, regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services
Backing: Each token equals 1 troy ounce (≈31.1g) of high-purity gold stored in secure London vaults
✅ Users can redeem for physical gold
✅ Supports micro-investments — ideal for beginners
✅ Full transparency: Regular audits and proof of reserves
✅ Traded on top-tier exchanges like Binance, Kraken, and Coinbase
Why people trust PAXG:
Its regulatory status and institutional backing make it one of the most secure ways to gain gold exposure in the crypto world.
2. Tether Gold (XAUT) 🇨🇭
Issuer: Tether, the company behind the widely used USDT stablecoin
Backing: 1 token equals 1 ounce of physical gold held in Swiss vaults
🔐 Focuses heavily on privacy and robust asset protection
🔁 Tokens are redeemable for physical gold by verified users
📉 Less transparent than PAXG in terms of regulation and audit trails
💹 Listed on popular platforms like Bitfinex
Worth noting:
Despite Tether’s past controversies around asset disclosures, XAUT remains popular due to its ease of use and the strong brand behind it.
Which One Should You Choose?
If regulation and transparency matter most to you, PAXG may be the better fit. It’s trusted by institutions, backed by U.S. regulators, and offers detailed audits of gold reserves.
If you value brand recognition and a more flexible approach, XAUT offers a credible alternative — just be aware of the differences in oversight.
Final Thoughts 💼🪙
Gold-backed tokens combine the timeless value of gold with the flexibility and innovation of blockchain. They're an excellent way to hedge against economic uncertainty without stepping outside the crypto ecosystem.
If you’re building a diversified portfolio, allocating a portion of your investment to digital gold could be a smart move — both for stability and long-term value.
Let your crypto holdings shine with a touch of gold. 🌟
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Gold-backed tokens, like PAXG and XAUT, let you invest in gold digitally without the hassle of storing physical gold. They’re built on blockchain, offering transparency, security, and easy trading. PAXG is more regulated, making it ideal for cautious investors, while XAUT offers privacy and is backed by Tether, a big name in crypto. These tokens represent real gold and can be redeemed for it. If you're looking to diversify and hedge against economic uncertainty, they’re a solid option in your portfolio.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Buying BTC at 73.5k - Why I’m Buying This Range Price has now dropped into a key demand zone where previous volume imbalances were left untested. The range around 74.6k–73.8k shows signs of absorption and buyer interest based on low volume nodes (LVNs) and volume profile structure. This zone acted as a major breakout area in the past, and with no acceptance below 74.6k on the 1H close, it suggests sellers are getting exhausted. I’m watching for signs of accumulation and structure shifts in this area to initiate longs, with invalidation on clean 1H closes below 73.7k. If BTC reclaims 75.1k on the 1H, expect momentum to shift and buyers to take it toward higher POCs and imbalance zones
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point.
RSI also looks weak.
Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels.
Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels.
Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Bitcoin BTC - Buy The News, Correction Is Almost Over Hello, Skyrexians!
The anticipated move has happened, BINANCE:BTCUSDT has retested the recent low and its dominance continues growing, alts are bleeding. When this nightmare will be finished and do we have any chance to see the reversal now?
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. As we pointed out earlier Bitcoin has printed wave 1 inside larger degree wave 3 and after that dropped in the wave 2. We have already told you 2 times that correction is over when price was next to $77-78, but multiple retests are not forbidden. 0.61 Fibonacci zone is the place where correction can be finished, so it can dump up to $73k. Two facts we need to rely on to find the correction bottom are: bullish divergent bar and the first green column on Awesome oscillator in conjunction with the divergence.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Bitcoin: Breaking Below $80K Soon,10% Correction on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders, Bitcoin is consistently hitting new lower lows. Could this signal that the bear market is here to stay? Let’s dive in.......
