Teleperformance : Bubble about to pop.Ladies and gentlemen, i'm trying a new format here. Please let me know what you think about it.
What is Teleperformance ?
Teleperformance is an omnichannel company headquartered in France. Company revenue totaled US$5.258 billion in 2018. The action outperforms most of the french assets during the last 8 years with an increase of more than 1200%.
Type of trade : Reversal.
Type of market : irrational (bubble).
My view :
People who follow me know something : "Trees don't grow to the sky".And i'm the woodcutter.
The chart has make a nice parabolic structure which is about to end. Let the crash begin.
Stop-loss : Over/= 221.
Please tel me in the comment section which asset you would see me to analyse.
DISCLAIMER : I'm not financial advisor. You trade at your own risk.
CONTACT : If you want more information, please send me a pm.
Bubblemarket
BIGTIME December first bubbleThis is the example of bubble phase,
Bigtime already bullish with more than 500% to $1 at all time high only in 14 days,
you can see that bigtime already finish "bulltrap phase"
and right now we are in "return to normal phase"
next phase is fear, capitulation, despair, and return to the mean.
NVDA: The ultimate bubble stock?If there is ever a sign that there has been NO capitulation in this stock market, $NVDA has to be it because we still have uninformed reckless BTFD behaviour. Last night post-earnings price action was a case-in-point. Consider this, between Jan 2019 to Feb 2023, the stock has gone up c.8x while eps remains approximately the same at $1.76 for FY ending Jan 2023 vs. $1.70 for FY19.
Yesterday, punters pushed the stock +14% to reward $NVDA for achieving 0.2% yoy revenue growth, a 1/3 drop in EBITDA margin from c.45% to c.29%, eps declining c.37% yoy. The end result is $NVDA current shareholders pay c.3% over US 10-yr risk-free rate for the right to own this stock and get 0% free-cash-flow yield on c.81x EV-to-T12M EBITDA valuations.
Yes, AI is the future, $NVDA mentioned it 75x in its earnings call, but the numbers don't lie. In the meantime, after the +14% pop, price action is now at a 1.27x extension into a 0.618x retracement level with a key price volume resistance level and overbought MACD. The posVol indicator in the lower pane basically measures % volume traded in the past month that can be attributed to green days and yes, it is gone over the edge and is mean reverting.
Good luck to those who dared, best of luck to those with patience, as usual, stay safe and happy hunting!
Even the Crypto Market Cap formed a Head and ShouldersIn my opinion the crypto bubble is going to really burst soon! I used to trade crypto but ultimately went to FX due to it being a more stable system. I was getting sick of crypto exchanges getting hacked, stealing peoples money and other numerous problems that went a long with the cryptoverse. Anyone could open a crypto exchange which in itself causes a lot of problems if they don't have any basic knowledge of economic systems.
I used to trade on the New Zealand exchange (forgot the name) and for some reason I just didn't trust holding my crypto with them so i took it out and not even 2 weeks later they claimed they got hacked. A ton of people lost millions of dollars in the process so for me I personally love regulated exchanges (FX) because of this!
ETHEREUM SHORT / ETH SHORTI am in love with the Cryptocurrencies, Blockchain, De-Fi and Web 3.0 and I will continue to search about this revolution.
The Ethereum is one of the best in blockchain and I really like the purpose and vision of the founder and community. I love this kind of projects: Ethereum, Cardano...
Although I do not see the security of the code as very effective, I like this proyect on the long-term.
I think it's unfortunate that the world looks rigid to prices, to some numbers. Many of us here are investors and we are looking for returns. When things get ugly, even if we don't want it to, they get ugly and no one can change it.
I have given details about this crash on other ideas, specially a cryptocurrency edition: "THE BITCOIN CRASH" (where I explain the crash of cryptocurrencies and bitcoin), I recommend you to take a lot at it for a further investigation.
On Ethereum , we can see the highest peak: 4872.56 on 10 Nov, 2021 . And on the 18 Jun, 2022 the price was 993.94 : representing a fall of -78.65%
If we take a look at the S&P 500 , we can see the highest peak: 4818.04 on 04 Jan, 2022 . And on the 22 Jun, 2022 the price was 3666.32 : representing a fall of 23.71%
Where is the problem here? well if we take a look of all the crisis we have had, the drop was always between -45% and -60%. As far as we can "estimate", another fall is coming. Apart from the percentage of fall, the crisis in which we are still not over... then the market unfortunately need another drop...
If we look at the S&P 500 it needs another fall of -23.71% since 993.94 (but we can see a more abrupt and longer fall).
