Unpopular opinion, but someone had to do itCongrats all Bitcoin holders, on breeching the $45K mark.
However, take caution if you're derivatives, or keep your eyes peels if you miss the boat and are looking to get it.
Zoom out. Go to the weekly time frame of BTCUSDT.
1) BTC is approaching a weekly liquidity grab zone (46,382 - 50,268)
2) I'm looking at a liquidity grabbing event at that area, with an average of 15-20% dip on BTC price (yes. slam me, flame me, hate on me).
3) If dip happens from 47,374, it should fall till around (37,630 - 36,207)
If dip happens from 50,268, it should fall till around (40,220 - 42,591)
Of course that said, this is crypto. In this wav 2 bull market, FOMO is real. Not surprise even if BTC "Moons" till 64,000 levels. But I'm confident of a strong liquidity grabbing event before any real consistent push happens.
Analysis are purely my own thoughts. I'm not a pro. So take it with a pinch of salt
Btcusdttrade
BTCUSDT ready for breakout to the upsideThe price has been trading inside and below the resistance for long. A few time, it managed to even go beyond the resistance zone, however, it did not manage to close above this resistance on 4h or 1D time frame. And this all price movement seems to be a consolidation before the upward move. Therefore, I think the breakout is near. A long is favorable from this area. The target should be the weekly resistance zone which is sitting around 46300-48100.
BTCUSDT at 4h support, likely to head up to monthly resistanceThe price is almost revisiting the 4h support zone. Lets long from this zone by slowly adding to the position. I believe this zone will hold the price and make the price move up towards monthly resistance. The target of this trade should be 43700 which is also the start of the recent break down and also the entry into the monthly resistance zone.
BTCUSDT ready to aim monthly resistance againThe price visited that 4h support area and dipped further below before quickly moving up. The monthly resistance did its job. This bounce from the support should aim for the monthly resistance again. Therefore, a long is favorable here with a good entry. I will share a long setup in a separate post.
BTCUSDT on monthly resistanceLast we discussed the price action in october and we talked about the bounce from weekly liquidity zone offering maximum opportunity on the long side. The price action indeed was in agreement with that proposition. The price moved very steep move to the upside since then. It has now hit the monthly resistance where it is taking a respite. I believe the price will pause here probably after another push to the upside and experience some pullback before breaking this resistance. At first a pullback to the zone 41200-41700 cant be ruled out. There will be some long and short opportunity on lower time frames which I will share separately as I will take those trades.
BTC will continue to increase stronglyBitcoin ETFs give investors access to the world's largest cryptocurrency without having to hold the assets themselves. Instead, you can buy stocks backed by Bitcoin purchased from the issuer.
Seifert pointed out another caveat. Even if the SEC were to approve a rule change to allow ETF trading, it would be completely separate from approval of a fund's registration statement. Both applications must be approved for the pending Bitcoin ETF to begin trading
Although it may take months for a Bitcoin ETF to start trading, recent price gains prove that investors are optimistic about this event. BTC rose more than 20% in October thanks to hopes that the long-awaited approval of the Bitcoin Spot ETF may finally materialize. A person familiar with Grayscale's efforts to convert GBTC into a Bitcoin ETF said yesterday that the company is actively discussing the application with the SEC.
But a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF isn't just about increasing BTC prices.
BTCUSDT accumulating for big move upto 29336The price is consolidating around the daily support. The price tapped that liquidity zone thrice and still trading above it. This is indeed an accumulcation for a upward move. The volume is low and still price not able to move down. This clearly indicates that it is accumulation and the price is due to move up. I think soon we will continuation of upward move which will last longer than any occassional spurt to the upside we have seen recently. So I see a long to be favorable for a long term position from this level. For short term trade, the idea is to aim for the daily resistance WR1 around 29336.
BTCUSDT at resistance, likely to head down to 27066-27166The previous long trade did not work out as the price fell below the support we were expecting to hold the price. Now the price has come up to test that support area which is now acting as resistance. The price may move further down to the 4h support 4HS1.
