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Buy-sell-line

higher low/higher high + follow up higher low established.My main sequence that I base trend reversals on is when we establish a higher low followed by a higher high and then a follow up confirmation higher low on the 4hr chart after being in a downtrend that tells me that we are reversing to an uptrend. The ivnerse is true when we reverse from an uptrend to a downtrend. What we are currently seeing in the market appears to be reversing to an uptrend as we have just gotten our confirmation higher low after our most recent higher high. On top of this we have another big signal of mine which is whenever we get more than 5 consecutive candle closes above the 50 MA (in orange) we are in a buyers market. This concept is more effective on the 1 day time frame but can also work on a smaller scale on the 4hr time frame. ..Currently on the 4hr time frame we now have 12 consecutive candle closes above the buy sell line and are a good ways above it. We also have the current 4hr candle breaking above the top trendline of a big equilateral triangle pattern. I think we will still be heading to the inverted head and shoulder break out target of around 7.2k. Before we get there it is important that before our next dip we form another higher high to continue the higher high/higher low sequence. So before the next dip we want to reach at least $6870 or so and all signals are telling me that probability favors us doing so. So this idea will be listed as long. Of course this is only my own personal strategy and as always not financial advice. I wish you luck in whatever strategy you choose to implement for yourself. Best of luck and thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
1
A nice bounce up off the 4hr buy/sell line a nice bounce upward off of the 4hr buy/sell line, As I've said int he past once we've hit 5 consecutive candle closes above the buy sell line, it's usually more of a buying opportunity than a selling opportunity. We currently have nine 4 hr candles in a row above the buy/sell line(in orange). This also give the stochrsi and the rsi a chance to cool down to give them more room to climb here. What I'm hoping to see is for the candle to find a way to climb back above the 4hr t line(in yellow either by this candles close or at least by the candle following this one. If that happens that means this bull flag on the 4hr chart is still valid and the current red candle was simply a fakeout. If we don't get close to the t line by this candle's close however then there's a chance we could still fall under the buy/ sell line by the next couple candles, and if we closed 5 consecutive candles under that line we would be back in a sellers market on the 4hr chart. For now since it could potentially head either way I will keep this idea listed as neutral. This is as always not financial advice and simply a summation of what I plan to do for entertainment purposes only. Good luck and thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
We appear to potentially be breaking above the rising wedge.While I've been confident we would break up from the current rising wedge instead of down from the head and shoulders pattern for roughly a week now, I wasn't sure if that would be before another retest of the head and shoulder neckline at the bottom of the wedge or not, but now we have two 4 hour candles up out of the rising wedge with an hour and 5 minutes left before the current one's close. Until we see a surge in bullish volume we haven't confirmed the breakout so keep that in mind...I'd say a smart place to buy in would be a couple pips above the 4hr 50ma (in orange) because that is our current resistance and for us to reach 2 pips above it will likely require flipping it from resistance to support. I'm confident if we flip that moving average to support we will confirm the breakout so I have a stop buy set up for 2 pips above the ema.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
3 candle closes above the 4hr 50MA Buy/Sell LineIts been a very nice rebound thus far and as you can see on the 4 hour chart we now have 3 candle closes above the ever-important buy/sell line (50MA), renowned technical analyst Steve Primo has often said that once you have 5 closes above the buy sell line you are in a buyers market and 5 closes below puts you in a sellers market, so we only need 2 more closes above this line to be in a buyers market on the 4hr chart. Considering how the T-line(in yellow) has now come up to almost overlap with the Buy/Sell line as a double reinforced support I think the buy sell line maintaining it's support role is highly likely and that we will indeed see 5 closes above the buy sell line on the 4hr chart. Which should finally push us back above the current fib line resistance and likely flip its role from resistance to support as well. I think because of these factors, the bulls will continue their bull impulse up after this brief consolidation....I personally don't think any significant retracement will happen until the next foib line up (in blue) around the big psychological support of 8,000...I expect at that time we will get our first real retracement that isnt just sideways consolidation...that will be a great opportunity for us to see whether or not we will get a higher low...we just recently got our first higher high in awhile and need to confirm that the bulls have taken control from the bears by getting a follow up higher low on the enxt retrace...and then a higher high to go with it on the impulse after that to confirm we are fully back in bull mode....once we can do that, I anticipate the bull surge will be enough to reverse the death cross and trigger a golden cross which should put us into a mega bullish mode and hopefully get us back above the1day charts buy/sell line high enough to get 5 closes back above it and put us fully back in the bull market for the second quarter of 2018. This big bullish domino effect starts first though with us getting our 5th candle close above the 4hr charts buy sell line.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
7
