HUL long term investmentTechnical Analysis :
-- Strong support at 2047
-- Strict Stop Loss = 2440
-- Risk : Reward = 1 : 3
-- Target = 3450
-- Golden crossover in Daily
-- Just crossed the trendline
-- For long-term investment please ignore the targets.
Fundamental Analysis :
-- The company has existed for more than 10 years
-- The company is virtually Debt-free
-- CAGR : 5 year - 17% & 10 year - 18%
-- Revenue, Profit Growth : Over the last 5 years, revenue has grown at a yearly rate of 9–10 %
-- ROCE: Maintaining healthy ROCE of 38.22% (1 year), 90.51(3 years), and 95.95% over the past 5 years.
-- Cash Flow: Over the last 5 years, free cash flow growth has been 8.27%. Which is on the positive side.
-- P/E ratio: Stock is not overvalued as its near to its historical average
-- Maintaining a healthy Dividend
Bullish Trend Line
GOLD - Wall Street doesn't want you to know! Huge dump.
GOLD is currently very close to an extremely strong level, which is the previous swing high from August 2022!
The market will probably want liquidity above this swing high. I expect price to break this level and touch the top of the parallel ascending channel.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a classic impulse wave is almost done. This is a simple pattern that may work in confluence with other indicators.
What do you think about gold? Let me know in the comment section, because I look forward to your opinions!
I recommend you short gold once we break the previous swing high or once we touch the top of the channel again. Of course, you can set a limit order or wait for some reversal pattern at the critical point on lower timeframes.
I hope this analysis will help you with your trading decisions! Keep in mind that this is not a trade setup. There is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Where should you place your profit target? You can use my level, which is the breakout point of the previous trendline (1681.94). You can also long gold here in the future once the price reaches this important point.
Wall Street doesn't want you to know that 99.9% of gold is paper gold in the form of contracts. You may say that the physical supply of gold is limited, which can be true. But they can "print" an infinite amount of paper gold backed by fiat.
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Bitcoin - 1 million USD (You have never seen this before)
You see this ascending parallel channel for the first time! The channel is projected from the start of the bull market in 2018 to the end of the bull market in 2021.
The road to 1 million will be full of traps, liquidations, scams, and frauds. But if you are ready for a roller coaster, you can hold your bitcoins in cold wallets such as Trezor, where they will be frozen to death.
This is a projection because, of course, no one can predict the halving dates. I want to show you how Bitcoin can behave on the road to 1 million USD.
This parallel channel should be sustainable over time; there is not too much pressure, and we can reach 1 million in 2037. But for now, we are in 2022, and the current price is 16,500 USD.
As you can clearly see, Bitcoin could reach 6,500 USD next year to touch the bottom of the parallel channel. I don't see any problem with that.
Who will get rekt after FTX? Let me know in the comment section right now!
Bitcoin is extremely volatile and dangerous asset, they said. If you bought the peak, then yes, it's dangerous.
Thanks for your attention!
Bitcoin - Next week will be extremely bullish!
It looks like next week will be extremely bullish for Bitcon and also for the altcoins!
Price is currently moving in the ascending parallel channel, so the bulls have strong momentum.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the first impulse wave has been completed, and I expect another 2 impulse waves to the upside.
23 000 USD next week is definitely possible!
There are no gaps that need to be filled on this chart, which looks safe.
The chart is printing a bullish flag, so wait for a breakout for confirmation!
I wish you massive profits!
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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GOLD is no longer good
We are living in the digital age, and we require digital money like Bitcoin. Shiny metal is beautiful, of course, but the internet is currently up and running.
I remember the peak on gold in 2020, when the coin stores were full of people and there were big queues in front of the stores full of retail investors.
It's not looking good for gold at all; another 17% drop is possible as per my technical analysis.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, if we want to stay bullish on this wave count, then the bulls need to defend the 1350 USD level. We are currently in the C wave of the corrective structure.
1350 USD is a strong support because: the start of the gap from 2019 + breakout level from 2019 + Wave 1 support from 2016 + Trendline from 2015 + 200 monthly MA!
200 daily/weekly/monthly MA is considered a very powerful support by huge institutions and hedge funds.
This is a great opportunity for a swing trade in the future!
