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Bulltrap

BTC Bull Flag Failure or UTAD? Apex Retest UnderwayBitcoin’s breakout from the bull flag was swiftly rejected after a wick above 105.8K, suggesting absorption and supply at the highs. Price has now fallen back into the flag apex — a red flag for continuation bulls. Key Observations: • Breakout was absorbed and rejected with no follow-through. • Current price action is compressing inside the apex again. • RSI dropped to 60.22 with weakening volume momentum. • Support from mid-Bollinger Band (100.7K) and 55 SMA (100.5K) is now critical. If price closes below this 100.5K–100.7K cluster with rising volume, the bull flag will be invalidated. This could evolve into a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) if the rejection confirms as a trap above resistance. Watching for: • Breakdown from structure (close below 100.5K) • Rising sell volume • RSI trending below 50 A close below these levels may mark the transition from re-accumulation to distribution. ⸻
by BitcoinMillio18
Bitcoin Repeating 2022 Structure? Same Setup, Same Outcome?Bitcoin’s current market structure is starting to mirror its 2022 setup—right before the big drop. This chart shows a familiar pattern: a rally, a peak, first drop from the ATH, a bull trap… then the major second leg down. If history repeats, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could be on the verge of another significant move. Will it break the cycle this time—or follow the same path again? 📉 What do you think? Share your take in the comments below. Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳 Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
Short
by PetrockTheAnalyst
Bull Trap – The Real Drop May Just Be Starting! (Crash Ahead?)The market appears to be gaining bullish momentum, giving the impression that the bear market is over—but what if it’s just getting started? On this CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL chart, the current price action seems to mirror the 2021–2022 bear market cycle: a rally to new highs, a sharp drop, a deceptive recovery (bull trap), followed by a deeper correction and eventual accumulation. If this pattern plays out again, we could be in the bull trap phase—right before a significant and unexpected drop. What do you think? Will history repeat itself, or are we heading to new highs? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳 Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by PetrockTheAnalyst
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap BULL TRAP AlertBULL TRAP 🚨 New money has been coming into the market as shown on the Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap, hence why you haven’t seen “rotations” in coins, but it appears to be drying up. There’s been major resistance at the 200DMA, which is just below the previous ATH at $3T, and PA is being squeezed between the 9DMA. Combine this with a heated RSI, it appears to be a bear flag in the making. The trendline from Oct. ’23 gives confluence with the 50DMA as support. *The only savior I see at this point is price smashing through the 200DMA and flipping support into the green accumulation box. Regardless, this move is coming to an end later this week to test support or breakout. Again, I’ll reconfirm my stance that this is the most obvious bull trap I’ve seen all cycle. Although I hope to be wrong 🥲 Having said that, after support is confirmed on the move, we are going to VALHALLA 🚀 Bookmark this 🤓
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by jonnieking
BTC, Fibs, Market Psychology, and You: A Primer The Setup I've identified a compelling technical setup that suggests BTC could be heading toward the $9,000-$9,850 range. This isn't just another bearish call - it's based on a rare convergence of multiple technical factors that I've rarely seen align so perfectly in my 18 years of trading markets. Technical Confluence Zone What makes this setup particularly compelling is the convergence of multiple independent technical factors around the same price zone: 1. Unfilled CME Gap : The Bitcoin futures chart shows a persistent unfilled gap from 2020 between $9,655 and $9,850. This gap has survived multiple market cycles without being filled, making it increasingly significant. 2. Key Fibonacci Level : The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level sits at $9,024.11, remarkably close to the lower bound of the CME gap when accounting for the typical futures premium over spot. 3. Elliott Wave Structure : The current price action suggests we're in Wave 4 of a larger Elliott Wave pattern. Wave 4 corrections often retrace to previous Wave 1 territory, which aligns with this target zone. 4. Fibonacci Time Cycles : The time component is equally important - Fibonacci time extensions suggest we're approaching a potential inflection point in the current cycle. Market Context Supports the Technical Picture The technical setup doesn't exist in a vacuum. Several market conditions increase the probability of this scenario playing out: 1. Market Saturation : The crypto ecosystem has expanded dramatically, with thousands of tokens diluting liquidity that was once concentrated in major cryptocurrencies. 2. Retail Exhaustion : Retail investors who entered during previous hype cycles feel unrewarded despite price recoveries, leading to diminished enthusiasm and buying pressure. 3. Institutional Distribution: Wall Street and institutions have made their presence known, which historically signals they've distributed their high-priced holdings to retail while preparing short positions. 