BTCUSDT UPDATE....What we can expect next????Things are going accordingly. We are currently probably forming ending diagonal which indicates a trend reversal. If things go even, we can expect reversal from 74-69k region which is also PRZ of bat harmonic pattern. Also golden fib. level (61.8) of micro wave (iii) is aligning in PRZ zone.
BTCUSDT
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔
Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage.
One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum.
For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
Reasons for and against a Push higher by Bitcoin SOON sin November 2022, PA has almost become predictable.
Running on a Pattern of Steps and Always paying attnetion to the Weekly MACD
I have posted in detail about the weekly MACD in other posts so I will not expain much now but here is the chart again, It explains itself really.
We are, once again, Waiting for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral, were we hope it will bounce again. BUT, as you can see, a 3rd bounce would be unusual but , on this occasion, Highly probable
On the main chart, we can see that PA began running on a Rising trendline and, after ranging for a while, it bounced off it in Mid October 2023. It has Never returned to that line.
PA began Ranging again in March 2024. Note that date on the MACD chart. MACD Peaked and began turning Bearish and fell till it hit neutral in Sep.
At that same moment, in Sep 2024, PA bumped into the 50 week SMA ( RED) and bounced up to a New ATH in Dec 2024
So, we had 2 bounces after ranges, seemingly unconnected - until you look at the day count of each range.
1st -April 2023 to Sep 2023 - 196 days
2nd - March 2024 to Sep 2024 - 189 days
Now also note the Double Tops and then the retrace on Both those Range dates AND on the current Range
And so NOW, Currently, we are in a Range, again, MACD Peaked High and is falling Bearish
But this Range began in DECEMBER 2024
So why do we have a possibility of a push higher soon ?
Look where that RED 50 week SMA is - Just below PA.
Could PA Bounce of it if we bump into it ?
We have come VERY Close in recent days. The 50 is around 75500 - PA got to 76500
If PA touches it, I am sure we will bounce Higher
And so This leads us to why we may NOT bounce soon
I think the Bulls are trying to keep PA off the 50 till MACD is reset. If true, that 50 will level out.
PA will have to touch it BEFORE it begins to fall or PA will have to drop below 70K to reach it.
And THIS Leads us to what I think could Very well happen
IF PA were to have a bounce higher soon , maybe to Top of Range, around 109 ( but probably Lower) this would give PA room to drop back to Bottom of Range while MACD continues to Fall. A Quick push up , say over 10 days, would hardly effect the MACD reset but gives PA room to move without loosing to much more value, Keeping Market CAP stable and Sentiment happy
MACD is expected to reach neutral, at current rate of descent, around May / June.
And Look..that happens to be around 189 days since range began. The same approx day count as the previous 2 ranges this cycle.
We may see a drop lower this month, nothing is for sure but if we fall below that 50 SMA, I will be changing my Bullish Tune and Screaming CAUTION
All to play for in the next few months
PEPEUSDT UPDATEPEPEUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $0.00729. Its target price is $0.01400, indicating a potential 100%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about PEPEUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. PEPEUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.
LUNAUSDT UPDATELUNAUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $0.1946. Its target price is $0.3500, indicating a potential 85%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about LUNAUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. LUNAUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.
Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Navigating the ChaosWelcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into Bitcoin (BTC/USD) after a series of intense market moves driven by Trump's tariff decisions, rising inflation concerns, and persistent interest rates. Let’s break it down and see where we stand.
🔮 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Bitcoin recently faced some heavy volatility, but as I mentioned in previous analyses, we have a strong PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) between $80,000 - $82,000 . This zone has managed to hold weekly candles above it, maintaining the major uptrend on the weekly chart. However, on lower time frames, the downtrend is still prominent, so it’s crucial to stay cautious with short positions for now.
Having a balanced perspective on the market always helps, so while the long-term trend remains bullish, we should be mindful of short-term bearish momentum and avoid being overly biased.
📉 Short Setup
The previous short trigger at 88,322.42 worked out well, giving us a solid downward move. Currently, the situation has become more complex with heightened volatility and uncertainty. Therefore, it’s wise to reduce risk for now.
Our primary short trigger is a break below 79,083.93 . Once this level gives way, the next support target would be 76,616.28 , which could also serve as a safe spot to secure some profit.
📈 Long Setup
For long positions, I’d prefer waiting for a break above 83,818.74 . However, rather than jumping in right away, I’d like to see a confirmed higher high and higher low , allowing us to enter with a tighter stop loss and a better risk/reward ratio . This approach increases our confidence and reduces exposure.
Let me know your thoughts on BTC/USD ! 💬 Got any questions? Drop them in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
Bitcoin Daily Bullish DivergenceAs the bitcoin price made a LL but the RSI on daily TF made a HL, which gives it a very bullish divergence, but as the price still is below the 200 daily MA , it can goes fall to about 76k but Im not expecting the RSI make a LL, which gives us another bullish divergence.
BTCUSD SURELY DOWN Counter-Analysis (Disrupting the Bearish Outlook)
Bullish Continuation Instead of Rejection
If BTC breaks through the resistance zone near $87,792 instead of reversing, it could aim for $92,305 or higher.
A breakout with strong volume could lead to a new uptrend rather than a drop.
Strong Demand at Support Levels
The suggested bearish drop assumes that support levels will fail, but BTC could see significant buying pressure around $78,000–$74,000.
If buyers step in aggressively, the price may consolidate and push higher rather than continue downward.
Higher Low Formation Instead of Breakdown
The chart suggests BTC will drop below $70,000, but if it forms a higher low above $75,000, it could confirm an uptrend instead.
Trendline support or moving averages could prevent a deep correction.
Fundamental Factors Supporting BTC
Macroeconomic conditions, ETF inflows, or institutional demand could prevent a major sell-off.
If the Federal Reserve signals dovish policies, BTC could stay strong rather than droP
BTC/USDT Price Analysis: Reversal or More Downside?:
📊 BTC/USDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis
🔻 Current Trend:
BTC is in a downtrend 📉, trading below the 30 EMA (🔴 84,270 USDT) and 200 EMA (🔵 88,644 USDT).
The price is currently 82,406 USDT and approaching a key support zone (🟣 ~80,000 USDT).
Support & Resistance Levels
🟣 Support Zone (~80,000 USDT) – Possible bounce area ⬆️
🟣 Mid-Resistance (~86,000–88,000 USDT) – First hurdle 🚧
🟣 Major Resistance (~96,000 USDT) – Final target 🎯
Possible Price Movement (🔵 Blue Line Projection)
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC bounces off support 🏋️, it could move towards 88,000 USDT 🚀 and then 96,000 USDT 🎯.
❌ Bearish Case:
If BTC breaks below 80,000 USDT, we might see more downside ⚠️.
💡 Trading Tip:
Watch price action 📊 at support & resistance.
Look for confirmation signals ✅ before entering trades.
🚀 Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 🔥
WHY GBPJPY BULLISH, DETAILED ANALYSIS GBPJPY is currently trading at 192.200 after successfully breaking out of a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This technical breakout suggests the pair is set for a significant upside move, with a potential target of 195.000 and beyond. The falling wedge is known for its bullish implications, indicating that sellers are losing control while buyers are stepping in with increased demand. If momentum continues, we could see a gain of over 500 pips in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, GBPJPY has cleared key resistance levels and is now forming a strong bullish structure. A retest of the breakout zone around 191.500-192.000 has already provided support, reinforcing the likelihood of further upward movement. The next major resistance lies at 194.000, followed by 195.000, which aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels and previous price action zones. If buyers maintain control, a push towards 196.000 and beyond is also possible.
Fundamentally, GBPJPY remains bullish due to the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The BoE's firm stance on interest rates, coupled with the BoJ’s continued ultra-loose monetary policy, favors a stronger GBP against the JPY. Additionally, risk sentiment plays a crucial role in GBPJPY's movements, and with equity markets showing strength, the yen's safe-haven appeal weakens, further boosting the bullish case for this pair.
With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, GBPJPY presents a strong buying opportunity. Traders should watch for a sustained move above 193.000 for confirmation of further gains, with the potential to reach 195.000 and beyond. A breakout continuation could trigger even stronger bullish momentum, making this a high-probability setup for traders looking to capitalize on the trend.
TAOUSDT UPDATETAOUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $263.8. Its target price is $360.0, indicating a potential 45%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about TAOUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. TAOUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.
Bitcoin's Natural Correction and the $141K Target Based on Fibonhello dear trader and investors
The cryptocurrency market is always accompanied by strong fluctuations and natural corrections. Bitcoin, as the market leader, requires corrections and liquidity accumulation after each significant rally to pave the way for higher price targets. In this article, we analyze Fibonacci structures and harmonic patterns to demonstrate that Bitcoin's next target could be $141K.
