HolderStat | BTC is on the cusp of volatility👉 Amid slowing inflows into spot BTC ETFs and weak bearish pressure, BTC price remains above key support. Institutionalists are hoarding the coin, and Bitfinex says: the target is $200K by mid-2025, so it's likely that corrections will be moderate due to strong demand.
The Bitcoin Policy Institute has proposed Trump's strategic plan for BTC reserves. If the idea becomes a reality, it could trigger a new round of global growth 📈
🧐 Remember: smart money prepares the ground for the rise!
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BTCUSDT
3 Scenarios for BitcoinWhen a trend of the peaks that Bitcoin has made since 2016 is taken, we see that after each peak that uses this trend as resistance, Bitcoin enters a correction process up to the HP filter.
Bitcoin, which has done this 3 times in history, is doing it right now. In addition, when I apply a Fibonacci analysis to each correction, I clearly see that Bitcoin is currently in the Fibonacci target area of the last bear season.
There are 3 options for Bitcoin right now. Either it will break this trend for the first time and run without any corrections until at least $120k, or it will be rejected from the trend and pull back to $90k, which the HP filter will reach, and then try the trend once more. On the contrary, the worst case scenario is that it will close below the HP filter for the week and fall to $60k, which means bear season.
Even if the bear season comes, I will switch to the buying side since I think Bitcoin will eventually reach $1m. Therefore, it does not matter how many dollars it is for me.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 232The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Rising wedge on resistanceBitcoin uptrend looks exhausted and keeps getting rejected on overbought RSI zone, a retracement down to 100EMA support seems around the corner.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (15.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
106966.8
Entry Zone:
107142.0 - 108740.0
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 104521.8
1) 101946.7
1) 99371.7
Stop Targets:
1) 110802.2
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.5% | +83.3% | +119.1%
Possible Loss= -39.8%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
HelenP. I After reaching new ATH, Bitcoin can make correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then rebounded and started to grow. Later, BTC reached a support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then some time traded in this area. Then the price broke the 90400 level, made a retest, and continued to grow, but when it reached 99300 points, after which made a correction. But soon, the price turned around and continued to grow to support 1, which coincided with the resistance zone. When BTC reached this level, it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line. After this movement, BTC rebounded and made impulse up to support 1, thereby soon breaking it. Currently, the price trades inside the resistance zone, so, I expect BTCUSDT will rise a little higher this area. Then, the price can turn around and start to decline to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 100700 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin's status on hourly timeframes (4H)Bitcoin is in an ascending channel on the hourly timeframes. It had reached the top of the channel, reacted, and has now dropped.
There is a support zone that could push the price back up to the previous high.
Closing a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this move and lead to further drops.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Did you Know ?!!!Did you really think that profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they will let you buy, hold, and sell at low levels without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will panic you and sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there is fear, not sell; because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game goes: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sale. They make it look like the end of the world so that you abandon everything, and when the market starts up again, you'll sit there saying, "What the heck just happened?" This is not an accident. It's a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear to make you give up. Because when you panic, they profit. They don't play the market. They play you. That's why most people never succeed. Because they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don't realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They digest the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We've seen this hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them to you at the top, leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don't play their game. Play your own.
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?if Bitcoin cannot hold the $130,000 range, the price could drop to around $100,000 or even lower. After that, it can continue its growth again.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
EconOptic| BTC's bullish move isn't done yet!KUCOIN:BTCUSDT
**Bitcoin Technical Analysis for Today in 4-Hour Timeframe**
Bitcoin is currently moving within an ascending channel in the 4-hour timeframe, forming higher highs and higher lows. Based on this trend, our goal is to align with the price's upward movement and open long positions. Given the market's high volatility, it is essential to set wider and more secure stop losses and enter trades only with strong triggers to minimize risks during potential price consolidations.
At present, the price is interacting with the midline support of the ascending channel. The decreasing volume of bearish candles and their shrinking size indicate a possible power shift from sellers to buyers in a short-term cycle. Additionally, this level coincides with Bitcoin's previous resistance, which has now turned into support, acting as a crucial barrier against further declines. This confluence with the channel's midline creates a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
On the other hand, the RSI is moving along the lower Bollinger Band, which, in an uptrend, signals the exhaustion of selling pressure and the potential resurgence of buyers. This serves as further confirmation for seeking a reliable trigger to open a long position.
The entry trigger for a long position in this analysis is marked at the price level of **107,538** with a green line. Upon price stabilization above this level, you can proceed with a buy position. The stop loss placement depends on your risk tolerance and expectations:
- For a closer stop loss, you may place it around the white line and the midline of the channel.
- For a safer stop loss, set it below the red line at **99,422**, which coincides with the SMA 99 and provides an additional barrier to further price drops.
