BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) TODAY'S MAPPING IN 4H TF MUST CHECK IT OUT Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 4-Hour TF
Our chart shows Bitcoin's price moving within a triangle shape. The price is going up and down, getting squeezed into a smaller range.
What this means: The price is preparing for a big move, either up or down.
If it breaks up: The price might increase a lot.
SUPPORT LEVEL 103,500
2ND SUPPORT. 102,000
TARGET IS 106,500 - 108,000
If the price breaks above resistance, it’s a bullish signal. If it breaks below support, it’s bearish.
If it breaks down: The price might drop, possibly toward the orange zone (2nd support area).
Bitcoin has to decideThe Bitcoin triangle pattern in the daily time frame is in a critical time frame and it is time for it to make its own decision. The main structure is bullish, but it seems that Bitcoin needs liquidity in the area of 80,000 for the next rise, in any case, a valid failure of the decisive triangle pattern. will be
AXS Price Analysis: The Road to $10, $13, and Beyond 50$The cryptocurrency market is heating up, and Axie Infinity (AXS) is positioning itself as a potential breakout star. Currently trading around $5.70, AXS is showing signs of accumulation, setting the stage for a significant move.
🔎 Market Structure & Key Levels
📊 Support Zone: Strong support is forming around $5.00-$5.50, indicating that buyers are stepping in.
📊 Breakout Zone: A breakout above $7.00 could trigger bullish momentum.
📊 Short-Term Targets: $10 and $13, based on previous resistance and Fibonacci levels.
📊 Long-Term Potential: If momentum builds, AXS could revisit $50-$100, aligning with historical uptrends.
🔥 Why AXS Could Rally in This Bull Market
🚀 Bullish Market Cycle: With Bitcoin leading the way, altcoins like AXS often follow with explosive gains.
🚀 Token Unlock Events: While unlocks can create short-term supply pressure, they also increase liquidity and market participation.
🚀 Smart Money Moves: Institutional investors and whales may accumulate at these levels before the next rally.
🌍 Macro Factors Boosting Crypto
💡 Pro-Crypto Sentiment: The new U.S. administration is leaning towards clearer crypto regulations, which could fuel mainstream adoption.
💡 Institutional Interest: BlackRock’s CEO Larry Fink believes Bitcoin could reach $700,000, suggesting crypto still has massive upside potential.
💡 Growing Adoption: As Web3 gaming gains traction, AXS stands to benefit from increased utility and user engagement.
📌 Investor Takeaway
AXS is currently at a discounted price, making this a strategic entry point for investors eyeing the next bull run. A break above $7.00 could confirm a strong uptrend, paving the way for double-digit gains in the short term and exponential growth in the long run.
🔔 Stay ahead of the market – monitor AXS closely and position accordingly!
Bitcoin at a Crossroads Will $104K Support Hold the Line ?Bitcoin/USDT market, where price action is confined within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern reflects a period of consolidation and market indecision, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched, leading to a narrowing price range. The eventual breakout from such a formation is often significant, as it indicates the market's chosen direction.
A notable observation on the chart is the fakeout above the upper trendline. The price briefly moved past this resistance but failed to hold, retreating back into the triangle. This suggests weak bullish momentum or strong resistance, possibly trapping early buyers and increasing volatility as these positions are unwound.
Bitcoin's movement has also impacted altcoins. The retreat within the triangle appears to have triggered another round of declines in altcoin prices. Given Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market, its stability and direction often dictate broader market trends. A decisive move by Bitcoin is critical for a potential recovery in altcoins.
The $104,000 level serves as a crucial support area in the current scenario. A breakdown below this support could lead to intensified selling pressure, with the next potential targets around $102,000 and $100,000. On the other hand, if this level holds, it could act as a foundation for another attempt to break above the triangle's resistance. This would restore market confidence and likely initiate a rally.
There are two potential outcomes. A bullish breakout above the triangle, supported by strong volume, could spark upward momentum and drive altcoin prices higher. The measured move target for such a breakout would typically equal the height of the triangle projected upward. Alternatively, if Bitcoin fails to hold $104,000, the bearish scenario would see a breakdown below the lower trendline, resulting in a deeper correction.
Volume analysis is essential in this context. A genuine breakout is often accompanied by significant trading volume, while low-volume moves are more likely to reverse or fail. Traders should remain cautious, especially as the price approaches the apex of the triangle, where volatility tends to spike.
Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by external factors such as market sentiment, news events, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Considering these elements alongside the chart structure is essential for a comprehensive analysis. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above or below the triangle before taking directional positions, with stop-losses in place to manage risk effectively.