Bull flag beats out bear flag; new higher high established.As you can see we have busted up out of the bull flag and thus also upward out of the bear flag as well...I have posted 2 price targets for a bull flag breakout one that considers the pole of the flg to be just one of the green candles a price point we've already reched...and then another prie point in case the entire bull flags pole was also the long green candle just before that as well. I'm glad to see we've finally gotten a candle above the 50MA buy sell line as well...if we can close 5 consecutive 4 hour candles above the 50MA(in orange) aka the buy sell line...then expect thigns to get very bullish very quick with a domino effect ensuing. We continue to trigger higher climbs the odds are great that we will be reversing the death cross and triggering what's known as the golden cross which would help make things mega bullish. so not only do we have the potential to climb higher just from the bull flag breakout but by breaking out of the bull flag we also broke out of the bigger bear flag which would have an even higher potential climb in store for the price action if that breakout is confirmed which I believe it will be. So for now I'm switching to long I will only switch back to neutral or short if on the enxt retracement we get a lower high or if when we climb back up from the retracement we get a lower low...to confirm the bulls are noe in control after we got this higher high..w.e need the confirmation of then a higher low on the retracement followed b a 2nd confirmation higher high...I'm confident we will get that....this is not financial advise however so you make up your own mind. Thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
We have closed under the buy/sell line on the 4 day.Now that we've closed 2 candles below the 50 MA it's looking like probability favors the short game over the long game. Usually we wait for 3 or 5 closes below the 50MA to confirm we are back in a sellers market first so this current 4hr candle is very important....if it closes below odds are good we have more downside to follow. A short at that time would not be a bad call...a more conservative approach would be to wait until the price dips and closes below the bottom hotpink trendline, or even after that below the lowest light pink fibline...if neither of those can hold support then more downside is very likely. Also all this recent downside make the possibility of the death cross on the 1 day chart that much more likely...if we continue to dip the 1day death cross will likely happen in the next few days. Which only means more downside...so for now probability favors the short side as does the idea....don't pull the short trigger until somewhere around 3-5 closes below the 50MA on the 4 hour though to be safe, uness you've already shorted when we started making lower highs/lower lows. If you did continue to stay short until we see a clear trend reversal.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail
The 50MA Buy/Sell Line still acting as strong support!We plummeted and after we started to go below the 50% green fib line that was officially creating a new lower low/lower high which is often a signal to short. Had youd one so and follwoed it all the way down to the 50MA you would have come out quite a bit ahead. I would mark this idea as a short if it was being updated at that point...but now we have been already been caught once again by the strong support of the Buy/Sell line(50MA in orange). If we close the current 4 hour candle above that line I will be optimistic of a chance at continuing the upside if we close below it it could mean more downside so for now this idea will have to remain neutral, with if any bias being slightly toward a reversal back to the upside. What's interesting this time around is many altcoins actually did well while btc plummeted this go around which hasn't happened in a long while.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
50MA on 4 hour chart acting as very strong support; Ever since we confirmed the last bear flag breakout the price action was sent down and has tested the 50MA multiple times on the last couple candles....but has only wicked below it maintaining very strong support....however as you can see the projected drop target from the bear flag breakout has not yet been met....what's more we are now essentially forming another bear flag with the bottom trendline of the new bear flag being the 50MA(buy/sell line) It's very possible the 50MA may hold support and prevent us from further downside but the probability is higher that we will dip below it and drop to whatever the projected price drop target of the current bear flag before we completely rebound...possibly leading toe ven more downside....best to play it safe and see how this currently developing bear flag plays out though before making any big decisions....however there seems to be a lot of FUD in the news headlines these days which often gives you a heads up more downside is on the way as well as an impending death cross of the 50MA and 200MA on the day chart in the net few coming days...bot indicitave of more downside...probability favors a continued drop...but at least for now due to the strong support of the 50MA this idea will remain neutral....it will also remain not financial advice....thanks for reading.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Bullish Triangle Breakout hits target exactly b4 consolidatingAs you can see the BUlls broke upward out of the pink triangle and climbed to almost the exact projected price before going back into consolidation mode....We have still yet to hit the projected target for the purple descending wedge breakout however so I anticipate this current consolidation will likely result in another bull flag break out. The probability certainly faors that outcome...however it's always wise to keep your eyes open for any curveballs and set wise stoplosses should a bearish breakout occur. Another great sign is we have closed another 4 hr candle above the buy sell line that makes 4 consecutive 4hr closes above the 50SMA Buy Sell Line! This is huge because all it takes is one more 4hr close to confirm we are back in a buyers market...just in time for the beginning of the 2nd Quarter of the year. Some more aggressive traders would probably already consider 3-4 closes above the buy/sell line on the 4 hour a sign that we are in a buyers market but it's the 5th candle closing that truly confirms it...based on the current consolidation behavior however I'd go out on a limb and say it will definitely close above the 50 sma which will only be another great signal for the bulls making the probability of a bullish breakout from the current forming bull flag pattern that is forming in consolidation have very sstrong probability to be a bullish breakout....because of this I've gone ahead and put a dotted green projection line of how far this bull flag could take us....as you can see it conveniently would take us right up to the top blue fib retracement line, which would likely act as resistance for awhile at that point...however we still have a slight bit further to go to hit the original catalyst of this whole bull run(the purple descending wedge)'s target but not much...once we make it there, be prepared for some temporary correction or retracement...but even then having such confirmation of a buyers market from the 50 MA I think as long as we continue to close above it we only continue to climb bullishly. Of course these are all jsut things I am reccomending for myself, and not financial advice ;) ;)
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail