BTC $38-$40k low before macro upsideSorry to break it to y'all, but the BTC chop isn't finished yet. I expect a drop to around the $40ks which coincides with the Nov 22 low from a momentum perspective, unlocking another 10 months of upside like we previously experienced.
CAPITALCOM:US500 is the main cause of this, which will cause another capitulation event before assets break correlation and boom. Timeframe can be forecasted using the resistance fan lines. I am a MAXI so trust the analysis, I want $300k+ just as much as you all do. Kappa.
Bullrun
TOTAL - An Overview on the crypto marketcap#TOTAL #Analysis
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+ After a clear bounce from the support, another drop is occurring, which is normal.
+ We also have a strong support line that is providing significant support.
+ As long as the market cap remains above the horizontal and trendline support, there is hope for an upcoming bullish market.
+ A breakdown from this support zone could lead to further declines in the market.
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BTC/USDT 🔍 BTC/USDT Analysis: Key Dates and Strategic Insights for the Bull Run and Beyond 🚀
The BTC/USDT chart reveals crucial upcoming dates that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price action:
September 2, 2024 - Green Line: A potential local low, presenting an opportunity to accumulate BTC before the next leg up in the market.
January 6, 2025 - Red Line: This date likely marks the end of the current bull run, with Bitcoin expected to peak around late December 2024. This could be the time to take profits as the market might enter a cooling phase.
April 27, 2026, December 14, 2026 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, providing ideal entry points for long-term accumulation.
August 2, 2027, March 6, 2028 - Red Lines: Watch for these dates as potential local peaks.
Strategic Accumulation (2026-2028)
The period between 2026 and 2028, highlighted by the green lines, is projected to be the best time to accumulate BTC in preparation for the next Bitcoin halving. Investors should consider gradually building their positions during these years.
Bull Run Conclusion & BTC Dominance
The end of the 2024-2025 bull run is anticipated by late December 2024, with Bitcoin likely reaching its peak around that time. Additionally, Bitcoin’s dominance is expected to decrease to around 42-45% by mid-October 2024, signaling potential strength in altcoins during that period.
Aligning your strategy with these key dates and market phases could help maximize returns and position you effectively for the long-term.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #MarketTiming #CryptoStrategy
Is Polkadot going to make lower low?Yellow Line - BOS zone
White Line - Resistance of Bearflag pattern.
This is my idea on BINANCE:DOTUSDT and how it will go. We all know Dot is one of the top altcoins with huge potential. As you can see BINANCE:DOTUSDT is much likely to form a bearflag pattern before it goes up. If DOT ever reaches the 2.5-3 zone I would re-enter Long position again. You may think why 2.5-3 zone? isn't it going to make lower low? For me seeing a lower low is a confirmation that we are in a bearflag pattern and checking the bottom support line 3rd time is a huge confirmation to consider a Long Position. So time will tell!
Bitcoin Cup and Handle Pattern - Last Leg BINANCE:BTCUSDT (1W CHART) Technical Analysis Update
Bitcoin has recently formed a well-defined cup and handle pattern, with the price currently in the final stage of the handle. A recent market dip, fueled by recession fears, briefly pushed Bitcoin's price below $50,000. However, it quickly rebounded and is now trading at around $59,000.
If this reversal trend continues, we could see Bitcoin's price reach the resistance level of $65,000 to $67,000, marking the top of the handle. A breakout from this resistance zone would confirm the continuation of the bull run. The upcoming weeks will be critical in determining whether the bull run will persist or if a bear market is on the horizon.
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GreenCrypto
Bitcoin - Weekly chart Update - Bears will lose#BTC/USDT #Analysis
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+ Bitcoin has bounced back with a 15% recovery from the recent market low, a positive sign indicating resilience. The price is currently holding above a critical support level, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
+ While the price is trading above support, a major drop below this level would be concerning for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. The next significant support is at $45K, a crucial trend line. A break below $45K could signal the onset of a bear market.
+ Despite the recent recovery, August and September are expected to be challenging months for Bitcoin. The market is likely to range with multiple spikes and drops, potentially leading to liquidations for both bulls and bears. This period of volatility requires careful risk management.
+ I remain optimistic that Bitcoin will hold above the $50K level, with a gradual recovery likely from this area. Maintaining support above $50K is essential for avoiding a deeper downturn and sustaining the long-term bullish trend.
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BTC Dominance Update - Alt season confirmed ?#BTC.D #Analysis
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+ Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has surged to a local high amid a sharp decline in altcoins, driven by recent recession fears. This rise in dominance has brought BTC.D close to a significant resistance level, a key area to watch for the potential start of an alt season.
+ The current BTC dominance is hovering around 57%, near a major resistance line. Historically, a rejection at this level has been crucial for the onset of alt season, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
+ Looking at past trends, alt season has typically followed a rejection of BTC dominance from this resistance. If history repeats itself, a pullback from this level could signal the beginning of a strong altcoin rally.