4. Concentrated Leverage Risk : MicroStrategy's position of 499,500 BTC at a $66,000 average purchase price, funded almost entirely by massive debt issuance, creates a significant systemic vulnerability. A move toward our target zone would put extreme pressure on their balance sheet. Broader Market Context This analysis also coincides with what looks to be a tired stock market following the 2024 US presidential election. With Donald Trump winning his second term, we have seen significant policy shifts that are actively impacting both traditional and crypto markets. Historically, markets often experience increased volatility during transitions of power, and the confluence of this political shift with our technical setup creates an even more compelling case for caution. Additionally, price precedes news. The news is created on price. If you're hearing about an event, the trade has already been made. There is too much talk of unprecedented institutional participation. This is another sign that retail is being distributed to for the next meltdown. Bags were already offloaded. It's time to drop the anchor. Historical Perspective Having traded through multiple market cycles since 2007 I've seen this pattern before. Large players often target overleveraged positions to acquire assets at distressed prices. Michael Saylor experienced a leveraged meltdown once before during the dot-com crash - history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Saylor is a designated whipping boy. A patsy. He will be rewarded well for his participation in fleecing you, so don't worry about what kind of skin he has in the game. With that said, I believe an undetermined Black Swan event will be necessary to complete the rug pull. What that is, I cannot know. Trading Implications This analysis suggests several potential trading strategies: 1. Risk Management : Reduce exposure to Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins until this technical target is reached or invalidated. 2. Opportunity Preparation : Build dry powder positions to capitalize on what could be an exceptional buying opportunity if BTC reaches the $9,000-$9,850 zone. 3. Watch for Triggers : Monitor for breakdowns below key support levels that could accelerate the move toward our target zone. 4. Time-Based Entries : Use the Fibonacci time cycle extensions to refine entry timing if the price approaches our target zone. Conclusion While Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain strong, the confluence of technical factors pointing to the $9,000-$9,850 range suggests a significant correction may occur before the next sustained bull run. The catalysts to reach what should be a $250k range this cycle simply do not exist, and with waning macroeconomic strength, the odds of this cycle being anything other than a massive bulltrap are low. This setup represents one of the strongest technical cases I've seen. I also don't care to share my ideas often, but with everyone expecting a typical crypto market cycle, I feel compelled to offer my take on a public forum--for whatever it may be worth. I am not shorting this market. I have removed my capital and taken an observant position. While I feel strongly about my idea--Clown World has fully taken hold and I don't dare test its resolve to break me. Remember that no analysis is guaranteed - always manage risk accordingly and be prepared to adapt as the market evolves. *Disclaimer: This analysis represents my personal view of the markets based on technical analysis and market observations. It should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.*
INDEX:BTCUSD
by greedyboi
1
Gold’s Bull Trap? Major Reversal Incoming!As I expected in yesterday's post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise from the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) and bounced exactly on my hypothesized lines , and I hope you were able to profit. Gold failed to break the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . And it appears to have created a Bull Trap . In terms of the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the main wave 5 , and one of the signs for me was the Bull Trap . I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) after breaking the Uptrend lines . ( Next targets are also possible ). Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone, we can expect more pumps. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
8
Different Types of W Patterns and How to Trade ThemHello dear KIU_COIN family 🐺 . Recently, I decided to provide some educational content for you, my dear audience, and introduce some essential and basic trading terms. Here’s what you should know: In these lessons, we will cover three different seasons: 🔹 Season 1: Reversal and continuation patterns. 🔹 Season 2: How to use RSI and other indicators to find good entry points. 🔹 Season 3: Definitions of Fibonacci and seasonality in trading. Stay tuned for valuable insights! 🚀 ✅ For the first section of 🔹 Season 1 , I’ll be covering W patterns— a well-known bullish reversal pattern : As you can see in the chart above, we usually have three types of W recovery patterns , which are the most important ones for us. However, in this section, we just want to get a general understanding of them. In the upcoming section, we will learn how to trade them and explore how they actually appear on the chart and the story behind them ! ✅ This is the first and most common type of W pattern: ✅ This is the second type of W pattern: ✅ This is the third type of W pattern: Ok, guys; I think this is enough for today, and I hope you enjoyed this educational content. However, don't forget to ask your questions below and support me with your likes and follows for more of this content. 🐺🔥
Education
by Kiu_Coin
