Gold continue to rise rapidly?Hello everyone! Let’s dive into what’s been happening with XAUUSD lately.
Last week, gold delivered a stunning reversal - plunging sharply and then surging nearly 800 pips within just a few sessions. This rapid shift was largely triggered by key remarks from the Federal Reserve Chair and several important economic data releases.
Specifically, weaker-than-expected US employment data has fueled growing expectations that the Fed could begin easing monetary policy sooner than anticipated. At the same time, a global financial survey shows that analyst sentiment toward gold is at its highest in months. In the face of persistent global uncertainty, gold is once again attracting strong safe-haven demand.
Despite the impressive rally, volatility remains high. The next moves in gold will likely hinge on upcoming economic indicators and further statements from Fed officials. Meanwhile, the holiday calendar may lead to quieter trading sessions ahead.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its previous downtrend channel and is moving quickly. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur, but as long as price holds above key support levels, the bullish momentum could extend toward $3,416 — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
This breakout could mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation.
What do you think – is this just the start of something bigger for gold?
Buy
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHey everyone! Let’s take a closer look at what’s happening with gold today.
Over the past week, the global gold market experienced dramatic swings. Prices tumbled following cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, only to rebound sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data.
On Wednesday, the Fed held interest rates steady, and Powell stated, “We haven’t made any decisions for September.” Though brief, that statement hinted that a rate cut isn’t guaranteed — dashing investor hopes and sending gold to its lowest level in four weeks.
But by Friday, the narrative flipped. A weaker-than-expected jobs report triggered a powerful rally. Within just two minutes of the data release, gold surged by $30, closing the week at $3,361 — a gain of over 2% in a single day.
These moves highlight just how sensitive gold is to Fed signals. A slight shift in tone or a single data point can spark major volatility.
From a technical perspective, falling U.S. Treasury yields have allowed XAU/USD to regain bullish momentum, as the market reassesses Fed rate expectations after the weak NFP print. If gold successfully breaks out of its current channel after a short-term pullback, the next target could be $3,400 — or even higher.
Do you agree with this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck and happy trading!
Technical Analysis Forecast for XAUUSDOpen Price: 3365 (UTC+4)
1. Candlestick Analysis
4H/1H: Current price (3365) near resistance zone (3370–3380). Recent candles show shooting stars and bearish engulfing patterns, indicating exhaustion.
30M/15M: Doji formations at 3365 suggest indecision. A close below 3360 would confirm bearish momentum.
5M: Short-term hammer candles at 3355–3360 hint at minor support, but lack follow-through.
Outlook: Bearish reversal likely if 3360 breaks.
2. Harmonic Patterns
4H/1H: Bearish Bat Pattern completing near 3365 (D-point).
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 3365–3370.
Fibonacci Confluence: 88.6% retracement (AB=CD) + 161.8% BC extension.
30M: Bullish Gartley forming at 3350, but secondary to larger bearish setup.
Outlook: High-probability short entry at 3365–3370 with target 3340.
3. Elliott Wave Theory
4H: Wave 5 of an impulse cycle peaking at 3365.
Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from 3300 → 3365.
Corrective Phase: Expect ABC pullback to 3320–3340 (Wave A target: 3340).
1H: Sub-wave (v) of 5 ending at 3365. Divergence in RSI/MACD confirms weakness.
Outlook: Bearish correction to 3320–3340 over 24 hours.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Phase: Distribution (after markup from 3300 → 3365).
Signs: High volume at 3365 (supply), upthrust above 3370 failed.
Schematic: Phase C (markdown) beginning.
1H/30M: Spring at 3355 failed to hold, indicating weak demand.
Outlook: Break below 3350 triggers markdown to 3320.
5. W.D. Gann Theory
Time Theory
24H Cycle: Key time windows:
UTC+4: 08:00–10:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal).
Square of 9: 3365 aligns with 90° angle from 3300 (resistance).
Square of 9
3365 → Resistance Angles:
0° (3370), 90° (3385), 180° (3400).
Support: 45° (3350), 315° (3335).
Price Forecast: Next reversal at 3370 (0° angle).
Angle Theory
4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from 3300 low at 3330. Price above angle = bullish, but overextended.
1H Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at 3365 acting as resistance.
Squaring of Price & Time
Price Range: 3300 → 3365 (65 points).
Time Squaring: 65 hours from 3300 low → 3370 resistance (65 points = 65 hours).
Harmony: 3365 = Time Cycle Peak (24H from open).
Ranges in Harmony
Primary Range: 3300–3400 (100 points).
50% Retracement: 3350 (support).
61.8% Retracement: 3340 (critical support).
Secondary Range: 3320–3380 (60 points).
Key Levels: 3350 (50%), 3340 (61.8%).
Price & Time Forecasting
Price Targets:
Short-Term: 3340 (61.8% of 3300–3365).
Extension: 3320 (100% of prior correction).
Time Targets:
First Reversal: 8–12 hours from open (UTC+4 16:00–20:00).
Second Reversal: 20–24 hours (UTC+4 04:00–08:00 next day).
Synthesized 24H Forecast
Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
Trigger: Break below 3360 (confirmed by 1H/30M close).
