EUR/USD: Movement by fundamental analysis!!!Fundamental Analysis:
***1) Germany, Europe's largest economy, is still on course for a recession even with a new government plan to spend 65 billion euros ($64.49 billion) on shielding energy customers and businesses from soaring inflation, economists say.
2) The latest package brings to 95 billion euros the amount allocated to inflation-busting since the Ukraine war began in February. By contrast, the government spent 300 billion euros on propping up the economy over the two years of the pandemic.
3) European gas prices surged, stocks slid and the euro sank on Monday after Russia halted gas flows via a major pipeline, sending another shock wave through economies in the region still struggling to recover from the pandemic.
4) European Union governments are pushing through multi-billion euro packages to prevent utilities buckling under a liquidity squeeze and to protect households from soaring energy bills.
5) Europe has accused Russia of weaponising energy supplies in retaliation for Western sanctions imposed on Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine. Russia blames those sanctions for causing the gas supply problems, which were down to a pipeline fault
6) European stock indexes fell on Monday, the euro dropped below 99 cents for the first time in twenty years and European gas prices surged after Russia said its main gas supply pipeline to Europe would stay shut.
7) European gas prices jumped as much as 30% as the market opened, and Germany announced on Sunday around $65 billion of support to help protect Germans from rising costs.
8) Finland and Sweden also announced plans to offer liquidity guarantees to power companies. Finland's economic affairs minister warned of the possibility of "kind of a Lehman Brothers" in the energy industry, referring to the 2008 collapse.
9) The euro zone is almost certainly entering a recession, with surveys on Monday showing a deepening cost of living crisis and a gloomy outlook that is keeping consumers wary of spending.
10) Germany's services sector contracted for a second month running in August as domestic demand came under pressure from soaring inflation and faltering confidence, a survey showed on Monday.
11) Euro zone business activity contracted for a second month in August as demand sank, with customers wary of the deepening cost of living crisis and gloomy economic outlook curtailing their purchases, a survey showed.
***12) The European Central Bank meets later this week, and is widely expected to raise interest rates given inflation is rapidly approaching double digits in the Eurozone and the policymakers have become worried about high prices becoming firmly entrenched.
13) The euro sank below $0.99 to a new 20-year low on Monday after Russia's halt to gas supplies down its main pipeline to Europe heightened fears about a deepening energy crisis across the region.
14) ECB officials will be keen to see the euro, which has lost around 8% of its value in the past three months, stabilise. That will feed into the desire to try to tame inflation through tightening policy.
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So guys, what I found out it's that Germany Government make an investment of 65 billion (Euros) on shielding energy customers and businesses from soaring inflation and $95 billion (Euros) the amount allocated to inflation busting since the Ukraine began in February 2022. Another data show that Germany has spent over 300 billion (Euros) on propping up the economy over the past 2 years of the covid-19 pandemic.
Now, European Union are pushing through the Multi-Billion plan packages to rescue and prevent utilities buckling under a liquidity squeeze and to protect household from soaring energy bills.
At this point, we see a bullish side for Euro currency in this fundamental analysis what Germany (The largest economy in whole Europe) do and European Union to rescue the countries they to one shield energy customer and businesses from this inflation in the energy crisis.
But in other hand, we see a bearish fundamental that EUROPE has accused to Russia of weaponing energy supplies in retaliation for western sanction imputed on Moscow, over its invasion of Ukraince, Russia blames those sanctions for causing the gas supply problems in whole Europe.
***European Central Bank will make a meeting about interest rate decision in this week on this Thursday and expect to raise 1.00%.
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Now, talking about technical analysis, I'm bullish in based the bullish side that appear very optimistic for Euro currency.
Now, we're in this bearish channel, and we formed a bullish divergence in the RSI and price action too. What we could to expect a possible long position from this side, what we can't to trade until we see a smart point to buy in $0.9920 USD or the break-out of this bearish channel, what it's better to be disciplined and patience until this trade develop, but has a bullish side.
So guys, at the moment, I don't see a trade yet until hope our best buy zone.
I hope that this perspective have your idea to long in Euro at favor by fundamental analysis.
So, we know that Europe it's in the recession, but today it's appear good bullish side that we could to see in the Europe largest economy that it's Germany and European Union. And also on Thursday the European Central Bank will make an interest rates decision and expect to raise 1% in this week.