If we look at Ethereum it needs another fall of -78.65% since 3666.32 (but we can see a more abrupt and longer fall).
Leaving us the price of Ether (ETH) at 221
I know that Ethereum will soon release its Ethereum 2.0 update and if all goes well the programs and applications on Ethereum will be more agile, and it can serve as a small support to the price of Ether.
But inflation is inflation, falls are falls, crisis are crisis...
Unfortunately this will be a long recovery since all the bubbles in the world have come together and created a huge one (check my linked ideas to know more).
I wish long life and development of cryptocurrencies. Remember that not everything is the price, human development and progress is worth more than that.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. YOU AND YOU ONLY ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DECISIONS YOU MAKE.
Any idea or point of view that you want to contribute in the comments, you are welcome, thanks for reading a like would be appreciated <3
Thanks you very much,
Have a nice day!
Dow Jones weekly market analysisDow Jones forming a higher low in the market trend indicating weak in the trend. and very correlated and similar in the S&P 500 and how I compare the behavior in the past. Because we see that:
Dow Jones could to forming a similar pattern like what we lived on 2008 in this Bubble financial in the stock market. What it's very important to study it how we compare their behavior in the past, and also this help to identify and be prepare to short stock market.
So guys, I don't going to write a lot here, because it's very similar what S&P 500 do
That it's all my information that I can to bring you
Also, I suggested to read my 2 analysis below about this content to related idea.
THE BITCOIN CRASHIt is clear that the cryptocurrency bubble has suffered a fall, but the worst is yet to come.
Bitcoin does not have any kind of value, and this reminds me of the .com bubble of 99... where only those companies that really provided good value survived.
Well, I think something will happen this way with the "Blockchain" technology. Many worthless projects will be destroyed and only those with a very good value will survive in the future.
The currency "Bitcoin" is not a PONZI. What is a PONZI is the number of projects that are created in order to scam people, we have already seen many scams... Squidgame token... Omicron Coin... LUNA... USDT??
These scam projects or projects with pure FOMO and meaningless, as they happened in the 99's, will devastate the entire Blockchain and economic sector...
Bitcoin has provided a great technology, the "Blockchain" that is why I appreciate it like many other people. Bitcoin is great and I'm a big fan of it, but sadly, the bubble is going to burst.
Without a doubt THE WORST WORLD CRISIS as I mentioned in my other article of "2023 Global Crisis". It's literally not one bubble, it's several... You would see this bubble as a bubble within a bubble within a bubble within a bubble within a bubble within a BIG bubble. If any bubble bursts (which will burst), the rest will too, maybe a little longer or a little less, but they will.
In the graph you can see that my levels to which Bitcoin can fall are between $6,000 and $25
Some people will call me crazy, but in reality my figure is not true since no one can predict the PRICE of the market. What people can predict is how other people predict a price with FOMO. You don't have to be a genius to see it, you just have to walk away from the party and see how others enjoy very loud music while the next morning everyone is on the floor.
Please do your own research and do a lot of research on this. DO NOT PUT YOUR MONEY IN CRYPTO STABLE COINS, Thanks.
I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR. YOU AND ONLY YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR INVESTMENTS AFTER READING THIS ARTICLE.
Thank for reading this article (if anyone has read it),
A pleasure to share my advice,
Esiquiel ;)
Economic Bubbles and EMA 100/200 seems to be playing outThe Ethereum chart seems to be following the analysis provided at April 7th where the 20 EMA dropped down below 200 EMA and is continuing downwards towards the 100 EMA and the 50 EMA signalling continuation of this analysis provided on April 7th.
ETH has so far dropped from April 3rd to its point now by 17% and from April 7th by almost 10%.
This is not financial advice.
SPX SPXUSD 12M Measured Bubble MoveMonths back I decided to attempt to predict a local topping of the S&P 500 in various ways. One symbolic aspect was to compare the moves of a previous crash to an asset bubble top... Simply measured the bottom of the '87 Crash to the top of the Dot.com Bubble -- I measured from the bottom of the Financial crisis crash to where that equal percentage move would be. In hindsight, I find this even more interesting over the past few weeks... Thus far, the recent topping was near 35 points of the symbolic measured move.
WHALES WANT YOU TO BUYLook at a weekly perspective, whales are not trying to buy at this prices, they are trying to sell the crypto they posses. Always the crypto crashes are fast and then it consolidates for at least 6 to 8 months. We are gonna see a lot of bull traps to make us think it will go to the moon. 30K. First take profit for short. And if we have the oportunity to buy at 14k- 8k (The fixed range and volume of interest for whales massive buy) will be ideal for a new cycle of bull trend. Cryptos are very interesting right now i'm not gonna lie.
