BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows.
While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move...
Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode?
Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year.
If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming.
Confused? Just check out this chart.
It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out.
Which scenario is more likely?
In short: the green one . Here’s why:
The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment.
The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years.
The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action.
We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher.
For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket).
On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
BTCUSDT – Big Move Incoming, Key Level To watch!Bitcoin is approaching a key decision area after a few months of downward pressure. The chart shows a clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. Recently, a possible double top has formed just below the major resistance near 88.668, which could suggest a short-term pullback if buyers don't step in.
If the double top plays out, a retest of the support zone between 78.576 and 82.000 is likely. This zone has held well in the past and could act as a strong base again.
However, if price manages to break and hold above 88668, that would be a strong signal of strength. It could mark a shift back to a bullish trend, with the next major target being the all-time high area around 108.360.
Key areas to watch:
Support: 78.576 to 82.000
Resistance: 88.668 and 108.360
Right now, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point. A breakout could trigger a strong rally, while rejection may lead to another dip. Stay patient, watch how price reacts at these levels, and let the market confirm the next move.
Secure ptofits of LONG📊 BTC Daily Chart – In-Depth Analysis (as of Apr 15, 2025)
🔍 Overview
You're holding a long position from below $80K, still active but now at a +5-6% gain, while TP is placed around 88.3K, close to a key resistance and trendline confluence. Let's break this all down and answer your core question: Is it wise to secure profits now even if TP hasn't been reached?
⚒️ BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher Confirmation
The BitcoinMF PRO indicator has been delivering precise entries/exits—highlighted with green "Long" and red "Short" tags.
Your current active long was marked by BitcoinMF PRO near the lower end of the descending channel with Fisher Transform at a local bottom, signaling an extremely oversold bounce zone.
The Fisher is curling up from a "super low" region, meaning it is entering mid-zone. This reduces risk-reward from here for new longs—good reason to lock partial profits.
📉 Technical Chart Structure Breakdown
🔺 Linear Regression Channels:
BTC is now trading near the top of the smaller descending red channel, nearing rejection territory.
Also, it’s approaching the bottom half of the broader dark blue ascending channel = resistance cluster zone.
🔁 Elliott Wave Structure (Possibly Ending Wave 4)
This looks like a potential 3 → 4 → 5 wave structure unfolding.
Wave 3 likely bottomed near $71K- FWB:73K , and this long is likely part of Wave 4 retracement. If correct, Wave 5 may resume down again unless invalidated above $88.3K.
🔸 Fibonacci Watch:
0.5 Fib retracement from recent swing high to low is around $84.2K-$85.5K—you’re sitting on it right now.
0.618 Fib confluence is ~$88.5K, right where TP is set. That zone is statistically known for rejections. This is another reason to secure a chunk of profit now.
📉 Volume & Sentiment
Volume is weak on this rally, indicating a lack of conviction.
Fear & Greed Index (live: ⚠️ around 72 – greed zone) is starting to lean hot.
Market sentiment is optimistic, and price is hovering just below known short zones.
🏦 Whale Activity, Exchange Inflows & CME Gap
Whale wallets have shown mild accumulation at lower levels (~ FWB:73K -$75K), but no aggressive buying up here.
Exchange inflows are increasing slightly – suggesting some may be getting ready to sell into this strength.
✅ CME Gap around $66K is still unfilled. Historically 90% of gaps fill. Keep that in your long-term radar.
🔄 Long vs Shorts Ratio (Bybit + Binance)
On both Bybit and Binance, Longs > Shorts by ~58/42 – minor imbalance. Suggests majority is positioned long, slightly raising correction risk.
✅ Final Strategic Take
❗ Why You Should Secure Profits Now:
Price is at a resistance confluence zone (Fib + LR + sentiment).
The move has already run +5-6%, and even if price doesn’t touch TP at 88.3K, greed could erase that unrealized profit quickly.
If this is just Wave 4, the next move could be a final push down to $70K or lower (Wave 5).
Volume divergence + rising inflows = risk is increasing.
Locking at least 50-70% now is smart trader psychology. You can always re-enter.
🔮 Most Probable Next Move: 6.8 / 10 – Mild Up, Then Pullback
BTC has 69% probability of testing $86.5K–$88.5K, but rejection is very likely there.