Look at my ideas about Bitcoin and crypto's total market cap in the related section down below.
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✅Crypto - 2014 trendline is holding, open your eyes!
This is technical analysis; I don't care about interest rates or fundamentals! Leave this analysis if you care about wars, covid, inflation, interest rates, and so on.
95% of people will never buy at the bottom and never sell at the top.
These people will tell you we will go to 13k. When we reach 13k they will tell you we will go to 10k. When we reach 10k they will tell you we will go to 6k. When we reach 6k they will tell you we will go to 3k. When we reach 3k they will tell you they will buy at 1k and so on. These people will never buy during the bear market; they will buy at the top instead!
As you can see, the chart is extremely bullish. If you don't see it, then you are probably shorting support and longing resistance all the time.
This is really not the best time to be bearish. If we drop below the main specific support, then I will quickly switch my overview on the market. There's nothing wrong with that.
I am not a permabull or permabear. You know me well; today I can be bullish, tomorrow I will be bearish, and in two days I will be extremely bullish again.
It doesn't matter if I am wrong and Bitcoin goes to 13k. I can be right only 50% of the time with RR 1:2 to be profitable. I take swing trades with RR 1:20.
I think 2023 will be a very bullish year for the crypto market, but you need to hold good coins. Forget about ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT......These coins will pump, but not next year.
If you are bearish, tell me why in the comment section down below!
Which coin do you want me to analyze? Let me know in the comment section!
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TWTR | Wave Projection| Take Profit Position | Bear DivergencePrice action and chart pattern trading - The key area to watch
> The price is approaching the upper resistance channel and the target inverse head & shoulders pattern with a slight bearish divergence RSI signal.
> A possible partial profit taking zone and the price could retest its channel support SMA50 zone.
✅Bitcoin - You must see this!
Bitcoin is the beast! Did you see that green dildo on DOGE? This is what is going to happen with Bitcoin, so hit the like/boost button if you want this scenario right now!
Doge is a great indicator that the bottom of Bitcoin is in and extremely bullish November starts in just 2 days.
If we maintain this parallel channel, Bitcoin could reach $23,000 USDT next week. No problem at all.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, we have plenty of room to go to the upside because the impulsive structure is probably incomplete.
If you are bearish, comment on this idea to share your opinion!
The stock market can continue to drop while Bitcoin can go up. I don't see any issue with that. But the bottom of the stock market could be in as well.
Bitcoin may never fall below 20k again. But the price is still very cheap and very good for an investment with a great risk-to-reward ratio.
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PHA - Another explosive move is possible!
This is an absolutely fantastic opportunity on PHA right here, right now!
The stop loss for this coin is very low and the profit target is very high, which provides a great risk-to-reward ratio.
The uptrend started with a strong impulse wave, which is extremely important for continuation to the upside.
The next profit target is around 1.3 USDT, but this coin can go even higher than 1.3 USDT.
The price action on PHA is extremely bullish. It looks like this is definitely not the end.
This coin has to hold the 0.18 USDT level. Otherwise, it will be dead for some time.
This is a great opportunity for swing and day-traders, because if the price goes up, then the volatility will be amazing.
Phala is a great ponzi at this moment, so maybe do your own research before putting your money into this coin. I think this pump will be very fast, so you don't want to hold this coin for weeks.
Phala Network is a privacy-preserving cloud computing service, which offers computing power comparable to existing cloud services and protects the privacy of managed programs.
Phala is also based on Substrate, and will run as a parachain of Polkadot ecosystem.
Phala provides a contract-based data exchange infrastructure for standardized data collection, analysis, and trading protocols.
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Bitcoin BTC, Secret trendline from 2013! No one is talking about
This is the monthly historical chart for Bitcoin , and as you can see, we are currently at major and very important support!
We have a long-term trendline that is printed only on the LOG scale, and the majority of retail traders never use the LOG scale, so that's why it's invisible to them.
The trendline was established in 2013, and this is the one and only one trendline you can draw at this moment.
So what happens if we break this trendline and previous all-time high from 2017 in conluence? Well, it will be extremely nasty, and this bear market is probably going to be the longest in the history of Bitcoin . We can basically have a 10-year sideways/corrective structure. There is also a possibility of a drop to 3000 USD (not now, but later in 2024) to the previous swing low from 2020. This is a true bubble that will pop, not the previous 2014 or 2017.
