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Btcusdtanalysis

BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas. A new week has begun again. Good morning, dear traders. Do you plan to make money or lose less in the market this week? How to do it? BTCUSD: BTCUSD fell sharply again in the market over the weekend. After the opening of the new week, it hit a low of 80,000 points, a drop of 10k. It is a good profit for those who sell. But it may be uncomfortable for those who do more. Unless you place a low-risk order, you will stop your order or expand your loss if you trade rashly without guidance. There is no major adjustment on the news side. The stock index futures in the US market fell sharply after the opening. BTCUSD is suspected to follow the trend and fall. The current BTCUSD quote is 82,300. With the arrival of daylight saving time. Some US economic data are one hour ahead of schedule, and the opening of North American stock markets is also the same. Bitcoin rose sharply when Trump listed it as a "strategic reserve currency" last time. The market has been showing a bearish trend, and there is no news impact at present. It is still mainly shorting at high levels. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support of 79k. The upper side needs to pay close attention to the short-term pressure of 86k. Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by JAKE_T0
Bitcoin Weekly Closed RED and scared some people .What now ? That was a horrible week for many Uncertainty for those that do not understand Bitcoin and the JOY of buying more at a cheaper price for others. I will admit to thinking PA was going ot bounce over the weekend and then get down to where we are now..It went down over the wweekend.. I do not mind... My SPOT buy orders began triggering. So, on a slightly longer term, The Triangle that PA was in was always going ot squeeze PA to early. Why ? Because, as ever, we are waiting for the weekly MACD to Cool off. and it is only half way down currently As you cana see, we have begun falling a Bit steeper than we did in Last years Long Range, were MACD also needed to cool off. If we fall at the same rate as previously, we will hit Neutral around June. If we fall this steeply as we are now, that could be early May - Once weekly MACD hits Neutral, PA will certsinly have enough power to push p way past the current ATH The Daily Version of the same chart shows us the support we now sit on This line of Support is not amazing in many ways, as we can see by how PA has fallen through and climbed back up through it many times What IS strong is that Fib Ext below at around 68200 but I think Will are unlikely to reach that. The Rising line of support above that at around 73K is possible, though again, I think it is unlikely. A Wick down to the 78K area is Very possible however. This week could get Volatile as we get MACRO news from the World and USA inflation data is released. Look to the future....and just BUY and GOLD Bitcoin
by Orriginal
Today's trading strategy for BTCOn the weekend, BTC experienced another significant decline and has reached the vicinity of the key support level of 80K below. There has been a slight upward movement in the short term, but the downward trend still hasn't changed. Pay attention to the trading range of 80K-87K. If it rises again, you can continue to go short. If the test of the 80K support level is effective, you can try to buy in the short term. Today's trading strategy for BTC: btcusdt sell@87K-88K tp:85K-82K-80K buy@78K-80K tp:82K-85K Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $500,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6
#BTCUSD 1DAYBTCUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is approaching a key support level, which has previously acted as a strong zone for price reversals. This level is crucial for determining the next directional move. Forecast: It is advisable to wait for the price to reach the identified support level. If the market shows signs of a bullish reversal, such as bullish candlestick patterns or strong buying pressure, a buy opportunity may be considered. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Monitor the price action near the support level and consider buying if there is confirmation of a bounce. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone to manage risk in case of a breakdown. - Take Profit: Target the next resistance levels for potential upside gains. Market Sentiment: Market sentiment will be confirmed upon testing the support level. A strong bounce would indicate bullish interest, while a breakdown may signal further downside. Waiting for confirmation will help in making a more informed decision.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
BTCUSDT - AA PatterN you can't ignore opportunity 1. (BTCUSDT)Bullish Alternative The analysis assumes a price rejection at resistance, but what if Bitcoin breaks above it? A breakout above $88,000 with strong volume could invalidate the bearish outlook and push prices toward new highs. If Bitcoin consolidates near resistance instead of rejecting, it could indicate bullish strength. 2. Fake Breakdown: Even if Bitcoin drops toward $83,555, it could be a liquidity grab rather than a true breakdown. Market makers might drive prices below support to trigger stop losses before reversing sharply. A strong bounce from $83,555 could lead to a rally instead of further downside 3. No Clear Direction – Sideways Market: The market might not follow the projected downward path and could stay range-bound. Instead of a drop, Bitcoin could consolidate between $84,000 and $87,000 for a longer period. This could invalidate both bullish and bearish setups in the short term
Long
by mrsamfx81
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" 🏁Buy entry above 93000 🏁Sell Entry below 84000 📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade 🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors. 1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers: Adoption Trends: Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish. Regulatory Environment: The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure. Halving Impact: Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025. Network Usage: Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value. Inflation Hedge Narrative: With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment. Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000. 2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟 Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD: U.S. Economy: Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets. Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral. Global Growth: China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish. Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish. Currency Markets: USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term. Commodity Prices: Oil at $68/bbl and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin. Geopolitical Risk: Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish. Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels. 3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟 COT data reflects futures positioning: Speculative Traders: Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal. Commercial Hedgers: Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral. Open Interest: 45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish. Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse. 4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟 On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity: Exchange Balances: 2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish. Transaction Volume: Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish. HODLing Behavior: 70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term. Miner Activity: Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish. Realized Price Levels: Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held. Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse. 5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Correlations with other markets: USD Strength: DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term. S&P 500: At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish. Gold: At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish. Bond Yields: U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish. Altcoins: ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish. Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate. 6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Investor and trader mood: Retail Sentiment: Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish. Analyst Views: Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed. Options Market: Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral. Fear & Greed Index: At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift. Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend. 7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟 Price projections across timeframes: Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Range: 84,000 - 88,500 Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally. Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range: 80,000 - 92,000 Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns. Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying. Long-Term (6-12 Months): Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000 Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability. Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000 Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability. Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data. Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks. 8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟 BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
1
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" 🏁Buy entry above 93000 🏁Sell Entry below 84000 📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade 🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors. 1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers: Adoption Trends: Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish. Regulatory Environment: The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure. Halving Impact: Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025. Network Usage: Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value. Inflation Hedge Narrative: With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment. Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000. 2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟 Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD: U.S. Economy: Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets. Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral. Global Growth: China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish. Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish. Currency Markets: USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term. Commodity Prices: Oil at 668/BBL and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin. Geopolitical Risk: Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish. Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels. 3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟 COT data reflects futures positioning: Speculative Traders: Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal. Commercial Hedgers: Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral. Open Interest: 45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish. Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse. 4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟 On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity: Exchange Balances: 2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish. Transaction Volume: Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish. HODLing Behavior: 70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term. Miner Activity: Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish. Realized Price Levels: Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held. Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse. 5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Correlations with other markets: USD Strength: DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term. S&P 500: At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish. Gold: At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish. Bond Yields: U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish. Altcoins: ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish. Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate. 6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Investor and trader mood: Retail Sentiment: Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish. Analyst Views: Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed. Options Market: Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral. Fear & Greed Index: At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift. Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend. 7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟 Price projections across timeframes: Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Range: 84,000 - 88,500 Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally. Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range: 80,000 - 92,000 Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns. Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying. Long-Term (6-12 Months): Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000 Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability. Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000 Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability. Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data. Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks. 8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟 BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas. Friends who continue to pay attention will know. After issuing a sell order of 91000-90000 in the early morning, BTCUSD directly fell by more than 7k points, which is profit. This is accuracy. If you follow it, then you will definitely get the same profit. This is the effect of "exclusive signal". BTCUSD: The United States establishes a Bitcoin war reserve, but will not use taxpayers' money to actively purchase additional Bitcoin. This is the main reason why Bitcoin fell sharply by 7,000 points. However, after hitting the bottom of 84,700, it rebounded quickly. As of now, the market has rebounded to 89,000. In terms of trading, we still need to pay attention to whether the range of 91,000-90,000 can be broken. If not, continue to focus on short selling. Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
Short
by JAKE_T0
BTCUSD: Big news is about to explode the market, short or buy?Dear traders, are you still struggling with how to trade Bitcoin? Buy or sell? See Jack's thoughts. The news about the inclusion of cryptocurrencies in strategic reserve currencies is about to hit the cryptocurrency market. Relevant news will be released on Saturday. On this basis, there are two results. Point 1. The market digests the heat in advance, causing the leading cryptocurrency BTCUSD to rise directly The second situation is that cryptocurrencies rise sharply after the news comes out over the weekend, and rise directly. If based on the first situation, I think it will explode in the market before and after the New York market, If based on the second situation. Then there will be a huge rise after the opening of the market over the weekend or after the news is released, similar to last weekend. So Jack has two ideas in executing transactions: 1. Combined with the short-term top structure on the technical side, it is currently sold based on the double shoulder top near 91,000, waiting for the market to test the support of 88,000 again. 2. After the market opens, continue to buy through the influence of the news, waiting for the news to ferment, and the cryptocurrency to rise sharply after the market heats up. The above two are views on short-term trading of cryptocurrencies. The final trading plan should be executed in combination with the real reaction of the market, and remember to set TP/SL when trading. Don't forget to do risk control at any time. Trading is not a one-time thing. It is a long-term thing. I am Jack. Traders who like my views remember to like me. Welcome to leave your ideas. I will discuss with you.
