$BTC - UpdateI haven’t updated this in a while since the focus has been mostly on alts, but here it is.
Wave 5 can extend, and we’ll reassess once we reach the green zone.
BTCUSDT
The Cursed Token - $ETHBullish outlook...
On a critical level (Elliott Wave is used as a timeline reference; targets will be evaluated level by level)
Green Box looks good to offload before we hit a major correction later this year. (but once we move beyond this CHOPsolidation, the situation will become much clearer for assessment.
SHIBA update#SHIBA can make another down wave because it made a triangle with 5 waves
there is a down wave before the triangle which is wave A
the whole triangle is wave B
now we are waiting for wave C
its the last correction before making new highs
check out our last analysis on shiba in higher time frames
Bitcoin Analysis Post-Trump InaugurationI think optimistically, Bitcoin may go to 120k or further: 139k
However, these conditions must be met first, and we need to anticipate correction.
I marked the levels which the price could potentially go
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!BTC has sustained its move above the descending trendline, indicating a valid breakout with continued bullish momentum.
The green zone between $92,000–$96,000 remains a critical support area. Any pullbacks into this region could present buying opportunities.
The 50-day SMA (red) at $98,596 is trending upwards, providing additional dynamic support.
BTC is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
The chart suggests a potential pullback followed by a continuation to the upside.
The projected path (orange line) targets the $112,000–$116,000 resistance zone.
Assess volume during pullbacks to ensure strong accumulation support for the upward trend.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Long to Start the Bull Run So here is a faster time frame with a long term outlook on bitcoin. i think with a little news from the bullish crypto president we will run to 119,400-119,975 range... then briefly consolidate as retail starts to get in and then we start the bull run
BTC 121k and then the Bull Run StartsSo right now we are at about the max of our next consolidation zone which is. almost the local high 109,975.00usd then i think we form a flag or wedge up here as we consolidate then run to 121,676.00usd then the bull run will start....that will trigger the retail into the space.
BTC IS GOING TO ALL TIME HIGH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN ! BTC ended up in a complex WXY correction. Initially what may have seemed like a FLAT ended up being WXY. No matter how much the MM plays with the market and no matter what news hits the screen, algos always run their course guys.
We are in the early formation of wave 3, which will make history. True we may retrace a bit more to tap the lower levels but this will sling shot BTC to the ATH ! Remember the deeper the retracement of wave 2, the higher will be wave 3, a slingshot - - get it ;). Mega hidden bullish divergence on the weekly also playing out well.
Invalidation of this idea is at the low of Wave Y. WorD of advice guys, avoid over leverage and practice risk management fells. DCA is the name of the game. When Bitcoin hits ATH, all ALTS will pop like fireworks hence DCA and Spot Buy is the name of the game, especially for all the young bucks and inspiring traders out there.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Bitcoin Riding the Waves of Optimism As we dive into this BTC/USDT chart, it’s clear that Bitcoin is not just a cryptocurrency—it’s an art form. The chart showcases a detailed Elliott Wave analysis, complete with corrective W-X-Y patterns and impulsive waves screaming, “I’m going places!” Let’s break it down step by step.
The Elliott Wave Breakdown
Bitcoin has been playing out its Elliott Wave structure with the precision of a virtuoso pianist. Here’s what we’re looking at:
1. Wave (1) to Wave (5): A Symphony of Higher Highs.
2. Wave (1) was the opening act, starting the bullish rally.
3. Wave (2) provided a dramatic correction, retracing as deep as a poet’s feelings on a rainy
day.
4. Wave (3) emerged as the headliner, the longest and strongest wave, with Bitcoin shouting,
“Catch me if you can!”
5. Wave (4), our consolidation buddy, is taking a breather, making sure BTC doesn’t exhaust
itself before the final sprint.
6. Wave (5) looks ready to take the stage and hit the projected target of $128,647.56. The bulls
seem to be prepping their rockets for this one.
2. The W-X-Y Correction
Before the current rally, BTC went through a complex W-X-Y correction. Think of it as Bitcoin saying, “Let me stretch a bit before the next marathon.” This correction has set the stage for the bullish impulses we’re seeing now.
Indicators: The Whispering Bulls
1. Williams %R and Stoch RSI: Hidden Bullish Divergences
Both indicators are practically screaming “hidden bullish divergences” like fans at a rock concert. These signals suggest that the bulls are working behind the scenes, setting the stage for the next big move.
2. RSI: Staying Strong
The RSI remains comfortably above 50, signaling that the bullish momentum is intact. It’s like Bitcoin is cruising down the highway, windows down, music blasting, and no signs of slowing.
