Bitcoin Butterfly Harmonic Pattern – Multi-Fibonacci Confluence!A potential Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is developing, with point D yet to be completed. If price action reaches the harmonic completion zone, it could present a high-probability long opportunity near a stacked Fibonacci confluence zone.
The D-leg aligns beautifully with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure from the macro low at $15,476 to the all-time high of $109,588. A level that has acted as key support in the past. Multiple additional Fibonacci confirmations further strengthen this potential bullish reversal zone.
Pattern Breakdown – Bullish Butterfly Formation
The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a structured reversal setup, often forming at market extremes before trend shifts.
1️⃣ XA Leg – The initial impulse.
2️⃣ AB Leg – A retracement of 0.786 – 0.886 Fibonacci of XA.
3️⃣ BC Leg – A counter-trend move retracing 0.382 – 0.886 of AB.
4️⃣ CD Leg – The final move, typically extending 1.618 – 2.618 Fibonacci of XA.
📍 In this developing setup:
✅ B-point retraces 0.806 of XA → Butterfly pattern remains valid.
✅ C-point retraces 0.838 of AB → Strengthening structural alignment.
✅ D-leg projection target 1.695 XA extension, converging with multiple key Fibonacci levels.
Fibonacci Confluence – Strong Potential Reversal Zone ($73,783.52 - $73,157)
As price moves toward potential point D, multiple Fibonacci levels create a high-probability reversal area:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure ($73,637.22)
Negative -0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $73,251.43
Negative -0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $73,157
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension 1:1 at $73,783.52
📍 Potential Reversal Zone: Between $73,783.52 and $73,157
Trade Setup – Waiting for Confirmation
Since point D has not completed yet, we should wait for bullish confirmation signals in the reversal zone before entering.
Entry Zone (if price reaches D): Between $73,783.52 and $73,157
Stop Loss: Below $73,157 (D-point invalidation)
Take Profit: B-point resistance
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 if TP at B-point
⚠️ Key Reminder:
🚨 The pattern is not confirmed yet. A reaction in the potential reversal zone (e.g., bullish divergences, strong buying pressure, or reversal candlesticks) would strengthen the case for a long position.
Are you watching this level for a potential reaction? Will point D complete? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀🔥
Butterflyharmonic
NZDJPY BUTTERFLYHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
Spiked Neckline from this bearish pennantLINKUSDT spiked closely @ TP1 which is a harmonic AB=CD pattern target from a breakdown of the prior low 1M candlestick inside bar. Reacting now from the volume POC. A complex Head and Shoulders can be validated after a pullback to neckline. Plus potential bullish Butterfly target.