So guys, in this week, there're a lot to read in United Kingdom that we have a new Prime Minister that I'm very interesting to analyze some Sterling Pound and know my perspective why I' see a dark future in it.
I will keep update this par!!!
Bullish Divergence
GBP/AUD: Review!!!In this forex par, was a pretty well trade to long position when I identify very well a bullish divergence in RSI forming a lower high and price action lower low. The RSI had indicating a change of trend in GBP/AUD what this trade was pretty well to trade in long position. I was like 100 pips in profit or 6.33% in earnings in this trade. But from this point at $1.6986 AUD I supposed to closed up this long when the price starting to down. But that was at early movement in the European Session. And so, also that I don't made it's when I was in profit, the only that I will need to fix it's put my break even to protect my earns, whether it's few earns. but I closed up this trade in this bearish pressure, but the loss was small like of -0.87% in loss. And also, I made a very good analysis and put my buy order in the smart point very good and in profit like 100 pips. So, I know that it's very natural that we can't to watching the chart 24.7, and I know that during the European Session. America it's in the early when everyone it's sleeping.
Also, I suggested that a when the EMA 200 make resistance veyr clearly in H1 timeframe, it's a good moment to closed up a trade like this and get profit in it. If I closed up this trade in the below of the EMA200, I would have 100 pips in profit in this trade. So, I believe that I mastering this trade very well. The only it's put a break even when I was in profit like over 70 pips. But I made this trade pretty well and the only advice for me and for everyone when this situation occur in the EMA 200 like resistance, or the contrary support, closed up a trade like this and get profit, But I know that a bullish divergence in RSI could to have passed in this trade.
This it's the H4 timeframe. That it's all my information that I bring in this trade to learn and work our analysis better.
NZDCHF - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In the Short TermH4 - Price is bouncing higher from a key support zone.
Bullish divergence.
Downtrend line breakout.
H1 - Bullish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the key support zone holds my short term view remains bullish here.
XAGUSD Spot Silver LONG - Reversal from Double BottomOANDA:XAGUSD
Spot silver put in a triple top in early March into early April on the daily chart.
It then descended over the next three months in what may end up being the
leading side of a cup and handle pattern into a bottom about July 13th.
Spot silver then rose a bit over the next five weeks and now has retested
the bottom now forming a double bottom.
Relative strength was gradually decreasing over this time while underneath
its Ichimoku cloud. However beginning about July 15th, the relative strength
began increasing and is now above the cloud. The leading cloud edge to
the right is red and rising. This is a hint of bullish divergence perhaps
forecasting the reversal is in progress.
That said, I see spot silver reversing to an uptrend which could also
be the right side of a cup and handle pattern underway. If formed
a cup and handle pattern suggests bullish continuation. I see this
an an excellent swing long setup with potentially 40% upside.
Regular Bullish Divergence Forming On BTC DailyWe see regular bullish divergence on the MACD developing on the BTC daily chart between this current low and the previous low. The day isn't done yet though, if BTC dumps and turns negative, this argument would be invalid as the new low was still forming. This could signal a turn around to an uptrend. I would like to see some other variables pointing at this before taking out any long positions.
HANA | Elliott Wave Projection | Inverse Head&ShouldersPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> Elliott wave projection downtrend breakout with inverse head & shoulders pattern
> A possible wave B rebound targeting 0.382 - 0.5 retracement of A
> Entry @ H&S breakout SMA25W
> Target @ 0.382 retracement of Wave A / SMA50W zone +25%
> Stoploss @ right shoulder / SMA400W -12%
> Risk reward ratio: 2:1
Indicator:
> RSI Week bullish divergence, breakout MA line
> MACD Week golden cross below baseline
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
EURUSD - The downtrend is at the end! Elliott Wave + Channel
The EURUSD is successfully holding the 1.0 USD level. This is indeed a significant psychological level, and we haven't seen any weekly or monthly candles that closed below this level.
On the RSI indicator, we have a bullish divergence on this daily chart, and we also have another triple bullish divergence on the weekly chart as well! So, if you like divergences, this is definitely your cup of tea.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this huge downtrend should be over (or 1 last wave to the downside), and that's why I expect a corrective move to the upside (ABC correction). Let's see how big this upcoming retracement is going to be.
On the daily chart, we can spot a beautiful descending parallel channel, and if you prefer to wait for confirmation of my bias, then you can wait for the channel to breakout.
