BTCUSDT to bounce from 4h support towards weekly resistanceHere is the next trade setup for long. The price is likely to dip into 4h support zone deeper, but we will keep building position as the price dips further into the zone. Target is first 4h resistance 4HR1 then daily resistance DR1 and then weekly resistance WR1. We will evaluate the price action as it will reach these resistance milestones. There are retracement possible from these levels and therefore we will book some profit at these levels and will add on the retracements depdending on the charactersitics of the retracements.
BTCUSDT
BTC - Key Zones & Liquidity InsightsBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently oscillating within a new trading range, establishing a trustable support zone while facing a weaker resistance trendline and resistance zone. Given this setup, a breakout isn’t the primary expectation just yet.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Strength: The support zone is stronger than the resistance, making it less likely for BTC to break downward easily.
Resistance Weakness: The resistance trendline and zone appear weaker, meaning any rejection could be temporary.
Liquidity Perspective: As seen on the liquidity chart, there’s favorable liquidity above the resistance zone, increasing the probability of a short-term push higher to hunt liquidity.
💡 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC could move toward the resistance zone, tapping into liquidity before reacting.
2️⃣ If buyers step in aggressively, a short-term liquidity grab above resistance might trigger further upside.
3️⃣ Failure to reclaim key levels could lead to continued range-bound movement.
🚀 Stay ready for the next Bitcoin move! Follow for real-time updates and professional insights! 🔔
BTC ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
As we saw that there was a very bullish move in #BTC. Now we expect a correction in #BTC. Also there is a bearish divergence in RSI. We will see a correction first after that we it will again continue to rise.
🔖 Current Price: $95950
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Correction #DYOR
Why a 700K ATH Bitcoin is Technically realistically possibleAt first glance, that is a crowed messy chart but once you understand it, it is very easy to read.
Also, I have only 2 sets of Cycle data to use as prior to 2013, PA worked very differently and it only entered the channel you see in 2013.
"Trends" shown by Trend lines take a minimum of 3 points to make it Valid, so all of what I am saying is very hypercritical BUT, as you will see, has some standing I believe.
So, Lets go.
The Day counts at TOP of screen are simply ATH to ATH
The 2 previous ones we have are in the 1400's day count and I used the average of those two to project forward to an estimated ATH date for 2025. This lands us in Q4, around 20 October...., maybe early Q4 but given it is an average, it could be either side of 20 October in real terms.
But it is a ball park to work from.
The REAL reason for this post is what we have below
Using the 50 SMA ( red) and 100 SMA ( blue ) I have counted the days between ATH and Cross overs of these SMA
The data is listed at the end as I know many will not read them but would rather get the reason for this post before hand..
But in brief - The Selling after ATH is getting stronger each cycle. This is shown by the day count from ATH to 50 SMA crossing below 100 reducing each cycle
The number of days where the 50 was below the 100 was reducing but the 2022 Bear cycle was extended by Macro events and influences like Rate Rises and so became extended.
However, over all, the Cycle remains on track due to quick recovery from a deep bear. Influences like ETF and Corporate acceptance are cercaintly responsible.
But it is this that has caught my eye
There are only 2 occasions where PA has come down and touched the Cross over of the SMA's
The 1st was in Dec 2019 ( Arrow A ) before PA began its climb to 1st ATH in March 2021 ( I am ignoring the March 2020 COVID Dump),
It Took 679 days from that point, to get to Cycle ATH in Nov 2021, Marked with an A on day count.
The 2nd was also in Dec, in 2023 ( Arrow A )
PA has acted differently than in 2020 but if we project the same day number ( A ) we had from that period, forward, It matches EXACTLY with the projected day count we had from above using ATH to ATH day numbers
And so then, using that date and the Trendline we have coming off previous ATH's, we end up with a potential ATH of around 700K usdt in Q4 2025.
I will add, the line graph appears to miss the Trendline but If I use Candles, they do touch, I assure you; A line is easier to use for Visibility here.
I will also ad that some may say that MA's are by nature, just reflections of PA. They are the Average of Price over a period of Time. And so of course we will end up with a same date. But as you can see from this chart, those Averages Vary and we do end up with different dates...