**Conclusion:**
Considering the confluence of support factors, reduced selling pressure, and technical indicators, Bitcoin appears poised to continue its upward trend. However, adhering to risk management principles and entering trades only with confirmed triggers is crucial to capitalize on this movement.
Bitcoin Tests Key Support: Eyes on $103KBitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033.
1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection).
2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection).
3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
BTCUSDT. Where to expect the buyer’s resumption?Hey traders and investors!
On the 4-hour timeframe, there is a sideways range. The lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 104,088.
The buyer effectively broke out above the upper boundary in the 12-13 vector. The seller returned the price to the range, and the buyer resumed from the 103,333 level, forming a test level. Below this test level is the buyer’s zone (green rectangle on the chart, upper boundary of the zone is 102,540).
If the buyer does not defend the 103,333 test level, the next buyer resurgence is possible from the buyer’s zone, most likely in the 100,500-102,000 range.
The third possible place for a buyer’s resurgence is around 50% of the last buyer’s impulse: 98,574 on the 4-hour timeframe and 99,426.5 on the daily timeframe.
Considering the three buyer interest zones and the buyer's trend on the daily timeframe, searching for sell opportunities based on the 13-14 vector within the sideways range, with a potential target of 94,150 (90,500), is risky.
I wish you profitable trades.
Entering the volatility period
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If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
dxy drops to $88Gm.
It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands.
Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via:
We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year.
While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection.
If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
FET LONG: Daily Bullish Orderflow. On all accounts, FET Bullish Orderflow:
1D BiSi (bullish fvg)
1D Mitigation Block [Orderblock alternative)
Optimal Trade Entry model (OTE) - 0.79 fib level.
Stop placement at $1.315, leveraging a wide stop. This is a compound position from previous long setup posted a couple of weeks ago
BTC IS BACK!!!hello friends
According to the registration of the new ceiling of Bitcoin, if the areas shown in the picture return, they can be good points for trading.
We have specified its targets for you in order.
This analysis is only checked from a technical point of view, so be sure to follow the capital management.
Support us if you like.
Be successful and profitable.
BTC | ETH | ALTSEASONBitcoin is trading just underneath yet another ATH, and I'm watching the ETH chart in anticipation for a new ETH All Time High - there is just no way that BTC makes such a marvelous high and Eth stays behind.
The beauty of this, furthermore, is that during and especially AFTER a new ETH ATH, we can expect to see more rallies across the alt market, especially on the coins that have been lagging behind. This however, will also signal the beginning of the end of the bullish cycle.
This post specifically delves into more detail on TOTAL3, BTC.D and the Bitcoin chart. You can to watch it for key indications as to when the bullish cycle is turning bearish:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short-termWith the start of the new week and the good news that came during the weekend , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) began to pump again and successfully created a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Bitcoin has already managed to break the Resistance zone($104,280-$103,340) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completed wave 4 ; we should wait for Bitcoin to rise again . The structure of wave 4 is of the Double Three Correction type(WXY) . Bitcoin is currently completing wave 5 .
Also, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) managed to break the Support lines and the Support zone(4.00%-3.90%) ( on the chart it is currently the Resistance zone ) and we have to wait for another attack on the Next Support zone(3.82%-3.77%) . A drop in USDT.D% can make Bitcoin rise .👇
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after the completion of microwave 4 of wave 5 . Bitcoin's Targets can be :
🎯 $107,320 - $106,967 🎯
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD next possible move
🔑 "Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts." – Winston Churchill
Every success we achieve is just a step, not the final destination. Likewise, every failure is merely a temporary lesson, an opportunity to grow and improve 🌱.
🔥 What truly matters is our ability to persevere, to keep moving forward despite obstacles and setbacks. Those who succeed in the long run are those with the unbreakable courage to rise after every fall 🏆.
💪 Don’t fear failure. See it as a stepping stone to your future victories. Each challenge is a chance to become stronger, wiser, and more resilient.
✨ Keep moving forward with confidence and determination, because your true strength lies in that perseverance. 🚀
Bitcoin is Teasing $105K: Bullish Breakout Ahead?Bitcoin has exhibited bullish momentum yesterday and now is teasing the intraday resistance level near $105,140. However, given the current market conditions, caution remains essential as price action could develop in either direction.
Ideally, I would like to see either (A) a pullback to retest the $103,032 level, followed by a bounce back above this level, or (B) sustained break-out above $105,140. These scenarios would increase the likelihood of a bullish continuation toward the next major resistance zone between $107,655 and $108,550 (Green Projections).
On the flip side, if Bitcoin drops below the $103,032 level and fails to recover quickly, it may signal a shift in momentum. This could lead to increased bearish pressure, sideways price action with a potential retest of support at $99,108 (Red Projections).
Traders should monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next major move.