Bitcoin prediction 2028 (Fibonacci channel, must know)!
This is my projection for the next 5 years. Bitcoin always rapidly grows after the halving event. But around 16 months after the halving event, Bitcoin started to crash significantly.
On the chart, we can see a very important Fibonacci channel on the LOG scale. The 0.618 FIB is always a strong level, and bitcoin hit it almost to the dollar in 2022. Take a look at it! We deeply need to keep this Fibonacci channel in mind. The strongest FIB levels are 0.618 and 0.382. 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. Bitcoin loves these Fibos.
Please do not expect some big parabolic phase to reach 500,000 USD in the next few months or years. This is not going to happen because you are too late for the exponential party. 100,000 - 120,000 in 2025 is a realistic target!
Bitcoin is a good investment, and you can trade the major cycles. Buy low, sell high. It's easy to say, but it's not that easy for the majority of market participants.
As per my calculations, the price of Bitcoin will be 1 million USD in 2044, which is 21 years ahead.
In approx. 2140, all Bitcoins should be mined, and there will be no new BTC mined at all. Miners will receive rewards from the transactions of chain users.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bear markets and crashes:
2011 - 93.75%
2014 - 86.94%
2018 - 84.22%
2022 - 77.57%
2026 - 71.67% ?
Bullish Trend Line
Bitcoin - Bart pattern + Comment your altcoin!Make a comment with your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it in reply! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
The bart pattern is a new type of chart pattern that occurs specifically on Bitcoin but sometimes also on other coins. It's something like pump and dump, but at the top of the pattern we have a sideways price action that looks like a Bart's head.
Usually August and September are the most bearish months on Bitcoin, so I would not be surprised!
Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
When we look at the daily chart, we can see an ascending parallel channel with 3 touches at the bottom. This indicates to me that the bulls are losing steam because they are unable to make a parabolic uptrend!
There is still a possibility of going up to 32k - 33K in the short term, but this is something I don't want to speculate on. And even if Bitcoin could pump to these higher levels, the crash would follow either way.
My Elliott Wave count suggests that a deep retracement is on the way up back to 20k or 21k, which is definitely a good price to buy as much Bitcoin as possible and prepare for the new bull market in 2024 and 2025. Also, you can open a long-term leveraged position on futures in this zone.
We still need to wait around 8 months for the halving event, and that's plenty of time for a crash. We have a lot of unfilled FVGAPs and a CME GAP below the current price. They are going to be filled sooner or later.
If we take a LOG fibonacci retracement from 16.3k to 31.5k, we can see that the 0.618 golden ratio is at 20303. The whales really like to buy BTC at this specific Fibonacci level, as it has the highest successful rate of all Fibonacci levels.
This bart pattern looks pretty funny, but if you are on the wrong side of the market, it's definitely not funny. The price moves extremely fast, and you can wake up into a massive red dildo.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Huge alt-season is starting! (buy altcoins)
Bitcoin dominance is going down, and in confluence with this sideways price action, I expect a huge alt-season! It's a great time to buy some altcoins.
We can clearly see that the price of Bitcoin is stuck in this rising wedge pattern. Because of it, generally, there is a higher probability of the price going down, but we still have plenty of time, and the price can stay inside for another 30 or 50 days.
We need to wait for the rising wedge pattern to show us the direction. The trendline of the rising wedge is slightly ascending, which is unpleasant to the bulls for a breakout. It tends to make swing failure patterns above the previous high, but you can take advantage of it and short it.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Trading Bitcoin on higher timeframes is currently not worth it because of its low volatility. You can still trade it on an intraday basis. But I prefer altcoins at this moment because the Bitcoin dominance chart (BTC.D) is showing some signs of weakness.
Bitcoin broke out of the market structure in recent days but quickly went back up. So we need to be patient. To increase the probability of success, switch to altcoins!
Litecoin's halving event is in 6 days, which should send the price to the moon. We will see... I am prepared for it.