The Price Target: To $128,000 and Beyond!
Bitcoin has been known to defy expectations. While $128K might feel like aiming for the moon, let’s not forget—this is Bitcoin, and the moon is just the first stop.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Support Zones
The $80,000 level is a key psychological support. If Bitcoin revisits this area, it could serve as a launchpad for the next leg up.
2. Resistance Levels
The $100,000 mark will likely be a battle zone. Expect bears to put up a fight here, but with the momentum we’re seeing, the bulls might just plow through.
In Conclusion: Strap In, Bulls
Bitcoin is looking bullish on all fronts. The Elliott Wave structure, hidden bullish divergences, and strong RSI readings all point to higher prices in the near future. However, as always, remember that markets love surprises, and it’s always good to keep your risk in check.
For now, though, it looks like Bitcoin is preparing for a grand finale. Let’s hope the bulls keep the momentum going because $128,647 is calling, and Bitcoin seems eager to answer. 🚀
Disclaimer: NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
THETA long term analysis updatei made an analysis on this coin weeks ago the main pattern is not changed these is a selling pressure on this coin when it touches the VWAP indicator but it made a perfect pattern for rising we have to wait for the last drop and after that the market will insanely rise !
BTCUSDT H8 : New RoadmapHi Friends,
Following the previous analysis of Bitcoin and the rejection above the ATH , I expect such a movement from the chart. And once again, liquidity can be collected above the historical ceiling.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 21/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
Bitcoin: Key Levels, Triggers, and Opportunities Ahead📊 Bitcoin has experienced significant price fluctuations in recent days, keeping traders on their toes. Are you wondering where the next long or hold triggers might be? Let’s dive into a multi-timeframe analysis, from the weekly chart down to the 4-hour chart, to pinpoint key levels, trends, and opportunities. Whether you're a swing trader or prefer shorter-term setups, this breakdown will help you stay ahead.
📈 Weekly Overview: The Bigger Picture
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin's primary trend remains clear, with a corrective secondary trend consolidating between $91,000 and $105,000.
Key Weekly Support Levels:
$85,000: A critical zone that aligns with historical reactions.
$81,000 - $82,000: If this level breaks, it could confirm a major trend reversal to the downside.
Perspective:
As long as Bitcoin holds above these key supports, I maintain a bullish bias. Trading in the direction of the primary trend generally offers higher win rates and stronger momentum .
Daily Chart: Recent Breakouts and Market News
Bitcoin's price recently broke out of its short-term range between $91,000 and $100,000, stabilizing above the upper boundary. This breakout has introduced potential long-term hold triggers for traders.
🔍 Key Daily Trigger:
A break and close above $108,660 could serve as a reliable hold trigger, signaling that Bitcoin may resume its primary uptrend.
🔮 Potential Targets:
$112,000
$130,000
$160,000 (long-term target)
💡Additionally, recent political developments, such as Donald Trump’s re-election campaign and potential economic policies, could significantly impact Bitcoin. Here are a few potential scenarios to watch:
1.National Bitcoin Reserves:
If policies favor creating national reserves, Bitcoin's adoption and value could surge.
Crypto Tax Incentives:
2.Potential tax breaks for blockchain projects may attract more capital into the space.
Market Confidence:
3.Political stability or incentives could bring in new institutional investments, potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price toward $145,000 or even $249,000 in the long term.
📊 4-Hour Chart: Finding Futures Triggers
Now, let’s move to the 4-hour timeframe, where we can refine our short-term setups.
Key Support Zone:
$100,000 - $102,000: This area serves as a strong support for managing risk in long positions.
Trigger for Longs:
A break above $ 107,042 with confirmation from volume and indicators like the RSI or the 3 SMA (7).
Why it Matters: Confirming the breakout momentum reduces the chances of a false move, increasing the probability of success.
Practical Tips for News-Driven Markets 📰
During high-impact events, such as political announcements or macroeconomic updates, markets often create large wicks and volatile candles. Here's how you can approach these situations:
1.Ignore Volatility Spikes:
Instead of focusing on reactionary candles, analyze the price action before and after the event for clearer signals.
Stick to Confirmations:
2.Avoid impulsive trades and wait for clear breakout signals with validated momentum.
Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture across all timeframes:
Weekly Support Levels: $85,000 and $81,000-$82,000.
Daily Hold Trigger: Above $108,660 for long-term bullish continuation.
4-Hour Futures Trigger: Above $107,042 with volume and oscillator confirmation.