1. Bitcoin Corrections: A Natural Part of an Uptrend
Price corrections in bullish trends are a normal phenomenon that helps shake out weak hands and allows major players to accumulate liquidity. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced 20-30% corrections before resuming its upward trajectory. The current correction is no different and may serve as a base for the next strong move toward higher targets.
2. The $141K Target Based on Fibonacci
Fibonacci levels are among the most reliable tools for predicting price targets. Assuming Bitcoin's recent high was around FWB:73K and the ongoing pullback is a healthy retracement, we can use harmonic AB=CD pattern to project potential upside targets. Based on these levels, Bitcoin could reach $141K in the next bullish phase.
Confirmation Through Harmonic Patterns
Harmonic patterns like Butterfly and Gartley suggest that the current correction is forming a potential reversal structure. If this correction completes within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), Bitcoin could see a strong continuation of its uptrend. The Fibonacci ratios in these harmonic structures indicate that the final price target for this bullish wave could be around $141K.
Volume and Liquidity: Key Drivers for the Rally
Bitcoin needs increased volume and liquidity inflows to reach higher levels. On-chain data shows that trading volumes are rising and large investors (whales) are accumulating rather than selling. This behavior typically precedes a strong bullish move.
Bitcoin's current correction is entirely natural, and technical structures suggest that it could be laying the foundation for a new bullish wave. Based on Fibonacci and harmonic pattern analysis, Bitcoin's next major target is around $141K. Traders and investors should consider these levels in their analysis and avoid emotional decisions during market corrections
good luck
mehdi
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !?
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JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin
The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin.
Potential Impact on Bitcoin :
Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin
Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin
Historical Influence :
In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin.
I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!?
Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me?
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Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys .
According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) .
Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend.
Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 89000
🏁Sell Entry below 78000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 84000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 110000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 62000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a 🐼Bearish Trend in short term (Trend will expect to move on 🐂Bullish in future),., driven by several key factors.
⭐⚡🌟Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Fundamental analysis for BTC involves assessing its intrinsic value based on adoption, utility, network security, and regulatory developments.
Adoption & Utility: By March 2025, Bitcoin adoption has likely continued to grow, with more institutions (e.g., ETFs, corporate treasuries) and countries (e.g., El Salvador-style experiments) integrating BTC. The Lightning Network and other scaling solutions may have matured, enhancing transaction speed and reducing costs, boosting its use case as a payment system.
Network Security: Bitcoin’s hash rate is likely at an all-time high, reflecting robust miner participation despite rising energy costs. Halving cycles (last one in 2024) reduce issuance, reinforcing scarcity at $84,000.
Regulatory Environment: Global regulation remains mixed—some nations embrace BTC (e.g., pro-crypto U.S. policies under a potentially favorable administration), while others (e.g., China) maintain bans. Regulatory clarity in major markets could be a tailwind.
Development Activity: Ongoing upgrades (e.g., Taproot enhancements) signal a healthy ecosystem.
Conclusion: Fundamentals are strong, with scarcity and adoption supporting a bullish outlook, though regulatory risks linger.
⭐⚡🌟Macro Economics⭐⚡🌟
Macro factors influence BTC as both a risk asset and a "digital gold" hedge.
Inflation & Monetary Policy: By 2025, inflation may have moderated from 2022 peaks, but persistent debt levels (e.g., U.S. debt-to-GDP >130%) and money printing could bolster BTC’s appeal as an inflation hedge. If central banks (e.g., Fed) maintain loose policies or cut rates, BTC benefits.
Interest Rates: Higher rates in 2025 (e.g., 3-4%) could pressure risk assets, but BTC’s decoupling from equities (observed in prior cycles) suggests resilience.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts (e.g., Russia-Ukraine, U.S.-China trade wars) and sanctions drive capital flight to decentralized assets like BTC.
Dollar Strength: A weakening USD (DXY potentially below 100) supports BTC’s rise as an alternative store of value.
Conclusion: Macro conditions lean bullish, with BTC thriving amid uncertainty and dollar erosion.
⭐⚡🌟COT Data (Commitment of Traders)⭐⚡🌟
COT reports from futures markets (e.g., CME Bitcoin futures) provide insight into institutional positioning.
Commercial Hedgers: Likely net short at $84,000, locking in profits after a rally from 2024 lows.
Large Speculators: Net long, reflecting bullish bets by hedge funds and institutions anticipating further upside post-halving.
Small Traders: Overly long and crowded, a contrarian signal of potential short-term exhaustion.
Open Interest: Rising OI at $84,000 suggests strong conviction, but a spike could signal an overleveraged market ripe for a pullback.