Tesla's Bull Trap A False Breakout and the Battle AheadTesla's stock delivered a textbook bull trap, leaving traders on edge. After testing a strong resistance level at $423.71, the stock sharply reversed, pulling back to $413.82 before ultimately closing at $396.20. This kind of price action can confuse both bulls and bears, as it gives the appearance of a breakout without follow-through. The session started with an opening at $414.44, and bearish momentum followed. The bounce off $396.20 during the day likely lured in short sellers expecting a continuation downward. However, the stock wicked up to $423.71, briefly testing resistance, which likely forced many bears to cover their positions. This led to a spike in volatility, only for Tesla to retrace to close back at $396.20, setting the stage for the real battle ahead. This setup could be classified as a bull trap because it gives the illusion of a potential rally or stabilization, only to leave both bulls and bears trapped. Moving forward, the key resistance remains $423.71, with $396.20 acting as immediate support. If Tesla breaches $396.20 decisively, it could trigger another leg down to the range of $375.56 to $359.42. On the flip side, a sustained move above $413.82 could bring $423.71 back into play.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
TSLA's bulls trapThe last bullish move was quite strong, with the price moving above a large consolidation zone from March to April. Now, we have something that looks like a bull flag—the price is crawling slowly down, finding some support near the consolidation POC. This is a very tempting opportunity to enter a LONG position with a potential upside of 15% or more. However, it is likely to fail. Here is why: 1. The price is in a monthly/weekly downtrend. For the monthly downtrend to reverse, we need a trend change at the weekly level. So far, the bulls have NOT even managed to set a higher low on the weekly chart. 2. TSLA is much weaker than the market. While the S&P has been rallying for the last two weeks, TSLA has been declining. 3. TSLA's last earnings report was bad. Although the price rallied for a short period, it doesn't mean that the sentiment has significantly changed. To sum it up, the context is very bearish. I wouldn't seriously consider any LONG positions at this stage. Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by hermes_trisme
1
Potential Ascending Triangle (NQ Futures)NQ Futures could be trying to setup an ascending triangle to catch bears short at the bottom with major upside potential with a breakout and confirm. Will almost certainly coincide with data/news that will either play out a bear trap or a bull trap on the same timeframe for the next let the market takes. Often these patterns forming at the bottom of a range end up being bull traps but anything can happen and it's best to be prepared for whatever happens.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by CrashoutCapital
Are We Looking At A Bitcoin Bull Trap?In my last TA post, I talked about the possibility of Bitcoin heading back to the $35-36 range before the halving, and I still don't think I am wrong about that. Let's take a look at why... Bitcoin is really hitting some resistance at the current range. When I look at other cryptos like Ethereum, it's much of the same. This pattern looks to me like a bull trap. This is where we bounce out of a significant down trend and this price action tends to catch bulls by the short and curlies as they think the price is going to recover and continue to the moon, but it just doesn't work that way. These retracement pumps tend to get people caught in a FOMO mode and then turn on them and head back in the other direction. I believe this is one of those times. Very rarely does a market like Bitcoin just bounce straight up. It has it's big parabolic rises, yes, as we have seen recently, but this action cannot last forever. In the last cycle, we saw the pump from the 3K range up to nearly 15K and back to the 6.5K range before the halving, so my prediction of seeing a 35K-36K Bitcoin price before April is not out of the cards. My non-financial advice to traders is if you have been trading this reversal from the 38K range, then you might want to think about taking some profits off the table. Just saying, because that is exactly what I am doing. I am also still DCA accumulating BTC as we go along and will stop that action once we break all time highs again, then it will be off to the races and looking for good market cycle take profit signals. How are you playing this Bitcoin and crypto action?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by thelogicaldude
Turning Traps into Profitable Opportunities ! TOP 3 PATTERNSTrading traps are a common occurrence in the cryptocurrency market. They can be created by a variety of factors, including market manipulation, technical analysis, and psychological biases. While traps can be dangerous for traders who are not prepared, they can also be a source of profit for those who know how to trade them effectively. In this article, we will discuss three common trading traps and how to trade them profitably. We will also discuss how traps are created and how they can be used to your advantage. What Are Trading Traps? Trading traps are false movements in the price of a cryptocurrency that are designed to trick traders into taking a position in the wrong direction. They can be created by a variety of factors, including: Market manipulation: Market manipulators may create traps to trick traders into taking positions that are in their favor. For example, they may buy a large amount of a cryptocurrency to drive up the price, and then sell it off quickly to create a sell-off. Technical analysis: Technical analysts may use traps to take advantage of traders who are