Targets:
T1: 3340 (61.8% Fib, Gann 45° angle).
T2: 3320 (Wyckoff markdown, Elliott Wave A).
Timeline:
8–12H: Drop to 3340 (UTC+4 16:00–20:00).
20–24H: Test 3320 (UTC+4 04:00–08:00 next day).
Confirmation: RSI <50 on 1H, volume spike on breakdown.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
Trigger: Sustained close above 3370 (Gann 0° angle).
Targets: 3385 (90° angle), 3400 (180° angle).
Timeline: 12–16 hours (if 3370 breaks).
Entry: Short at 3365–3370 (stop-loss above 3380).
Targets: 3340 (T1), 3320 (T2).
Risk-Reward: 1:3 (15-point risk, 45-point reward).
Confirmation: 1H close below 3360 + volume >20% average.
Intraday Alerts:
5M/15M: Bearish engulfing below 3360 → accelerate short.
30M: RSI divergence below 3365 → validate weakness.
Final Outlook: Bearish correction to 3320–3340 favored. Monitor 3370 resistance for invalidation. Use 4H/1H close for direction confirmation.
Gold suddenly increased sharply Hey everyone, let’s dive into what’s happening with XAUUSD!
Gold is experiencing a remarkable rally this weekend, skyrocketing from the $3,285 zone to around $3,362 — gaining over 700 pips. This sharp move comes amid weakening U.S. labor market data, which has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as September.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (August 1st), non-farm payrolls rose by just 73,000 jobs in July — well below economists’ expectations of 106,000. The disappointing figures have shaken confidence in the U.S. economy and placed pressure on the U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly anticipate a dovish shift from the Fed.
For gold, this weak jobs report reinforces its role as a safe-haven asset, driving strong demand as investors seek protection from economic uncertainty. At the same time, lingering fears around global trade tensions and new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump continue to support the flight to safety.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its descending price channel and is moving fast. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur soon, but if price holds above key support levels, the rally could extend toward the $3,432 region — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone.
This move might mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation.
What do you think — is gold just getting started?
GOLD - Monthly breakout retest may confirm multi-year bull cycleHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for XAUUSD?
Looking at the monthly chart (1M), we can clearly see that XAUUSD has broken out of the long-standing ascending channel that has held since 2015 — a major signal suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Price is now retesting the previously broken trendline, hinting at the possibility of a fresh upward leg to resume the longer-term bullish trend we've seen recently.
Personally, I'm targeting $3,600 in the medium term, and potentially $4,000 by 2026–2028 if institutional capital continues to rotate back into safe-haven assets like gold.
What about you — do you think BTC/USD will rise or fall in the coming years?
And what’s your target for it?
NG1! BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
NG1! SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3.086
Target Level: 3.599
Stop Loss: 2.744
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD – the calm before the next breakout?Hello traders, what’s your take on the current trend in OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Looking back over the past 12 months, gold has delivered a truly impressive performance. From around $2,380 in August 2024, the precious metal surged to an all-time high of $3,432 by April this year — a gain of more than $1,000 in less than a year. But what’s more telling than the rise itself is how the market behaved afterward: instead of crashing, gold has maintained a high consolidation range, suggesting the uptrend is still very much alive.
This powerful rally didn’t happen in isolation. In a world marked by uncertainty, gold has once again asserted its role as a safe-haven asset. Inflation remains persistent across major economies, geopolitical tensions continue to stretch from Eastern Europe to the Middle East and Asia, and de-dollarization efforts by countries like China and Russia are reshaping global capital flows. None of these events alone could shake the markets, but together, they have laid the groundwork for gold’s sustained relevance.
From a technical standpoint, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. Following its peak at $3,432, gold has entered a modest correction phase — one that may well be a healthy consolidation before the next directional move.
Interestingly, while many investors remain cautious, the chart paints a different story: a market that isn’t afraid, but simply catching its breath. The real question is no longer “Can gold hold above $3,400?” but rather “Is the market gearing up for a fresh breakout — or a deeper correction?”
We may not be able to predict the future, but we can observe how price reacts at key levels. And sometimes, it’s in these seemingly quiet phases that the biggest turning points begin to form.
What do you think — is gold preparing for another leg up?
Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
Gold Daily Bias – Bulls Have the Ball, But Watch the TrapGold Daily Chart – August Outlook
Bias is still bullish for August.
Price is holding well above the big 3M FVG ($2,900–$3,100).
Strong bounce from Weekly Low ($3,331) heading toward Weekly High ($3,416).
Above $3,416 we’ve got $3,451 (M-H) and ATH ($3,508) as liquidity targets .
Seasonal tailwinds could help push us higher into Q4.
Blind spots to watch:
Still range-bound between $3,330–$3,450 for months — no clean break yet.
Unfilled FVG near $3,210 could be a draw if we reject from resistance.
August liquidity is thin — spikes can reverse fast.
Triple-top risk if we reject near $3,450 again.
Game plan:
Bullish if we get a daily close above $3,416 (confirmation) and ideally above $3,451 to aim for ATH.
If breakout fails, I’ll target range play back toward $3,290–$3,210.