After that, we could see a pullback to $80K–$82K.
Extreme bullish continuation (above $90K) currently has <20% probability unless macro/Fed/etc. change.
📌 Action Recommendation:
📈 Secure partial profits immediately.
🧠 Move stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit to protect the rest.
🛑 Avoid FOMO-ing into new longs now – let the chart confirm breakout first.
🧠 Ancient Wisdom:
In Pirkei Avot (Ethics of the Fathers), Rabbi Tarfon said:
“The day is short, the work is great… and the reward is much, but the Master is insistent.”
In trading terms: The market doesn’t owe you your TP. Secure reward when the work is done. Don’t overstay your welcome.
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BITCOIN Supply Demand Short ALERT1) See picture for full analysis...
Higher Timframe:
-Price inside supply
-Trend = downtrend
-Stochastic RSI overbought
Lower Timeframe:
-Need break to break support + break upward trend-line + quality supply created.
- IF price does the following then possible pullback for short OR look for scalp/day-trade shorts
to the downside with 1TF setups.
#supplyanddemand #supportandresistance
BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still struggling to break through the specified resistance zone.
As long as this resistance level remains unbroken, it is better to wait before entering a buy position. However, as long as Bitcoin does not fall below the specified support level, we can remain optimistic about its potential to rise.
Our outlook remains bullish, but we will wait for the breakout above the resistance before entering a buy. Once the level is broken, we will look for an opportunity to enter long positions.
Will Bitcoin break through resistance and continue higher? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDT Dominance Update (1H)First, it’s important to remember that USDT Dominance (USDT.D) tends to move inversely with the market. In simple terms:
— If USDT.D rises, the crypto market usually drops.
— If USDT.D falls, the market typically rallies.
On the lower timeframes, USDT.D has broken out of a descending wedge formation, which is generally considered bullish.
Additionally, a double bottom pattern appears to be forming and is on the verge of breaking out to the upside.
Taking all of this into account, USDT.D could potentially rise toward the 5.81% level — suggesting that the broader crypto market may experience a short-term correction.
This outlook also aligns with one of my recent Bitcoin analyses.
Be sure to check my latest Bitcoin breakdown to understand where the market might be headed next.
— Thanks for reading.
WHY GBPAUD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISGBPAUD is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 2H timeframe, a structure widely recognized for its bullish implications. After an aggressive bullish impulse at the start of April, the pair entered a consolidation phase marked by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent breakout above wedge resistance signals a potential continuation of the prior bullish trend. This clean technical breakout, combined with tight consolidation, suggests a build-up of bullish pressure likely to push the pair toward the 2.1300–2.1600 zone.
From a technical standpoint, the falling wedge pattern acted as a corrective structure following strong bullish momentum. The breakout confirms buyers stepping back in, with a solid support base forming around 2.0800. As long as GBPAUD holds above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact. Volume has also started to increase post-breakout, which typically reinforces the validity of the move.
On the fundamental side, the British pound is gaining traction amid optimistic UK economic indicators and renewed hawkish undertones from the Bank of England. Traders are pricing in a more cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, which gives GBP an edge. On the other hand, the Australian dollar is under pressure due to weak employment data and China-related risk sentiment, both of which are weighing on AUD. This divergence creates a favorable macro backdrop for GBPAUD bulls.
This setup is gaining attention among traders on TradingView due to its clear structure and the alignment between technicals and fundamentals. With a bullish breakout confirmed, I'm expecting follow-through momentum in the sessions ahead. Watching for intraday retests near 2.0850 for possible re-entries, with a medium-term upside target near the 2.1500 zone.
Shorting Analysis on Bitcoin - Fxdollars- {15/04/2025}Educational Analysis says that BTCUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - BITSTAMP
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusHello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily analysis.
Yesterday and today, Bitcoin continued to trade sideways and even attempted to break the local high, but was met with market selling pressure.
At the moment, we still prioritize the short scenario. Around the ~$84,700 level, we observed a battle between buyers and sellers. If the price consolidates below this level, it will confirm the bearish scenario and we’ll look for a move down to the next buy zone.
If buyers strongly defend this level, we may retest the local high.
Sell zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buying),
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think will happen first?
