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USDJPY: New High Set?Hello wonderful friends! USDJPY has struggled to conquer the recent gains at 144.00g. However, its upside momentum was limited after weak data released yesterday weakened the USD and affected the upcoming outlook of the major currency, as can be seen from the 143.50 setup on the 2-hour chart. On the technical chart, although the uptrend remains supported and the parallel price channel has been broken, the special thing is that there are signs of a potential top forming at 143.95. My strategy for today is Sell and we should see USDJPY reaching at least 142.00 again, which would be in line with the timing of the EMA test. What do you think about this?
Short
by BB_TradingFX
XAUUSD H4 Analysis - Bullish - Next target 2650Pair Name = Gold Timeframe = H4 Analysis = technical + fundamentals Trend = Bullish Details :- Please see the Above chart To see The Gold Next Moves. We are currently in new Price Ranges. But we are also using our previous analysis and data to Follow the exact Path. Currently We Can see between two strong support and Resistance levels. As we can see at chart 2565 Gold Price level and 2580 Gold Price level. EMA 5 is indicating the trend of the market. EMA Crossed over done between 2564 to 2568. That indicates the Bullish move. This kind of market allow us to buy the dip and cash another next trend move. Strongest retesting zone hit. The price level 2545 to 2556 price level. EMA 5 Crossing levels:- 2564 To 2568 Retracement Zone:- 2545 To 2555 Bullish Gold Levels:- 2590 2615 2638 Bearish Gold Levels:- 2564 2556 2545 2530 Stay tune we Will update again when market will give up another good direction move. With Different different time frame we check the market to get the Accuracte analysis according market next move. Happy trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alpha-GoldFX
Fed Pressure Pushing Prices Up?On the 4-hour chart of gold, we see that the price of gold has pulled back slightly from recent highs, but is still maintaining a positive uptrend above two exponential moving averages (EMAs), the 34 and 89. The 34 EMA, shown in blue, is above the 89 EMA in purple, indicating that the short-term uptrend is still intact. However, it is worth noting that the current slight decline has brought the price closer to the 34 EMA, which could be a key test to determine whether the uptrend is continuing. If the price of gold closes below the 34 EMA, it could be a sign of a deeper downside correction, while holding above this line could confirm that the uptrend is still in effect. Additionally, investors should keep a close eye on trading volume along with key support and resistance levels. Currently, the immediate resistance is at the recent high of around $2,580, and a breakout above this level could send the price higher. The key support level to watch is around $2,540, the low of recent days.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
GBP/USD: Will It Continue to Rise or Face Resistance?The technical analysis for the GBP/USD pair on the 4-hour chart shows that the British pound is trading near the 20-period and 50-period exponential moving averages (EMAs). Both EMAs are consolidating, creating a support area just below the current price. However, the Bollinger Bands are slightly widening, which could indicate an impending period of increased volatility. The GBP/USD pair is currently trading just below the recent high, increasing the likelihood of a move towards the next key resistance level. A break above the current resistance zone could lead to a fresh rally, while a pullback could retest the lower EMAs as support.
by Naoomi
GOLD H4 Analysis And Market MovesPlease see the Above chart To see The Gold Next Moves. We are currently in new Price Ranges. But we are also using our previous analysis and data to Follow the exact Path. Currently We Can see between two strong support and Resistance levels. As we can see at chart 2580 Gold Price level and 2550 Gold Price level. EMA 5 is indicating the trend of the market. EMA Cross over can range between 2573 to 2575. That indicates if Price breaks this level. Then we will see again bullish wave. This kind market allow us to buy the dip and cash another next trend move. Strongest retesting zone exists between the price level 2564,2556 and 2545 price level. EMA 5 Crossing levels:- 2573 To 2575 Retracement Zone:- 2545 To 2555 Bullish Gold Levels:- 2590 2615 Bearish Gold Levels:- 2564 2556 2545 2530 Stay tune we Will update again when market will give up another good direction move. With Different different time frame we check the market to get the Accurate analysis according market next move. Happy trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alpha-GoldFX
EURUSDLooking at this Eurusd chart, I see that the money pair is showing signs of continuing to move in the uptrend. The current price is trading around 1,11231, and there are a few important factors that we need to consider. Firstly, the yellow support area has been maintained very well, showing that the buyer still has the strength in maintaining the price in this area. This is also an area coinciding with EMA 34 and 89, creating more solid support for the price. Secondly, the rising trend is still being kept, and if the EURUSD can surpass the resistance level in the area marked by the red arrow, the higher the price will reach new high levels, even surpasses Through the threshold of 1,12000. However, I also did not rule out the possibility of a short -term adjustment. If the price cannot break the current resistance and decreases, the yellow support area will play an important role again. If this region is broken, a deeper decrease may occur, returning to the price area around 1,10384 or further to 1,09434. The best scenario that we are watching is the price will continue to rise, especially if we see the signal clearly breaks from the resistance threshold and set a higher peak. But, I will still be careful with any signs of reversal in the current resistance area. I wish you successful transactions and earn a lot of profits from this strategy!