On the H4 chart, Bitcoin is clearly in a bearish phase. It consistently trades below both the trendline and the EMA 200, reinforcing the downtrend. Additionally, a rising wedge pattern has formed and broken out, and the MACD has shown a bearish crossover. This crossover is a key indicator, signaling that momentum is shifting from buyers to sellers.
Together, these signals suggest that Bitcoin may drop toward our first target at 79,081. After reaching this level, a short pullback is expected as traders take profits before the price continues its descent toward a new low at 73,633.
This outlook remains valid as long as the price moves below the stop-loss level at 89,557
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Bitcoin.
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update. Current Price: ~$78,336
BTC has broken below the symmetrical triangle and is testing the key horizontal support between $78,424 and $79,183.
A wick is visible below the support, but the candle closed within the area, indicating a potential fakeout or demand absorption.
Resistance (downtrend line): ~$85,500
Support Zones:
Primary: $78,424
Secondary: $79,183
Immediate Resistance: $82,000 – $83,000 (recent breakdown zone)
Outlook & Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal Scenario (Green Arrow):
The green arrow projection suggests a potential bounce from this demand zone.
If BTC reclaims $80K+ with strong momentum, it could aim for the descending trendline near $85K.
A bullish confirmation would be a 4H candle close above $80.5K–$81K.
Bearish continuation (if support fails):
If the price fails to hold this support zone, the next downside targets could be:
$76,000
$73,500
Sentiment factor:
The previous sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: 28 – Fear) reflects ongoing market caution.
Price action near key support in the fear zone could trigger a short squeeze or panic sell-off, depending on volume and reaction.
Summary:
BTC is at crucial support, and unless volume confirms a deeper breakdown, the bounce is likely to be short-lived.
Moving back above $80K would signal that bulls are regaining control.
Want any strategy ideas for trading this setup?
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Short position openedI invest in Bitcoin, and don’t usually trade. However, I can see a pretty bearish setup unfolding.
Trade set up:
Entry price: 85341.66 (black line in 4H)
Stop loss: 87,962 (red line in 4H chart, just above the previous week high)
Target 1 - 80.971 (green line, previous week low and Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart)
Target 2 - 78, 253 (green line in 4H chart, previous month low, approx 50% encroachment zone of fair value gap in daily chart .
Reasons:
Weekly:
MACD is still in the bull territory but MACD lines are clearly moving to the downside.
The price has retraced to 50% of the massively bearish red candle of(March 3rd weekly candle) and now resuming to move to the downside.
Daily:
RSI and MACD are both in the bear territory and it looks like they are rolling back to the downside in the bear territory, which is pretty bearish.
The price has dropped and closed below the ascending trend line.
4H:
The price has been travelling inside the ascending parallel channel, but it is dropped and closed below the bottom line.
Both MACD and RSI are deep in the bear territory.
Bitcoin's Symmetrical Triangle – a short trade possible here!Bitcoin is currently forming a symmetrical triangle on the 15-minute chart, with a falling resistance trendline and a rising support trendline. This setup is a classic indication of consolidation, and the price is likely to move for downside soon as it is reversing from upper band now. If Bitcoin manages to break above 83,737, we could see a breakout of this symmetrical triangle, On the flip side, if it breaks below the rising support, 82,313 could breakdown for downside and we can see further downside then, but now we are playing inside the symmetrical triangle only and we will try to book profit once price reaches lower band of the symmetrical triangle pattern.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
Possible Huge Long Zone on Bitcoin ⚡ Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart: Bullish Reversal on the Horizon? 📈
(Please check my previous posts before reading this last one regarding BTC)
BTC just tapped into a high-confluence Long Zone between $73,700 – $65,260, which acted as a powerful demand area during the last rally back in late 2024. After a recent drop of today, price is now sitting at a key decision level. 🟢
🔹 Long Zone: $73,700 – $65,260
🔹 Historical Support: Held in late 2024 before a major run
🔹 Target Level: $108,000
🔹 Potential Breakout Zone: A strong close above $108,000 as higher targets
📈 If price holds this zone, we could see a strong bullish reversal toward the $108,000 or higher. The descending wedge pattern hints at a textbook accumulation-to-expansion setup—but only with proper confirmation. 🚀
🟢 High reward-to-risk setup for swing traders watching for trend shifts.