Also, if we break this trendline, then I can make a complete lifetime impulse wave from 2009 to 2021, and we are prepared for a multi-year massive ABC correction.
But I have faith in this support because, why not? Any speculation on a breakdown is, in my opinion, very risky at this point. You don't want to short the support and long the resistance, you want to do exactly the opposite. But the majority of breakout traders make this mistake. First, they should wait for confirmation before entering a short position here.
Do you think the trendline will hold or not? Let me know in the comment section!
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DXY - The best news for crypto/stocks!
This is great news for the stock market and crypto, because it looks like the DXY index has reached its destination at the top of the ascending parallel channel on the monthly chart.
The end of 2022 and 2023 could be very bullish for the stock and crypto markets! Maybe this is the last time we see Bitcoin below 20 000 USD.
2% inflation is on the table, we had a massive selloff in certain stocks, and they simply cannot fall in a straight line!
If we take a look at the RSI indicator, we are in overbought territory. It pretty much screams for a correction. Then we can make a final uptrend and print a bearish divergence on the 5th wave.
A previous swing high from 2001 is definitely a strong resistance and I believe we will take stop losses above this high before a huge downtrend will be in-play. But not now. It could happen in 2025.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, I am missing a final impulse wave to the upside, so do not celebrate too much yet. For now, we are ready for an ABC correction to the downside on this chart.
As you can see, we hit the 1.618 FIB extension measured from wave 1 to wave 2. Extremely strong resistance indeed!
Look at my ideas about Bitcoin and the SPX 500 in the related section down below.
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USDJPY - Bullish TrendlineAdvance trader who can plot a similar bullish trendline and have your alert setting as once per bar close and wait for buying opportunity once the market touches it.
If you face challenge doing that, keep refreshing this analysis until you can see a link under related ideas.
TOTAL Crypto - Are we still in a bull market?
This is a major outlook on the total crypto market cap, which is probably the most important indicator.
As you can clearly see, we are in a bull market on the weekly/monthly timeframe, but if the bulls give up, then it can turn into a 5–10 year bear market, which will be the first bear market in the history of cryptocurrencies!
Please, do not write in the comment section things about previous bear markets in 2018, 2019, and now 2022. This is nothing compared to what may come.
But nothing is lost at all, because we are holding the key market structure!
The price is above the 200 weekly moving average, which historically has never been broken. We are above the previous swing high from 2018 and this is the most important support that must hold. The 0.382 FIB + the ABC correction is another bonus.
The chart is printing a massive falling wedge/bullish flag #2. You can compare this pattern with the previous structure from 2018.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, an ABC correction of the previous impulse wave has been completed successfully with a 0.382 FIB, which is a reasonable retracement.
If you buy Bitcoin or Ethereum right now and it fails, then it was definitely a great trade and you should be proud of it. You took the risk, you took the chance. I think this is a great lifetime opportunity.
The money printer is up and running at full speed. Inflation is very high, so it's definitely great for cryptocurrencies.
October and November are extremely bullish months for Bitcoin, so there is a great chance for a bounce!
This is my verdict. We are still in a bull market and this was just a correction. We are preparing for another bull run, so do not miss it!
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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STPT | +4000% Brutal Gains! Sleeping Giant
STPT (Standard Tokenization Protocol) is a sleeping Giant, but when wakes up it will be huge, you can be pretty sure about that!
We have been moving sideways for more than 3 years now on the weekly chart, and if we break this head and shoulders pattern, it will be tremendous!
4000% profit is a lot and I don't want to miss this altcoin, unfortunately, we can go sideways for another 1 year. So if you buy now, you can sit on the coin for a long time before it explodes.
Yes, you can buy now and tomorrow it will be +1000%, it's really possible.
Keep in mind that this is STPTBTC chart, not STPTUSDT chart. If you buy this coin, then your USDT value can go down, 50% drop is possible. You can buy this coin, if BTC hits 13k in the immediate short term.
For a confirmation trade, buy a breakout above the Head And Shoulders pattern if you don't want to wait and want to catch the momentum. But there is a chance of another rejection at the neckline, which can lead to 50% decline almost immediately.
