MY BEST BET FOR BTC🚀 High-Probability Trading Setup: The Final Shakeout Before the Gigapump 🚀
📌 Scenario Breakdown:
We are approaching a critical inflection point in the market, where price action is setting up for a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. My best bet for the upcoming move follows this sequence:
1️⃣ Final Pump to the Fibonacci Extension Pocket
- The market is likely to push higher one last time, targeting the Fibonacci range extension zone where liquidity is stacked.
- This move serves to trap breakout buyers and trigger late FOMO entries before the reversal.
- Smart money will use this opportunity to distribute while retail piles in.
2️⃣ Slow Grind Down to Range Bottom
- After tapping the key extension level, momentum will fade, and a controlled slow dump will begin.
- Market makers will use this phase to offload longs and absorb early shorts.
- Traders expecting an immediate breakdown might get shaken out as price holds the range bottom.
3️⃣ Range Top Retest – The Bull Trap
- Before the real move down, expect a sharp retest of the range highs to trap more longs.
- This fakeout will fuel the liquidity needed for the next leg down as leveraged longs get wiped out.
4️⃣ Capitulation to ~$74 k
- Once liquidity is efficiently absorbed, we’ll see a swift capitulation towards $74ish as stops get triggered en masse.
- This move will create extreme fear, forcing weak hands out of the market.
5️⃣ Rebuilding Phase: Market Inefficiency Refill & Short Trap
- After the capitulation, the market will establish a new range, filling the imbalance left behind.
- The goal? Lure in aggressive shorts, making them believe the breakdown is real.
- Once enough liquidity is stacked, the market will flip, triggering the gigapump.
📊 How to Play It:
✅ Short the top fib extension area if price action shows exhaustion, reversal signs, or a fakeout wick.
✅ Watch for liquidity absorption at the range bottom. If it holds, expect a retest of the highs.
✅ Prepare for the capitulation wick. Look for divergences, liquidation flushes, and high volume around $74k for a potential long entry.
✅ Ride the gigapump once liquidity is fully absorbed. If shorts get trapped, reversal confirmation could lead to an explosive move up.
🔮 Big Picture:
This setup is a classic smart money play, designed to trap both bulls and bears before the real move. Stay patient, trade the levels, and don’t get baited by emotions.
What do you think? Would you tweak anything in this setup? 🔥
BTCUSDTPERP
BTCUSDT at daily support, likely to bounce towards 103500The price has come down to daily support DS1. There is a likelihood that the price will find support here and will bounce. A long trade is favorable here from probability point of view. The target of this trade should be around 103.5k. There we have a resistance and the price may face struggle to cross that region and eventually retrace from there.
#BTC Support Zones Worth Watching📊#BTC Support Zones Worth Watching💥
🧠From a structural perspective, there is an opportunity to build a short structure here. If it starts to fall according to this structure, then the support zone we can pay attention to is 94500-96700.
⚠️Since the trend of the big cycle is a bullish trend, it is safer to participate in long transactions at low levels than shorting.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC rebound has been achieved📊#BTC rebound has been achieved✔️
🧠From the perspective of the graph, the triangle chose to break downwards and started to rebound after touching the yellow support area. This rise can only be defined as a rebound stage. There is no condition for building a reversal, so we can't be too optimistic. There is an expectation of a fall back when reaching the resistance area again, so we need to be alert to the risk of further decline.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC Retests Trendline Support – Breakout to $125K Incoming?BTC has once again successfully retested the rising trendline, which continues to act as strong support. Currently, the price is consolidating near the resistance zone.
If BTC breaks above this marked area, we could witness a significant rally, potentially driving the price toward $125K.
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Accumulation to Breakout: BTC’s Next Target RevealedBitcoin Analysis
After a 47% surge from the first accumulation zone, the price entered a consolidation phase.
Breaking out of the next accumulation zone, Bitcoin rallied by 61%, showcasing strong bullish momentum.
Currently, the price is consolidating again, with a potential 40% upside if the bullish trend continues.
Previous breakout levels now act as key support for any pullbacks.
#BTC Ascending Triangle Failed📊#BTC Ascending Triangle Failed❌
🧠From the perspective of the chart, we broke below the low (L), so the expectation of the ascending triangle failed. Since we chose to break down, if we want to participate in long trades, we need to find a suitable participation opportunity in the support area at a lower level.
➡️Currently in the buy zone, the risk of chasing shorts is too high. If there is a good rebound, you can pay attention to the resistance effect of the lower edge of the triangle and the blue resistance zone to participate in short trades.
➡️If the green buy zone does not rebound but directly breaks the inflection point (99501), you can pay attention to the support effect of the support line (97042)
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC/USDT LONG Ready to go higher#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 101300
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 101900
First target 103400
Second target 105500
Third target 107500
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈
🧠From the perspective of the chart, the price is gradually being compressed to form a triangle. Because this model is formed in an upward trend, we define it as an ascending triangle.
➡️If the price approaches the lower edge of the triangle and does not break the low point (L), then we can continue to be bullish, otherwise we need to wait for a lower position.