Short
by BB_TradingFX
Gold price todayToday, gold price touched $2571 and did not change much from yesterday's trading session with stability above the highs in early Wednesday. Today there is no strong news and I will focus on the analysis on the 4-hour chart of #GOLD. From a close observation, the trend line and the price wedge both show an uptrend, however it is limited below the resistance of the uptrend channel. Based on previous reactions, I first expect the price to correct at the present time. My strategy today is to hold the short position until the specified target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BB_TradingFX
1
Gold Prices Rise Amid Selling Pressure and US Retail Sales DataThe current gold price chart shows strong support at the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, both of which are converging to form a key support area. This, combined with better-than-expected US retail sales data, suggests that the US economy is gaining some strength, which could support the dollar. However, weaker-than-expected retail sales could prompt the Fed to cut rates more aggressively later in the year. This creates a favorable environment for gold, as investment in gold tends to increase in low-interest rates. The gold market could react positively if the Fed cuts rates next week, easing selling pressure and potentially supporting gold prices to rise again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
Gold Hits New Record: Will the Fed Break Rates?Gold has now surpassed its previous record high of $2,570 an ounce, supported by strong expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, higher-than-expected US consumer price data has reduced the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut this month, although the market still expects a 100 basis point cut by the end of the year. Gold is considered a “safe haven” amid the current uncertainty, and if the Fed does cut rates as expected, gold prices could continue to rise.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
XAUUSD H4 Analysis - Bullish or BearishPair Name = Gold Timeframe = H4 Analysis = technical + fundamentals Please see the Above chart To see The Gold Next Moves. We are currently in new Price Ranges. But we are also using our previous analysis and data to Follow the exact Path. Currently We Can see between two strong support and Resistance levels. As we can see at chart 2590 Gold Price level and 2663 Gold Price level. EMA 5 is indicating the trend of the market. EMA Cross over can range between 2577 to 2580. That indicates if Price breaks this level. Then we will see a small retesting period. This kind market allow us to buy the dip and cash another next trend move. Strongest retesting zone exists between the price level 2545 to 2556 price level. EMA 5 Crossing levels:- 2580 To 2577 Retracement Zone:- 2545 To 2555 Bullish Gold Levels:- 2590 2615 Bearish Gold Levels:- 2564 2556 2545 2530 Stay tune we Will update again when market will give up another good direction move. With Different different time frame we check the market to get the Accuracte analysis according market next move.Happy trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alpha-GoldFX
Is Gold at Its Brightest?On the charts, gold prices are continuing their strong upward momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and moving towards testing new highs. This is supported by data from the Kitco News surveys, which show strong optimism from both professionals and retail investors on the outlook for gold. Technical analysis on the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have broken through key resistance levels and are entering a “new price discovery zone”, a period that could see high price volatility due to the lack of resistance. The next resistance level on the chart is located at around $2,600/ounce, and this will be the next target that investors are aiming for. With the Fed expected to cut interest rates on September 18, along with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, gold is expected to continue to receive attention as a safe-haven asset. Investors should closely monitor the Fed’s statements and the geopolitical situation to adjust their investment strategies accordingly. In addition, the demand for physical gold remains high in the context of devaluation of domestic currencies, showing that gold is not only an investment channel but also a means of protecting assets. The current growth in gold prices and the possibility of continued growth in the long term is a positive signal for those who are looking for safety in their investments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