Bias = bullish, but I’m staying nimble.
NZDJPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 87.264.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 88.444 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 195.702.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 197.050.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 67.26
Target Level: 68.46
Stop Loss: 66.46
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 1, 2025
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices recovered to the 3315 area and then continued to decrease to the 3281 area. Currently, gold prices are fluctuating quite unpredictably due to the impact of tariff news and investor confidence.
Basic news: The Federal Reserve FED continues to maintain the federal funds benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with policy since 2025. Chairman Powell did not give any signal about the next interest rate cut on September 16 - 17.
Technical analysis: After falling sharply to the 3269 area, gold prices are showing signs of recovery. In the current downtrend channel, there has been a higher bottom than the bottom at H1. We can see that if the bullish pattern at H1 is confirmed, combined with the reversal candlestick appearing at H4, the possibility of gold bouncing back to reach the resistance area of 3330, even 3350 is completely possible. In the weekend trading session, we will wait at the support zones to trade.
Important price zones today: 3280 - 3285 and 3269 - 3274.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285
SL 3280
TP 3288 - 3300 - 3310 - 3330.
Plan 2: BUY XAUSD zone 3269 - 3271
SL 3266
TP 3274 - 3284 - 3300 - 3320.
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold keeps falling – is there more to come?Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, gold remains under pressure following a series of strong U.S. economic data releases, which have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer. As a result, the U.S. dollar has strengthened, Treasury yields have climbed, and gold has lost its footing.
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is clearly trading within a descending price channel. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are acting as dynamic resistance zones. Recent attempts to rally have consistently failed at these levels, mirroring the bearish setup seen before July 29.
Currently, price is retesting a minor resistance area. If this retest fails, the next downside targets lie near 3,270 – and potentially down to 3,230 USD, which aligns with the lower boundary of the price channel.
From my perspective, the bearish momentum is likely to continue.
What about you? How do you think gold will close the day?
GBPJPY holds momentum, waiting for the final pushThe GBPJPY pair is moving sideways between 197.400 and 199.000, while maintaining its position inside the ascending price channel. Each pullback is quickly absorbed near the lower support, indicating that buying pressure is quietly building.
💡 Bullish factors supporting the trend:
– UK Services PMI beats expectations, strengthening economic outlook.
– BOJ maintains negative interest rates, weakening the JPY.
– Risk-on sentiment drives capital back into the GBP.
🎯 Suggested strategy:
Buy near 197.400 or on a breakout above 199.000.
Target: 201.500 | Stop-loss: below 196.800.
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.319.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.345 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADCHF Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.587.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.588 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 114,912.19
Target Level: 117,003.95
Stop Loss: 113,517.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the EUR/CAD with the target of 1.607 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY – Losing control zone, downtrend taking shapeGBPJPY is still trading within a long-term ascending price channel. However, what’s concerning is that recent price action has broken out of the previously established price box – which had acted as a stabilizing structure for the uptrend. Buyers failed to maintain momentum, repeatedly getting rejected at the top of the box.
Currently, GBPJPY is showing signs of breaking below the short-term support inside the price box, raising the risk of a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel. A “lower high” structure is clearly forming, confirming that selling pressure is taking over.
From a news perspective, the Japanese yen is gaining strength as risk-off sentiment increases, while the pound is losing ground due to cautious tones from the Bank of England following a string of weak economic data. This shift is weakening GBP's appeal and could accelerate the bearish trend.
Strategy:
Wait to SELL if price pulls back to the former resistance zone within the price box and shows rejection signals. The downtrend will be confirmed if the recent low is broken. Stay out if there’s no clear confirmation.
What do you think will happen next with GBPJPY?
BTC defies expectations –Absorbs 9 billion USD, aiming for 130K?BTCUSDT maintains its bullish momentum despite Galaxy Digital offloading 80,000 BTC (worth ~9 billion USD). Price only saw a slight dip before bouncing back quickly, signaling strong demand and a more mature market sentiment.
Citi analysts point to ETF inflows and retail participation as the primary drivers of BTC’s rally, even as investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision.
On the daily chart, BTC continues to trade within an ascending channel, with the 116,200 zone acting as a potential buy area on any pullback. The next target is set at 129,500 USDT, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary and technical resistance.
Suggested strategy: Look to buy near 116,200–117,000. Target 129,500. Stop-loss below 115,000.
EURUSD plunges without brakes – The bears take full control!EURUSD continues its steep decline as both macroeconomic and technical pressures mount. A trade deal unfavorable to the EU, combined with the Fed’s hawkish stance, has fueled USD strength and dragged the euro sharply lower. At the same time, strong U.S. labor data and rising employment costs further reinforce the bearish outlook.
On the H1 chart, EURUSD is clearly moving within a descending channel. Key price zones have been broken with no significant bullish reaction, indicating that sellers remain firmly in control. The market is heading toward a psychological support area, with no signs of reversal as RSI stays weak.
I remain biased toward SELL setups on any short-term pullbacks, avoiding countertrend trades in this environment. If downside momentum continues, deeper targets may still be ahead.
In a market dominated by bearish sentiment, trading with the trend remains the smartest and safest approach.