Conclusion: Mixed signals—bullish institutional bias with short-term caution due to retail crowding.
⭐⚡🌟On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟
On-chain data reflects real-time network activity.
HODLing Behavior: High percentage of BTC unmoved for 1+ years (e.g., 65%+ of supply) indicates strong holder conviction at $84,000.
Exchange Reserves: Declining BTC on exchanges (e.g., 1.8M BTC vs. 2.5M in 2021) signals reduced selling pressure.
Transaction Volume: Stable or rising volume supports price legitimacy, though a drop could hint at waning momentum.
Realized Cap: Likely near all-time highs, reflecting long-term holders’ profits and new capital inflows.
MVRV Ratio: If above 3 (market value significantly exceeds realized value), BTC may be overbought short-term.
Conclusion: On-chain metrics are bullish, with accumulation outweighing distribution, though overbought risks emerge.
⭐⚡🌟Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟
BTC’s correlation with other markets shapes its trajectory.
Equities (S&P 500): Correlation may have weakened by 2025, but a tech-led rally (e.g., AI stocks) could spill over to BTC.
Gold: Inverse correlation strengthens as BTC gains "digital gold" status—gold at $2,500/oz could coincide with BTC at $84,000.
USD: A declining DXY (e.g., 95) supports BTC’s rise.
Bonds: Rising yields (e.g., 10-year Treasury at 4%) pressure risk assets, but BTC’s safe-haven narrative mitigates this.
Altcoins: If ETH/BTC or other pairs are strong, altcoin outperformance could cap BTC dominance (e.g., 45% vs. 60% historically).
Conclusion: Intermarket trends favor BTC, with selective decoupling from risk assets.
⭐⚡🌟Market Sentiment Analysis (All Investor Types)⭐⚡🌟
Sentiment varies by cohort.
Retail Investors: Euphoric at $84,000 (e.g., X posts screaming "to the moon"), a contrarian sell signal.
Institutional Investors: Optimistic but cautious—ETF inflows (e.g., BlackRock’s BTC ETF) remain steady but not parabolic.
Whales: Accumulating dips (per on-chain data), signaling long-term confidence.
Miners: Selling pressure eases post-halving as higher prices offset lower rewards.
Social Media Trend: Search reveals polarized views—bullish memes dominate, but bearish "bubble" warnings grow louder.
Conclusion: Sentiment is overheated short-term (retail FOMO) but structurally bullish (institutional/whale support).
⭐⚡🌟Next Trend Move Prediction (Short, Medium, Long Term Targets)⭐⚡🌟
Based on technicals, cycles, and above factors:
Short-Term
Target: $92,000 (potential upside) or $78,000 (potential downside)
Prediction: A moderate level of buying pressure could push BTC towards the $92,000 level. However, if selling pressure increases, BTC could drop to $78,000.
Medium-Term
Target: $110,000 (potential upside) or $60,000 (potential downside)
Prediction: A sustained level of buying pressure could push BTC towards the $110,000 level. However, if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate, BTC could drop to $60,000.
Long-Term
Target: $140,000 (potential upside) or $40,000 (potential downside)
Prediction: A strong level of adoption and favorable regulatory environment could push BTC towards the $140,000 level. However, if the global economic outlook worsens, BTC could drop to $40,000.
⭐⚡🌟Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟
Current State: BTC at $84,000 reflects a strong rally, likely post-2024 halving, supported by fundamentals and macro conditions.
Risks: Regulatory crackdowns, overleverage, or a macro shock (e.g., recession) could trigger sharp declines.
Opportunities: Institutional adoption, dollar weakness, and scarcity drive upside.
Final Call: Short-term Bearish (correction imminent), Medium/Long-term Bullish (uptrend intact).
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAUUSD Today's strategyRecently, the price of BTC has been fluctuating a lot. When the price of BTC goes up or down sharply, it might change how market investors feel about risky assets. This feeling could spread to the gold market, which we often refer to as XAUUSD .
And it could affect how much people want to invest in gold and the price of gold too. For instance, if BTC drops a lot because of things like market regulation, investors will lose confidence in risky assets. Then some of their money will probably flow into the XAUUSD market to play it safe, and that'll push up the price of XAUUSD.
Overall, in the short - term operation of gold today, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips and selling on rallies. Pay attention to the resistance level of 2920 - 2925 in the short - term above, and the support level of 2900 - 2905 in the short - term below.
XAUUSD sell @2920-2925
tp: 2900-2905
XAUUSD Buy @2900-2905
tp: 2915-2920
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