Bullflags
AAPL | $240 by 2025To keep it simple, the bull flag pattern is still working away after a successful retest.
Some may ask why are we still in the same area, and the answer to that may be the ascending triangle pattern that we dove into right after the break. You can see its constructed with falling wedges, and I believe the next burst of price action will send us flying towards $212.
In a bearish scenario I would like to see price break below $177 with a bearish retest to invalidated the triangle, and a break below $166 to scrap the long term rally.
For now I'll be eyeing short term price action for any accumulation patterns within the falling wedge pattern around $180. Doing this will allow the entries to be placed early in time for the anticipation of whats next to come, and leaves less risk on the table from a technical perspective.
1D Inj/USD BUllFlag Breakout.Inj/Usd has been ranging for the past 61 days in a bullflag and is gearing up for new alltime highs. My target is a solid $50 dollar because of a strong psychological level. We need to break the trend line and retest trendline to confirm breakout. Supertrend also turned to a buy signal on the 1 day chart. I think once we break the $40 dollar level, 50 dollars is in play. Please use proper risk management and not financial advice.
Please leave a comment about other opinions!
INJ/USDT READY FOR A BIGGEST PUMP!! TARGET WILL BE $200Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this INJ/USDT Trade setup.
INJECTIVE PROTOCOL (INJ) looks super bullish here. Breaks out from the bull flag in the daily time frame. Buy some here and accumulate more in the dip. Expecting a great 400-500% pump in the upcoming bull run.
Entry range:- $35-$38
Target1:- $76
Target2:- $112
Target3:- $160
Target4:- $216
Invalidation:- Daily close below $32
What do you think about this? Let me know in the comment section.
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PLUG - flagging at rest for continuation LONGPLUG on the 120 minute chart is resting on its trend up. Earnings are about 4 weeks ahead.
The uptrend has been solid. Two bull flag patterns are noted along the way. They follow
pops on the Relative Trend Index indicator also showing bullish buying volatility on the
Relative Volatility indicator. I see the rest ( consolidation) as a good point to add into my
ongoing long position for PLUG which recently got an upgrade and higher target by more than
one analyst. For a basic and simple trade, take the 3rd upper VWAP band at 6.35 as the target
the mean VWAP at 4 as the stop loss for a basic3:! R:r trade. For something better zoom into
a 15-30 minute time frame reset the anchored VWAP and fine tune.
BTC still trading withing Bull FlagBitcoin is at 42.8k and still trading within the premises of BULL FLAG pattern...
Which in my opinion is a good range to trade but we may see some volatility hitting market soon maybe in the upcoming days or weeks...
What do you think will BTC touch that lower zone?
Which is around 34-36k zone
Drop your opinion below..
I will read all
Bitcoin Bear Market Bull flagsHi Investors/traders
Today I'm looking at the 2 week chart of BTC on a line chart. We are comparing the bear markets with a bull flag out look. Although they are NOT technical bull flags they bare some similarities with the support and resistance areas along with false breakouts. We will go over false break outs and they usually mean and result in.
There are only two indicators in this chart although one is turned off for the purpose of clarity and keeping the chart clean. The one not visible is the (Bitcoin Fibonacci Log Regression) and the (CM_Ult_MacD_MTF) it is basically the MACD with different colors, a line that marks the zero and dots to mark crosses.
As we can clearly see the 2 week MacD has had an upward cross which has historically marked the bottom was in and momentum is slowly being gained on the upside. This should tell you the fight to battle resistance zones has already begun.
False breakouts whether they are on the upside or downside act the same way. As we can see in 2018 Bitcoin was in a down ward trading channel (Bull Flag) and broke out of it on the downside, it then recovered back into the channel, which is a bullish move as we can see the result was a fairly substantial run afterwards.
