Speculating Bitcoin's Cycle Top!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📚 Back to basics.
🗓️ This is the BTC monthly log chart.
📊 By applying two simple channels—one short-term (🔴) and one long-term (🔵)—we see both upper bounds aligning right around the 💰 $300,000 mark. A classic case of confluence at a key psychological level 🧠✨
👇 What do you think—are we headed there this cycle, or is it just hopium? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bullrun
ALT Market cap - Dip before 3TThe Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (CRYPTOCAP) is currently testing a critical support zone at the 21-month Simple Moving Average (SMA). Historically, this moving average has acted as a strong dynamic support, marking significant market reversals and uptrends.
✅ Price is bouncing off the 21 SMA, similar to previous bull market cycles.
✅ The recent correction appears to be a healthy retest of support rather than a trend reversal.
✅ The formation of higher lows suggests bullish momentum building up.
✅ If price holds above this level, we could see a strong rally in altcoins, pushing the total market cap higher.
A successful bounce from the 21 SMA could trigger a bullish continuation, leading to a market expansion toward 1.6T - 2.3T levels in the coming months.
🔸 A monthly close below the 21 SMA could invalidate this setup, leading to a deeper correction.
🔸 Key support zone to watch: $900B - $950B
🔸 Breakout confirmation: Monthly close above $1.1T
If history repeats, this could be the perfect accumulation zone before the next major altcoin season! Keep an eye on the monthly close and volume confirmation for the next big move.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
BTC TO $91,000!!Hello! Today we're going to analyze Bitcoin's price action. It's currently rebounding. The movement doesn't seem to have much strength. However, let's not forget that on a weekly chart, Bitcoin is at the end of wave 4 of Elliott's theory.
We have a very clear scenario: a rebound to $91,000, which is an area with a lot of shorts and liquidity. If buying pressure is greater, it's logical that Bitcoin could break out strongly to the upside, because price action always seeks out areas of less pressure, that is, it will always seek liquidity.
On 4-hour charts, we can see a lot of volatility, however, any purchases below $84,000-$87,000 can be considered conservative because it is a good buying zone. After all, you are buying at the end of wave 4 on a weekly chart, therefore, liquidations below $84,000 are not ruled out, but the short and medium-term trend is bullish.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
AVAX / AVAXUSDT | 1H | Avax will be the rocketHey there;
I have prepared avax analysis for you. All I ask from you is to support this analysis with your likes.
My Avax target level is 22.62 and my stop level is 17.37.
This analysis has a win rate of 2.00
Guys I will update this analysis under this post
Now let's just follow this analysis and see if my analysis is correct or not.
Thank you very much to everyone who has been kind and supported me with their likes.
Thanks to your support, I am constantly preparing special analyzes for you.
I love all my followers very much.
FireHoseReel | $ENA AnalysisWelcome to FireHoseReel!
Weekly Timeframe
BINANCE:ENAUSDT coin is currently at its strong demand zone on the weekly time frame, and it could potentially experience a pump from this area.
Let's check the lower time frames as well to find the best entry point!
Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, we have refined the weekly zone.
The price is currently at this zone, and there is significant liquidity to place targets, including liquidity voids and highs.
We also expect the start of the price's substructure phase on the daily time frame and the start of the minor phase on the weekly time frame.
4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour time frame, we are looking for our entry.
We have a demand zone where the price has reversed and turned bullish(CH).This zone also has a lot of liquidity above it, which serves as confirmation for our zone.
This zone will be a good entry point for a long trade.
Our target will be 0.5$ then 0.75$.
ALGO / USDT - Big Move AheadEvening fellas,
I got an order ready near the gap I believe its at $0.1844, it would require coming back down to the purple between both trendiness, one placed at the wick low, and the other at the body.
Maybe it moves up to resistance once again before a final shakeout.
It'll be a nice long.
Trade thirsty.
BTC - Let's Keep It Simple!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🏢BTC Building Blocks:
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
BTC is currently trading within a short-term bearish block between $81,200 and $87,500.
