BTCUSDT
What BTC is showing?! Full Scenario As of now market is really slow... Why?
As the History of BTC shows that market never formed a new high with out retesting its Support or previous Resistance level, as in 2020 market break its Resistance level which was 19,000 and market formed a new high in 2021 which was 68,000 after that market didn't formed a new high until it retested its last support level 19,000. After retesting 19,000 market shows us a new high of 109,000 and since Market has formed a new high it didn't retested its Support level which is 68,000, so According to me history will be repeated here, till market don't retest its previous level which is 68,000 market will be slow and bearish. After that market will perform a new high.
According to RSI there is also a bearish divergences which support my vision.
BTCUSD:If you don’t know how to trade. You can see here.Last week, a large number of traders followed my exclusive trading opportunities and made great progress on BTCUSD, and they all made good profits.
Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? You can look here.
BTCUSD: The US President spoke again at the weekend, which is good for Bitcoin's trend. It is said that as a strategic reserve. One million Bitcoins will be purchased in the next period of time. After the BTCUSD market was boosted, it rose 3k points in the short term. But after the news is digested, whether the market is stable. This is very critical. From the trend observation, there is also the meaning of falling back to test support. If the position of 86000-85000 stands firm, then continue to go long. If it does not stand firm, it is still mainly short.
If you don’t know where to follow. Remember to pay attention to the latest real-time news in the analysis circle. Or leave me a message. In this way, you can get exclusive trading opportunities and successfully expand profits. Remember to like and support after reading! !
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the MA line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors:
Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market.
Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day.
Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation.
Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011).
Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period.
⭐Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors:
Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure.
Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset.
Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT.
Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price.
⭐Global Market Analysis
Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance:
Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives.
Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts.
Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value.
Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin.
Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT.
⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis:
Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish.
Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines.
Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze.
Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias.
⭐On-Chain Analysis
On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior:
Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance.
Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline.
Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act.
Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT.
⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology:
Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds.
Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines.
Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance.
Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty.
⭐Positioning
Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market:
Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline.
Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling.
Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend.
Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest.
⭐Next Trend Move
The next likely price movement is based on current data:
Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning.
Key Levels:
Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target.
Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal.
Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization.
Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists.
⭐Other Data
Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT:
Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in.
Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility.
Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition.
Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 93000
🏁Sell Entry below 84000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers:
Adoption Trends:
Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish.
Regulatory Environment:
The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure.
Halving Impact:
Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025.
Network Usage:
Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value.
Inflation Hedge Narrative:
With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment.
Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000.
2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟
Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD:
U.S. Economy:
Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets.
Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral.
Global Growth:
China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish.
Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish.
Currency Markets:
USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term.
Commodity Prices:
Oil at $68/bbl and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Risk:
Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish.
Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels.
3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟
COT data reflects futures positioning:
Speculative Traders:
Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal.
Commercial Hedgers:
Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral.
Open Interest:
45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish.
Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse.
4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟
On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity:
Exchange Balances:
2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish.
Transaction Volume:
Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish.
HODLing Behavior:
70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term.
Miner Activity:
Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish.
Realized Price Levels:
Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held.
Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse.
5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Correlations with other markets:
USD Strength:
DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term.
S&P 500:
At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish.
Gold:
At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish.
Bond Yields:
U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish.
Altcoins:
ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish.
Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate.
6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Investor and trader mood:
Retail Sentiment:
Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish.
Analyst Views:
Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed.
Options Market:
Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral.
Fear & Greed Index:
At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift.
Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend.
7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟
Price projections across timeframes:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks):
Range: 84,000 - 88,500
Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally.
Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months):
Range: 80,000 - 92,000
Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns.
Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying.
Long-Term (6-12 Months):
Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000
Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability.
Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000
Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability.
Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data.
Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks.
8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟
BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
When Will Altseason Start? When BTC reached 120k📈 One of the most common questions I get:
WHEN WILL ALTSEASON START?
Here’s the answer 👇
🔻 The real problem: memes drained all the liquidity.
The money that was supposed to go into fundamental projects in the summer of 2024.....got redirected into memes.
Yes, some people made money on that. But most retail traders?
They didn’t.
Of course, you can show profitable wallets. I also made money, but it was on insider information.
I think it would be perfect if Trump launched his token —
just like Argentina’s Libra — to show people one clear thing:
- Memes are dangerous.