Last year Bitcoin did the same thing but opposite. It broke out of the channel but to the upside this time, then falling back into the channel again proving to be a false breakout. This is a very bearish move, But when does is it end? Well, no one knows, probably not the answer you're looking for. Clues for the answer to this question In my experience are in the indicators. One powerful indicator is the MACD, especially on the 2 week. The RSI as well is a very powerful indicator although not in this chart is showing a bullish divergence. Also a third indicator that is very powerful is the Stochastic RSI, which itself is also showing momentum is on the rise as well. Does this mean BTC will flip bullish any moment? No. Does it mean we will not go lower? No. There is no 100% guarantee, only risk management. Historically what we can see here is that it has been a very good time to buy and a reversal would come in the next few weeks or months.
I have two possible targets on this chart, why? First off no knows the actual future of anything. The only thing we can do is use educated guesses. By looking at at history, and using indicators, we can try to plot how the future could happen. After that we just follow a and see where it goes. So, the possible targets.... If you believe in manipulation of outcomes, (covid) being one and the addition of (leverage trading) and (Derivatives). I see people arguing that it affected the price of BTC, the crypto market and caused anomalies. Anomalies always happen, like we said earlier there is no certainty. However, one action begets and equal opposite reaction. so, it there is any truth to these things they will eventually correct one way or another. The only thing we can go by are the facts, the facts are BTC had a bull run, it then pulled back, then it had a false breakout, that then lead to the collapsed, and now is showing that momentum is flipping to upwards again. You could say this is all just junk information, but by comparing it to the stock to flow we can see there is something to it. I have stock to flow comparison charts as well.
Another thing to be aware of is that BTC as of the FTX debacle, is now untethered from the stock market. What does that mean? I don't know. For how long or permanent? I don't know.
Yes, Bitcoins moves throughout it's history have been mirrored to stocks.
I want to add that a break and close below 13.7k is not a good thing and it's not a buy in my opinion. I think a close under 13.7k will eventually lead to a bigger collapse to at least 3k and would take years and years to recover. I do have this scenario in the chart as well, however I don't expect it at this point in time. I'm not saying that the price can't go below and quickly recover, I'm saying if it does go below and does not quickly recover, than there are most likely bigger problems in the market.
Time will answer these questions from above. I think within 6 months a lot of these questions will be answered. So sit tight and let's see.
Thank you for looking
leave questions or comments below
WeAreSat0shi
A perfect example of an Ascending Triangle breakout on the dailyHere we can see NVDA just poked out of this perfect Ascending triangle which aligns with the hourly Cup and handle that we have been tracking. Currently no ceiling in place, and the next demand zone sitting down at the $482-$475 range, which would be my next target if this does decide to break back down. On the flipside, looking like another another Bull flag forming on the 15, would def keep an eye on that.
MATIC - A Simple Flag#MATIC
This Simple Flag following the breakout with volume is exactly what we want to see.
If one large and full body candle had large volume and a #doji that had more couldn't retrace any distance to speak of, do you think up or down has more pressure pushing it ATM...?
Doge Pay Day Possible Flag Forming on 15m towards top trendlineThe Flag is kind of sloppy but it can be blamed on BTC and market movements just an idea here because if you measure how much the flag gives you it brings us exactly to the upper trendline for another possible 3rd touch and possible breakout again or of course rejection
You can see my other Doge Chart below where I called the breakout perfectly reaching 100% of the target originating from invesrse H&S
I do stress caution and to take profits along the way as doge has been swinging around on dips from bitcoin
ADA PREPING FOR A 6% MOVE UP!ADA has had a slow move up and is now rangebound in a beautiful bull-flag pattern. When looking at the bull-flag, we can see that the price seems to want to move higher. If in fact it does begin to move higher and breakout, the next major resistance would be the range highs around 41 cents.
Lets stay patient and see if we will get a breakout which would mean an opportunity to long!
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Bull Flag breakout on SPY could pull back to fill gapsWhen we take a closer look at the breakout of this flag on the daily, we can see that SPY has 3 gaps to fill. The first being 442, then 431, then the final gap at 424. I expect these gaps to fill in after SPY tappers off around 559 ish if not sooner. Gaps should fill within the next 90 to 120 days before we move back up for the spring summer run of 2024.
