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Bullish Patterns

Bitcoin’s 486-Day Halving Blueprint: The $200,000 Blowoff?Summary Bitcoin’s price consistently follows a 3-phase structure after each halving, with ~486 days per phase. If history repeats, we are nearing the end of the parabolic phase, with a potential peak around $200,000, before entering a structured drawdown. Halving Cycles: The Real Clock Behind Bitcoin Bitcoin’s monetary policy is pre-programmed. A halving occurs approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), and market behaviour after each halving follows this repeating pattern: Phase 1: Parabolic Rally (0 to 70,000 blocks post-halving). Phase 2: Major Drawdown (70,000 to 140,000 blocks). Phase 3: Equilibrium Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks). Each phase lasts approximately 486 days, and this structure has repeated reliably since 2012. Phase 1: The Parabolic Rally (Current Phase) We are currently in the growth segment of the cycle: Price rising rapidly. Miner profitability at highs. Hashrate and network security increasing. MVRV Z-Score steadily climbing, but not yet overextended. Roughly 700,000 BTC are mined during this period, creating a supply shock as issuance is halved while demand accelerates. Phase 2: The Drawdown (Expected Next) Historically begins between block 70,000 to 140,000 post-halving. Market peaks and begins to correct. Miner margins compress. Hashrate may plateau or decline. Forced selling and miner capitulation drive volatility. Price retraces significantly from the peak. This phase resets the market and eliminates unsustainable excess. Phase 3: The Equilibrium Phase Occurs between block 140,000 to 210,000 post-halving. Price enters consolidation. Realized value and market price converge. Ideal accumulation period for long-term investors. Network fundamentals stabilize ahead of the next halving. This phase is critical in building the base for the next cycle. MVRV Z-Score: Market Thermometer The chart includes the MVRV Z-Score, a key metric showing how far price deviates from realized value: Readings above 6.0 have consistently marked cycle tops. Readings near or below 0 have marked major bottoms. Current value is around 2.67 — indicating a rising trend, but not overheated. This metric reflects market-wide profitability and speculative pressure. Why $200,000 Is in Sight The projected resistance curve on the chart suggests that: $200,000 aligns with the top of the long-term parabolic channel. It corresponds with the expected end of the parabolic phase (Q1–Q2 2026). It fits prior extension patterns following each halving. It is a strong psychological target, likely to trigger heavy profit-taking. This price level is not arbitrary—it is derived from the same structure that defined previous peaks. What Comes After If the historical cycle structure remains intact: The peak should occur before mid-2026. A deep correction phase follows, likely into 2027. True bottoms tend to occur as miner capitulation concludes and difficulty adjusts downward. This is where conviction and preparation matter most. Final Thoughts Bitcoin cycles are not random. They are structured around block height, issuance, and miner economics. Every cycle since 2012 has followed this 486-day framework, divided across parabola, crash, and reset. This model has outperformed calendar-based predictions and technical narratives. Disclaimer This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for any losses incurred as a result of using the information presented herein.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
4
FET/USDT – Head & Shoulders Breakout!Hey Traders — if you're into high-conviction setups with real momentum, this one’s for you. ONDO is trading inside a falling wedge on the daily chart — a classic bullish structure that often leads to explosive breakouts. 📈 FET just broke out of a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern — a strong bullish reversal structure! The breakout looks clean with a confirmed close above the neckline and volume starting to pick up. 💼 Entry: CMP ($0.75) 🎯 Targets: $0.85 / $0.95 / $1.09 🛑 Stop-loss: $0.705 📈 Risk-Reward: Favorable 🧠 Why it matters: Clean breakout above resistance Strong trend reversal structure Potential for 40%+ move ahead. 💬 Are you in this breakout play or watching from the sidelines? Let’s talk below! 👉 Smash that LIKE and FOLLOW for more real-time setups!