⚠️ Don’t rush in. Look for signs of strength before entering and take care of your risk management system.
Are you bullish on BTC/USDT once it touches the $73,700 level? Let’s discuss! 👇
NASDAQ, S&P 500 and CoinMarketCap movements, Bitcoin chart
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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We need to check the movement after a new candle is created.
USDT, USDC should gap up to know that funds have flowed into the coin market.
On the other hand, if there is a gap down, I think funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think USDT or USDC are showing the size and flow of funds in the coin market.
-
(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance is maintained above 62.47 or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to show a large decline.
Therefore, in order for an altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to decline.
-
(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT is a fund that has a large influence on the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it means that the coin market is likely to show an overall decline.
On the other hand, if it falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an overall rise.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it must fall below 4.97 and remain there or continue to decline.
In particular, if the Fibonacci ratio rises above 0.618, the coin market is likely to plummet.
If it remains above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618, it is likely to rise to around 7.14.
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(NAS100USD 12M chart)
It has currently entered the most important support and resistance zone.
-
(1W chart)
Therefore, the maximum decline point is expected to be around 14922.2.
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the most important support and resistance zone and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
---------------------------------------------
(SPX500USD 1W chart)
The key is whether it can be supported around 4773.4-4846.1 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, the maximum decline is expected to be around 3875.1-4116.0.
---------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As I mentioned before, since the dotted trend line (1) is not acting as a clear trend line, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone and rises this time, there is a possibility that a trend will be formed as a trend line between lows is created.
However, the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line must be formed in the same direction.
In other words, since the current high-point trend line is creating an upward trend line, the low-point trend line that will be created this time must also create an upward trend line.
In that sense, the 69000-73199.86 section can be seen as an important support and resistance section.
If it falls below 69000, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio section of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93), which was the previous high point section.
-
(1D chart)
On the last day of this volatility period, it fell below the upward trend line (2), showing a large decline.
Since it fell below the downward trend line, there is a possibility that it will continue to fall further.
At this time, the key is whether it can rise with support near 73499.86.
The next volatility period is around April 25 (April 24-26).
The point of interest is whether the price is maintained near 73499.86 or 89294.25 after the next volatility period.
-
The 73499.86 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising to around 73499.86.
Therefore, if support is confirmed near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, I think it is an aggressive buying period.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is a buying period until it rises again and supports near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The next time to buy is when it shows support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93) that I mentioned in the 1M chart explanation.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin at support between 78600 and 76600. Key levels to watch.Key levels to watch on BTC BINGX:BTCUSDT.P BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
If S-1 Doesn't hold I expect BTC to test the 400 EMA and possibly reclaim the vector candle zone/Support 2 at 73800 where we faced resistance back in Mar. 2024 and Oct. 2024.
There's a couple other vector candle zones above S-3 that principal says would get reclaimed as well. I don't see price making its way to S-3 unless the macro environment really starts to deteriorate and the economy moves into a recession. Worst case scenario in my opinion for BTC is between 49k and 54k. All of these levels depends on the tariff situation and the overall market dynamics in the United States. Its also possible that the tariff situation plays out and we don't see levels under S-2. I will be buying at S-2 and adding heavier if we start to reclaim vector candles under S-2. If we see price get to S-3 over the next few weeks to months I will be buying heavily and probably will deploy 90% of whatever cash position is remaining. For clarification I don't put much stock into diagonal trend lines and wedge patterns but they can sometimes act as support and resistance even though they are very speculative. As far as upside moves, there is a resistance zone between 85200 and 88600 and the 200 EMA is also in that zone currently. I do expect the low at 76500 to be broken and rallies are for selling. For more clarification, I'm not short when I say rallies are for selling, I just mean I don't see any sustained upside until the tariff situation plays out and the market has some certainty.