Lets list the date
ATH to 50 Cross Below 100
from 2013 ATH - 511 days
from 2017 ATH - 441 days = 70 daya lees
from 2021 ATH - 315 days = 126 days less
This maybe showing that the Sell off from ATH, as people take Profits, is getting more Rapid. Tjh eprice drop is getign Steeper
Then we have the day count where the 100 was Above the 50, or the "Bear winning"
After 2013 ATH - 399 days
after 2017 ATH - 301 days
after 2021 ATH - 448 days - I feel this was extended due to the deep bear market because od Macro events such as Rising interest rates and the consequences of these.
Next we have the days from where the 50 crosses back Above the 100 till we reach ATH
To reach 2017 ATH = 574 days
To reach 2021 ATH = 679 days - 105 days Longer
In yellow, I have included the day counts to the 1st 2021 ATH as some consider THIS to be the real cycle ATH But as I have shown in previous posts, there are reasons why this is not the case.
And Besides, it simply was NOT the highest price of that cycle.
I would love people opinion on this , so, if you have read this far, plwease let me know what you think
Thank you
BITCOIN - Recovery? or Collapse?BTC-USDT (1D Timeframe)
Long trade targets achieved, but Bitcoin is looking bearish based on the Risological Trading Indicator.
The price is retracing after a strong uptrend.
Key Levels:
Entry: $64,464
Stop-Loss (SL): $61,682
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: $67,903 ✅
TP 2: $73,467 ✅
TP 3: $79,032 ✅
TP 4: $82,470 ✅
What’s Next?
Pullback or Trend Reversal?
If support holds, we could see a bounce back for another bullish leg.
If momentum weakens, Bitcoin might see a rude reversal toward lower levels.
Iam not getting into a short position as yet, till I see the first candle close on Daily time frame below the Risological dotted trendline.
FOMO is a profitable trader's No.1 enemy! I am not going to fall for this, at the moment.
Wish you all the best, and do follow and upvote if this update has helped you.
Namaste!
BTC has one more leg upBitcoin is currently range-bound and hasn't broken above resistance. In the coming months, be ready for a move higher towards 125-150k. This is the level I'm predicting to be cycle top.
Cyclical analysis tells us this should occur around fall-winter of 2025. I'll be updating this chart as we near cycle top. For now, this is a potential re-entry point <100k
The next bear market will be steeper than most people think in my opinion.
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone,
This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here:
My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief.
As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
BTC/USDT 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves under the downward trend line, what's more, you can see how the attempt to go out the mountain was temporarily rejected.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 100045 $
T2 = 101106 $
Т3 = 102483 $
T4 = 104326 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 99235 $
SL2 = 95486 $
SL3 = 93607 $
SL4 = 91206 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see how we stay in the bottom of the range, while on MacD we fight to return to the upward trend.
BTC: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to Upside !!As you can see, the price is forming two bullish patterns on the daily timeframe, If my view is correct, btc will rise to 120k .
And if this pattern is correct and breaks, higher targets are possible.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then bounce up to $102600Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price reached resistance area and then started to decline inside wedge, breaking $107000 level.
Price fell to support line of wedge and then traded near $94000 level until it bounced up from support line again.
BTC rose to resistance line of wedge and then dropped back to support line, after which started to grow.
After this, price rose to resistance area, breaking $94000 level and exiting from wedge, and starting to fall in reverse wedge.
In this pattern, BTC fell to support area, where it reached support line and then made an upward impulse.
Now price declining, so, I think Bitcoin can fall a little and start to grow to $102600 resistance line of reverse wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Next Volatility Period: Around February 9 (February 8-10)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
Auxiliary indicators can be useful when you judge that there is an ambiguous part when looking at the movement of price candles.
Therefore, you should not trade based on the movement of auxiliary indicators.
The basic information for trading is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Then, check the movement or arrangement of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts) indicator, which can indicate the trend.
For example, if you thought that the uptrend would continue after a large volatility, you can use the movements of the StochRSI indicator and DMI UP indicator in the auxiliary indicators to help you understand the current movement.