following technical indicators. For example, they may create a false breakout of a support or resistance level to trigger stop-loss orders. Psychological biases: Psychological biases, such as fear of missing out (FOMO) and fear of loss (FUD), can also lead traders to fall into traps. For example, a trader who is afraid of missing out on a potential bull run may be more likely to buy into a false breakout. In the example above, LINK was trading in a horizontal range for several months. The price then broke below the lower range boundary, which was a sign of a potential bear trap. However, the price quickly reversed and re-tested the lower range boundary. This was a good opportunity to enter a long position, as it showed that the trend was still in place. How to Identify Trading Traps There are a few things you can look for to help you identify trading traps, including: Volume: A sudden increase in volume can be a sign that a trap is being set. This is because market manipulators or technical analysts will often need to buy or sell a large amount of cryptocurrency to create a false movement in the price. Price action: A false breakout or fakeout is often accompanied by a sharp reversal in price action. For example, a false breakout of a support level may be followed by a sharp sell-off. Technical indicators: Some technical indicators, such as the Bollinger Bands, can help you identify potential traps. For example, the Bollinger Bands may widen before a false breakout, which can be a sign that a trap is being set. How to Trade Trading Traps Once you have identified a trap, you can trade it in one of two ways: Long trap: If you believe that the trend will continue, you can enter a long position on the re-test of the breakout level. Short trap: If you believe that the trend will reverse, you can enter a short position on the break of the breakout level. Examples of Trading Traps 3.1 Triangular Trap Unveiled: Discuss the bearish implications of descending triangles in technical analysis and their potential use as manipulation tools. Explore how market manipulators engineer these patterns to trigger artificial stop-losses. Case Study: NEAR's Triangular Intricacies: Analyze NEAR's descent within a descending triangle and its unexpected breakout. Offer insights into the motives behind orchestrating such traps and how traders can leverage these market dynamics. Here are some examples of how trading traps can be created and traded: Shakeout trap A shakeout trap is a false breakout that is designed to trick traders into taking a position in the wrong direction. For example, a cryptocurrency may be trading in a horizontal range for several months. The price then breaks below the lower range boundary, which is a sign of a potential bear trap. However, the price quickly reverses and re-tests the lower range boundary. This is a good opportunity to enter a long position, as it shows that the trend is still in place. Fakeout trap A fakeout trap is similar to a shakeout trap, but it occurs after a trend has already begun. For example, a cryptocurrency may be in a bull market. The price then breaks above a resistance level, which is a sign that the bull market is continuing. However, the price quickly reverses and re-tests the resistance level. This is a good opportunity to enter a short position, as it shows that the bull market may be coming to an end. Reversal trap A reversal trap is when the trend of a market changes direction. For example, a cryptocurrency may be in a bull market. The price then breaks below a support level, which is a sign that the bull market is ending. However, the price quickly reverses and re-tests the support level. This is a good opportunity to enter a long position, as it shows that the bull market may be resuming. The Art of Spotting Fakeouts: Define the concept of fakeouts and unveil their potential as precursors to bullish movements. Offer insights into distinguishing genuine breakouts from manipulative traps set by market actors. Case Study: ZIL's Quick Turnaround: Uncover the Zilliqa (ZIL) chart, examining the deceptive fakeout beneath a pivotal horizontal level. Emphasize the strategic importance of waiting for a retest post-fakeout as a confirmation signal. Conclusion Trading traps can be a dangerous but profitable part of cryptocurrency trading. By understanding how traps are created and how to identify them, you can increase your chances of trading them successfully. Additional Tips for Trading Trading Traps Use stop losses: Stop losses can help you limit your losses if you are wrong about a trade. Be patient: Do not rush into a trade just because you see a trap. Wait for the
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
RNDR: Bullish Channel with Bull Traps! 📈🚀🌐 Greetings Crypto Enthusiasts, Today, let's set our sights on RNDR as it gracefully maneuvers within an ascending channel, painting a compelling narrative on the charts. RNDR, known for its strategic plays, exhibits a unique pattern—repeatedly forming a bullish flag after a bounce from the lower channel boundary. What makes RNDR an intriguing asset is its knack for executing shakeouts below the flag's pivot, creating an optimal environment for strategic investments over day trading. Let's delve into the details of RNDR's chart dynamics. 