TC/USD Bearish Flag Breakdown Targeting 81,660 Support ZoneThis is a 1-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin/US Dollar) chart showing a bearish setup. Here's the breakdown:
---
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Rejection Zone (Purple Box - ~83,174.62):
Price is showing rejection at a key resistance zone.
Both the 30 EMA and 200 EMA are above current price, adding downward pressure.
2. EMA Analysis:
30 EMA (Red Line): ~83,174.62 – acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (Blue Line): ~83,715.92 – strong long-term resistance.
Price is below both EMAs, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
3. Pattern Analysis:
Bearish flag/wedge breakdown has already occurred.
Target projection based on measured move suggests a ~1.44% downside.
Anticipated drop towards 81,660.29, which aligns with prior support zone.
4. Price Action:
Recent breakdown from a small rising channel (bear flag).
Pullback to resistance (purple zone) seems complete, and continuation downward is expected.
---
Strategy Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near 83,174.62 (already rejected)
Target: 81,660.29
Stop Loss Idea: Above 83,715.92 (EMA 200)
NAKAUSDTAn analysis at the height of market fear..
A situation where all markets are experiencing sharp declines due to US tariffs and Middle East tensions..
It seems that around $0.25 is the ideal area for short-term buying for $0.75 targets and the ideal time to start this upward movement is early April..
Just an analysis that may be wrong..
Secure profits of SHORTAbsolutely — let’s dig in **properly** now. You’re right: the **last active signal is SHORT**, not long, and that **matters a lot** right now. Let me break this down with full precision and give you exactly what’s happening, why it matters, and what **smart money and miners might be scheming** right now.
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## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025**
**Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands**
---
### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT**
- ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short**
- 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000**
- 📉 Current Price: **$79,723**
- ✅ **Trade is in Profit**
- 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.**
---
## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now**
We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has:
- 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance)
- ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025**
This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay.
🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.**
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## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)**
- 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward
- 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold**
- 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low**
➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**.
---
## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact)
- Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel.
- This is a **critical inflection zone**.
- A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish.
So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.**
---
### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch**
Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure:
#### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact:
- New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could:
- Inflate **capex costs** for American miners
- Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades**
#### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now:
1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect.
2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market.
3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price.
💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**.
---
## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown
| Level | Type |
|--------------|-----------|
| $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) |
| $96,190 | Heavy Supply |
| $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone |
| $85,000 | Immediate Resistance |
| **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone |
| $76,687 | LR Bottom Support |
| $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone |
| $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch |
We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**.
---
## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology
- 📉 Volume = Decreasing
- 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels.
- Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep**
Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K.
---
## ✅ Market Setup Summary
| Aspect | Status / Insight |
|---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) |
| 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** |
| 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap |
| 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support |
| 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk |
| 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage |
---
## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown
📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal**
(Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K)
**Why?**
- Profitable short signals
- Oversold Fisher
- Near LR support
- Shrinking volume
- Potential miner hedge flows
for more checks links in profile.
BTC 4H – Weak Bulls, Range Breakdown Ahead?Trading gets much easier when you understand the strength and weakness of trends and the market cycle. Right now, BTC is showing us clear signs of bull exhaustion.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price has been trapped between FWB:88K resistance and GETTEX:82K support, forming a visible trading range.
Recently, BTC failed to even reach the middle zone of the range, which reflects weak buying momentum.
With multiple rejections and bearish pressure building, the GETTEX:82K support is likely to be broken soon.
🧭 Next Target: If the breakdown occurs, expect price to fall below $80K, targeting the liquidation zones highlighted on the chart.
💡 The structure is shifting bearish—prepare accordingly.
📊 Stay sharp and follow for more accurate market insights! 🔔