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Bullmarket2025

TOTALCAP — The Next Trillion Crypto Move: Are You Ready?When people analyse the crypto market, they often default to Bitcoin and for good reason. It’s the one and only, the king. But sometimes, to see the forest instead of just the tree, you need to zoom out and study the broader picture. That’s where the Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTALCAP) chart comes in. It’s essentially the mirror of Bitcoin, but it offers powerful macro insight — not just price, but scale. Looking at trillions instead of dollars changes how you frame support, resistance, and overall sentiment. Let’s dive in. 🧠 Why TOTALCAP Matters TOTALCAP aggregates the value of every coin and token — the complete valuation of the entire crypto industry. And while it often moves in sync with Bitcoin, it carries a different weight. Shows the “big picture” of institutional and retail money flow Offers clearly defined round-number zones (Trillions) as psychological S/R Removes coin-specific anomalies and focuses on collective momentum In bull and bear markets, these trillion-dollar thresholds act like major checkpoints. Watching how TOTALCAP interacts with these levels can give early signals that BTC or alts alone can’t. Historical Key Levels & Structure Let’s break it down by macro phases: ✅ November 2021 — Peak of Last Bull Market: TOTALCAP peaked exactly at $3 Trillion. This level acted as a ceiling — once hit, the market reversed sharply. This marked the top of the 5-wave impulsive move (Elliott Wave theory). 📉 November 2022 — Bear Market Bottom: TOTALCAP dropped below $1 Trillion, bottoming at $727 Billion. This was almost a 0.786 fib retracement from peak — similar to BTC’s historical retracements. The $1T mark was retested as resistance before being reclaimed as support. 📈 2023–2025 — The Bull Awakens: $1 Trillion flipped into solid support throughout 2023. A clear sign the macro market structure had shifted bullish. Once $2T was breached, things moved fast. 🚀 Current State: The market surged above the previous $3T ceiling. TOTALCAP has hit a new ATH: $3.73 Trillion Now, the question is: Is this the start of a new leg higher, or a bull trap before a correction? 🔍 Fibonacci Confluences — Why $3.7T Was Key The sharp rejection at $3.7T wasn’t random. It aligns with: 1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: From 91.24B → 3T high → 727B low = 1.0 = 3.65T ✅ precise hit 1.272 Fib Extension of the macro move Upper Pitchfork Resistance Channel Top Rejection → All signals converged to mark that level as major resistance 🌀 Elliott Wave Macro Count Looking at the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear impulsive 5-wave movement from the 2022 lows: Wave 1: $727B → $1.26T Wave 2: Correction to $975B ($1T) (support confirmed) Wave 3: Massive rally toward $2.72T Wave 4: Pullback toward $1.69T (VWAP retest) Wave 5: $3.73T ATH What does this imply? According to classical Elliott Wave theory, after a full 5-wave move, the market tends to enter an corrective phase. 🔍 Some key levels to watch: $3T: Historical S/R (was the 2021 top, now acting as a key level) $2.31T: Recent swing low $2T: Psychological and structural support 📌 Zone of Interest for Longs: $2.31T–$2T This zone holds: Previous consolidation zone from mid-2024 Fib retracement confluence Likely forming Wave C bottom if this is a full ABC 🎯 Upside Targets — What If We Continue Higher? Looking ahead: 🔸 1.618–1.666 Fib Extension = $4.42T–$4.53T 🔸 1.618 TBFE from previous cycle = ~$5.45T 📌 Rounded Targets: $4.5T, $5T and $5.5T These are the next likely macro cycle targets — but only after a healthy correction and consolidation. ☀️ Macro Context & Summer Seasonality Historically, summer tends to be a weaker period: Lower volume Institutional rebalancing Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty 📚 Educational Insight: TOTALCAP as a Tool Treat TOTALCAP like the S&P500 of crypto. Use round trillions as psychological levels: 1T, 2T, 3T, etc. Always check if BTC’s price is aligned with where TOTALCAP is on the macro structure Helps judge market strength even when BTC dominance is shifting It’s especially useful when altcoins pump or dump out of sync with BTC — you can use TOTALCAP to track the real flow of money. 💡 Final Thoughts We are likely in a corrective phase after a complete 5-wave cycle. The area between $2.31T and $2T offers high-probability long entries Watching how TOTALCAP reacts to these levels will help us anticipate the broader market’s next move Summer slowdown could mean chop — but this also creates opportunities 💬 Let me know your thoughts: Are we entering a deeper correction? Or will TOTALCAP surprise us with a new leg higher? Don’t forget to zoom out. The charts always tell the story. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by SiDec
7
SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts: 🔑 Key Levels & Confluences 1. Higher-Timeframe Opens Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone 2. Fibonacci Support Zones 0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry 0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support 3. Order Block Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support 4. Volume-Weighted Average Price Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance 5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range) Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support 📈 Long Trade Setups 1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block Entry: $141-138.78 Stop-Loss: $137.5 Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones) R:R ≈ 9:1 2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open) Stop-Loss: $142.5 Target: $165 R:R ≈ 3:1 • Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up. 📉 Short Trade Setup Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4 Entry: $153.4 Stop-Loss: $154.3 Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147) R:R ≈ 6:1 • Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens. 🎯 Summary & Game Plan Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166. Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support. Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups. Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts). Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you! ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
52
THETA at Rock Bottom? The Bounce Could Be LegendaryFor the past 136 days, THETA has been in a strong downtrend, shedding an incredible -82% from its high at $3.351. Recently, it tapped into a major support level at $0.617, interesting that it's like the golden ratio 0.618. And it bounced off it beautifully. Over the last few days, we’ve seen a notable surge in volume, hinting at potential accumulation. Could this be one of the best times to scale in? It might just be. An 82% discount is no joke. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch The $1 level is the key psychological and technical resistance everyone’s eyeing. Longing from current levels to $1 offers a solid +40% gain, not bad at all. But let’s zoom out and get the bigger picture with some Fibonacci levels. Using Fib retracement on the full 136-day move down: 0.236 Fib = $1.252 → Approx. +75% from current price 0.382 Fib = $1.653 → Roughly +135% gain These are solid mid- to long-term upside targets if bullish momentum builds. 📈 Trade Setup & R:R Invalidation: Current low at $0.600 Monthly Open: $0.804. Reclaiming and flipping this level into support would be a bullish sign. Current Resistance: Around $0.71, where the anchored VWAP (yellow line) aligns with a yearly level. This needs to be broken and ideally retested as support. We might also be seeing the early formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. While the “head” is still developing, if this setup plays out, the target sits at $1.5. And here’s the kicker: That $1.5 region lines up with multiple higher timeframe moving averages, adding significant weight to the level: Monthly 21 EMA: $1.52 Monthly 21 SMA: $1.47 Weekly 21 SMA: $1.514 This confluence makes $1.47–$1.52 a major magnet for price and a likely take-profit or reaction zone if momentum continues. 👉 Feel free to use this indicator—just head over to my profile and under the Scripts section, add it to your favorites. Enjoy. 🎯 Risk to Reward Potential These setups have excellent R:R potentials, ranging from 3:1 to over 60:1, depending on entry, stop-loss placement, and target selection. These are the kinds of high-probability setups that traders dream of. Clean structure, strong support, major upside, and clear invalidation. If we see a breakout above $1 with strong volume, it could act as a catalyst for an even faster move toward higher Fib levels and MA targets. Didn’t want to go too deep, but this lays out a clear roadmap with levels to monitor and possibilities to consider. The rest depends on how new data unfolds in the coming weeks. As always... plan your trade, manage your risk, and let the market come to you. Keep monitoring volume, structure, and key levels. The opportunities are here, now it's about execution. ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
4
Ethereum Hits Support – Time to Load Up?🎢 The Great 112‑Day Drop What happened? Over the past 112 days, ETH tumbled –66%, sliding from $4109 down to $1383 and oh yeah, it even poked its nose below the January 2018 all-time high. 7 years ago! Support Zone: 0.786 + Volume Profile 0.786 Fib: $1,570.85 (drawn from the 2022 low $870.80 to that $4109 high). 5‑Year POC: $1565 Hold Tight: For 2 weeks, the 0.786 level has acted as support, bouncing price right back up. Sell in May and go away? Rather buy in May and grab some gains on the way? Trade Blueprint: Your Ethereum Game Plan Entry Zone: $1570.85 Stop Loss: Below $1369.79 Profit Targets: $1800, $2000 ,$2500, $3000 Risk/Reward: Risk ≈13%, Reward ≈91%, a solid 7:1 R:R DCA Missed the perfect entry? No drama... dollar‑cost average between $1700 and $1500. Keep an eye on the monthly open at $1822. Bulls need to break this resistance zone. Bottom Line Ethereum’s –66% dive has handed us a golden ticket at the 0.786 fib and 5‑year POC. This is one of those “buy the dip” moments. ________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful? Drop a like and comment below. Want TA on another coin? Let me know and I’ll break it down for you. Happy trading everyone! 💪