🔄💹 Charting the Course: RNDR's Ascending Channel Play Ascendancy in the Channel: Structured Trajectory: RNDR gracefully adheres to an ascending channel, illustrating a structured and methodical trajectory. Technical Rebounds: The lower boundary acts as a dynamic support, initiating technical rebounds. Bullish Flag Phenomenon: Pattern of Strength: RNDR consistently forms bullish flag patterns within its channel, symbolizing strength and resilience. Optimal Entry Points: For investors, these patterns offer optimal entry points after shakeouts below the flag's pivot. Strategic Shakeouts - A Boon for Investors: Bouncing Off Pivots: RNDR's shakeouts, specifically below the pivot of the bullish flag, act as strategic maneuvers to clear the playing field. Investor-Friendly Dynamics: This creates an investor-friendly environment, as it eliminates short-term traders with tight stops. Why Invest in RNDR: A Strategic Approach Channel Dynamics Favor Long-Term Play: Predictable Trajectory: The structured channel provides a predictable trajectory, favoring long-term investors. Minimized Day Trading Risks: RNDR's nature reduces the risks associated with day trading, making it conducive to strategic investments. Capitalizing on Shakeouts: Investor Advantage: The shakeouts become advantageous for investors, allowing them to accumulate positions at favorable prices. Avoiding Short-Term Volatility: By embracing the investment perspective, one can avoid the short-term volatility triggered by shakeouts. Conclusion: RNDR's journey within the ascending channel, coupled with its recurrent bullish flag patterns and strategic shakeouts, offers a compelling story for both traders and investors. For those seeking a less turbulent ride with minimized day trading risks, investing strategically in RNDR aligns with its unique chart dynamics. ❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
R
by AlexWhale
1
📈 BTC: GROW after Liquidity Trap! Bitcoin, the flagbearer of the crypto realm, is currently demonstrating a masterful dance within an ascending channel. Beyond the technicalities, there's a fascinating interplay of liquidity that savvy traders are watching keenly. Let's unravel the dynamics of BTC's ascent, the lingering liquidity, and what it implies for the next upward swing. Chart Analysis: BTC's Ascending Channel Strategy BTC has established itself within a well-defined ascending channel, a testament to the underlying bullish sentiment. However, the artistry lies not just in staying within the lines but in the strategic maneuvers within this channel. As BTC glides higher, there's a deliberate leave-behind of liquidity beneath, setting the stage for a cleaner upward trajectory. Liquidity Tactics: Setting the Stage for a Surge One intriguing aspect of BTC's current movement is the deliberate creation of liquidity pockets below the lower boundary of the channel. This isn't accidental; it's a tactical move to clear out lingering long positions. By doing so, BTC aims for a more decisive and sustainable upward movement, unburdened by overhanging positions. Trading Strategy: Anticipating the Clear Run For traders navigating the BTC landscape, recognizing the channel dynamics and understanding the liquidity strategy becomes crucial. Anticipating the potential sweep of these lower liquidity zones and a subsequent retest around the $33,000 mark can provide strategic entry points for those eyeing the next leg of the bullish journey. Conclusion: BTC's Precision Play BTC's ascent within the ascending channel is more than just a technical pattern—it's a strategic play of liquidity dynamics. The deliberate actions to clear out positions below the channel suggest a meticulous approach to ensure a cleaner and more robust upward movement. As BTC continues its precision play, traders are on the lookout for the anticipated surge beyond $33,000. 🚀 BTC Analysis | 📉 Liquidity Sweep Strategy | 💡 Ascending Channel Tactics ❗See related ideas below❗ Are you ready to ride the precision wave with BTC? Share your insights, strategies. 💚🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
5
TON's Bullish Prelude📈💪There's a new player on the market, and it's making waves with its bullish demeanor. TON, the fresh-faced token, is displaying early signs of strength, trading within an ascending triangle that hints at an imminent breakout, poised to reach $5. Let's delve into what makes TON a compelling entry into the crypto scene. 📈💪 TON's Bullish Prelude: TON has entered the market with a burst of bullish energy, capturing the attention of traders and investors alike. Its current trajectory within an ascending triangle pattern signals a promising start for this new entrant. Technical Strength: Ascending Triangle Formation: The ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern, showcasing TON's underlying strength. This pattern suggests a potential breakout to the upside, and $5 emerges as a notable target. Early Market Dynamics: TON's early trading patterns are indicative of a positive market sentiment, attracting interest and investment. The $5 Breakout Anticipation: As TON consolidates within the ascending triangle, the stage is set for a breakout, and the $5 level stands as a key target. The breakout could signify a validation of TON's bullish potential and may spark further interest in the crypto community. Trading Strategy: Confirmation Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the ascending triangle before considering an entry. Volume Analysis: Monitor trading volume during the breakout to gauge the strength of the move. Increased volume can validate the breakout. Risk Management: Implement sound risk management strategies to protect your capital in case of unexpected market moves. Conclusion: TON's bullish entry into the market, coupled with the ascending triangle formation, paints an optimistic picture. As the crypto community watches for the anticipated breakout towards $5, strategic traders may find opportunities aligned with the emerging trend. May your trades be fruitful, and your journey with TON be filled with bullish strides. Happy trading, 🌐 ❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
by AlexWhale
3