➡️If we go out of the black path, then the pullback after we break through the blue turning point is also a new long participation opportunity
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC complex consolidation phase📊#BTC complex consolidation phase☕️
🧠From a structural point of view, we have reached the resistance zone again. Only if we continue to hit a record high and then pull back can we maintain a positive attitude to be bullish, because the second goal at the weekly level has been fully achieved, so we need to be wary of the corresponding cycle adjustment.
➡️If we fall below the rising trend support line and build a short structure at the 4h level, then we need to be cautious. It may be wise to watch more and do less during this period, and try to control the position risk.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin to 34000BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️We trade in a range. After deviation at the bottom we made a deviation at the top
➡️Now would be good to see sweep liquidity at 29630
➡️Main target is full fill of next Weekly gap above.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin Cycle Top Discussion IITLDR:
Cycle Top Price: Between 123K (min.) and 144K (max.)
Cycle Top Time: Between mid-March and early April.
Bitcoin Cycle Top Price:
Bitcoin Primary Count:
Currently, Bitcoin is in the final stages of Primary Wave 5. The price has already reached the 1:1 Fibonacci extension and will likely extend higher. The following Fib extensions are:
1. 272 at 123.6K.
2. 1.382 at 130K.
3. 1.618 at 143.7K.
The primary 1.272 extension corresponds with the intermediate degree wave five target, establishing it as the most probable cycle top price.
Figure 1: Bitcoin Primary Wave Count.
Figure 2: Bitcoin Intermediate Wave 5 Count.
Bitcoin cycle Top Time:
The common practice in EW theory is to measure the 1.272 Fibonacci time extension of wave 4. According to the primary count, the Fibonacci 1.272-time ratio points to February 10th. According to the intermediate count, the Fibonacci 1.272-time ratio points to February 18th.
Figure 3: Bitcoin cycle Top Time – Primary Count.
Figure 4: Bitcoin Cycle Top Time – Intermediate Count.
Bitcoin Cycle Top According to Yearly Cycles:
The last four years have shown an interesting phenomenon. Bitcoin reached a significant top between mid-March and Early April. Should this trend persist, I expect the next cycle to top between mid-March and early April.
Figure 5: Bitcoin Yearly Cycle Tops.
Bitcoin Cycle Top According to the 4-Year Cycle:
If the March top is THE cycle top, what about the 4-year cycle? Bitcoin will likely form a higher price in an irregular correction by the end of 2025. If this scenario comes to pass, it will be in line with the 4-year cycle. The previous 4-year cycle top of 69K was also an overshooting wave B. Time will tell how the PA will evolve, but this scenario is highly likely.
Figure 6: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Top 2021.
If you read this post until the end, I appreciate your diligence. I hope it will be useful information that will help you make the most out 2025.
Best wishes
NTC
#BTC reaches resistance zone📊#BTC reaches resistance zone📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we have reached overlapping resistance zones, so we need to be alert to the risk of a pullback. This upward trend is difficult to reach a new all-time high because there is no bullish structure to support it, so it is highly likely that it will maintain a complex horizontal consolidation, so wait patiently for a pullback opportunity before considering going long.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC/USDT Ready to go higher#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 30-minute frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 98500
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 99100
First target 100090
Second target 101025
Third target 101990
Bitcoin's Bullish Surge: Is a New All-Time High Imminent?BTC/USDT has successfully broken out of a descending triangle, reclaiming momentum and trading above a key resistance level, which has now turned into strong support.
Supported by the ascending trendline, Bitcoin is showing a bullish trajectory and appears poised to test the all-time high (ATH) zone.
#Bitcoin Latest Update!#Bitcoin
There's solid support around GETTEX:92K -$94K where the price has bounced back several times.
Strong resistance lies between $99K-$99.7K, with another resistance at $102.7K, as shown by recent rejections.
After the recent pullback from the December high, the price seems to be consolidating. Signs of potential recovery are emerging.
Keep a close watch on these key levels!
IMO, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will consolidate in this range, and #alts will likely bounce.
Stay tuned, and share your thoughts in the comments.
Follow for more updates.
#Crypto
DYOR, NFA
What comes up must go down!
Looking at the bigger timeframes (4H) btc has been rejected on a major resistance level. This could potentially bring us back down ton the green support zone. But I am safing it and taking profits at the yellow downwardsloping line.
Looking at the 15min it looks like we are making lower highs and soon to be lower lows.
Looking at the 5min we get reminded of that we could still back test the resistance zone but we are currently most likely to break down since we are in a steep downtrend.
Looking at the 1min timeframe I can see the higher lows at the micro trend but keep in mind that we are on the beginning of a downtrend on the bigger picture. I think the stop loss is perfectly executed above the previous lower high and I will now look forward to make the trade risk free! I think that btc easily could go down 4% based on price action.
Bitcoin Pushes Higher: Is $104K the Next Stop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous post and even made the correction .
Bitcoin is breaking the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , and I expect this zone to be broken soon, and then Bitcoin is ready to attack the Next Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $96,320, we can expect more fall.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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