-They suck liquidity and leave you with nothing but losses.
It’s a necessary wake-up call.
I didn’t want to say this, but maybe we need people to get burned by memes so they stop blindly throwing money at hype.
Some memes might still pump.
Yes, even some “fundamental memes” might outperform serious altcoins.
But in general?
The meme market is a trap. It's a money pit.
People think they’re great investors, but in reality — it’s a casino.
There’s no tech. No fundamentals.
I don't deny the “fundamental” memes may show growth more than other altcoins. I don't rule that out. But if we are talking about the general pool of memes, there is such a problem going on here that most people will lose money.
5% make money on memes, 95% lose.
I'm self-aware, and I'm in that 95%.
That's why I didn't invest in altcoins.
Development is dead ... for now. Nobody cares about building.
You can spend two years developing a serious product, burn through money, and try to improve the crypto space…
But most people don’t want that.
They want:
To buy pictures they like
As long as they look well-packaged.
That’s why we see so few good projects today —
everyone ran off to create memes.
But finally, we’ve reached a new stage:
People are starting to realize...
We need real, fundamental projects again.
Memes might still spike — especially near the end of the bull run.
But the market has finally started waking up.
⚠️ Yes, the market is broken.
But that’s exactly what we need — A bottom to bounce from.
Crypto’s future is bright.
The next 10 years — and even the end of this year — could look very strong.
But right now?
We’re not at the bottom in price.
We’re at the bottom in sentiment.
In faith. In energy.
This is a real turnaround.
From here, real projects will emerge with real audiences and real goals. That’s what will grow this industry—and this industry will shape the world.
Crypto moves fast.
All it takes is two green daily candles,and suddenly everyone screams:
“It’s back! New bull market!” Funny… but predictable.
Back to reality.
We’re at a point where liquidity is gone. People are out of funds.
Panic is setting in. “Cycles don’t work anymore,” they say.
People start selling to survive — for business, travel, life.
Even long-time holders are taking losses.
But when all the weak hands are gone, only the true holders will remain.
And who will move the market next?
Institutional investors
When the U.S. adopts Bitcoin as a reserve (which might already happen this May)... Other countries will follow.
Bitcoin will rally — and drag the market upward.
That’s when we’ll see:
The alt season will start only when Bitcoin is 120-130k.
Then profit taking and overflow into alts will start.
That’s when we’ll see:
-Institutional investors
-The Web2 audience
-Capital flowing into fundamentals, not memes
Because eventually, people will realize:
You don’t invest in memes.
You invest in utility. In value. In tech.
💥 Retail is the key.
The market needs mass participation.
Retail brings volume, and for that, we need:
Real news, Clear regulation, Trust and confidence
When that happens —people will believe again. And they’ll come running.
But then, like always...
Everyone will be convinced:
“Crypto is in permanent bull mode!”
Money will pour in. FOMO will take over…
...and then it ends.
The new bear market begins.
And I’ll be screaming about it — loud.
I do my best for you, EXCAVO.
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin at $85K: Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,000, holding steady despite a 4.4% drop in the broader cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours. This dip reflects a cautious mood across risk assets, driven by uncertainty over upcoming US inflation data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. While altcoins are taking a bigger hit, Bitcoin’s price action has been choppy but resilient. For now, it’s in a consolidation phase, with traders watching for the next big move.
Broader Market Context
The recent decline in the crypto market mirrors a broader “risk-off” sentiment among investors, who are bracing for economic shifts that could impact global markets. Factors like US inflation reports and Fed policy updates are creating short-term uncertainty. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin often serves as a market indicator, its ability to hold key levels could signal stability, while a breakdown might deepen the downturn. Despite this, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains strong, supported by growing institutional adoption and a more favorable regulatory landscape.
Short-Term (1-Hour Chart):
Support: $84,000 (make-or-break), $82,000
Resistance: $86,500, $90,000
Indicators: RSI at 45 (neutral), MACD showing bearish momentum. A descending triangle is in play, breaking $86,500 with strong volume could push to $90,000, but a fall below $84,000 might test $82,000.
Long-Term (Weekly Chart):
Support: $80,000, $75,000
Resistance: $90,000, $100,000
The 200-day moving average is trending up, reinforcing a bullish long-term view, but $80,000 must hold for that to stay intact.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds $84,000 and breaks $86,500 with solid volume, expect a run to $90,000 short-term, with $100,000 in sight long-term.
