THETA at Rock Bottom? The Bounce Could Be LegendaryFor the past 136 days, THETA has been in a strong downtrend, shedding an incredible -82% from its high at $3.351. Recently, it tapped into a major support level at $0.617, interesting that it's like the golden ratio 0.618. And it bounced off it beautifully. Over the last few days, we’ve seen a notable surge in volume, hinting at potential accumulation. Could this be one of the best times to scale in? It might just be. An 82% discount is no joke.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
The $1 level is the key psychological and technical resistance everyone’s eyeing. Longing from current levels to $1 offers a solid +40% gain, not bad at all. But let’s zoom out and get the bigger picture with some Fibonacci levels.
Using Fib retracement on the full 136-day move down:
0.236 Fib = $1.252 → Approx. +75% from current price
0.382 Fib = $1.653 → Roughly +135% gain
These are solid mid- to long-term upside targets if bullish momentum builds.
📈 Trade Setup & R:R
Invalidation: Current low at $0.600
Monthly Open: $0.804. Reclaiming and flipping this level into support would be a bullish sign.
Current Resistance: Around $0.71, where the anchored VWAP (yellow line) aligns with a yearly level. This needs to be broken and ideally retested as support.
We might also be seeing the early formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. While the “head” is still developing, if this setup plays out, the target sits at $1.5.
And here’s the kicker:
That $1.5 region lines up with multiple higher timeframe moving averages, adding significant weight to the level:
Monthly 21 EMA: $1.52
Monthly 21 SMA: $1.47
Weekly 21 SMA: $1.514
This confluence makes $1.47–$1.52 a major magnet for price and a likely take-profit or reaction zone if momentum continues.
👉 Feel free to use this indicator—just head over to my profile and under the Scripts section, add it to your favorites. Enjoy.
🎯 Risk to Reward Potential
These setups have excellent R:R potentials, ranging from 3:1 to over 60:1, depending on entry, stop-loss placement, and target selection. These are the kinds of high-probability setups that traders dream of. Clean structure, strong support, major upside, and clear invalidation.
If we see a breakout above $1 with strong volume, it could act as a catalyst for an even faster move toward higher Fib levels and MA targets.
Didn’t want to go too deep, but this lays out a clear roadmap with levels to monitor and possibilities to consider. The rest depends on how new data unfolds in the coming weeks. As always... plan your trade, manage your risk, and let the market come to you. Keep monitoring volume, structure, and key levels. The opportunities are here, now it's about execution.
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Bullmarket2025
Ethereum Hits Support – Time to Load Up?🎢 The Great 112‑Day Drop
What happened? Over the past 112 days, ETH tumbled –66%, sliding from $4109 down to $1383 and oh yeah, it even poked its nose below the January 2018 all-time high. 7 years ago!
Support Zone: 0.786 + Volume Profile
0.786 Fib: $1,570.85 (drawn from the 2022 low $870.80 to that $4109 high).
5‑Year POC: $1565
Hold Tight: For 2 weeks, the 0.786 level has acted as support, bouncing price right back up.
Sell in May and go away? Rather buy in May and grab some gains on the way?
Trade Blueprint: Your Ethereum Game Plan
Entry Zone: $1570.85
Stop Loss: Below $1369.79
Profit Targets: $1800, $2000 ,$2500, $3000
Risk/Reward: Risk ≈13%, Reward ≈91%, a solid 7:1 R:R
DCA
Missed the perfect entry? No drama... dollar‑cost average between $1700 and $1500.
Keep an eye on the monthly open at $1822. Bulls need to break this resistance zone.
Bottom Line
Ethereum’s –66% dive has handed us a golden ticket at the 0.786 fib and 5‑year POC. This is one of those “buy the dip” moments.
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Happy trading everyone! 💪
Starts Late, Ends Late: 2026 Bull Market?Market conditions are so different now. Everything is changing fast and radically, it has to do with the stars. The way the stars are aligned now has not happened in hundreds of years. The type changes we are seeing now have not happened in hundreds of years.
It is not only the financial markets but the whole world and the way we perceive reality is changing in so many ways. This is certain to have its effect on the Cryptocurrency market, the effect is already present and tangible, market conditions (reality) will never be the same.
The bull market is starting late. By this date in 2021, everything was up and up really strong. Some pairs had already peaked, literally, some altcoin trading pairs had already peaked by April 2021. The full cycle complete. Thousands of percentages of points of growth.
What about now? It is April 2025 and the bottom is in on many pairs. Only last week, 7-April, we had a marketwide bottom. The start of the 2025 bull market cycle and phase. A late start can translate into a late end.
Now, a full bullish cycle can be completed in 6 months. This is not necessary nor required. Also, the market is much bigger now, it wouldn't be feasible, there would be too much rush.
Think of the market as an entity that wants to survive, thrive, live and grow. Can it go through years of bearish action and only produce several months of growth? Balance is needed. The market needs a bullish cycle to keep the participants engaged or else everybody will quit forever if there is nothing to gain.
The fact that the Altcoins market hit bottom is the most bullish signal there is, but, looking at all these charts, hundreds of charts, something tells me that what is coming will be different to the past. Actually, it will be similar because the last bull market happened from March 2020 through late 2021. So we can have a bull market from April 2025 until some time in 2026. I just don't believe that everything will end too fast, within six months, because we are having a late start. It will be the other way around, the bull market will extend.
Instead of Cryptocurrency growing for 1 year, we might get continued growth for 2-3 years straight, maybe more for some pairs. Some pairs have been dropping for 4 years while others have been down for 6 years or more. When things change, these pairs will be experiencing sustained long-term growth.
Other pairs grew strong and never moved below support. These pair were supposed to drop according to classic past patterns and yet, they all remained strong and ready for more. This bull market will be out of the ordinary. Everything that is happening right now in finance and politics is not the same as always, it is a true generational change.
We are going through a phase of evolution and this is what will cause the bull market to extend. Late start, late end.
Namaste.
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
$ETH Bull Market StrategyThis is my operating idea for this bull run.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH claims new ATH in Dec-Jan, and posts blow-off top in early Spring '25 (Apr-May). Peak somewhere between $7K and $10K...higher is possible up to $19.5K, but not likely. It really depends how high CRYPTOCAP:BTC goes (my range assumes $130K BTC).
I expect CRYPTOCAP:ETH to bottom at prior S/R of $1.9K in the bear market, sometime in 1H'26.
a lifetime logarithmic cycle in quartersthe quarterly chart in logarithmic price shows the cyclical arrangement of bull market breaks to new all time highs on the curve. the current bull market has the typical shape of each other breakout in the time cycles along a logarithmic pattern. shown are the logarithmic trend max and channel. this indicates a move inside the curve. during these periods btcusd tends to gain 80% over 3-6 months. im remaining buy sided btcusd for the foreseeable future targeting $124k by april 2025, stop loss as low as $59k.
a two year bull market. what has changed?its been 756 days since the bottom in the s&p500. the weekly is on an extended bull run to the 6000 region. last week has been the biggest drop in volatility in this trend.
large risk on weeks come with pullbacks, but this week hasnt bearishly diverged from the trend yet.
fib time zone tells us the trend hasnt reached a local maximum yet. the general trend hasnt changed since monday may 15 2023.
since signal hasnt changed i wouldnt try to short this market yet.
a breach of this dopen would probably lead to a pullback around pmVAH, and i would look to do this by ftz 13. still a local bear move toward the 5800 region isnt unthinkable.
i would still rely on this broader market move setting higher weekly lows and vreaking to new all time highs for the foreseeable future, which is why im leaning long here, even with the advanced age of this bull market (even post election).