WORLDLINEWorldline is a French multinational payment and transactional services company founded in 1970, Revenue: 4.8 billion EUR (2020).
Mega Bubble shortly impacted by Covid19.
--------------------------------------
Trading Parts
--------------------------------------
Buy Zone : 67$
Rebuy Zone : 61.5$
TP1 : 69.9$ (Security TP)
TP2 : 73.5$
TP3 : 79.9$
--------------------------------------
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTCUSD "Economic Bubble"?Thought it fitting to sketch Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue "Economic Bubble"model over BTCUSD Weekly TF.
Imagine how fast this would move once "FEAR" was to properly set in.
Thoughts on price action over the next month?
"DISCLAIMER: NO ADVICE. The information presented here is general in nature and is for education purposes only. Nothing should be considered to be advice. You should consult with an appropriate professional for specific advice tailored to your situation."
Triple DIV on Daily as well - Take profit/shortHi folks!
As those of you who have followed my predictions for a while now are aware of, I have a massive bearish bias these days
- while my predictions in the last weeks have yet to become a reality, my stated short positions are still alive and well.
This is first and foremost due to the extremely scary macroeconomic state (and thus fragility of the financial markets),
but also the fact that we have had massive Bearish Divergence on both RSI, MACD and (most importantly) Volume in almost asset classes.
Today, the triple DIV played out in BTCUSD on the daily as well, piling on to my bearishness.
My position placed today is Short BTCUSD at 49500, SL 56000, TP 30000 - adding to my short from 46300 with SL 52000 and TP 30000.
For the record, I also hold over 30% of my portfolio in VIX futures (@VIXY) due to the mentioned macro picture.
The reason is a combination of systemic overvaluation in addition to the fact that liquidity is evaporating from the markets (just check trading volume and decrease in margin debt).
I would state that shorting is a risky business, and that just taking profits and/or buy volatility contracts might be a preferable option here.
I would never recommend shorting to anyone unless one feels extremely confident in the probability distribution and you know how to manage risks -
I just state my position to let you know that I put my money where my mouth is.
DYOR.
NFA.
Never take the word of others as a given - and never take advise from someone who has no skin in the game.
I wish you all well.
CRASH on the S&P500 and the economy / PART 2 ( Update )----------------------------------------------
REMINDER
----------------------------------------------
We did a few months ago an analysis on the S&P500 chart based on some behavior patterns, which would trigger some results, we marked some crash zones, but the fundamentals have changed this past scenario.
What is the reason for this change? The big dollar printing by the Federal Reserve and the unwary investors who have been lured by these big gains. This generated a short squeeze that has continued to drive the price higher.
The chart has changed, but what has not changed is the price projection. We are still in the Crash Danger Zone, this zone will never disappear until the market has made a deeper correction.
Pay attention, because we are facing a complex situation, and here a good management is the only thing that will help us.
----------------------------------------------
ANALYSIS
----------------------------------------------
On the one hand, we still have a prolonged Divergence, which ALWAYS triggers an extremely strong correction. On the other hand, the fibonacci calculations have been rendered obsolete by the short squeeze generated, but this has triggered a Bubble pattern. The curved red line is the guide to the pattern we are talking about.
Normally bubble patterns, when they break the curve strongly and consistently, usually lose 60% of the value of the asset, then a strong rebound to 61% Fibo, and end with a total fall of 70% 80% or 90% of the value.
After this... the market is as if it were dead. If the asset has a real and natural value... This zone becomes an accumulation zone. ( Buy )
All this mentioned is the normal behavior of this type of patterns. But as we are talking about a very important and controlled market .... We must watch all the support zones marked on the chart.
In normal circumstances or less important graphs... It should penetrate all the support zones no matter what the zones are. But in this market we must be pending in each support zone and go managing our stop loss with caution and without greed. I do not recommend looking at earnings, simply be guided by the drawing and manage well the Traling Stop.
I would like to remind anyone who has forgotten... that before a sharp fall in the market... We are warned with viruses, from 2 to 3 viruses, and then always comes the crash. I did not invent this, it is written in the chart.
----------------------------------------------
HOW DO WE MANAGE IT?
----------------------------------------------
For all this, I recommend caution.
- If you are in a trade or you are in the market, the most advisable is to have a traling stop below the bubble curve.
- For the more risky, we can prepare our progressive shorts as the price continues to rise.
- For the more conservative, you can wait for the bubble to burst and on the bounce towards the 61% fibo area, open a bearish trade.
Best of luck to all.