SPY: Short-Term Selloff Anticipated After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve approaches its rate cut decision this week, speculation is high that we may see a larger-than-expected cut of 50 basis points rather than the anticipated 25. This could trigger a short-term selloff in equities, including the SPY (S&P 500 ETF), despite the initial market reaction. The market often exhibits a “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior, and this situation could be no different. With expectations set for a 25 basis point cut, a surprise 50 basis point reduction might lead to concerns about the underlying economic conditions. This could prompt a selloff in major indices, including SPY, as traders and investors react to the Fed’s unexpected move. In the immediate aftermath of the Fed decision, SPY might see a brief uptick as market participants adjust their positions and optimism prevails. However, this short-term rally could be quickly overshadowed by a broader correction. As the market digests the implications of the Fed's actions and potential economic concerns come to light, SPY is likely to experience a pullback. For those looking to capitalize on this potential downturn, the $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could be a prudent choice. These puts offer a strategic way to hedge against or profit from the anticipated short-term decline in SPY. Given the expected correction following the Fed's rate cut, this option could provide significant value as SPY faces downward pressure. While SPY may experience an initial rise in response to the Fed’s decision, the broader market sentiment is likely to shift towards risk aversion, leading to a correction in the weeks following the announcement. By October 18, the broader market and SPY could be reflecting these adjustments, making the $550 puts a timely investment. In summary, while SPY might see some early gains next week, a correction is expected to follow as the market reacts to the Fed’s decision. The $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could offer a valuable opportunity for those anticipating this short-term volatility.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
BTC Bitcoin Brief Rise, But Correction LoomsIf you haven`t sold the top on Bitcoin: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated rate cut approaches, the market is bracing for potential volatility, and Bitcoin could be no exception. While many expect a modest 25 basis point cut, a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction is also on the table. This larger-than-expected move could trigger a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario, affecting not only traditional assets like the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) but also risk assets like Bitcoin. Initially, Bitcoin may see a slight uptick in price at the beginning of next week. This short-term rise could be fueled by optimism and increased demand for alternative assets as the market digests the Fed's decision. Bitcoin has historically benefited from periods of loose monetary policy, and in the immediate aftermath of the rate cut, it might experience some buying pressure. However, this rally could be short-lived. With broader markets such as SPY and QQQ expected to correct following the Fed decision, Bitcoin is likely to follow suit. Given its high correlation with risk-on assets during periods of market stress, Bitcoin may see a sharp pullback as traditional equity markets start to sell off. Traders could also unwind their positions in Bitcoin alongside stocks, leading to a broader market correction in both traditional and crypto assets. In the short term, a Fed rate cut that exceeds expectations might signal concerns about the underlying economy, leading to heightened volatility across the board. As risk appetite wanes, Bitcoin's upward momentum could quickly reverse, aligning with the expected correction in SPY and QQQ.
by TopgOptions
RUT2K Short-Term Selloff Likely After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven’t seen my RUT 2000 prediction for 2024: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision looms, speculation is rising that we may see a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut instead of the anticipated 25. While rate cuts are typically a positive for equities, this aggressive move could lead to a short-term selloff, particularly in smaller-cap stocks, represented by the RUT Russell 2000. The reasoning is tied to the market's well-known "buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior. With expectations already priced in for a 25 bps cut, a surprise 50 bps cut could trigger concerns over economic health, prompting investors to de-risk. This would likely lead to a temporary selloff in riskier, smaller-cap stocks, with RUT2K potentially taking a hit in the near term. Given this outlook, I’m considering the $204 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024. These options could provide a solid hedge or a potential profit opportunity if the market reacts negatively to the Fed’s decision in the short term, as I expect smaller-cap stocks to feel the pressure more acutely than large-cap counterparts. Despite this expected volatility, the broader market should recover before the end of the month, once investors fully digest the news. By November 5th, on U.S. election day, we could even see new all-time highs in major indices like the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Small caps, however, may take longer to rebound, adding further value to a short-term put position in IWM. Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears motivated to support a strong market ahead of the elections, which could benefit Democrats. Former President Donald Trump has indicated he would not reappoint Powell if he returns to office, potentially giving Powell incentive to maintain market stability leading up to November. In summary, while a larger-than-expected rate cut could cause IWM ( Russell 2000 ETF ) to face short-term turbulence, the market will likely stabilize by the end of September. The $204 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, offer a timely opportunity for traders seeking to capitalize on this brief volatility.
TVC:RUTShort
by TopgOptions