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by SiDec
4
Starts Late, Ends Late: 2026 Bull Market?Market conditions are so different now. Everything is changing fast and radically, it has to do with the stars. The way the stars are aligned now has not happened in hundreds of years. The type changes we are seeing now have not happened in hundreds of years. It is not only the financial markets but the whole world and the way we perceive reality is changing in so many ways. This is certain to have its effect on the Cryptocurrency market, the effect is already present and tangible, market conditions (reality) will never be the same. The bull market is starting late. By this date in 2021, everything was up and up really strong. Some pairs had already peaked, literally, some altcoin trading pairs had already peaked by April 2021. The full cycle complete. Thousands of percentages of points of growth. What about now? It is April 2025 and the bottom is in on many pairs. Only last week, 7-April, we had a marketwide bottom. The start of the 2025 bull market cycle and phase. A late start can translate into a late end. Now, a full bullish cycle can be completed in 6 months. This is not necessary nor required. Also, the market is much bigger now, it wouldn't be feasible, there would be too much rush. Think of the market as an entity that wants to survive, thrive, live and grow. Can it go through years of bearish action and only produce several months of growth? Balance is needed. The market needs a bullish cycle to keep the participants engaged or else everybody will quit forever if there is nothing to gain. The fact that the Altcoins market hit bottom is the most bullish signal there is, but, looking at all these charts, hundreds of charts, something tells me that what is coming will be different to the past. Actually, it will be similar because the last bull market happened from March 2020 through late 2021. So we can have a bull market from April 2025 until some time in 2026. I just don't believe that everything will end too fast, within six months, because we are having a late start. It will be the other way around, the bull market will extend. Instead of Cryptocurrency growing for 1 year, we might get continued growth for 2-3 years straight, maybe more for some pairs. Some pairs have been dropping for 4 years while others have been down for 6 years or more. When things change, these pairs will be experiencing sustained long-term growth. Other pairs grew strong and never moved below support. These pair were supposed to drop according to classic past patterns and yet, they all remained strong and ready for more. This bull market will be out of the ordinary. Everything that is happening right now in finance and politics is not the same as always, it is a true generational change. We are going through a phase of evolution and this is what will cause the bull market to extend. Late start, late end. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by MasterAnanda
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available. Support and Long Setup The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with: Stop-loss: Below $93K Take Profit: around $113K Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup Resistance and Short Setup For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity: Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
Long
by SiDec
a lifetime logarithmic cycle in quartersthe quarterly chart in logarithmic price shows the cyclical arrangement of bull market breaks to new all time highs on the curve. the current bull market has the typical shape of each other breakout in the time cycles along a logarithmic pattern. shown are the logarithmic trend max and channel. this indicates a move inside the curve. during these periods btcusd tends to gain 80% over 3-6 months. im remaining buy sided btcusd for the foreseeable future targeting $124k by april 2025, stop loss as low as $59k.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by cerealindicator
a two year bull market. what has changed?its been 756 days since the bottom in the s&p500. the weekly is on an extended bull run to the 6000 region. last week has been the biggest drop in volatility in this trend. large risk on weeks come with pullbacks, but this week hasnt bearishly diverged from the trend yet. fib time zone tells us the trend hasnt reached a local maximum yet. the general trend hasnt changed since monday may 15 2023. since signal hasnt changed i wouldnt try to short this market yet. a breach of this dopen would probably lead to a pullback around pmVAH, and i would look to do this by ftz 13. still a local bear move toward the 5800 region isnt unthinkable. i would still rely on this broader market move setting higher weekly lows and vreaking to new all time highs for the foreseeable future, which is why im leaning long here, even with the advanced age of this bull market (even post election).
SP:SPXLong
by cerealindicator