📉 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $81,200 low is broken to the downside, BTC is expected to enter the long-term bearish block.
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
If BTC breaks above the short-term bullish block at $87,500, it will enter a short-term bullosh block phase towards the $95,000 structure.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $95,000 level is broken to the upside, a long-term bullish movement toward the all-time high would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
XRP Wave 5 Starting Part 2Hello There,
There is the bullish case in which we bottomed and we are heading higher with a completed sideways combo in the wave 2. Currently we could be starting Wave 3 with a Leading Diagonal in the wave 1.
Probabilities? currently looking at both cases I think the bearish case may have a slight higher probability at the moment to dip in the $1.4 - $1.9 range first before hitting that $10 range.
Either way we have at least one more bullish wave left, so plan according with your holding and risk
GOD BLESS AND TRADE ON
Stay Humble and Hungry
Scallop (SCA) Potential 200x Gains by next bull run
Current Market Overview:
Current Price: $0.07
Market Cap: $8M
Target Market Cap: $200M+
Potential Growth: 25x - 200x
Showing strong accumulation signals, indicating that most weak hands have already exited. With whales now in control, the price action suggests an imminent breakout in the coming bull run.
Key Observations:
✅ Deep Accumulation Phase: The price has been suppressed for a long time, suggesting all early holders have been flushed out.
✅ Whale Accumulation: With fewer retail traders, whales can now dictate price action, leading to a controlled rally.
✅ Bull Market Catalyst: If the Bitcoin cycle and altcoin season play out as expected, SCLP could experience parabolic growth.
Price Targets Based on Market Structure:
TP1: $0.25 → Initial breakout level (6.5x from current price)
TP2: $0.60 → Strong resistance (15x)
TP3: $6.00 → Major psychological level (85x)
TP4: $28.00+ → Full bull cycle potential (400x+)
Market Cap Projections:
At $1.75 (25x Growth): ~$200M market cap
At $6.00 (85x Growth): ~$700M market cap
At $28.00 (400x Growth): ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B market cap
BTC - Get Ready!🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is dipping hard! 🚨
📉 Get ready for a massive entry at $72,000—here’s why:
It aligns with:
1️⃣ Lower bound of the blue wedge pattern
2️⃣ Previous resistance turned support
3️⃣ Key demand zone
4️⃣ -34% correction phase
📊 This level could be a game-changer! Are you buying?
Univers Of signals|BTC - Historical trap (122k then 60k in 2026)Bitcoin is in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and we want to look for the best price to sell and prepare for the 2025/2026 bear market! The best price to sell Bitcoin is at the 1.618 FIB extension or at the main long-term 2017-2021-2025 trendline. This is exactly at 122,069, as we can see on the chart.
Many people are saying that it's over for Bitcoin and that Trump's post was a giant trap. I think we will see a final 2 waves on Bitcoin to form an ending diagonal wedge pattern (1-2-3-4-5). Bitcoin is in wave 3.
I am also bullish because of the 50-week moving average. Historically, Bitcoin reacted to this MA very precisely. I always recommend using simple moving averages with 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods because this is what the big players are using as well. These MAs are very popular among giant institutions, banks, and investors.
I think a huge altseason should kick in anytime soon now because Ethereum is very undervalued, and BTC.D needs a break as well. ETH could be a much better choice for the final 2025 pump.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bear trap or the beginning of a bear market?A bear trap is on the border between a bear and a bull market. If it is really just a trap, then after a false breakout through support there should be a pullback and a subsequent run to the heights without any chance of buying on suitable positions. However, if it is not a bear trap, then it will only be a confirmation of the beginning of a bear market.
Last Leg of The Bull RunBased on historical patterns, I believe we are in the final phase of the current bull run. Analyzing previous market cycles, the peak of the 2013 bull run to the 2017 peak had a 49-month bar separation, while the 2017 to 2021 cycle exhibited a 47-month separation. Following this established “-2” pattern, the next peak is likely to occur with a 45-month separation.