Bitcoin midterm and short term BEARISH,Increasing VolatilityI am currently bearish again in BTCUSD.
After hitting all time high in December 2025
as expected BTCUSD was not able anymore to increase gains.
THE LONG TERM TREND IS BULLISH; BUT MID AND SHORT TERM TREND bearish.
Above 100.582 although it seems that bulls gain power, the bears attack fast and successfully
the bulls. (orange area).
In the chart you see how I dvided the prices into two categories(red+green areas) OR WHERE BULLS (green) and bears(red) have control.
AT 100K;9560 specially volatility increases fast, a sign that these areas are fought by both powers. In these ares mayn false signals and false breakouts on both sides are possible.(fire)
A drop below 90560 leads BTC to 81229,73k and 68,7K
Below that area we will face a choppy but volatile market. The increaisng of volatility gains power of news,(also fake news), sudden catalysts.So be aware specially in those areas.
The long term POC(Magnet sysmbol) is located at 49559 now.That is very important as
these locations are very big magnets and attracting the price.
In between we have very dangerouse gap that is also attracting BTCUSD price.(see the Chart)
Here some important new of the last days and my interpretation that align with my bearish signal:
Republicans will still have to deal with the debt ceiling in 2025....(the news and Interpretation how it will affect financial markets and crypto in 2025)
Although President-elect Donald Trump wanted to start 2025 without having to worry about the debt ceiling, he did not get his wish. Addressing the debt ceiling, which will be reinstated on January 2, is still on the list of congressional Republicans’ New Year’s resolutions. The House last week fell far short of passing a two-year extension of the suspension of the limit as part of a GOP-led government spending bill.
👉M y Interpretation:
Here’s how it could impact Bitcoin and the markets in general:
The news regarding the U.S. debt ceiling highlights a potential risk to financial markets and the broader economy in 2025. Here’s how it could impact Bitcoin and the markets in general:
Key Points from the News
Debt Ceiling Reinstatement
The U.S. debt ceiling will be reinstated on January 2, 2025, and congressional Republicans are expected to address it. A debt ceiling crisis can cause political and economic uncertainty, especially if there is a failure to raise or suspend the ceiling.
Government Spending Package
Last week, Congress passed a government funding bill that did not address the debt ceiling, disappointing President-elect Donald Trump’s wishes to resolve the issue sooner.
Potential Market Impact
Debt ceiling crises in the past have led to market volatility, particularly in equities, as investors react to the uncertainty and the potential for a government shutdown or a default on U.S. debt obligations.
Implications for Bitcoin and Markets
Increased Risk and Volatility
Debt ceiling concerns often create broader market anxiety, especially in traditional markets. Bitcoin, being seen as a "safe-haven" asset by some investors, could experience increased interest if there are fears of U.S. financial instability, a default, or a downgrade of U.S. credit.
Demand for Alternative Assets
During periods of heightened economic uncertainty or risk of financial crisis, assets like Bitcoin and gold are often viewed as alternative stores of value. Investors may seek refuge in these assets, increasing demand and possibly providing upward pressure on Bitcoin prices.
Risk of U.S. Dollar Volatility
Dollar volatility due to the debt ceiling issue could also lead to heightened interest in Bitcoin. A weakened dollar could boost Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge, pushing prices higher. Conversely, if the U.S. government resolves the debt ceiling issue efficiently, the pressure on Bitcoin may ease, and its price may fall.
Market Sentiment and Speculation
Given Bitcoin's speculative nature, market participants may react strongly to news surrounding the debt ceiling. Speculative trading could amplify price swings, especially as investors price in possible outcomes of the debt ceiling debate.
How This Affects Your Bitcoin Position
Potential for Volatility(Fire symbol in the chart)
If the debt ceiling issue creates a crisis, Bitcoin could see increased demand as a safe-haven asset, potentially driving prices higher in the short term. However, if the situation stabilizes without a major crisis, the demand might subside, and Bitcoin’s price could stabilize or decline.
Key Resistance and Support
Watch for key levels around the current Bitcoin price (e.g., $93K-$95K). If the debt ceiling crisis intensifies, these levels could be breached in either direction depending on market sentiment. $90K and $85K remain critical support zones if the bearish trend continues.
Monitor Global Sentiment
Keep an eye on broader market sentiment, especially around U.S. debt ceiling developments and their effects on traditional financial markets. If broader markets experience a sell-off due to debt ceiling issues, Bitcoin could initially benefit from a flight to alternative assets.