This is a quick update on BTC; I am not short or long on it. I trade altcoins!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Bearish 21k target confirmed! (Bart pattern)
The Bart pattern is now confirmed, and it doesn't look good at all for the price of Bitcoin! We need to react to the recent price action, and this pattern is breaking down. I would not be surprised if we woke up in the morning and saw a big red dildo!
You can say that Bitcoin is still inside the major parallel channel and that we are still bullish, but I can tell you that the trendline has already touched three times, and only a small bounce is expected on the fourth touch. This channel is starting to be overextended, and it looks like we are going to see a huge crash!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
My target is still 21K, as you already know. I am not buying any BTC for the long term until we reach this target. It's a strong support because of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the unfilled CME futures gap.
September is usually an extremely bearish month, and October is not the best either. I think the best scenario is if we see a huge, fast crash, so we can buy cheap bitcoin as soon as possible.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a huge major impulse wave (1) has been completed, and we are looking for an ABC correction. Markets, especially Bitcoin, move in clear waves, and this theory is pretty good for it.
I warned you about this Bart pattern in my previous analysis, saying that it's a very possible scenario. This was definitely a good idea, and now the price is going down.
I am now bearish on Bitcoin and expect lower prices. Let me know in the comment section what you think!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Secret pattern no one talks about! (insider info)
This secret parallel channel on the LOG scale is very important for your trades because you want to take profits if the price reaches the top of the descending channel! This is a dynamic resistance, so the trendline changes over time, but currently the resistance is around 39K.
39K is a strong level not only because of this channel but also because of the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous huge downtrend and the POC of the previous market structure (volume profile).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately!
What I expect is for Bitcoin to reach the 39K level and then make a significant correction. This correction should be pretty deep. Because we will be retracing the first Elliott impulse wave, the 0.618 FIB is a classic buy opportunity, and it's around 21k.
After we reach 21K, I expect Bitcoin to pump heavily to the 69K all-time high resistance. This is indeed a strong level as well, so this could be the peak of the 3rd Elliott impulse wave. The 5th wave is expected to end around 100k–110k in 2025.
This is my gameplan; I don't know what yours is, so let me know in the comment section right now!
Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
You may say that 110k is not enough and that Bitcoin should do much more than that. Yeah, I agree with you, but we need to be realistic. Bitcoin is already pretty big and has a large market capitalization. What's more, on the chart, you can see the major parallel channel on the LOG scale that started in 2017, and I don't think the bulls want to make some crazy parabolic move above this channel!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
UNIUSDT Bearish Divergence 1H and 4H🚨📉 Alert to Crypto Traders 📉🚨
📈 #UNIUSDT #BullishTrend #BearishDivergence 📉
Crypto community, pay attention to UNIUSDT! 🚀📉
📈 The overall trend for UNIUSDT in the 1-hour and 4-hour time frames remains BULLISH, forming Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). 📈📈📈
🚨 However, we've spotted a concerning sign: #BearishDivergence on the Momentum Indicator RSI. 📉 RSI is showing Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) despite the price making higher moves. 📉📉
📉 This bearish divergence can be an early warning signal of a potential trend reversal or correction. 🛑🔄
📝 Trade Recommendation:
📌 Keep a close eye on UNIUSDT's price action and RSI movements.
📌 Consider tightening stop-loss levels or reducing position sizes to manage risk effectively.
📌 Exercise caution when opening new long positions, as the bearish divergence could lead to a pullback.
📊 Remember, successful trading involves understanding both bullish and bearish signals to make informed decisions. 🧠💡
🛡️ Trade responsibly and stay updated with market trends! 🚀📉
#CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #RSIDivergence #TradeSmart #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin - Huge pump is ready! + Bullish pennant
Bitcoin is forming this bullish pennant on the daily chart. The price has been inside this pattern for a month, and it's time for a massive breakout!
The next stop is around 34k because of the 0.618 FIB extension from Wave (1) to Wave (2) and we can hit this target next week. After it, a pullback is likely, but continuation of the uptrend to 39k is in place as per my previous analysis. Then I expect a crash to 21k!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Bitcoin has been consolidating for 1 month with a complex Elliott Wave correction wave (WXY) - Triple three. Before this correction, there is a strong impulse wave (12345). Now we should see a 3rd impulse wave followed by a triangle (ABCDE) or a ZigZag (ABC) and a final diagonal wedge pattern. Usually, when one of the corrective waves of a major impulse wave is complex, the second one should be a triangle or a zigzag pattern.