Additionally, we are currently positioned within a monthly fair value gap, which could drive the market to new highs. However, I remain skeptical about the sustainability of this rally due to the impact of the U.S. crypto reserve. Institutional investors may perceive this as an opportunity for exit liquidity, aligning with the well-known market principle: "Buy the hype, sell the news."
- Gavin
do your own research
not financial advice just a speculation
Will Bitcoin Break Its Resistance? | Market Analysis of Bitcoin
As you can see on the chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is respecting a curve trendline very well. One of the most important observations is that every time Bitcoin tests this curve trendline, it forms an inverted hammer candlestick pattern, leading to a market reversal.
For those familiar with technical analysis, candlestick patterns play a significant role in predicting market movements. The repeated formation of inverted hammers at this trendline has consistently caused the market to reverse. Now, as Bitcoin approaches this trendline again, we’ll watch for the formation of another inverted hammer. If this pattern appears, it could signal another reversal and a potential drop in price.
However, just because the market has failed multiple times at this level doesn’t mean it will fail again. There’s also a strong possibility that Bitcoin could break through this resistance zone. The 91,000–92,000 zone is acting as a key resistance area, and the curve trendline is also providing resistance here.
Two Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1: Breakout Above Resistance
- There’s a high probability that Bitcoin could break the 91,000–92,000 resistance zone.
- If this happens, the next major resistance levels to watch are 94,500 and 98,800.
- After reaching these levels, Bitcoin might pull back, and we’ll analyze the next move in a future update.
- 94,500 and 98,800 are important resistance levels that are defining the current market character. For now, the market remains bearish, but if these levels are broken in the future, we could see the market’s character shift to bullish.
Scenario 2: Reversal at Trendline
- Bitcoin could test the curve trendline and form another inverted hammer pattern, leading to a reversal.
- This would mean the market fails to break the resistance and moves downward again, continuing the previous pattern.
Key Takeaways
Watch for Candlestick Patterns: The formation of an inverted hammer at the trendline could signal a reversal.
Trade Carefully: Be prepared for both scenarios—breakout or reversal—and plan your trades accordingly.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
Death of ETH ?ETH is currently trading at a crucial support zone. A breakdown from this strong level could push ETH into a bearish trend, making recovery difficult.
However, if ETH manages to reverse from the $1,800–$2,000 support zone, there’s hope for a strong performance ahead. A further crash below this zone could have a severe impact on the entire Ethereum ecosystem.
The next two weeks will be critical—let’s see how things unfold. Hoping for a reversal from this support level!
Stay tuned for more updates.
Cheers,
GreenCrypto Team
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period...
BULL MARKET PULL BACKS
Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels.
The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE).
We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post).
ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING?
As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market.
CME GAP
Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles.
To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post.
The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close.
NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle.
21W EMA & 20W SMA
Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC.
ORANGE TREND LINE
Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher.
* Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top.
* Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s).
Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week:
2012 Election Week Low - $10
2016 Election Week Low - $700
2020 Election Week Low - $13,200
2024 Election Week Low - $66,800
that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
BITCOIN | 1 DAY | '' Bitcoin will fall to $72,000 ''Hey everyone 💙
In the long run, I expect BINANCE:BTCUSD to drop to around $72,000. But don’t worry—this could actually be a sign of a massive rally ahead. If you're holding spot positions, there's no need to panic!
Big moves up often come after strong corrections. In my opinion, this dip is just a profit-taking phase, and the whales are setting the stage to push Bitcoin above $100K in the long term.
If you enjoy these insights, don’t forget to hit that like button🚀
GEMSUSDT #Spot #GEMSHoldhave your own research about its tech I assure you wont regret.
There’s so much updates and use cases coming up and the way we see it can jump so high .
Breaking the box will make it nonstop fly , lets go lads see you at the top .
Dyor
Target : 0.075$ , 0.26$ , 3$ , 5$