Bearish Case: A break below $84,000 could see it slide to $82,000 or even $80,000.
Volume is the key, watch for a spike to confirm either direction.
Broader Context and Tips
Long-term, Bitcoin’s fundamentals look solid with growing institutional interest and a crypto-friendly climate. But short-term, watch out for volatility triggers like US inflation data or Fed moves. For traders, focus on $84,000 support and $86,500 resistance, these levels will dictate the next trend. Set tight stops (e.g., just below $84,000 for longs) and keep an eye on news. Long-term holders should view $80,000 as the critical floor for the bullish trend to continue.
This chart represents a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 30This chart represents a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
Supply Zone (Resistance) at ~$85,599
The price has approached this supply zone, which could act as a resistance level.
The expectation is that the price may struggle to break above this level and could reverse downward.
Demand Zone (Support) at ~$81,500 - $81,755
This is labeled as the "diamond zone," which could act as a strong support area where buying interest may emerge.
The price is anticipated to decline towards this level.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
The price might initially react to the supply zone, then break below the trendline, confirming a downtrend.
The target for this downward move is the demand zone around $81,500.
Trendline Break
A rising trendline is drawn, which currently acts as support.
If the price breaks below it, it would confirm a bearish momentum shift.
Conclusion
This chart suggests a short-selling opportunity near the supply zone, targeting the demand zone. However, traders should watch for confirmations such as a rejection from resistance and a break below the trendline before entering a trade.
BTC Nears Key Breakout: Can It Push Past 84.5K?Right then, BTC/USDT is at a bit of a crucial point at the moment. The buying range we flagged earlier, 82,000 - 83,500, has been left behind, with the price now sitting at 84,139.51 – up 0.06% on the day.
The target for taking profits is still 84,500 - 86,000, and we’re currently hovering near the lower end of that at 84,500. If it manages to break through that level, there’s a decent chance it could push higher – but it’s worth keeping an eye on whether the rally’s got enough steam to keep going.
Things to watch:
84,500 Breakout: If it cracks this level and holds, we could be in for more upside.
Momentum: Keep tabs on volume and market sentiment to see if this move’s got legs.
Pullback Risk: If it doesn’t break through, don’t be surprised if we see a bit of a dip.
BTCUSDT
Buy82000-83500
tp:84500-86000
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BTC Today's strategyToday, the price of bitcoin fluctuates between 84K-84.5K, and in the current complex cryptocurrency market environment, this price level is at the key node of the long and short power game, and the resistance point of 85K and the support point of 83K have become an important reference indicator affecting its short-term trend.
The strategy of selling high and buying low is adopted in the 84K-85K range
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The momentum of BTC indicates its short-term potentialThe BTC/USD price is currently in a consolidation phase within a specific range.
Pay close attention to the 82,000 - 83,000 zone. Should the price retrace to this area and demonstrate signs of support, it could be a viable opportunity to initiate a small long position.
Set the target take - profit levels between 84,500 and 86,000. When the price reaches 84,500, it is advisable to consider partially closing the position to secure some profits. If it manages to break through this level, the subsequent target will be 86,000.
Considering the extreme volatility characteristic of the crypto market, prudent management of position size is of utmost importance. It's essential to refrain from overtrading to safeguard your investment capital.
BTCUSD
buy@82000-83500
tp:84500-86000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Strong Falling WedgeBitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential breakout from a strong falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
The falling wedge has been forming since late January, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Price action is now consolidating near the wedge resistance, indicating an impending breakout.
A previous bullish leg saw a price rally of 25,428.16 (+30.29%), suggesting strong historical momentum.
If BTC breaks out cleanly, we could see a similar or stronger move—projecting a potential rally of 28,086.24 (+31.12%).
📈 Expected Target : ~$118,141, aligning with the measured move from the wedge breakout.
🧠 Trading Insigh t: Watch for a confirmed breakout with strong volume above the wedge resistance zone. Retests of the breakout area can offer ideal entries for continuation trades.
BTCUSDT:Wait for retracement and go longBTC has been fluctuating around 84,000, showing an overall upward trend in its movement. It is advisable to continue waiting for a pullback before taking a long position.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@83500
TP1:85500
TP2:86500
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