XRP is pumping, and I hope you bought some cheap coins as I recommended! 1.3 is a strong resistance for XRP, so check out my previous idea in the related section down below.
Also watch SPX and NDQ, if it his a new all time high, a major crash could happen also on BTC! Bitcoin is unfortunately pretty weak compared to other assets this year.
I feel an alt season in the air, at least for a couple of weeks. I already have full bags of altcoins, so I don't know about you, but I am prepared!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Pump to 39k! But then, crash to 21k (juicy)
We have had a lot of bullish news in recent days, and that's why Bitcoin is going to reach up to 39k this summer, but do not be too excited because I am expecting a huge crash to 21k later this year!
39K is an extremely strong resistance for the bulls, mainly because of the 0.618 FIB retracement and point of control of the previous market structure. Also during the downtrend in 2022, the price created an unfilled fair value gap, which acts as resistance as well. We can fill this gap and start a major downtrend.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
At this moment, Bitcoin is inside an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart and has touched the trendline three times. 3 touches is a lot; it basically failed to make a parabolic move, so I expect this trendline to breakdown this year and start a downtrend!
What could be the price target for the upcoming downtrend? We still have an unfilled CME GAP at 21110, which is a magnet. All CME gaps on Bitcoin were always filled, and there is a 100% historical probability of going down and filling them!
Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this uptrend from 15k to the current price of 30k looks impulsive. It has a good angle, and there are totally no overlaps on the line chart, even though there is a small overlap on the candlestick chart. I market it as an impulse wave 12345, and we still have room to go up to finish the 5th wave.
Look at my previous idea about "XRP" in the related section down below; it's very important!
That's all for today. It's possible for Bitcoin to go down in the short term, but I am pretty bullish, and 39 is expected this summer.
95% of my trades are done on altcoins, and Bitcoin has been going sideways for almost a month. The volatility is low, and where there is no volatility, there is no opportunity.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
EthereumLet's take a look at Ethereum.
The uptrend is well maintained for now. The price range of $1,609.41 has been preserved in the downward trend.
On higher time frames, if the $2173.14 resistance zone is fully consumed, we can have an attractive bullish trend.
On the lower time frames, the condition of the upward trend can be the consumption of the range of $1937.12.
The above view is valid on the condition of maintaining the range of $1609.41.
ACCO Potential up until $6.39🐂 Trade Idea: Long - ACCO
🔥 Account Risk: 1.00%
📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option
🔍 Entry: +/- 5.57
🐿 DCA: No / Yes, up to or down to xxx.xx
😫 Stop-Loss: 4.75
🎯 Take-Profit #1: 6.39 (50%)
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
—
Double bottom on the weekly at 4.27 with an ascending triangle formation. At 6.50 we can see the current neck line. First profit target should be slightly below at 6.39. Rest can trail and if we can jump above the 6.50 we could see some substantial upward potential.
—
Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG
The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only.
Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
EURGBP → Formation of a pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURGBP a week earlier forms a break of the resistance of the descending price channel. A consolidation of 0.86000-0.85400 is forming. We see consolidation at the resistance. What to expect from the price?
Most likely, the price will continue to test resistance 0.86067. Pre-break consolidation is forming, which can be interpreted as another attempt of price exit from the range, followed by the strengthening of the currency pair.
Moving averages are beginning to narrow and if the conditions are favorable, they may soon form a signal that confirms the intention of the market to change the trend.
A breakout at 0.8606767 will send the price to 0.86722, but if the breakout does not happen, correction to the trend support will be formed.