Conclusion
The debt ceiling issue is a significant risk factor that could cause increased volatility in both traditional financial markets and Bitcoin. Given Bitcoin’s reputation as a hedge against uncertainty, the news could lead to short-term price increases if investors flock to it as a safe-haven asset. However, it’s essential to monitor how the U.S. government addresses the issue and the overall market sentiment. Continue to manage risk carefully, as the situation may evolve quickly.
Bitcoin’s ‘Kimchi Premium’ Jumps Amid South Korean Political Turmoil (this news+ 👉I nterpretation)
“Kimchi Premium,” which refers to the price gap between Bitcoin on South Korean exchange Upbit compared to Coinbase, has surged to the range of 3-5% this week, according to data compiled by blockchain data platform CryptoQuant. An increase in the metric usually indicates an elevated demand from South Korea-based investors in Bitcoin. The same metric for stablecoin Tether also has surged to the similar range.
“South Korea faces an unprecedented wealth outflow amid political turmoil, declining birth rates, and slowing growth,” said Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant. “Inflation fears drive conversions of won assets into US stocks, Bitcoin, gold, and dollars. Many crypto investors prefer exchanges over banks, with Tether and Bitcoin trading at 2-5% premiums.
👉I nterpretation:
This news about Bitcoin’s "Kimchi Premium" highlights the dynamics of South Korea's crypto market amid political and economic turmoil. Let’s break it down in the context of trading approach and bearish signal:
Key Insights from the News
Kimchi Premium Surge (3-5%)
The "Kimchi Premium" reflects the higher price of Bitcoin on South Korean exchanges compared to global exchanges like Coinbase. A 3-5% premium signals elevated demand from South Korean retail investors.
This surge suggests strong local buying interest, likely driven by uncertainty in traditional markets and the weakening South Korean won.
Inflation Concerns and Asset Diversification
Wealth outflows and inflation fears are pushing South Korean investors to move their capital into alternative assets, including Bitcoin, Tether, US stocks, and gold.
A preference for crypto exchanges over banks adds to the demand, with Bitcoin and Tether trading at a premium.
Political Turmoil
President Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration, impeachment, and the ongoing crisis have destabilized financial markets. The uncertainty adds to investor anxiety, further increasing the demand for alternative assets.
Retail-Driven Market
South Korea’s crypto market is predominantly retail-driven due to restrictions on corporate accounts. This means that market sentiment and speculative activity significantly influence prices.
Weakened South Korean Won
The won's decline against the US dollar (0.35%) adds to the appeal of USD-denominated assets like Bitcoin and Tether. This could sustain or even expand the premium.
Implications for Bitcoin's Price
Short-Term Buying Pressure in South Korea
The Kimchi Premium surge indicates localized demand but doesn’t necessarily mean a global price rally. The premium reflects South Korea’s retail enthusiasm, not broader market strength.
Impact of Retail Speculation
Retail-driven buying can create short-term upward momentum but often lacks the sustainability of institutional-driven demand. If global macro factors or technical resistance levels remain bearish, the local demand may not prevent further declines.
Risk of a Bubble or Sudden Sell-Off
A rising premium can sometimes signal excessive speculation. If South Korean retail investors begin unwinding positions, it could lead to a sharp local correction, adding selling pressure to global markets.
How This Aligns with Your Bearish Signal
Localized vs. Global Trends
While the Kimchi Premium shows localized buying pressure, your bearish signal likely reflects global market trends. Bitcoin’s recent drop from $104K to $93K aligns with broader market dynamics and not just South Korea-specific activity.
Watch for Technical Reactions
If Bitcoin approaches key support levels (e.g., $90K), South Korean demand could provide temporary relief. However, a failure to hold support might invalidate local demand as a bullish factor.
Evaluate Reversals Cautiously
Even with rising demand in South Korea, monitor if the global bearish trend shows signs of reversal (e.g., higher lows, breaking key resistance levels like $95K-$100K). Until then, stick with your bearish outlook.
Key Levels and Trading Strategy
Support Zones
Key levels to watch: $90K and $85K. A break below these could signal further downside, regardless of localized buying interest.
Resistance to Watch
If Bitcoin rebounds, resistance at $95K-$100K will be crucial to determine whether the bearish trend is weakening.
Potential for False Breakouts
South Korea-driven price spikes might create false breakouts. Ensure your technical signals confirm any potential reversal before adjusting your strategy.
