Is OSTK trading in a bullish flag or descending triangle? Overstock appears to be trading in a bullish flag or a descending triangle, notice the downward red line of sloping resistance & the green horizontal line represents the baseline of support, but if breached this pattern is likely a descending triangle.
If the descending triangle plays out I'd expect to see the blue upward sloping line potentially act as support, this could start to form a ascending triangle depending upon how the bullish construction looks on the chart forms over the next few days.
Bullflags
GBPAUDAfter weeks and weeks of selling pressure, it looks like we are now beginning to see a market correction and new structure form. The previous monthly candle closure suggests the bulls may be ready to kick in and drive the price up. We are also seeing rejection on the daily time frame from the key level of 1.81500 marked indicating failure to close below, this may suggest that price is getting ready for its next bullish move. Looking into the lower time frames we are seeing a bullish flag form, if we manage to break out of this formation we may see a rather aggressive move up. Although my analysis is showing many confluences for a bullish move we cannot be set on one bias especially with the current market conditions, I have illustrated and noted the areas I am interested for either a sell or a buy depending on how the price develops.
My COT Data source is showing that 58.7% of commercial players are long on this pair
ROKU Bull Flag/Pennant - Breakout to New Highs?I can't believe I'm saying this, Long ROKU through ER.
ROKU Bull Flags/Pennant on multiple timescales:
5min
30min
1hr
ROKU has bottomed after completing A-B-C corrective wave within a long term bullish trend. ROKU is growing sales >40% y/y in a pandemic -ad sales >50%- while trading at a relatively subdued multiple to peer-metric stocks (sentiment informs multiple/valuation, not fundamentals today - get that in your head bears). After a nice move to breakout from A-B-C downward channel at $136 (without gap retest mind you - a trend that is becoming more and more familiar for those of you who like to inscribe rules into stone and not look at what the market is telling you: PYPL TWLO TSLA (so far) ZS etc) ROKU is in a bull flag, setting up for a move higher powered by earnings - right?
---Before I go on and on about this trade, I feel it best to say thatI am a ROKU bull if you couldn't tell, and the harshness of my tone is specific to this ticker as I feel it has not received proper respect (multiple) in markets relative to how market chooses to value peers. Having some fun with the 800-pound Bear in the room---
So then, Bears -hello Citron- is it lights out for you? I have a bull flag after a corrective 3 wave down which held lows, broke out of down channel, and maintained macro upward trend. GAME OVER BABY - Right?
It's setups like these that make me a bit too hesitant. I am essentially betting that ROKU will beat and raise top and bottom line and show strong demand driven by targeted ads with higher CPM due to programmatic nature of platform (quite a mouthful!) - a move ala PINS; the market has it wrong and just you wait for the multiple change when you see the metrics!
This is too binary for me, generally. If I don't get a perfect — for whatever reason, oh, you know, perhaps because GDP declined 9% sequentially or GOOGL (ad company to compare it to) just posted first EVER quarter of negative top line growth — then I'm done for. In fact, ROKU displayed exactly this activity during the downtrend channel last year through this year: it sold the -what I perceived to be- good news and looked for any metric to be bearish on. Notably the market has been overall bearish ROKU since IPO and this has been a key battleground stock. I would throw SQ in with that group as well. Battleground stocks are big opportunities and the long term TAM for ROKU as the winner(s) of the CTV market is huge. Hard to be bearish anything other than simply the idea of AMZN competing. What if there was room for a duopoly?
So, of course, the question is - is this a bull trap or the end of the battleground? Are we beginning a strong Wave 1 up, are we in the beginning of Wave 3, or are we at the top of Wave 1 and due for corrective Wave 2 before strong Wave 3 to new highs? (Any -forex?- people that can give insight into my narrative would be appreciated. Just completely tear me apart, that's what'd I'd like: through destructive growth births.)
Ok so I'll solve for X. I don't care what the reaction is to the downside because I am fundamentally long the company for years, not just for this ridiculously binary trade (which you'll see, I am in for the speculation, of course), I just need to manage risk well enough that I don't get killed in any knee-jerk pullback that was a bull trap (ala ER in February).