Also, there is a local trendline that you can clearly see on the chart and if the bulls can break this trendline, then there is definitely a potential.
I think this coin is a great choice and even if you buy for only 5% - 10% of your funds, it can be a smart bet.
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✨Golem GLM - On fire! +2000% | Bullish flag + Huge breakout!
Golem is on fire! You really want to buy Golem right now because the bullish flag is breaking out and an ascending triangle on the GLMBTC pair also!
How can you not love the name of the coin? But you definitely will with the massive profits!
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, we are prepared for the third impulse wave to the upside. The third wave is usually the strongest, so you don't want to miss it.
The ABC correction has been completed, and we are forming a bullish flag pattern that is currently breaking out. You often find ZigZags corrections in bullish flags.
1:1 FIB extension is the next profit target (wave 3).
Look at my idea about the GLMBTC pair in the related section down below.
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Dollar index DXY - Everything collapses because of this!
Except for DXY, everything is falling apart because everyone is selling their assets and buying dollars instead as a safe haven! Traders usually also need USD to open short positions on futures and speculate on price decreases.
The dollar index is incredibly strong and this trend should continue for another few years. According to my analysis and to this chart, 2025 seems like a reasonable year for a trend reversal of this ticker.
Keep in mind that this is the monthly chart for DXY and the price is printing a massive parallel channel on the linear scale and also on the log scale as well.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, we are currently in the strongest third wave and I expect to touch the upper trendline of the parallel channel before we can experience a corrective fourth wave. After that, the 5th wave will come into play, and we can definitely throw over the parallel channel and find resistance at the previous swing high from 2001.
The DXY is a great indicator for traders and everyone should keep an eye on it. Interest rates are going up, and this is a negative indicator for the stock market.
Look at my ideas about Gold and Bitcoin in the related section down below.
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Terra Classic LUNC - Last wave before a dump! | Elliott Wave
LUNC is now a very hot altcoin, but it looks like the uptrend will end very soon.
If you want to buy LUNC, then wait for a pullback, at least to the start of wave 4.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this huge impulse wave is pretty much done because we are in the last fifth sub-wave.
As you can see on the chart, wave 2 was a triangle. You may say that wave 2 cannot be a triangle because it's on the public internet as a rule. But this information is incorrect. Wave 2 can be a triangle, wave 3 can be an impulsive diagonal, and sometimes wave 3 can be the shortest wave, believe it or not.
I think LUNC will go much higher, but first we should have a correction that can last a few weeks or months.
Elliott Wave theory is a very powerful technique when volatility is high. On the other side, when the market is going sideways, it's losing its power.
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Ethereum, ETH 2.0 in a few days! - Explosive bull market
Ethereum is now the leading cryptocurrency because everyone is anticipating the greatest event in the history of ETH and crypto in total.
Bitcoin's dominance is going down, which greatly favors Ethereum. This downtrend should continue until the end of the year.
It looks like the demand for ETH is now very high and may substantially increase over time before the merge begins.
On the daily chart, we have a new parallel ascending base channel that is defined by Wave (1) and Wave (2). There are always 2 versions of the channels - on the linear scale and on the LOG scale, which makes trading more difficult, but it is how it is. The channel on the log scale fits better because it includes previous swings as well.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, an ABC correction (wave 2) has finished and we are already in a new third impulsive wave, which should be huge.
Ethereum 2.0 - The Bellatrix upgrade will activate on the Beacon Chain on September 6. This upgrade is responsible for setting the rest of the Merge process in motion. The Terminal Total Difficulty value triggering The Merge is expected between September 10-20, 2022.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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Ethereum ETHBTC - New all time high this year! Then a big crash?
Ethereum is much stronger than Bitcoin and this trend should continue until we hit the major resistance from 2017, which is approximately another 85% upwards.
As you can see on the chart, this whole market structure looks like an ascending triangle. This triangle should break downwards, if we don't want ETH to flip BTC on coinmarketcap.
Keep in mind that ETHBTC does not belong to a trending market. It's more like an oscillator. You can compare this pair to the EURUSD forex pair. So, forex strategies should work much better on this particular ETHBTC pair.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, we are currently in the final 5th impulsive wave of the bigger impulsive wave.
Bitcoin's dominance is breaking down the key market structure, which, of course, greatly favors ETH.
Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below.
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TOTAL Crypto - Key support defended! Above 200MA + 0.382 FIB
The charts never lie and, as you can see, the bulls successfully defended the 200 weekly moving average and previous swing high from 2018. We didn't even close a candle below the 200MA!
We need to keep in mind that the 200 weekly MA is the strongest MA of all of them, and this zone is considered a strong support by huge institutions and hedge funds.
If we drop below the 200MA for the first time, then you can bet on a 10-year bear market and sideways boring price action. You don't want this to happen, even if you are a bear. Yes, you want to buy cheap bitcoin at 13 000 - 6 000, sounds good, but you will wait 10 years for another bull market cycle.
But for now, everything is perfect and we also hit the 0.382 FIB retracement from the previous impulse wave on the LOG scale. 0.382 is the second most important FIB level after 0.618. If you calculate it: 382+618 = 1.
If we take a look at the MACD indicator, we can spot a bullish divergence on the histogram and also a bullish tick. So this tells us the bears are running out of steam and the bulls are gaining strength again.
A lot of traders are very bearish. Altcoins like ADA, LINK, SOLANA, XRP, etc. will perform poorly in the next bull market in my opinion. These altcoins are great, but they need more time.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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NDX Approaches Critical Support LevelsPrimary Chart: NDX's Critical Support Levels Include a Two-Month Upward Trendline, Fibonacci Levels, and a Key Price Zone (Teal Box)
The Nasdaq NASDAQ:NDX approaches critical support this week as indices give back gains from the recent rally. The most immediate support has already been reached—see the teal-blue rectangle showing a major zone of price support formed by February and March 2022 lows and early June 2022 peaks.
This zone of price support also coincides with key Fibonacci retracement levels. Two key Fibonacci retracement levels lie just below where NDX trades.
12,947.55 is the .382 retracement of the entire rally from Covid 2020 lows to all-time highs in November 2022
12,695.74 is the .382 retracement of the recent two-month rally ending on August 16, 2022;
12,379.06 is the .50 retracement of the same two-month rally;
12,062.38 is the .618 retracement of the same two month rally
This area of support ranges from 12,000 to 13,054. It likely will lead to a bounce somewhere in the range of 12,350 to 12,750.
To determine where price will reverse, one could just pick the strongest support level near the .618 retracement with a tight stop in place. Or one could watch price carefully at each level to see how price responds. If price lingers at the support level, and slides into it without bouncing (or if it bounces and then falls right back into it and holds there), it likely may fail leading to the next level. If a support level quickly repels price, then the support may be worth considering for a short-term (several days) bounce off the support.
Key moving averages shown on the supplementary chart below suggest that the momentum, at least this week, has shifted to negative. To continue the rally, price must, at a minimum, recover the 21 EMA (Daily) and the 8 EMA (Daily) with closes above both. Then both need to shift upward. Because this has not happened, the path of least resistance remains down. But the risk-reward for a short position on the NDX is not idea given that major price support has approached and will likely lead to a bounce, at least in the short term.
Supplementary Chart A: Key EMAs Broken and Sloping Downward
If price bounces, the gap fill area around 13,200 appears to be a spot where price could reach in the short term. This gap may also serve as modest resistance depending on the bounce.
NOTE: This article is intended to present an objective, technical viewpoint of NDX's current price action and key levels using technical analysis. The author has no open position at the time of publication (August 23, 2022) on NDX, NQ, or QQQ, or related leveraged ETFs / leveraged inverse ETFs or options on the same.
DISCLAIMER: This post is published solely for educational / entertainment purposes and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation and cannot account for any person's particular financial circumstances. The author would not want other investors / traders to lose money by relying *solely* on this idea rather than doing their own due diligence. Before entering any trade, please evaluate the risks of (i) the instrument / security being traded, (ii) the type of trade and its timeframe, (iii) risks inherent in that type of trade and its time frame, (iv) the inherent risks of shorting securities (presenting unlimited risk without hard stops in place), (v) the inherent risks of trading options, leveraged ETFs, and cryptocurrencies, and (vi) all financial risks arising each person's personal financial circumstances.
NASDAQ:NDX
TVC:NDQ
SKILLING:NASDAQ
OANDA:NAS100USD
CME_MINI:NQ1!