BTC "Long Term Bull Flag?"To begin, sorry I am a very novice trader and analyst. This is my first ever share
Looking at the 2019 wave up I am seeing a Bull Flag, typically only short term formations are classified as such, else it's a Descending Channel. I think this may have some merit on a zoomed out look. If the having does indeed affect prices we could see this occur around or shortly after.
Thoughts? or Reasons that this could in no way be classified as a bull flag? *Still Learning*
Bullish Flag Pattern Confirmed for BTC with $39k Target
Bitcoin (BTC) has just achieved a bullish flag pattern, setting the stage for a potentially explosive price surge! 🚀
For those of you who are not familiar with this pattern, let me break it down for you. A bullish flag occurs when an asset experiences a strong upward move, followed by a brief period of consolidation in the form of a flag shape. This consolidation phase is often seen as a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that the previous uptrend is likely to resume with even more vigor.
Now, why is this so significant for BTC? Well, this bullish flag formation suggests that Bitcoin's recent uptrend is intact and poised for a powerful rally. It's like a coiled spring, ready to unleash its potential. This could be a game-changer for all of us!
So, what's the next step? It's time to take action and capitalize on this golden opportunity. I encourage you to consider going long on BTC, as the bullish flag pattern indicates a potential surge in price. This could be the perfect moment to ride the wave and potentially reap substantial profits.
Here's a quick call-to-action for you:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive deep into the market analysis, keeping a close eye on BTC's recent performance, key support and resistance levels, and any relevant news or events that could impact its price.
2. Set up a solid trading plan: Define your entry and exit points, determine your risk tolerance, and establish a clear strategy to maximize your gains while minimizing potential losses.
3. Utilize advanced trading tools: Leverage the power of sophisticated trading platforms and indicators to identify favorable entry points, manage your positions effectively, and stay ahead of the game.
4. Stay updated: Continuously monitor BTC's price action and market sentiment to adapt your strategy accordingly. Remember, flexibility is key in the ever-changing world of trading.
5. Take calculated risks: While the bullish flag pattern is exciting, it's important to remember that trading involves risk. Make informed decisions and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Remember, this is not financial advice, but rather an exciting opportunity that has presented itself. It's up to you to seize the moment and make the most of it!
So, what are you waiting for? Get ready to catch the BTC bull by its horns and embark on an exhilarating trading journey. Let's ride this wave together and make the most of this potential rally!
Bull Flag - EGHere I have EUR/GBP on the 1Hr Chart exhibiting a Flag Pattern that looks quite BULLISH.
Now my analysis on this pair is pieced together mostly Fundamentally given that EUR & GBP both went through the ringer this morning with the Purchasing Managers Index.
BUT, EUR will be taking the cake for the rest of the week for news with:
German Business Climate & President Lagarde Speaking - Wednesday
&
Main Refinancing Rate, Monetary Policy Statement and ECB Press Conference - Thursday
If news turns out positive for EUR, that could give EUR what it needs to fulfill this Bull Flag and Break Bullish bringing the price higher!!
-OR-
Could make this Set-up impossible to find a legitimate entry..
KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE!!!
Advanced Bull Flag ConceptsHave you ever wondered why price action sometimes forms a bull flag pattern?
Have you ever wondered if there is a way to predict whether a bull flag will break out before it actually does so?
In this post, I will try to address these questions by presenting a couple of theories about the nature of bull flags.
Bull Flag Theories
(1) The flag structure of a bull flag tends to form along Fibonacci levels, with the ideal flag proportion being an approximated golden ratio to the flagpole; and
(2) Fibonacci and regression analyses can provide useful insight into whether price will successfully break out of its bull flag pattern, sometimes long before price even attempts to do so.
I will try my best to clearly explain both theories in detail below.
Note: Although this analysis is also generally true for bull pennants, bear flags, and bear pennants, to keep things simple I will focus solely on bull flags. Additionally, this analysis is generally true across timeframes.