Long
by CoreCrypto1
Ethereum Set for a Major Move — Watch $2,700–$2,800Epic Base Forming: Ethereum is building a powerful base, and the fundamental dynamics have shifted significantly in recent weeks. With ETF fund flows hitting new highs, institutional interest is clearly growing. Tight Setup for a Short Squeeze: Meanwhile, the futures market shows a near-record short position, creating a high-potential setup for a massive short squeeze. Even without the chart, this kind of positioning mismatch is rare—and explosive. Technical Watch Zone: Ethereum is pressing into key resistance from a rounding bottom. The critical level to watch is $2,700–$2,800. A clean breakout here could ignite a sharp rally, with $4,000+ back on the table in short order. This is a textbook setup—fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals are aligning. #Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortSqueeze #ETFFlows #MarketSetup #Bullish #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #WatchList
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Richtv_official
$WIF | Inverted head and shoulders $Wif/Usdt BINANCE:WIFUSDT.P The price is formed the Inverted head and shoulders pattern and did a breakout of the neckline, expecting the price to retest green lines (neckline). If 1H CC hit and bounce above the green lines, it'll be a long opportunity. Entering at current price will increase the SL, it's suggested to wait for a retest, to have better entry and a good risk management. Use only 1-2% of your portfolio. NFA, DYOR TP:
Long
by CmpCryptoInsights
8
BTC Massive SetupConsolidation for months between 91k and 106k - Classic Wyckoff setup as an accumulation/distribution - Price targets of: 121.878 (122k is the popular target) to the upside with 75,827 on the down - Saylor today put out news to be raising another $2 billion to buy BTC. Either he is going to be able to hold the floor or get washed out - Trade can be taken with confirmation of breakout on either side pretty easily as momentum will be so strong that being on the wrong side will most likely be an immediate stop out
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CrashoutCapital
EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG Hello, Friends! EUR-CHF downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.935 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the EUR/CHF pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
XAUUSD 1440M forecast Based on the latest available information for July 15, 2025, the overall sentiment for XAUUSD (Gold) in the next 24 hours leans towards a bullish outlook, though with potential for short-term fluctuations and pullbacks. Key Drivers for Bullish Outlook: Escalating Trade Tensions: US President Donald Trump's ongoing tariff and trade policies are a significant factor. New tariffs and threats against various countries (EU, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Canada) are creating global economic uncertainty, which typically boosts gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Broader geopolitical risks, including those related to Russia and Ukraine, also contribute to safe-haven demand for gold. Inflation Concerns: Tariffs are linked to inflation concerns. Gold performs strongly in a high-inflation environment, and market expectations are shifting towards a more gradual easing of interest rates by the Fed, allowing for inflation to be a potential driver. Central Bank Demand: Central banks globally, particularly the US and China, continue to be strong buyers of gold, indicating a sustained structural trend of higher gold purchases. Technical Support: Several analyses point to gold finding support at key levels (e.g., around $3340-3345, 200 EMA), suggesting potential for bounces and continuation of an upward trend. "Buy on Dip" Strategy: Many analysts are recommending a "buy on dip" strategy, indicating an underlying bullish bias and viewing any short-term declines as buying opportunities. Factors to Watch (Potential for Pullbacks/Volatility): Short-Term Weakness/Consolidation: Some technical indicators suggest short-term weakness or consolidation, with gold testing resistance levels (e.g., $3375-3380, $3400). US Dollar Strength: While trade tensions can weaken the dollar, there are mixed signals. A stronger US dollar can put downward pressure on gold prices as it makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Inflation Data and Fed Signals: Investors are closely watching US inflation data (CPI) and signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate cuts. While some expect cuts later in the year, any hawkish surprises could temper gold's rise. Trade Deal Hopes: Any signs of de-escalation in trade tensions or progress towards agreements could temporarily reduce safe-haven demand for gold. Specific Price Levels Mentioned: Resistance: $3375-3380, $3400, $3432, $3450-3470, $3500 (all-time high). Support: $3340-3345, $3325-3330, $3289-3303, $3240-3246. In summary, the prevailing sentiment for XAUUSD over the next 24 hours appears to be bullish, driven by ongoing global trade tensions and safe-haven demand. However, be prepared for potential short-term pullbacks or consolidation as the market digests new information and tests key resistance levels. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000
btc buy longterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
ETH Building Blocks - Keep it Simple🧱 Building Block - ETH Weekly Analysis 🧱 Ethereum has been trading within a well-defined structure, respecting key horizontal zones — each acting as a crucial building block in ETH’s macro journey. 🔹 Zone 1 ($1,700 - $2,100) A strong demand and accumulation zone. ETH bounced from here multiple times, proving itself as the foundation of the current bullish attempt. 🔹 Zone 2 ($2,400 - $2,600) We're currently hovering around this key mid-range resistance. A successful break above it would pave the way for the next major leg up. 🔹 Zone 3 ($2,900 - $3,400) A major historical resistance turned supply area. ETH needs strong momentum and volume to break through this ceiling. 🔹 Zone 4 ($3,800 - $4,200) The final building block before retesting ATH territory. A retest here could signal full bullish control in the coming months. 📍 As long as Zone 1 holds, ETH remains structurally bullish. Watch for breaks and rejections at each building block to gauge the next move. Which block will ETH break next? 🔮 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
SEI - One More Bullish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After surging by over 75% last week , SEI is currently in a correction phase. However, it is approaching the intersection of the previous high marked in orange and blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #SEI approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
8