Since the DMI UP indicator shows D+ < D-, you can see that the downward strength is strong, and you can see that the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, since the movement you thought and the movement that the indicator shows are different, you can conclude that it is necessary to check whether there is support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The ADX<25 indicator and the DMI UP indicator are indicators included in the DOM indicator.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend by failing to rise above the high boundary zone.
Accordingly, we need to check if it can be supported near 97461.86.
If it falls without being supported, it is expected that it will eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and determine the trend again.
At this time, the important support and resistance range is the 92792.05-94742.35 range.
As the trading volume increases, it is highly likely that it will show a downward sideways movement until it shows support at the support and resistance points.
The downward sideways movement is likely to continue until it reaches the low point where it showed a large fluctuation.
-
Because the gap between the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is large, it seems that there are more and more people who expect it to fall below 90K in order to reduce the gap.
From a long-term perspective, the important point is around the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If it falls below this, there is a high possibility that a downtrend will begin.
-
Therefore, when we touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, we need to recheck the status of the chart and create or modify a trading strategy.
Therefore, there is no need to be caught up in the fear that it will lead to a bigger decline in advance.
If we think about how to respond when it moves at the support and resistance points or sections mentioned above and respond accordingly, we will have a good opportunity when a big decline occurs.
To do this, we should always try to keep about 20% of the total investment in cash.
Therefore, we need to take profit or cut losses to keep cash.
This is an important factor when creating a trading strategy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
BTCUSDT - Will it touch 93.1k for the NFP? or go to 98k?As earlier stances marked, NFP data is today so green line marked ONLY for the based on news! Eitherways it looks very bearish to me, testing 93.2k and eventuall 90.5k. My stances are bearish as of now, only news can change stances, but again to trap.
I have not seen or considered bTC dom but yeah thats it. NFP news plays a great role now
#BTC: FORMING BULL FLAG IN DAILY TF!!🚀 Hey Traders! Ready for BTC’s Next Big Move? 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for more high-accuracy trade setups! 💹🔥
🔷 BTC: The Only Strong Performer in Crypto Right Now!
Bitcoin has been range-bound between $90K-$108K for the past few weeks, but something big is brewing! 📊
📌 Key Insights:
🔹 Bull Flag Formation spotted on the daily timeframe, with 100MA support holding strong.
🔹 A breakout from this flag could send BTC soaring 50-60% toward $150K-$160K! 🚀
🔹 Invalidation: A daily close below $90K could trigger a deeper correction toward $70K-$75K.
💬 What’s Your Take? Will BTC break out or dip below $90K first? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let’s crush this market together! 🔥💰
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 101,000
Sell Entry below 93,000
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 96,000 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 99,000 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade
Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 112,000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 84,000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullish)., driven by several key factors.
🔱 Fundamental Analysis
Bitcoin's price has been holding above $104,000 after bouncing off its 50-day Exponential Moving Average earlier this week. A K33 Research explains how Nvidia's big drop in stock valuation this week, driven by DeepSeek, affected Bitcoin's price
🔱 Macro Economics
The US Federal Reserve's decision to stimulate the economy by printing money could draw more investors to borrow, triggering the start of another rally in stocks and crypto markets. Additionally, Brazil and other South American countries are expected to implement crypto-friendly regulations, making them a safe haven for the growth of the crypto industries
🔱 COT Report
The latest COT report shows that non-commercials (speculators) are net long, indicating a bullish sentiment. However, commercials (hedgers) are net short, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔱 Sentimental Market
Retail traders are net long 60% of their positions, indicating a bullish sentiment. Institutional traders are also net long, indicating a bullish sentiment
🔱 Market Sentiment:
Long Positions: 78% of client accounts are long on this market
Short Positions: 22% of client accounts are short on this market
🔱 Positioning
Institutional traders are holding long positions in BTC/USD, with an average position size of $1.2 million. Retail traders are also holding long positions, with an average position size of $12,000.
🔱 Overall Outlook
BTC/USD is expected to trend bullish in the short term, driven by the bullish sentiment among retail and institutional traders. However, the pair may experience a short-term correction due to the bearish sentiment among commercials.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BITCOIN's situation+next targets and expected movements.Bitcoin can reach above $100k tomorrow...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin ATH 2025 - Which colour pill do you Want ? Blue ? Red ?