Bottom Line
The surge in the Kimchi Premium reflects localized demand due to South Korea’s political and economic instability. However, this does not necessarily negate the global bearish trend you've been following. Continue monitoring global signals, support/resistance levels, and whether the localized buying pressure can translate into broader market strength. Stay disciplined and adapt your strategy based on technical confirmations rather than isolated news events.
News2 Why Bitcoin (Still) Likely Has Not Reached a Cycle Top Yet
Over a longer-term horizon though, there are plenty of indicators that suggest we may still be a way, in both time and price, from a cycle top in Bitcoin.
The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Z-score, which compares the current price to the aggregate cost paid for all outstanding Bitcoin, has moved up from the < 1 level that has historically marked bear market bottoms in early 2023 to roughly 3 as of late December 2024.
👉I nterpretation
Let's break down this news in the context of your bearish signal on Bitcoin and how it could influence the current market dynamics:
Key Insights from the News
MVRV Z-Score at ~3
The MVRV Z-Score is used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical patterns. Historically, cycle tops occur when this metric moves significantly higher, often near 7.
At a Z-Score of 3, the news implies that Bitcoin is still below levels historically associated with a cycle top. This suggests there could still be room for upward movement in the longer term.
Long-Term Holder (HODLer) Supply Decline
A 7% drop in the proportion of Bitcoin held for over a year indicates increased selling pressure from long-term holders. This release of 1.4M BTC into the market adds to the supply, creating potential headwinds for price growth.
Despite this, the news points out that cycle tops typically occur when this indicator drops further, suggesting we haven’t yet reached that point.
ETF Inflows and Market Offset
While long-term holders have been selling, some of this supply pressure has been absorbed by large ETF inflows. However, this balancing act might not sustain the price if selling accelerates.
Uncertainty in Historical Patterns
The article emphasizes that Bitcoin’s historical cycles may not repeat exactly due to limited data. This means that while historical indicators suggest the cycle top isn’t yet reached, the current cycle could deviate.
Implications for Your Bearish Signal
Short-Term Downtrend
The bearish signal you received two weeks ago aligns with the current price drop from 104K to 93K. This selling pressure might be attributed to long-term holders liquidating part of their positions, as the news mentions.
Medium- to Long-Term Outlook
Despite the short-term bearish action, the MVRV Z-Score and HODLer supply suggest the cycle top may still be ahead. This means the current drop might be part of a broader consolidation or retracement before another rally.
ETF Inflows as a Buffer
While long-term holders selling adds pressure, ETF inflows could stabilize the market. Watch for news about ETF approvals, inflows, or rejections, as these could heavily influence Bitcoin’s next move.
How to Align with Technical Analysis
Short-Term Action
Stick with your bearish signal for now, as the price trend supports it. If Bitcoin continues to fall or fails to hold key support levels (e.g., $90K), the bearish trend could intensify.
Monitor Key Levels
Watch for significant support zones (e.g., $90K or $85K). A break below these levels could validate further downside.
On the flip side, if Bitcoin starts consolidating and moves back above $95K or $100K, it may signal a potential reversal.
Use Leading Indicators
Keep an eye on the MVRV Z-Score, HODLer behavior, and ETF news. A change in these metrics could signal whether the bearish momentum is temporary or part of a broader trend.
Bottom Line
The news indicates that the current bearish trend might be a retracement within a larger bull market. However, in the short term, supply pressure from long-term holders and bearish technical signals could continue to drive prices lower. Stay cautious, manage risk, and monitor both the technical levels and fundamental indicators closely. This combination will help you navigate the market effectively.
BITCOIN What will happen in the short term ?According to my calculations, the price will reach $112K in the short term.If triangle not broke from down!!
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Be careful with bitcoin !!!Once again, The price action could drop to $96k and then return to its peak. It will take some time to recover from the damage that these sh*t meme coins have done to the crypto market.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
JUST IN: Bitcoin at $107,000Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, recently broke past the significant $107,000 psychological resistance level before retracing to $106,000. Despite this pullback, several technical and fundamental indicators suggest a bullish trajectory for the digital asset in the near term.
Technical Analysis
A key technical indicator supporting the bullish outlook is the imminent formation of a golden cross pattern on Bitcoin’s chart. This occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic signal of bullish momentum and a potential sustained uptrend.
Historically, golden cross patterns have often preceded major price rallies in Bitcoin. For instance:
- In 2020, the formation of a golden cross preceded Bitcoin’s surge from $10,000 to its then all-time high of $64,000.
Currently, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, which is within neutral territory but trending upward. This indicates that there is room for further bullish momentum without the asset being overbought.