To manage risk I cut shares of ROKU and am short Sept $150 puts at cost of $14 as replacement for my stock. Then, I bought August $180c for $5 as a speculative leg of the trade. Net credit is $9 with put sell breakeven above $136 (breakout level) and net b/e above $139 (Also am happy to roll down/out put sells if quarter was a dud). Potential gain is $14 on the sells + difference between realize Aug21 price & b/e which is $185. Stock breaking out to new highs would be above $176.55. With the bull flag that is setting up, I would not be surprised to see a gap to this level and run to $200 on a nice print. $210 even seems in the cards on a change of sentiment but again this is highly speculative and not likely, especially considering ROKU's history. If the print is truly a blowout I'll go into the aftermarket and pick back up my shares there.
Happy trading all and always manage risk. Managing risk is what makes trades like this possible to me.
ETHBTC. Upside to around $450 then a retreat to around $300? ETHUSD1D. Long in the very short term. With this significant impulse move to the upside as ETH has demonstrated it should at some point correct....Shouldn't it? If it does, after visiting around $450 I should imagine it will turn into a gradually declining channel to produce a glorious Bull flag pattern. Once that's unfurled I can see ETH achieving outer atmosphere before mooning or even Marsing!..Calling Neptune even...
GBPUSD - Intraday - At a very interesting area. It's a pair that some traders are finding difficult to trade but let me break it down for you:
Technical:
- Bull Flag - Resistance area: 1.31400 areas and that's where the target of the Bull flag would end. (Patterns don't always work out - that's another thing to keep in mind that's why looking at the levels will help).
If we were to decline the areas that seems interesting:
- Support area of 1.30650 if we were to decline further, between 1.30300-1.30080 areas.
Bearing in mind - the monthly conditions we are in august - for further analysis you could look at seasonality.
Remember: Just an idea, not a trade recommendation.
NIKOLA in MEGA Bull Flag! Steroid injection Coming?For those who havent taken profits from Nikola's awesome earnings day, Nikola might be in a mega bull flag on the daily. Since June, Nikola has been slowly sinking downward and has hit close to the bottom. Today is the first day Nikola has risen outside my wedge formation and it looks like it needs ONE more down turn before it springs up like a mad man.
Up above Nikola still needs to gap fill by at least around 48 dollars where likely I will take profts but leave some in to hold to see if it will explode higher up to 78 dollars where another gap is at. But don't count on that necessarily. It might take months to climb to that area. Either way, Nikola is only a few days to a week away from spring loading one last time. So if you still have your Nikola from the bottom, awesome! If not, you may get one more chance to scoop some when it bottoms out before a possible huge shot up.
Platinum --> Metal Slug 🦐Recently all the metal markets drove by the upmove of gold has risen and created new highs.
Platinum created recently on the daily chart a bull flag.
During this week the market broke the flag and broke the resistance structure.
According with our strategy we can look for a nice long order.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
RSR forming yet another bull flag in 4HAfter moving in Downward channel, RSRBTC escaped out of 4H downward channel, it seems another rally is not far away
Potential descending channel for MMED?The green upward sloping line of support is potentially keeping a bullish flag in play here, but it appears as though downward pressure is indicating there may be a retest of the bottom blue channel where I have the red arrow pointing down.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
A descending channel is drawn by connecting the lower highs and lower lows of a security's price with parallel trendlines to show a downward trend.
Traders who believe a security is likely to remain within its descending channel can initiate trades when the price fluctuates within its channel trendline boundaries.
A more potent signal occurs with a breakout, which is when a security's price breaches an established channel's boundaries, either on the upper or lower side.
EURUSD 1.14251 + 0.37 % LONG IDEA * CONTINUATION PTTNS Good Day Everyone
A look at the EURUSD from the 4H chart the pair has been in a uptrend since breaking out of that descending triangle currently just broke out of a bullish flag which could be signalling a continuation to the upside on the pair.
the pair is currently retesting the bullish flag structure upon close this past week looking for continuation to the upside of this move. lets see how it goes will be holding the trade on swing for the week...
Good luck and happy trading everyone
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ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES ON PENDING ODER & SO FORTH
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
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If you like the idea kindly leave a like and a follow will definitely follow back and leave your idea & Comment on the pair in the comment section. APPRECIATE IT
Bull flag or not ? Is this a Bull flag pattern or continuation of the downtrend channel ?
We will know soon :)
Chachain
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Disclaimer:
I´m not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and therefore I´m unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.