Part I - The Basics of a Bull Flag
First, let's begin with the basics. As shown in the image below, bull flags form when an asset is in a strong uptrend. The uptrend forms the flagpole of the bull flag structure.
The flag structure forms when price consolidates, usually in a falling trend. This consolidation phase is often characterized by price oscillators rotating back down while the price retraces only a small part of its prior upward move.
From a market psychology perspective, bull flags often form when most market participants who bought the asset continue to hold it expecting the uptrend to resume, while only a minority of market participants sell (or short the asset) as its price corrects downward. The bull flag pattern is a continuation pattern because it reflects the market's general expectation that price will eventually resume its upward move.
Once the price definitively breaks above the upper channel of the flag (often with strong momentum and high volume), the bull flag pattern is validated. Upon breakout, the expected move up is equal to the vertical height of the flagpole.
Part II - The flag structure of a bull flag tends to form along Fibonacci levels, with the ideal flag proportion being an approximated golden ratio to the flagpole
Here's where things begin to get interesting. Below is the golden ratio.
Two quantities, a and b (where a > b ), form the golden ratio if their ratio is the same as the ratio of their sum to the larger of the two quantities. (See the equation below)
The equation above shows the Greek letter phi which denotes the golden ratio. Phi is equivalent to a/b when such ratio is also equivalent to (a + b)/a.
Although bull flags can take various forms, it is my hypothesis, based on chart analysis and research, that the most perfectly structured bull flags (ones that also have the highest probability of successful breakouts) occur when the flag forms a golden ratio to the flagpole.
Mathematically, this means that the vertical height of the flagpole is equivalent to (a + b) and the vertical height (i.e. the width) of the flag is equivalent to b. This is also to say that price retraces down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level as measured by applying Fibonacci retracement levels along the flagpole (or to the 0.618 point on the vertical height of the flagpole if one measures from the bottom to top).
I realize that this can be quite confusing, so let’s walk through some visualizations.
Let's first visualize this hypothesis using the golden rectangle. Below is an image of the golden rectangle. A golden rectangle is composed of a square (with sides equal to a) and a smaller golden rectangle (with width equal to b and length equal to a).
Now let's rotate the golden rectangle to better visualize the hypothesized flag pattern.
The bull flag is hypothetically an approximation of the golden rectangle, whereby the width of the flag is in a golden ratio approximation to the length of the flagpole.
In the illustration below, there are multiple bull flags contained within a Fibonacci spiral. The spiral is made up of golden rectangles, with each larger golden rectangle containing a smaller golden rectangle inside it. The smaller golden rectangle is the flag structure, and the length of the larger golden rectangle is the flagpole.
One can think of the Fibonacci spiral and the golden rectangles as a series of bull flags that build on top of each other in a repeating pattern. In this diagram, price is represented by the increasing length of the sides of each golden rectangle. In other words, the price on a chart can be seen as spiraling higher after each bull flag breakout.
Of course, not all bull flags form a structure that approximates the golden ratio, but it is my belief that in forming a bull flag, price action is aspiring to achieve as close of a golden ratio approximation as it can. I believe that the bull flags that best approximate the golden ratio structure also present the highest probability for a successful break out.
To learn more about Fibonacci spirals, including the golden spiral that Fibonacci spirals approximate, you can check out this Wikipedia article: en.wikipedia.org
Part III - Fibonacci and regression analyses can provide useful insight into whether price will successfully break out of its bull flag pattern, sometimes long before price even attempts to do so.
To see how Fibonacci levels and regression analysis can give insight into whether a bull flag will break out or break down before it does so, let's consider an example.
Let’s consider the massive bull flag that the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) formed in 2021.
In 2021, the monthly chart of IWM formed what appeared to be a bull flag, as shown below.
Now let's see why Fibonacci analysis and regression analysis were warning that this bull flag was not likely to break out successfully.