Market Performance
As of this writing, Bitcoin is up 2% on the day, trading at $106,000. The price action suggests strong buying interest at the current levels, even as the market absorbs profit-taking near the $107,000 mark. Key support levels to watch include $104,500, while resistance remains at $107,000 and beyond.
Beyond technical signals, several fundamental factors are bolstering Bitcoin’s bullish outlook:
1. Institutional Interest: Recent data highlights a surge in institutional inflows into Bitcoin-focused investment products. This renewed interest comes amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin’s reputation as digital gold.
2. Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving event, expected in mid-2025, is already influencing market sentiment. Historically, halvings have significantly reduced the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, often leading to price increases as demand outpaces supply.
3. Global Adoption: Countries and corporations continue to embrace Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. Recent announcements of Bitcoin integration into payment systems and growing adoption as a store of value further validate its utility and potential.
Conclusion
With the golden cross pattern on the verge of confirmation, Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests that a strong bullish run could be imminent. Coupled with favorable fundamentals, including increasing institutional participation and global adoption, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum.
Traders and investors should keep an eye on the $107,000 resistance level, as a decisive break above it could pave the way for Bitcoin to target $110,000 and beyond. However, as always, caution is advised, as market volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency space.
Bitcoin Targeting $116,000: Major Profit Opportunities Await.Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚🎇
The price is currently consolidating within a parallel channel, indicating a period of stable movement. Given the increasing market volume and the political shift following Donald Trump’s election as president, we anticipate a surge in trading activity that could lead to a notable rise in prices. As the market responds to these developments, we expect the channel to break to the upside in the coming days. This breakout is likely to generate significant upward momentum, with a minimum expected profit of 10%. The combination of stronger market volume and the potential impact of political changes suggests a favorable outlook. Traders should be prepared for a potential rally, as these factors align to drive the price higher. We remain optimistic about the short-term prospects based on these market dynamics.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The price is currently in a parallel channel, and with increased market volume and Trump’s election, we expect a price surge and a breakout upwards in the next few days, leading to at least a 10% profit.
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Bitcoin is Ready to Pump againDonald Trump , the President of the United States , is set to deliver a speech today, January 23, 2025, at 4:00 PM GMT . The crypto community is eagerly watching to see if Trump will address cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, during his remarks. While any mention of crypto could have a significant impact on the market, a lack of commentary on the subject might leave crypto enthusiasts disappointed, especially those hoping for it to be a focal point in his agenda.
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As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has declined to near the Support zone($100,600-$99,530) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) and Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $105,000 after breaking the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) .
Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$98,472
Note: If Bitcoin goes below 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect more falls.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Targeting $107K After Key AccumulationBTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Price: $105,200
Market Structure:
Bullish consolidation with higher lows forming.
RSI: 56.9, signaling neutral momentum and room for upside.
Key Levels:
Support: $104,000 (equilibrium zone provides strong support).
Resistance: $107,000 (premium zone).
Technical Highlights:
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Present on RSI vs. price action from Jan 23-24, supporting continuation.
Smart Money Activity: Accumulation pattern evident, with tight ranges indicating institutional buying.
Trade Setup (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Entry Zone: $105,200 (current price).
Targets:
T1: $106,500
T2: $107,000
Stop Loss: Below $103,800 (recent swing low).
Risk Score: 7/10 (favorable R:R with clear invalidation).
Market Maker Activity:
Accumulation phase visible, likely positioning for the next leg up.
Volume profile supports the bullish thesis, with liquidity targeting above $107,000.
Recommendation:
Long position preferred at current levels.
Monitor for volume confirmation on a break toward $106,500-$107,000.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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BTC/USD "The Bitcoin" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "The Bitcoin" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 118,000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental & Macro Outlook 📰🗞️
Here's a comprehensive fundamental and macro analysis for BTC/USD:
Fundamental Analysis---🗞️
Network Congestion: The Bitcoin network has been experiencing increased congestion, with the average transaction fee rising to $2.35, up from $1.25 in January. This could lead to a decrease in demand and subsequently, a bearish trend.
Miner Revenue: The total revenue earned by Bitcoin miners has been declining, from $13.4 million in January to $10.3 million in March. This decrease in revenue could lead to a reduction in mining activity, potentially resulting in a bearish trend.
Open Interest: The open interest in Bitcoin futures has been increasing, with a current value of $4.3 billion, up from $3.5 billion in January. This indicates a growing interest in the market, which could lead to increased volatility and potentially, a bullish trend.