Resistance levels: 0.86067, 0.86345, 0.86722
Support levels: 0.85725, trend support
The market is showing good dynamics and consolidation confirms the intention of the buyers. I am waiting for breakthrough of resistance with the subsequent growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Bitcoin - Buy exactly here for the long term! (premium solution)Bitcoin is ready to go higher, but this uptrend is starting to be a little bit extended, and we need a correction to 21k. I have been warning you for a long time about a huge crash that is going to happen soon or later. We still have an unfilled CME GAP, and exactly in the GAP we have the 0.618 LOG FIB retracement (15476->33000), which is a good confluence to buy Bitcoin for the long-term and ride your position to a new all-time high!
It looks like Bitcoin is going to reach levels around 32k - 33k. I do not expect the last wave to be huge because of the previous waves (1) and (2). We can use the Fibonacci extension tool to measure the expected length of the last wave.
Buying Bitcoin at the current or higher price for the long term is not worth it because you can definitely buy it cheaper at 21k later this year.
Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
The pitchfork that you can see on the chart is still holding, which is, of course, a good sign for the bulls. But in the event of a breakdown of this pattern, you should be very cautious. I think it's going to trigger a massive selloff.
If we take a look back to the bear market in 2021 - 2022, we can see a five-wave structure, which is pretty much undeniable. It can be a triple zigzag or an impulse. My outlook on this idea is bullish, so I marked it as a triple ZigZag. It's probably a complex correction because the last fifth wave looks like an ABC zigzag wave.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Above the 32399 level is a high liquidity area, so there is a pretty good chance that the market wants to take all stop-loss orders from traders before the huge ABC correction happens!
The 25k level has already been tested, so if you want to still buy here, it's probably not a good idea. Maybe for a short-term bounce, it could be.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Pitchfork and Bullish Flag (You haven't seen it!)
On the chart, you can see my Fibonacci original pitchfork on the logarithmic scale, starting from the bottom at 15476. As you can see, this pitchfork is very well respected, sometimes pretty much exactly to the dollar. The power of a pitchfork is real on Bitcoin. I use Fibonacci 1, 0.618, 0.382, and 0 values for it.
Right now, the price of Bitcoin is still bullish because the pitchfork is clearly holding, we can see a bullish flag / parallel channel on the recent price action, and what's more, we have an ABC correction that has been completed successfully. It's a good bullish setup for longs, but we all know that if the price falls below the pitchfork and below the ABC wave, it's going to trigger a massive crash to 15k! Bitcoin is overall pretty weak compared to gold, which has already almost hit an all-time high while Bitcoin is struggling.
In all of my analyses, I always give you a very strong technical analysis that no one else does. I keep my description pretty short, so you don't spend too much time reading while all the necessary information is included.
It's really best for bullish flags to be together with an ABC correction of ZigZag types. This will increase the probability of success.
Maybe I am wrong and Bitcoin is not going to pump, but it's totally okay as long as your risk-to-reward ratio is above 3. You can be right only 40% of the time to be a successful trader. Most people think you need to be right 80% of the time, which you can, but your risk-to-reward ratio will be only 1, which gives you a very small profit for each trade. I prefer a higher risk-to-reward ratio with a lower success rate.
I do analyses for the bulls and for the bears, and now it's your work to do your own analysis and open trades. I give you good reasons for the bullish and bearish scenarios. It can sometimes look like all I post is that I am sure about it, but it's just a part of my personality.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
USD/CHF - long positionWe have the USD/CHF on the daily time frame. We can see the downtrend, which is confirmed by indicator 200 EMA. Indicators SAR and RSI remains in the bullish control zone. It may be the right opportunity to take a long position. Final target, take profit, entry price and stop loss are in the chart.
Ethereum - Weekly bearish flag will send ETH to 618 USDT (gg)
Ethereum shows a lot of weakness on the major timeframes. You can see that the downtrend was pretty steep, and now we are in a consolidation phase. If we take a closer look at it, this is not even an uptrend; it's more like a sideways bearish flag consolidation.
A trendline from 2015 on the ETHBTC chart is breaking down, which is a significant bearish technical event. Make sure you check out the trendline in the related section down below!