First, IWM's price did not retrace to a Fibonacci level before attempting a breakout (when using the pole as the Fibonacci retracement reference point). In the chart below, we see that price tried to break out, without even so much as retracing down to the highest Fibonacci retracement level: $196.71. By not undergoing Fibonacci retracement, price did not give its oscillators the opportunity to rotate back down fully. Instead, price remained overextended at the time it attempted to break out.
Now let's look at regression analysis. Below is a log-linear regression channel that contains IWM's entire price history. As noted in my prior posts, a regression channel simply indicates how far above or below the mean (or average) price an asset's current price is trading. In the regression channel above, the red line is the mean price, the upper channel line is 2 standard deviations above the mean, and the lower channel line is 2 standard deviations below the mean.
A successful breakout of the bull flag would have taken IWM's price way above its regression channel, to a level that is too many standard deviations above its mean price for us not to question the probability of the breakout’s success. Achieving the full measured move up would have been extremely unlikely, assuming that the regression channel is valid and that price tends to revert back to its mean over time. What was more likely than a breakout was a breakdown, and a reversion back to the mean, which is what ended up happening with IWM.
Another interesting note about IWM’s bull flag is that it presented a false breakout in November 2021. This false breakout was presenting multiple warnings signs including being a UTAD test of a Wyckoff Distribution. As shown below, however, another important clue that the November 2021 breakout would likely fail was that the breakout was not confirmed when comparing IWM to the money supply (M2SL). See the chart below.
One can interpret this chart to mean that in late 2021, IWM’s price was rising because the central bank was increasing the money supply, but not due to improving strength of the underlying companies that comprise the ETF. Using the money supply as a ratio to an asset elucidates the true inherent strength of the asset's value. To understand more about why the money supply can be used in this manner, you can check out my post below.
Part IV - Additional Comments
I have a few additional comments. I usually use Fibonacci levels on a log-scale chart to identify Fibonacci spirals because Fibonacci spirals are logarithmic spirals. However, when using Fibonacci levels based on log scale, the ratios, percentages and numbers, can seem quite confusing because they are logarithmically adjusted. If you choose to replicate my process, please be mindful of this. While using log-scale charts is critical for higher timeframes (e.g. the monthly chart or higher), I have not identified much benefit to using it on shorter timeframes.
In a prior post, I noted that Plug Power (PLUG) is currently forming one of the best-looking log-scale, golden ratio bull flags I have ever seen. If my above hypotheses are true, I would expect to see PLUG move dramatically higher in the years to come. For more information about PLUG, you can read my post linked below. (This is not a solicitation to buy PLUG. Please do your own research and carefully consider all risks.)
At the risk of making this post too long and too dense, I just want to briefly note that it is also my hypothesis, based on observation and research, that the golden ratio is where many S-curve dilemmas are solved. If you don't know what an S-curve dilemma is and you'd like to read about this you can see my post below about Jumping S-Curves .
In short, an S-curve dilemma is another way of conceptualizing the question of whether a bull flag will break out or break down.
I hope that someone finds value in this post. I spent a lot of time studying, researching, analyzing, and cogitating the mathematical nature of price action to reach many of the conclusions here. Thank you for your valuable time in reading my post.
📈 AUDJPY: Watch This Textbook Bullish Flag Breakout!Full-time trader. Follow for more free tips & like/ share this idea. Thanks in advance!
Bullish flags typically typically show some profit-taking after a strong uptrend without any violent selloffs. The pole needs to have an impulsive and violent move upwards. The breakout from the flag should be followed by a volume spike. This is exactly what we have on the FX:AUDJPY
Watch how this plays out in the next few weeks. Learn from it, then do it again on another pair.
Possible max target at 101. Of course, like with any currency or stock, expect bumps and dips along the way. Look for higher lows which would void the bullish flag.
First resistance break (see chart) should cause an impulsive move upwards, as many traders will spot the pattern and FOMO into it.
The lower timeframe shows a nice trend forming. This strong trend can help break resistance faster than expected:
If you don't have experience trading this pattern, it's better to sit this one out and watch it unfold and take notes.
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