Long
by JAKE_T0
BTCUSD: Go long or short? 1500 points of spaceDear traders. Are you not clear about the BTCUSD transaction? See Jack's thoughts. BTCUSD: After experiencing one rise and two pullbacks today, it has tested support at 90000 and 88000 respectively. After the first test of support, it rebounded to 91500, and the second test has rebounded to 89000. From the trend, the overall short position is still short. So after this rebound, I think the support of 88000 will continue to be tested in the short term, so rebound shorting is my idea. But now there is about 1500 points of short space. So aggressive traders can choose to go long at the current price. TP90000-91000. Sell after reaching the target range. Thus, high-frequency trading can be achieved and profits can be expanded. Trading is risky. Reference needs to be cautious. How to trade in the future. Remember to pay attention to more real-time trading plans in the analysis circle. You can also leave me a message. I will answer it in time when I see it.
Long
by JAKE_T0
1
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility. An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key. The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale. Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance. The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines. The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way. And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding. Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support. See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall. To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st ) The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet. And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600 I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K Lets see if this works out
by Orriginal
BTCUSD: How to trade now? Buy or sell?Dear traders, are you not sure about the trading timing of BTCUSD? Don’t know how to trade? Then let’s take a look at Jack’s ideas. BTCUSD: The Asian market accurately reached my second TP position around 93,000, that is, 92,800, and then there was a sharp correction. But the profit of 3,000 points was seized. The London market continued to fluctuate until the eve of the New York market, maintaining below 90,000. I think this is a good buying point. The expected increase is 3,000-4,500 points. The first point is Trump’s recognition of strategic reserve resources, the second point is the rise in risk aversion, and the third point is the uncertainty of the US dollar data on Friday. These three points are very strong as support for the decline of Bitcoin. I expect the New York market to continue to expand its gains, and BTCUSD is still in a very good buying opportunity. So if you are looking forward to a trading opportunity, then it is now. Buy BTCUSD and set a take profit of 93000-94500. Set SL88000. If the profit of BTCUSD reaches your expectation, you can close the order at any time. If you want to continue to follow my ideas. Remember to follow the real-time dynamics in the analysis circle. Friends who like it remember to like and support. Thank you everyone
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by JAKE_T0
BTCUSD: Sell or buy?Yesterday, I kept saying to go long on BTCUSD, and those who followed me made huge profits. So is there more room to go long or short today? BTCUSD: The highest impact of the Asian market is around 92800, which is also very close to the range I mentioned (93000-94500). At present, with Trump's call, the demand for Bitcoin has been improved. As a strategic reserve currency, the short-term upward trend has been finalized, but the position near 92800 has not been stabilized, and the London market has fallen again. Pay attention to whether the small support near 90000 is stable. If it is unstable, take a step back and focus on buying around 88,000. Buy at a low level 90000 BUY 85000 BUY TP 92000 TP93000 TP94500 SL 87000 Remember to refer to it when trading. Pay attention to risk control,
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by JAKE_T0
BTCUSD: 5k downside is coming.Dear traders, what are your thoughts on BTCUSD trading? Buy or sell? Take a look at my thoughts. I hope it will be helpful to everyone. The bullish momentum of BTCUSD remains unabated, with only a small fluctuation of 4,000 points today. The current short-term support is at 88,000-86,000. Judging from the trend, BTCUSD will continue to rise, which depends on the early impact of non-agricultural data, so the support below BTCUSD is strong. Therefore, it is a wise choice to go long on BTCUSD. For reference only. Mainly follow the real-time trading plan within the analysis circle.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by JAKE_T0
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell stop below the MA line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors. ⭐Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors: Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market. Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day. Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation. Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011). Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period. ⭐Macroeconomic Factors Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors: Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns. Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure. Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset. Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT. Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price. ⭐Global Market Analysis Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance: Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest. Central Bank Policies: Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives. Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts. Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value. Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin. Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT. ⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis: Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish. Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines. Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze. Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias. ⭐On-Chain Analysis On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior: Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance. Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline. Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act. Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT. ⭐Market Sentiment Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology: Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds. Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines. Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance. Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty. ⭐Positioning Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market: Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline. Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling. Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend. Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest. ⭐Next Trend Move The next likely price movement is based on current data: Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning. Key Levels: Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target. Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal. Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization. Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists. ⭐Other Data Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT: Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in. Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility. Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition. Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term. ⭐Overall Summary Outlook Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
2