Political and macroeconomic factors in 2025 may further drive Bitcoin’s price action, creating significant opportunities for traders.
💬 What’s your take on Bitcoin’s next move? Are you focusing on long opportunities or preparing for shorts? Let me know in the comments below!
I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s grow and succeed together! 🤍
SGDJPY DIRECTION OANDA:SGDJPY
MONTHLY Support to MONTHLY support to travel
so entry SELL side only
thank you
Bitcoin Dips After ATH – Is Another Rally in Sight?Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 2.42% decline from its all-time high of $109,114.8, set on January 20, to $101,308.55. While the pullback may seem concerning, analysts suggest this could be a healthy retracement, setting the stage for the next rally.
Market data from Glassnode shows Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (LTH-NUPL) has surpassed 0.75, entering the “Euphoria/Greed” phase. Historically, this level often signals a local market top as traders lock in profits. However, short-term holders (STHs) are maintaining positive sentiment.
The Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (STH-MVRV) ratio stands at 1.16, above its 1-year trendline. This indicates that STHs are realizing a 16% profit on their cost basis, reflecting strong buying activity and potential for upward momentum.
Hyblock Capital’s liquidation heatmap highlights two key price magnets: $106,000 on the upside and $99,200 on the downside. BTC could briefly dip to $99,200 before rebounding toward $106,000, paving the way for new highs.
Adding to the bullish narrative, CryptoQuant reports a three-year outflow of 1 million BTC from exchanges, reducing the supply available for trading. This trend could create a supply squeeze, decreasing selling pressure and driving prices higher.
BTC’s current retracement may simply be a pit stop before another surge. With market fundamentals pointing to strong demand and reduced supply, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic.
BTCUSDT, is 112K available?Hello traders, hope you're doing great.
with Trump presidency, we can expect another( and probably the last for a while) upward movement for BINANCE:BTCUSDT. therefore I expect a downward correction at first and after that Price will continue to raise to 112K.
what do you think? are you agree with me or not? comment your opinion below this post.
BTC Set for Bigger Shakes Over Time? Break 90K & Over 120K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has been quite volatile lately since Dec., as it's moving within a broadening triangle pattern.
This pattern is characterized by its expanding price range, meaning the price swings get larger and more dramatic over time.
Right now, Bitcoin has the potential to climb above $120K, but BTC could also drop sharply to $90,900.
That’s a massive $30K range—and it’s only expected to grow wider.
If we see one or two quick drops to the bottom of the broadening triangle, the market sentiment could turn bearish.
General investors might start panic-selling, which allows major players to collect coins at lower prices.
But here’s the key: even a sudden $30K drop within this pattern doesn’t affect Bitcoin’s long-term bullish outlook.
It’s just noise within the structure.
Are you ready to navigate this increasingly wild market?
Every coin has multiple potential scenarios. This is just one of them, and I’ll share more scripts in the future.
Follow me for updates! 😃
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin will have major correction again?It' s near clearly seen that #bitcoin #btc chart is in Wyckoff' s Distribution Schematic. While president takes place, #btcusd made the up thrust and then retraced. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to make a new impulsive movement to record a new ATH soon, then this bearish bias will be postponed. Remember my posts in start of march 2024, i said same. A quick new ATH is the (temporary) invalidation, otherwise " welcome the new major correction." Not financial advice. DYOR.
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD Using Support and Resistance LevelsXAUUSD represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD). Its current price is 2724, and the target price is set at 2800. This suggests a bullish outlook, with an expected price increase of 76 points. The analysis is based on the "support and resistance" pattern, where the current price is rebounding from a strong support level. Support levels act as a price floor, where buying pressure typically overcomes selling pressure, preventing further decline. The strong support indicates high confidence among traders that the price will rise. A move toward the target of 2800 aligns with the historical price behavior near this level. Traders may monitor for confirmation signals, such as higher highs or increased volume, to validate the upward momentum. However, market conditions and external factors like economic data or geopolitical events could influence the pair’s movement. Proper risk management is essential.
Bullish and Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025 Overview🔸Bullish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025
1. Institutional Adoption
Broader Integration: Continued adoption by institutions like pension funds, banks, and asset managers could increase demand.
Bitcoin ETFs: Expansion of spot Bitcoin ETFs globally, especially in the U.S., would make Bitcoin more accessible to retail and institutional investors.
Corporate Treasury Investments: More companies might allocate Bitcoin as a reserve asset, following the lead of MicroStrategy and Tesla.
2. Macroeconomic Factors
Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistently high global inflation could bolster Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold."