A full breakout through the sell zone and continuation of the uptrend, or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — would be interesting to compare views!
This post is not financial advice
Bitcoin Interesting Fractal And Timing! GOING STRAIGHT UP!I noticed that the timing and pattern of how this is playing out in 2025 in Bitcoin is very similar to that of 2017. This fractal is not identical but its damn close. In 2017 there were approximately 15 million people in crypto, very few leverage exchanges, and trading was no where near what it is today. Now we have exchanges everywhere, hundreds of them most with leverage which we didn't really have before. Also not to mention that now we have big players getting in and they aren't buying and selling on the daily, they are buying it all and holding it, hence why we aren't seeing the typical "Alt season". The sloshing effect we had in the early days when traders would rotate out of Bitcoin into alts is not happening as it used to.
In 2017 Trump took office and in the end of March the bull run started in full swing. Something very similar is also happening now that we are in March and these fractals are lining up. Let see how this plays out. I think we are on the cusp of a giant mega bull run like you've seen before.
Crypto traders last year made mega profits cashing out multiple billions in capital gains. Once the selling stops around the end of March and beginning of April from people selling to pay taxes I think its on. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Lets see how this chart ages. Thank you for reading.
BTCUSDT | FOMC & NFP Highs and Lows as Critical Pivot LevelsThis current structure on Bitcoin is giving us a beautiful narrative rooted in macro timing: we've regained the NFP day levels, and now we’re trading right inside the highs and lows of the FOMC date—a zone that historically acts as a decision-making pivot for the market.
📍 Why These Levels Matter:
NFP and FOMC sessions are not just about volatility—they often define institutional positioning and sentiment shifts.
We’ve already regained NFP day's range, showing bullish resilience and strength.
Now all eyes are on the FOMC range: if we manage to break and retest the high of the FOMC candle, it can ignite momentum toward the monthly target.
🧠 How I’m Thinking About It:
I’m not jumping the gun. I’ll wait for lower time frame confirmations, ideally some clean breaks with supportive delta and CDV structure.
If we fail to hold these levels and fall back inside, I won’t insist on any long idea. I’ll flip short the moment downside momentum is confirmed.
💬 Final Thought: We don't randomly mark levels. These are deliberately chosen based on price behavior during major economic events—something most traders overlook. That’s what gives us the edge. If you're following me, you're not trading noise. You're learning to understand the story behind price action.
Watch these levels closely. They may be the starting point of something much bigger.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Early Bullish Signals for Bitcoin Emerge: What’s Next?Bitcoin has now broken above its downtrend channel, likely signaling the first bullish shift in trend. So far, tariffs haven’t fully impacted economic data aside from inflation expectations, consumer sentiment, and PMIs. The more tangible effects are likely to start appearing in June. With the bulk of tariffs (excluding those on China) postponed for three months, the next 1.5 months may offer a window for crypto to stage a positive reaction.
Still, it’s too early to celebrate the start of a full bull market. The ongoing tariff situation continues to keep markets on edge, and sentiment could shift quickly even with a single post from Trump.
Technically, breaking out of the trend channel and holding above it is a strong bullish signal. A move above 86K could further boost bullish momentum. Additionally, support from the 20-EMA and 200-SMA is holding, increasing the chances of a sustained breakout.
For now, unless there's a surprise reversal, any dips or a clean break of 86K could present buying opportunities. If BTC follows through on this move, bullish traders should monitor the 91K area closely, as it may act as key resistance ahead of next stage.
Please also check the daily chart too:
MDTUSDT UPDATEMDT/USDT Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: $0.02544
Target Price: $0.0586
Target % Gain: 150.48%
Technical Analysis: MDT has broken out of a falling wedge on the 1D chart with a strong bullish candle and an 11.82% daily gain, confirming momentum. Breakout volume and candle close above resistance support further upside.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
BTC made a bottom at 200MA on 2D. What's next?So far, everything is in line with the fractal I shared earlier, and this was the bottom.
The first stop was around the 50MA on 2D, and the next target, before a major correction, was the 0.618 level. If that's the case, we could test 88-90k by the end of April and then move towards 96k.
If the price fails to break through the 50MA relatively easily, as it did earlier, then we will be talking about a different scenario.
P.S. Timing could be off, but that doesn't really matter to me.