As you can see on the chart, we had 2 fakeouts during this downtrend, which indicated a corrective move. Usually, the third breakout is real!
The profit target is at 0.618 FIB + the start of wave 4.
For more ideas, please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
WWE Falling Wedge LONGWWE is in a falling wedge ; I had a good pop from earnings
a month ago and another earnings report is upcoming.
The RSI oscillator shows bullish divergence increasing
the probability of a breakout.
I see this as a long trade with the RSI confirming and
in the context of upcoming earnings, I will agressively
enter without waiting for a retest as soon as price goes
over the downward resistance trendline.
XAUUSD 30M, Bullish Divergence To 1786XAUUSD 30 Minutes Chart formed Bullish Divergence pattern.
If Bullish Divergence is confirmed then Potential Rebound Retest 1786.
Break Above 1786 then Open The Way To Retest 1807.81.
Break Above 1807.81 then Open The Way To 1828.41.
But
Break Below 1752, Would Cancel Bullish Divergence and Open The Way To Retest 1736.
Break Below 1736 then Open The Way To 1721.70.
BTC/USDT - 1H - Ascending TriangleBTC/USDT is in a bullish trend on 1H. The price action is forming an Ascending Triangle and testing its rising support . The bullish bias is based on the following confluence:
Rising Support
Bullish Hammers
Fibonacci retracement of previous swing being respected between 50% and 38%
Bullish Divergence on RSI
Expecting bulls to push prices higher towards 50% Fib Resistance .
Sell if the Rising Support breaks till 38% Fib Support !
CAD/JPY - 1H - Breakout SetupCAD/JPY is in a range, forming a symmetrical triangle . The price action is currently testing an important resistance zone after forming a double bottom on support zone.
I'm expecting a resistance breakout due to Double Bottom + Bullish Divergence on the RSI and Volume uptrend on OBV.
Now key zone for bulls is to break above the resistance zone. While a break from support zone will bring bears in party. The price could also stay in the range. Trade your levels accordingly.
JasmyCoin: Descending Triangle But The Price Action Is BullishJasmy has bottomed 3 times within this inheritly Bearish Pattern while Bullishly Diverging each time with the 3rd bottom putting in a slghtly higher low and it is now broken above the supply line here and may look to Square-Up to the upside so long as it holds above the nearby Moving Averages on the Daily.
CRONOS $CRO Long Idea - Hidden Bull DivI'm thinking we get a trend continuation here on $CRO, after that big rally a few days ago price has pulled back and bounced from the break out level
There was a breakdown and retest of the 20 period H4 simple moving average and is still currently below that level, so we may see another move down before up, however i think up is more likely due to the hidden bullish divergence on the RSI.
tldr
entry 0.140ish region
stop 0.13845 below prior swing low wick
target 0.15455 (previous candle close swing high) however if BTC continures to go up i expect further up side to 0.167 or so
Follow me on Twitter :) im just rebooting this account after sometime
EURCHF Short Term Buy IdeaD1 - Price respected a psychological level and is bouncing higher.
Bullish divergence.
H1 - Bullish divergence.
Higher highs.
Until the strong support zone holds my short term view remains bullish here.
If we get a valid breakout above the high at 0.98050 we may then consider it as a validation for this bullish view.
EURUSD H4, BREAK ABOVE 1.0283, TARGET 1.0361EURUSD formed Bullish DIvergence (RSI Higher, Price Lower) and then broke its bearish trendline.
Now, EURUSD is testing its MA 200 H4 and FIbo 50% around 1.0283.
Break Above 1.0283 Retarget 1.0361.
Break & Hold Above 1.0361 Retarget 1.0473 & 1.0615.
Strong Resistance at 1.0615.
But Fail To Break Above 1.0283, Retarget 1.0108.
Break & Hold Below 1.0108, Bearish. Retarget 0.9952.
GBPUSD D, ABOVE 1.2133, TARGET 1.2341GBPUSD formed Bullish DIvergence (RSI Higher, Price Lower) and then broke its the bearish trendline.
While Above 1.2133 the potential target 1.2341.
IF Break Above 1.2341, then Open The Way to Retest 1.2490 & 1.2679.
Strong Resistance 1.2679
But, IF Break Below 1.2133, then Open The Way to Retest 1.2004.
Strong Support at 1.1796