+ Should BTC dominance begin to decline, the next significant support level is around 40%. A move towards this support could trigger a substantial shift in market dynamics, favoring altcoins.
+ A downward trend in BTC dominance from current levels would likely fuel a major alt season, as capital flows out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. This scenario could present significant opportunities for traders focusing on the altcoin market.
Conclusion:
BTC dominance is at a critical juncture, with its proximity to a key resistance level potentially setting the stage for the next alt season. A rejection at this resistance could lead to a decline in dominance towards the 40% support, igniting a robust rally in altcoins.
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TOTAL3 - Total Altcoin marketcap | Headed in the right direction
Altcoin marketcap is currently trading inside the channel and it's been inside the channel since 2024 with market cap reaching the peak in first quarter of 2024
Currently the marketcap is around the resistance line and expected to break out from the resistance zone.
we can expect a clear bullish confirmation after the price breaks the $750B barrier.
By the end of 2024 i'm expecting the altcoin marketcap to reach 1T
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BTC 1D OUTLOOKBitcoin is in a tricky place right now. The fear and greed index has cooled off massively and now sits at a neutral score of 55. General sentiment is very poor and after nearly 2 months of sideways action traders/investors are getting restless especially after the promise of price rally post-halving, but is there any positive news?
The chart is pretty clear, HTF is bullish, still above the 1D 200EMA but LTF is bearish. BTC has clearly broken its uptrend and is now in a bearish trend channel, although there has been a breakout attempt, for now it seems to be a fakeout. For me this leaves 2 scenarios;
- Trigger 1 is a breakout trade where confirmation is needed to avoid another fakeout, this includes making a higher high after a new lower high and therefor confirming a new bullish structure after breaking out of the bearish channel.
- Trigger 2 is more of a bearish scenario but one I believe would be better in the long run. There is a large inefficiency area between 52K-56.5K, price seeks to fill these fair value gaps and as long as that area is left unfilled it will always attract price to it, now this could be filled at anytime in BTC's lifespan but it would make the most sense to do it now rather than after price has another huge rally as the risk of a complete capitulation move down to fill this area would grow. Another reason I believe it makes the most sense is that the 1D 200 EMA is at the bullish OB+ level, in a Bullrun this level is a great point to enter longs as it provides strong support. Adding all these layers of confluence suggests this bullish OB+ area should it provide a positive reaction, would be a good area to enter longs which also would mean the altcoin market would also see a positive move as it is currently massively oversold and would bring traders to be more risk on.
The halving so far has not brought the desired bullish narrative that a lot of people expected but it would never going to be a reason for Bitcoins price to suddenly move up, it's one that will gradually have an impact as the supply shock has a lasting effect on miners and institutional investors.
Patience is key in this game, I believe that this quarter will remain a choppy frustrating one as BTC cools off after a year long rally and gets ready for the next leg up. Making sure that the portfolio is a strong as it can be for the next leg of the Bullrun is key and capital preservation is number 1. Trading because of boredom can be very costly. Stick to your plan as best you can to avoid any mistakes.
SOLANA 1D RANGE There is no denying the last few months in crypto have been frustrating to say the least. With a brutal seemingly endless chop despite some very bullish events such as the halving, BTC & ETH ETFs, institutional interest and buying, presidential candidates in support of the industry etc. Bitcoin still struggles to break and stay above its '21 ATH @ $69,000.
For altcoins, and in particular SOL, this means they bleed as well and more often than not, they bleed more than BTC. Since range highs we've seen multiple retests of the lows and no retests of the highs, currently price has lost the range midpoint after hitting diagonal resistance and could potentially be targeting range low once again. The difference this time is the 1D 200EMA which usually serves as a Bullrun launching pad will be above that range low, any acceptance below this moving average is catastrophic for SOL.
SOL has recently overtaken ETH in daily DEX volume more than once in the recent past, which has signalled a shift in on-chain preferences for traders of lower-cap coins. This could help to keep SOL afloat compared to other L1'S and alts in general however if the environment truly is risk-off then it may not be enough.
From a bulls standpoint you'd like to see SOL hold price in this bullish Orderblock and at the worst $138 which is where daily support & 1D 200EMA is situated.
With rate cuts predicted to be coming in September, it feels like a survive the next 6 weeks and thrive in Q4. Until then it's capital preservation market conditions.
SOL Eyeing a Major Breakout - Potential for Explosive Growth#SOL/USDT #Analysis
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+ SOL is trading around $141.77, with the 21 EMA ($155.22) and 55 EMA ($144.13) in close proximity, which could serve as support and resistance levels, respectively. The 100 EMA is further down at $123. If SOL breaks above this resistance zone, it could signal the start of a new uptrend.
