Bullish Cypher
Couple of patterns on USDCADHey traders,
i'm already involved in a USDCAD trade, but for educational purpose i want to share with you this setup in lower timeframe.
As you can see in 4hr chart, we broke and closed below X, that invalidates our previous pattern (even though we're still in that trade) giving us reason to believe price is heading lower. Considering that, i search for selling signals down on 1hr and 15m timeframe.
In 1hr chart we can see we have a nice bearish Gartley that completes at previous support that was broken. With such a small B, we'd get a inverse risk to reward ratio; that's way i would enter this trade some pips above the completion just to have a 1:1RR.
In the meantime you can trade also the smaller Cypher and you could set second target up to D Gartley's completition.
I'm not entering any of those cause i'm already involved, but i hope you find it useful.
If you have any question, please ask.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
AUDUSD - PATTERN CONFLUENCEThere is a Bullish Bat and a Bullish Cypher pattern with D leg completions in a very similar area on AUDUSD H1 timeframe. Both patterns will complete just below 0.74. Fibonacci levels have been left off the chart are it would be very confusing and overlapping with 2 patterns so close together.
Bullish Cypher
Entry: 0.73990
Stop: 0.73600
Target 1: 0.74330
Target 2: 0.74575
Bullish Bat
Entry: 0.73860
Stop: 0.73600
Target 1: 0.74260
Target 2: 0.74520
Luke
Oh Look at that, ANOTHER Failed Cypher PatternSo I have been doing a HUGE backtest on Cypher patterns. 2500+ hours and 15k patterns found on 26 currency pairs, 4 timeframes. Even did a YouTube video on it. Check out my YouTube page at karmasenge.com/youtube. The MAX win ratio that I could find is a 46% win rate on the USDJPY, Daily TF. And the average was around 43% win rate. Couple that with an inverse Risk Reward and you have the makings of a depleted account.
The only people that I know of that get the so called 80% win rates are those guys over at TradeEmpowered. The guys that created the pattern in the first place. I have been through their courses, live trading rooms, etc. I know how they identify these patterns. But these patterns are TERRIBLE!
Do not trade them unless you want to loose money. Don't fall for the marketing and gimmick BS.
AUDUSD Bullish CypherHi Trader,
We have a bullish Cypher Pattern setting up on AUDUSD with D leg completion at 0.73510. See below for trade details.
I have marked the key Fibonacci levels in yellow for your reference.
Entry: 0.73540
Stop: 0.73080
Target 1: 0.74050
Target 2: 0.74400
If you have any questions let me know.
Good trading,
Luke
EURO CYPHER PATTERN (How-to)Hi Trader,
Here we have a bullish cypher pattern with d completion at 1.05540. I have my orders in ready to go. Read below to find the trade details and a step-by-step process of how you can trade the cypher pattern.
Entry: 1.05550
Stop: 1.05080
Target 1: 1.06010
Target 2: 1.06310
1) Identify the X leg by looking for an 'impulse', or in other words a strong move in either direction
2) Take your fibonacci tool and draw from the the low (X point) to the high (A point) of the impulse move
3) If price retraces and at least touches the 38.2%, and does not close below the 61.8% of the X to A move then it becomes our B point
4) With the fibonacci tool drawn from the X to A, we now look for an extension of price (a move in the original direction) to at least touch the 127.2% and not close above the 141.4% fibonacci extension. This is the C point
5) We are now looking for the D point and the pattern will be complete. Grab your fibonacci tool and extend it to the highest high of the C point. The D point is a 78.6% retracement of the X to C
6) If price retraces to D the pattern is complete and we have a valid trading opportunity
Harmonic patterns will make you money IF TRADED CONSISTENTLY, just like any strategy that has an edge in your favour. The discipline to take every trading opportunity is what separates the winners and losers in this business.
If you found this useful leave a like, it motivates me to keep posting for you!
Good trading,
Luke
NZD/USD - Bullish Cypher (Confluence)Wow this is huge, after posting my analysis 2 days ago regarding a breakout on the daily chart today I have found a position correlating with the key reversal level.
My previous analysis for NZD/USD is shown below:
All-round the setup looks promising, our D leg is just off the 1.272 but I feel this a is an excellent buying opportunity, one that I will be taking advantage of in the near future.
Conditional Long on Gold - Cypher PatternThis long trade may take a while to set-up and it may never come into fruition. However, if price does reach point D of the Cypher pattern shown on the chart, then we have a play.
I don't see a lot of structural support for the trade (not too much horizontal price support at point D), but I still see it as an attractive trade since I'm bullish on gold in the intermediate to long term (3 months to 6 years).
EURAUD - Potential Cypher PatternPotential Bullish Cypher on 1 hour chart.
Pair is currently on a downtrend (daily chart) but has not put any new structure lows.
We might be looking at a shift in trend.
Risk Reward ratio is too high (almost 100 pips).
More conservative entries could be located somewhere between X and D in order to reduce the risk a little.
EURCHF - Bullish CypherPotential bullish Cypher formation on 1 hour chart.
D completion is not giving a 1:1 risk reward ratio.
You might wanna follow what price does once it enters the yellow zone in the chart.
Look for a better reason to enter on this trade (double bottom, higher high and close candle, etc).
OIL: Bullish CypherHi Traders,
There is a bullish cypher pattern with a D leg completion at $41.90. This trade has been on my radar for a while now and it finally looks likely to complete.
Trade details:
Entry: $41.95
Stop: $38.90
Target 1: $45.55
Target 2: $47.95
The method I used to trade this type of setup is very simple.
1) Identify pattern
2) Place a pending order a few ticks/pips ahead of the D completion
3) Set stop loss below/above the X point
4) Set targets at the 38.2% and the 61.8% retracements of the C to D leg
5) If and when price reaches the 38.2% target, half the position is closed and the stop loss is moved to my entry point to protect profits
6) Let trade play out, only two outcomes are possible from here. Either the price moves to my 2nd target or to my stop and the trade is complete.
Remember to leave a like if you found this idea helpful!
Good trading,
Luke