BTC target 29k in October4h time frame
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According to previous analysis about Butterfly pattern on Bitcoin(ref.1), there is a PRZ around 29000~29400. Today, we are going to talk about the time analysis, if take a look at the analysis about Bitcoin bear bottom (ref.2), a potential top structure-head and shoulders was pointed out in that post. Further, separating the left shoulder into two waves, from the dumping wave(31000~24700) took 62 days to create. This date range allows us to estimate the time that right shoulder needs, and the best timing to reach RS top is before end of October.
Obviously, once Bitcoin start pumping and going into PRZ, we can open short there, and there are two scenarios(white & blue trend), I will talk about these two potential scenarios, including target, stop loss and risk in near future
ref.1
ref.2
BTCUSDT likely to head towards daily resistance at 28106-28306The price breached through 4h resistance 4HR1 after being pushed down initially on the test of this resistance from below. Now it has retested this resistance and this resistance is going to probably act as a support. And therefore, the price is going to go higher from there. This makes a conducive environment for a long trade on this pair. The target of this trade should be daily resistance DR1 which is sitting around 28106-28306.
BTC 2 scenarios about short & long2h time frame
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(1)Head and Shoulders
On the left chart, Bitcoin made a potential HS as our previous analysis. Currently Bitcoin broke the neckline at 26378 and is going to retest it, if get rejection at 26378 again and broke below 25990, Bitcoin will finish the retest of HS structure, and target is 25270.
(2) Falling wedge
On the right chart, Bitcoin is creating a potential wedge, which could be regarded as the continuation structure of the pump wave(24853~27485). Bitcoin might make a lower low at 25800 to reach the wedge bottom again, where is also the Fibonacci retracement 0.382. Therefore, we can keep an eye on that range to open long, if Bitcoin get rid of this falling wedge, target is 27484~27827 first.
BTCUSDT at daily support, likely to bounce to 27096-27196Our swing long idea is still active and running but here is a short term long trade idea for BTCUSDT. The price has hit the daily support DS1 and it is likely to bounce towards 4h resistance 4HR1. Therefore, a long is favorable from this support towards that resistance 4HR1. This resistance zone is sitting around 27096-27196.
🟢 BTCUSDT 🟢 LONG - Globally 23-321-day Chart - BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSDT BITTREX:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
After a forceful downward movement, we witnessed a rebound in the nearest FTA zone.
I anticipate a downward movement towards the 23000 mark, with a potential breakout to the 27500 level.
Following the downward movement and potential SMR manipulation, I plan to observe a near-term target at 32500.
P.S. If you liked the idea, hit the "Rocket" 🚀 (👇) – it would greatly motivate me. This will provide me with additional encouragement to continue sharing my market insights.
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BTCUSDT likely to head towards daily support around 26266-26500The price did not hold the previous daily support and broke down from there. It did not claim that support quickly and went further in the downward direction. This suggests that the price wants to visit at the next daily support which is marked as DS1 on the chart. This support is sitting around 26266-26500. I believe the price has a better chance to bounce from there now. In case for a long, I think we should have patience for the price to reach there. Meanwhile short trades can be taken on bounces on lower time frame.
BTCUSDT at daily support, likely to head up to daily resistanceThe 4h support shared last time did not hold and did not provide the bounce we were expecting for a long trade. The price fell down and came to daily support zone DS1. I believe this one should hold and the price should bounce from here. The bounce will likely towards daily resistance zone DR1 but it might face some difficulties around 29566 area. The price might still dip below the current daily support but should come back up again soon. By the way, I think this weekly candle is going to be green and if not and the price kind of maintained this zone without a significant drop by the end of this week, we shall see a green weekly candle next week.
BTCUSDT likely to head up from 2h/4h supportThe long idea has made us wait really long and the short we took did not work out. The price has come back down after spiking through the daily resistance DR1. I would really have like the price to reach to the 4h support 4HS1 in order to take a long trade as originally planned. However, I do see a case for the price bouncing from 2h support 2HS1. It has done so previously and has aimed towards 4h resistance 4HR1. Its again setting up the same scenario. I might allocate some amount in this support zone and wait for the price to come to 4HS1 for the rest. Apart from this short term view, I think BTC is ready for a good move towards upside soon. The stage is kind of being set and prepared and we shall see that very soon. The medium/long term view I will share in a separate post. But in short, I think we see a bigger up move without going below our recent lows made in last days.