+ The primary resistance zones are around $165 to $205, with a potential breakout target toward the $920 leve
+ The RSI is currently neutral around 50, indicating that SOL is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests room for further upward momentum if buyers step in.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 142
Stop Loss: 112
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Target 1: 172
Target 2: 200
Target 3: 251
Target 4: 400
Target 5: 700
Target 6: 900
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Timeframe: 3D
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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ETHUSDT: A Golden Opportunity?Hey everyone!
Appreciate a like and follow if you find this analysis helpful!
Let's dive into the ETH 2-day timeframe chart. We're currently observing a bullish flag pattern forming. The price is nearing the lower support line of this flag, a level that has held strong for the past six months. Historically, ETH has bounced positively from this zone.
It's worth noting that the ETH ETF was recently launched, mirroring the BTC ETF launch in January. Following the BTC ETF launch, BTC experienced a roughly 20% drop before embarking on a parabolic 90% surge. A similar pattern could unfold for ETH.
This setup presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity for ETH buying.
Entry range: $2750-$2900
Targets: $3800, $5700, $7300, $10,000
Stop-loss: 2-day close below $2500
What are your thoughts on ETH's current price action? Share your analysis in the comments!
BTCUSDT: Still Above Resistance - Potential Continuation ?---------------------------------------------------------------
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The Bitcoin/TetherUS pair has displayed a strong bullish momentum since recovering from the 2022 crash. The price is currently trading above a crucial resistance level, suggesting potential for further upside. However, the recent price action has shown signs of consolidation, indicating a potential period of indecision before the next significant move.
- The overall trend since the 2022 low has been bullish
- The horizontal resistance level has acted as a significant barrier in the past. A sustained break above this level could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
- The recent price action suggests a potential period of consolidation before the next directional move.
- The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom of the chart is reading 64.52, suggesting moderate bullish momentum without being extremely overbought.
- We can see a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating a bullish market structure.
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What's next for BTC ? Two ScenariosScenario 1:
If the current bearish correction ends at this support zone, the price will hold here. Further consolidation will occur for a couple of hours, followed by a slow bounce back. We might see minor resistance during this reversal, with the next target around 69K.
Scenario 2:
If the current support zone fails to hold, the next support is around the 63K zone. This is a stronger support compared to the current one and is likely to hold as the overall sentiment is bullish. We can expect the price to consolidate around this zone, then bounce back and consolidate around the 65K resistance, and finally hit the target of 69K.
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29/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $69,404.60
Last weeks low: $63,458.72
Midpoint: $66,431.66
As July comes to an end a lot has happened in the last month, from starting the month @ $53,000 to now just above '21 ATH.
Last week we saw a lot of volatility caused by some news events, namely the ETH ETF & Bitcoin Conference. The structure of the price range differs to the previous two weeks were price started low and finished high. In this instance we have a midweek low after ETHEREUM ETF went live and then price ramped back up in anticipation for the BTC conference with Donald Trump making a speech as well as Michael Saylor and RFK jr, all of which were extremely bullish on the crypto space and pledged to improve Americas relationship with the industry and increase holdings of BTC.
Now price is currently positioned above the $69,000 '21 ATH which has been one of the most important S/R levels over the last year, acting as the catalyst for major moves off both upside and down. I would like to see the daily close out above this level with conviction, general sentiment is to get nervous at this level as in the past it has failed to hold. CT is silent even though we're within touching distance of ATH and that purely comes from repetitive failure to hold this line.
This week I'm keeping an eye on the inflows and outflows of both BTC & ETH ETFs, the $69,000 S/R level and strength returning to the altcoin market which has continued to take a back seat in recent weeks/ months. Blackrock have expressed their want to increase exposure to RWAs and so real world assets on the Ethereum chain could be a good place to start.
BITCOIN CONFERENCE 2024In the chart I've highlighted some key areas of interest going into the BITCOIN CONFERENCE in Nashville. With Trump scheduled to speak and his recent track record of being bullish on BTC and crypto in general, my natural instinct is this will be a bullish event for the space.
Trump recently started taking campaign donations in BTC and selected JD Vance as his VP should he be elected. Vance is known to have over $100,000 in BTC so they are both pro crypto and should this be expressed at the conference it is bullish for the space.
Is this a sell the news event? With BTC's recent rally from the lows of ~$63,500 to now ~$68,000 you could argue that the conference is priced in as the 7% gain since midweek would suggest. I do predict volatility that may look like a sell the news event initially but ultimately I cannot see that being the case. For me, if we lose the "MINI RANGE MIDPOINT" with a clean break below then I would start to rethink that stance.
Personally I think we whipsaw between " MINI RANGE MIDPOINT" & "'21 ATH". Historically since the start of the year the '21 ATH is the most important level as all major moves both bullish and bearish are triggered from that level.