Monetary Policy: Potential quantitative easing or rate cuts by central banks could drive capital into risk assets, including Bitcoin.
3. Technological Improvements
Bitcoin Lightning Network: Enhanced scalability and adoption of the Lightning Network for microtransactions and DeFi applications could improve Bitcoin's utility.
Layer-2 Solutions: Development of new layer-2 technologies could further expand Bitcoin's use cases.
4. Halving Event
2024 Halving Impact: The Bitcoin halving in April 2024 reduced the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, tightening supply. Historically, halving events have driven significant price rallies 12-18 months afterward.
5. Regulatory Clarity
Positive Legislation: Clear and favorable regulations in major markets (e.g., the U.S., EU) could foster confidence and attract institutional investors.
Global Coordination: A unified global regulatory approach could reduce uncertainty and boost adoption.
6. Retail and Emerging Market Growth
Global Awareness: Growing understanding of Bitcoin in developing nations as a hedge against local currency devaluation.
Remittances: Increased use of Bitcoin for low-cost international remittances.
7. Increasing Scarcity
Fixed Supply: Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million ensures increasing scarcity as adoption grows.
HODLing Behavior: Long-term holders removing BTC from circulation could drive supply-side pressure.
8. Geopolitical Instability
Flight to Safety: Increased demand during global uncertainty, economic crises, or capital controls.
9. Integration with AI and Web3
Synergy with AI: Growth of AI and blockchain integrations may create new use cases for Bitcoin.
Web3 Economy: As a foundational layer for decentralized ecosystems, Bitcoin could see broader adoption.
10. Media and Cultural Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements by public figures, and societal shifts toward decentralized technology could amplify Bitcoin's appeal.
🔸Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025
1. Regulatory Risks
Government Crackdowns: Strict bans or heavy taxation on Bitcoin trading, mining, or usage could dampen demand.
Unfavorable Laws: Restrictions on self-custody wallets or excessive KYC/AML requirements could deter users.
2. Competition
Rise of Altcoins: Advanced layer-1 blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, or newer platforms may attract capital away from Bitcoin.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Widespread adoption of CBDCs could limit Bitcoin’s appeal for transactions and as a reserve asset.
3. Macroeconomic Headwinds
High Interest Rates: Sustained high rates could make traditional assets like bonds more attractive than risk assets like Bitcoin.
Deflationary Pressures: A global economic slowdown or recession could reduce investor appetite for speculative assets.
4. Technological Challenges
Scalability Concerns: Bitcoin’s limited throughput might restrict its utility in a high-demand environment.
Energy Criticism: Renewed criticism of Bitcoin mining’s environmental impact could harm its reputation.
5. Market Manipulation
Whale Activity: Large holders (whales) dumping Bitcoin could lead to significant price declines.
Wash Trading: Perceptions of manipulation on unregulated exchanges could erode trust.
6. Security Threats
51% Attack: A hypothetical (though unlikely) scenario where a mining pool gains majority control of the network.
Quantum Computing: Advances in quantum computing could pose a threat to Bitcoin’s cryptographic security.
7. Sentiment Decline
Media FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt): Negative media coverage or misinformation campaigns could harm retail sentiment.
Retail Exit: Declining interest among retail traders and investors could reduce market activity.
8. Post-Halving Sell-Off
Historically, there is often significant volatility following halving events, with potential for a sharp sell-off if expectations aren’t met.
9. Legal Risks
Lawsuits Against Key Players: High-profile cases involving Bitcoin-related firms or individuals could hurt investor confidence.
Fraudulent Activity: Large-scale scams involving Bitcoin could tarnish its reputation.
10. Network Fragmentation
Forks: Another contentious fork or network split could undermine confidence in Bitcoin’s stability.
🔸Conclusion
In 2025, Bitcoin’s price will likely be influenced by a complex interplay of factors. Bullish catalysts such as institutional adoption, the 2024 halving, and technological improvements could drive significant growth, while bearish risks like regulatory crackdowns, competition, and macroeconomic headwinds could suppress its momentum.
🔸Ultimately, Bitcoin’s performance will depend on how these dynamics unfold and the broader evolution of the crypto market. Diversification and due diligence remain key for investors.
BTC Analysis BINANCE:BTCUSD
Approximately a month ago, Bitcoin (BTC) reached $108,000, followed by a significant drop to $90,000. A strong support zone formed around $92,000, leading to a rebound. We also had a crucial zone at $99,000 to $100,000, which has been broken and flipped into support.
Currently, as long as the price remains above this zone, there's a strong possibility of moving toward higher levels, potentially reaching around $110,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