Institutional Investment: Institutional investment in Bitcoin has been on the rise, with Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) seeing a significant increase in assets under management (AUM) from $1.2 billion in January to $2.5 billion in March. This influx of institutional investment could lead to a bullish trend.
Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for Bitcoin has been improving, with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) allowing institutionally-focused Bitcoin derivatives to be listed on regulated exchanges. This could lead to increased adoption and a bullish trend.
Macro Analysis---🗞️
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant increase in global economic uncertainty. As a result, investors may turn to safe-haven assets like Bitcoin, potentially leading to a bullish trend.
Central Bank Policies: The expansionary monetary policies of central banks worldwide, including the US Federal Reserve, could lead to a decrease in the value of traditional currencies and an increase in demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin, resulting in a bullish trend.
US-China Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China could lead to a decrease in global trade and economic growth, potentially resulting in a bearish trend for Bitcoin.
Commodity Prices: The recent decline in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, could lead to a decrease in demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin, resulting in a bearish trend.
Fiscal Policy: The US government's increasing fiscal deficit and debt levels could lead to a decrease in the value of the US dollar and an increase in demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin, potentially resulting in a bullish trend.
Market Sentiment---🗞️
Fear and Greed Index: The Fear and Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, is currently at 52, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Bitcoin Sentiment Index: The Bitcoin Sentiment Index, which measures the sentiment of Bitcoin investors, is currently at 60, indicating a slightly bullish sentiment.
Social Media Sentiment: The social media sentiment for Bitcoin is currently at 55, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Google Trends: The Google Trends data for Bitcoin is currently at 45, indicating a decrease in interest and a bearish sentiment.
Survey of Investors: A recent survey of investors found that 55% of respondents expect Bitcoin to rise in the next 6 months, while 25% expect it to fall, and 20% are neutral.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Dear Bitcoin, is't about time...For over a month, Bitcoin's price action has been rather frustrating, as it has remained stuck in a range. The key support level is clearly at 90k, while resistance is around 108k.
Recently, the price tested the resistance level again and has since entered another consolidation phase.
On the positive side, this consolidation appears to be a buildup, potentially signaling an imminent breakout above 110k.
As long as the price holds above 100k, we can reasonably expect this breakout to happen sooner rather than later.
As I’ve mentioned before, the target level for this move is around 130k.
[[flash crash]]gm,
i’m reaching out today to give you a fair warning based on a concerning cross-market chart structure. the dxy is showing strong signs of strength and looks like it’s gearing up for an upside squeeze, potentially setting the stage for a breakout to levels we haven’t seen in decades.
the implications of this move could trigger a flash crash in both the stock and crypto markets world-wide, reminiscent to that of the covid crash. this time, however, i believe the catalyst will be the combination of elevated rates, inflation, and the looming debt ceiling crisis.
don’t fear the crash,,, it will present a rare buying opportunity for those who are in tune with this wilder market. a strategic player, one who profits from the collapse of this fragile economy, will thrive in these conditions.
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if my forecast is correct, we’ll see the TVC:DXY explode up to 127,,,
while CRYPTOCAP:BTC would lose roughly half of its current value.
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BTCUSD 1H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS |BITCOIN CAN FLY FROM THESE SUPPORTHello traders hers is good opportunity to buy btcusd at the support levels
i'm expecting bullish momentum in btcusd from my support levels toward my given target there is big resistance
don't forget to use SL and TP good luck it was not finical advice just for education
purpose thank plz read carefully and apply.
key areas
support1 103,200.0 / 102,700.0
support2 101,000.0 / 99,900.0
resistance 108,300.0 / 109,400.0
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Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride:Trump Effect or Market Speculation?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced strong ups and downs in the last 48 hours . One of the main reasons could be the inauguration of Donald Trump as the President of the United States , in which people and the crypto community expected Trump to talk about the crypto market in his speech .
In one of the first steps, Donald Trump appoints pro-Bitcoin Mark Uyeda to replace Gary Gensler as Chair of the SEC . But we have to see how Mark Uyeda will behave in reality .
Bitcoin's rise and fall over the past 48 hours created a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,200-$105,500) .
The possibility of forming an Ascending Channel for Bitcoin in the 15-minute time frame and the upper line can be a Resistance line .
I expect Bitcoin to fal l to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($107,632-$105,869) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$99,382
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,300, we should expect a new All-time High(ATH).
What do you think about the next movements of Bitcoin? Can Bitcoin make a new All-time High(ATH) again?
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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