It is a very simple question and one you should be asking yourself RIGHT NOW
And here is why.
On previous 2 cycles, we have spent around 1440 days , on average, Between cycle ATH and the next Cycle ATH and so, by consequence, it should be easy to project forwards now, and estimate when to expect the next cycle ATH.
YES, except for the fact we had 2 Major ATH's in 2021.
Some insist that the March 2021 was the real ATH and the Nov ATH was False, maybe a Pump due to the roll out of TAPRROT.
For me, I say it is the Nov 2021 ATH is the REAL ATH for a number of reasons. 3 of which are simply that BTC ATH tend to be in Q4 and it was simply the Highest price that cycle.
The 3rd reason is in the chart with the Blue Day counts markers.
Using the Nov 2021 ATH, the 1400+ day count remains consistent from Previous ATH in 2013-2017.
Many current projections point toward another Q4 2025 ATH for Bitcoin and so I have added the BLUE day count to estimate when this maybe.
And it is around Oct / Nov , the same as 2nd ATH in 2021
This is the BLUE Pill
BUT if you believe that the March 2021 ATH was THE REAL ATH, then we must take our day count from there.
That was only 1190 from the previous ATH and if we project that number onto Current PA, we have already past that point and set a New ATH, Current ATH was set after that day count.
So Lets Project forward from the March 2021 ATH with the 1400+ average day count and we end up with a projected ATH around Early March, same as in 2021 !
This is your RED pill
I do have charts that point towards a major move in March but the question we need to ask ourselves is , "Will that be cycle Top"
This is obviously impossible to answer but we can continue to observe what does happen.
To simplify the issue, I am looking at the Weekly MACD for Bitcoin
It is SO overbought. In Fact, it is up as high as it was when we had the March 2021 ATH !
What does this suggest ?
We may already have had our Cycle ATH and we need to watch closely as to what happens now.
In 2021, we had a near -50% draw back when MACD was OverBought after the March ATH, before we pushed back up.
The push higher was enabled because the MACD had cooled off after 4 months , enough to be Neutral when it turned up to push for a New ATH
We are currently in a similar position.
MACD OverBought - Last time it was overbought, we ranged for 6 months while it cooled off slowly, controlled.
So what now ?
The Current situation poses so many questions.
OnChain data suggests strength though we have seen a lot of Long term holders selling. This usualy happens at cycle TOPS or near
Are we going to have 2 ATH pushes like we had in 2021 ?
Is this going to happen again ?
Which Colour pill are you taking ?
BLUE for a Q4 cycle ATH
RED for it has already past or is about to arrive.
The possibility does exist that the Cycle has been accelerated by Corporate involvement.
But we have not seen the Public FOMO yet.
Will we ?
So, Ladies and Gents. Which pill are you taking ?
BLUE or RED ?
Me, I already taken the............................................
BLUE
Bitcoin’s Battle Below $100K Hints at New ATHBitcoin (BTC) is struggling to hold above $100K, but on-chain metrics suggest that a new all-time high (ATH) could be imminent. After last weekend’s drop to $91K, BTC is now trading at $97,943, down 0.24% in the last 24 hours.
Key On-Chain Trends Signaling a Breakout:
📉 Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Are Declining – BTC is flowing out of exchanges, reducing available supply and limiting sell pressure.
🐋 Whale Accumulation Spikes – Since Feb 3, large transaction volume jumped from $40.8B to $67.3B, showing renewed interest from big investors.
📊 Netflow Hits Yearly Low – BTC outflows exceed inflows, meaning more coins are being moved to private wallets, reducing selling pressure.
💰 ETF Inflows Surge – $2.5B poured into Bitcoin ETFs over the past two weeks, further driving demand.
Will Bitcoin Finally Break $100K?
🔼 If BTC breaks past $100K, buyers could push the price to $105K–$109K.
🔽 If BTC stays below EMA20, sellers may target $95K before the next rebound.
With RSI at 39, Bitcoin is vaguely positioned for a potential price increase. The next few days will be critical—will BTC smash through $100K, or will bears hold the line?