Now the question is, "What will be the bottom on ETH?" We use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bear market to wave A and wave B, which will give us a 0.382 FIB projection. This is a reasonable target for the final dump (618 USDT).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
You can see my Elliott Wave count on the chart. I don't know what's yours, but you can take some inspiration. A lot of people are very bullish at this moment, but the chart does not look bullish. The previous downtrend from 2021 - 2022 was extremely steep and impulsive, which you do not want to see as a bull. We need to finish the major ABC correction to start the true bull market.
ETH is going sideways. It has been almost 1 year of sideways price action. I don't see anything bullish, and it's better to sell all your ETH if you haven't already and short ETH to make money.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - 2 secret patterns, no one talks about!
We have a head and shoulders (reversal pattern) and ascending parallel channel on the daily chart. Both of these patterns are bearish because there is a higher probability of a breakdown. There is a lot of empty space at the bottom of the parallel channel, and I feel like we need to go down to fill up the price action.
It can be a great idea to long bitcoin at the bottom of the channel because there is also a POC of the previous expanding triangle and the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous wave.
What's more, the 200-day moving average could act as support as well. This MA is used by huge hedge funds, banks, and professional traders.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If Bitcoin fails to hold the top of wave A, which is at 25250, then it will be a disaster for the price of Bitcoin, and most likely we are going to go to 15k. In my opinion, it's going to happen.
Volume is totally dead. During the last wave, the bullish volume was almost invisible. There was no interest from the bulls to buy BTC on the spot market. This is indeed a positive sign for the bears to short Bitcoin.
The majority is absolutely bullish, and if you want proof, check out my previous analysis in the related section down below. You need to read all the comments on this analysis so you can see all the opinions from people and NPCs.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator, we can spot a bearish divergence between the last 2 peaks. It looks like the bearish divergence has already been confirmed. At least I see it.
I am bearish on Bitcoin, and I expect lower prices. Gold almost reached a new all-time high, while Bitcoin is struggling, but no worries, a halving is coming in 1 year, and that will be bullish.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Setting ALERTS in SECONDS!!If you are still in the thoughts of correlation currency, you can see that the NZDUSD and NZDJPY are moving in the exact opposite direction.
Trendline Traders(right), you can see that the candlestick stood still and fail to break and close out of the structure. You might not be comfortable engaging directly on the 4-hourly chart(right) setup and this is when you can take reference on the 1-hourly chart(left) trading setup(left).
We have a retest of support with RSI Divergence.
DXY - Dollar comeback and stock market crash! (prepare for it)
The DXY index is currently sitting on the major support, and at this point, I think it's a good idea to speculate on a bounce from the support. As you can see, we have just retested the trendline on the monthly chart and retested wave (3) + wave 1.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are missing a final impulse wave upwards to complete this bullish cycle on the DXY index: 2008 - 2023(2024?). Use your Elliott Wave count to compare with my analysis.
The final wave 5 should end right above the previous wave 3 because of the wave 2 deep retracement. I do not expect any brutal extended wave 5 to the moon.
After we reach my target (around 116), the ascending parallel channel will breakdown and the dollar will go down. I do not trade forex or stocks, because my specialization is only in the crypto market, but I am not only a trader; I am also an analyst, and I enjoy doing analyses for all kinds of markets. For maximum performance, it's best to focus only on 1 area, such as only on crypto, only on stocks, only on forex, only on commodities, and so on. The market behavior absolutely differs, and you have to use different tools and strategies. A strategy that is profitable on crypto gets totally REKT on forex. People who say that his strategy or trading system works on all markets are either scamming you or lying to you.
As I said, DXY is sitting on the major support on the monthly chart, and usually you want to long supports and short resistances. In this case, we want to long the support.
If DXY drops below 99, then it's over, and this channel is going to break down. Everything indicates that the recession is pretty much inevitable. And when the Fed pivots, a market crash is almost guaranteed.
Now the question is, when will we rise on the DXY? We could start consolidating at these levels before an uptrend, or we can start an uptrend very soon. This is an analysis of the monthly chart, so it could take another few months!
Q2 2023 could be still bullish for the crypto market!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!