Lockheed Martin... Time to move?With tensions rising in the Middle East and the gaining of military activity here in the United States, it could be assumed that the government spending to grow the defense will mostly be seen by large defense firms. Specifically, we will be looking at NYSE:LMT but that doesn't rule out any other defense contractors from this trade ( NYSE:NOC , NASDAQ:HON , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:BA , NYSE:GD ). Firstly, let's examine the charts before reviewing anything fundamental from the company.
This is the 4h chart looking back into late-mid January
Simply put, this is just two of many possible paths that the NYSE:LMT price action could take. However, these two should be the most expected especially considering its violent downtrend that appears to be "cooling" and not "consolidating". It also appears that NYSE:LMT price action likes to reclaim any Fair Value Gap that it creates quite quickly as of recent trading terms. The good news is that two large FVG's have been created by a rather lackluster earnings report.
Now, as for a fundamental analysis POV, we can firstly examine the defense industry's cyclical movement throughout the years. This means that the industry is facing booms and busts. So lets see what the 1 week chart has to say about that...
With the chart shown above, you're probably thinking that a quick rebound seems unlikely as the other "BUST" sequences seem to last longer than the "BOOM" sequences. To this I would agree, however being first (or being early) is something I can settle for as there is no possible way to buy the exact bottom penny. When prompted with this dilemma of timing, think back to the Margin Call famous quote...
"There are only three ways to make a living in this business: be first ; be smarter; or cheat... it sure is a hell of a lot easier to just be first."
Bust
GME TRENDS AND PRICE TARGETS, WE LOVE MEMESIf you've been following GME with me, you bought at 12.5 and below last month.
Sell target 1 was 16.9, we came close but lost a tiny bit on the first topside pump.
We bought the dip around 14.02 and below, and we were looking for 18, 21, and 25 with small retracements in between.
I'm not sure, but per indicators, it seems we might see the higher targets of 21 and 25 before we see the retracement targets of 10 and 8.
Faster and steeper we go up, the faster and steeper we drop, so remember, the time to be flinging money in without much worry was under 12.5. Now, you'll want to be trimming profits and compounding. How much should you sell and when? Only you can make that decision. However, feel free to use some my price targets if you're struggling to set your own.
If you're new to trading or my charts. We usually buy and sell on the major trends, and use the breakouts as a chance to compound profits, or simply wait for the right trade to present itself, whether bull or bear. Just because we are selling at these levels in a longer term trade doesn't mean there aren't chances to jump into shorter term trades. However, USE caution at these levels.
If you're bearish on this stock, you want to see it wedge down, and if bullish you want the breakout to the topside.
I tried to make this chart as simple as possible.
Squeeze targets included, but be REAL, it's unlikely, and it will be fast up and fast down should it occur. However, bears need to be real as well and realize that some of those topside numbers are very possible.
Options get a little wild around the 26 and 32 dollar marks I believe. You only wanna play with weekly options if you know how they move in relation to the price or you'll get killed from theta.
Good luck!
"New bull market!" "Return to normal!" Bubble bust denial lolzFED "pivot" hopes won't die.
Bank collapses are "good for the stock market".
AI mania has the meme market looking alive again. NVDA, a company in which both revenue and earnings have dropped significantly over the past 3 quarters, is trading at 150+ P/E and 25xSales with a $666Billion market cap!
We're "back to normal" folks! /s
I LOVE how this classic Market Psychology chart lines up so well with the current NASDAQ monthly chart!
AAPLJust a matter of time before this one falls towards 100-120 range. Monthly shows poor action, other tech tickers look awful.. market should be in turmoil in no time and if not 2023 is going to start the year off just how 22 did.
Just yesterday there were outperforming ratings of AAPL PT $220!!!! They are straight baiting people , don't get trapped PLEASE.
Nasdaq on its way to 2019/20 high ?Is anybody with me on this one? Just throwing out this idea of a 5 wave downwards structure bringing us exactly on top of pre corona highs. Valuations would be insane when we would actually go that low. MASSIVE buy imo. Keep that cash ready, if you as me atm. I'm in 70% cash atm, rest is in beaten down tech/growth and some big tech
Stay safe
NASDAQ Bubble Bust DXY CorrelationThe market peaked in Nov and is in Bubble-Bust-Mode. DXY is breaking out upwards from a multi-year consolidation.
Looking back to the DotCom Bubble and comparing NASDAQ to DXY, DXY broke out near the equity peak and reached its peak when NASDAQ was near bottom of the crash. It's not a perfect correlation in shorter time-frames, but close enough that it may be useful on the macro time-frame.
If the current Asset/Big-Tech Bubble rhymes with history, look for DXY to continue upward into 110-120 range or higher over the next year or so as NASDAQ plummets back down to reality, e.g. somewhere around the 200 Month Moving Average. Then whenever DXY is crashing back down towards ~100 that may be a good signal that the bottom is in for equities.
An end in sight?looks like the downtrend is coming to an end. breakout or a retest of lower support?
sproachet.crypto if you mess with unstoppable domains.
Bitcoin Thanksgiving Sell OffWe are seeing just consistent sell volume on BTC today, as the market as a whole sells off a bit. Shaking out the weak hands near ATH is frankly not unreasonable to expect. How low the price goes is anyone's guess. I have been hitting some very small buys on its way back in the $16k range. Next chart will display long term weekly MA support levels, and following that pivot levels.
LTCUSD - Bounce or BustPinning the highs on a straight line against the lows oscillating around it produced this lovely, and very scary map.
What do you think? Will LTCUSD and the Altcoin market with it embrace disaster, or defy some Sine Law for a Christmas present?
I may be releasing my indicator at some point, but for now it's in beta going through some strategy testing and fine tuning.
TradingView rocks with webhooks -- if the fundamentals are there.