USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
Buy
GOLD – Bullish Flag Breakout After Demand Zone Test
Price pulled back into the major demand zone (blue area), rejected with a strong wick, and formed a bullish flag structure. The breakout above the flag channel suggests continuation toward recent highs.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry:
Above 3344 (breakout confirmation)
✅ Stop Loss:
Below 3332 (last swing low)
✅ Target:
3357–3360 (previous resistance zone)
Context:
• Demand zone respected
• EMA support aligning
• Clear breakout candle with volume
Risk Management:
Max risk per trade: 1%
Zoom in M5:
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MJTrading #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading
GBPUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.370.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.378 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,639.6.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,732.0 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.663 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDCAD Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.895.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.900.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/NZD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on GBP/NZD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 2.267.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Buy IOC short term target 155, 165 & Medium Term tgt 185, 250 Indian Oil Corporation does business in the entire hydrocarbon value chain - from Refining, Pipeline transportation and marketing of Petroleum products to R&D, Exploration & production, marketing of natural gas and petrochemicals. It has the leadership position in the Oil refining & petroleum marketing sector of India.
The company aims to strengthen EV mobility infrastructure by setting up charging points and battery-swapping facilities at its fuel stations. It has also signed a binding term sheet with Panasonic Group to form a JV for manufacturing cells in India.
The company’s R&D is focused on emerging fields such as nanotechnology, Solar, Bioenergy, Hydrogen, etc. It has an effective patent portfolio of 1636. It spent Rs 946 Cr in FY24 on R&D.
The company’s R&D is focused on emerging fields such as nanotechnology, Solar, Bioenergy, Hydrogen, etc. It has an effective patent portfolio of 1636. It spent Rs 946 Cr in FY24 on R&D.
Market Cap ₹ 2,07,370 Cr.
Annual Sales - ₹ 758,106 Cr
Dividend Yield - 8.20 %
Stock P/E - 17.0
Industry PE - 29.2
Debt to equity - 0.82
ROCE - 7.37 %
EPS - ₹ 9.63
Fundamentally, this big company is trading at a very low valuation. The Crude Oil price is expected this year to be on lowest, so we can expect good profit margin and this company is into green energy business so it should have PE multiple of that business as well. We Expect growth in EPS by 30% to 12.5 And re-rating of PE multiple to 20 so that give the share price to ₹ 250 which gives return of 70.88% from current price level of 146.30.
Technically, this is very bullish on weekly, daily timeframe. Price is trading above all short term, medium term averages. It has formed a bullish candlestick pattern on daily and weekly chart, so we expect immediate strong upside to 155, 165 and eventually 185 level and investment target of 250 levels.
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesEURUSD is currently facing rejection at the GAP resistance area near 1.17350, combined with a lower high structure forming within the ascending channel. Price action shows clear signs of weakness after filling the GAP, and the aligned FVG zones below suggest a potential for deeper downside.
If the price remains capped below 1.17350, there is a high probability of a pullback toward the 1.16300 support area — which aligns with the long-term ascending trendline. A break below this level could extend the bearish move toward the deeper region near 1.14500.
Supporting Fundamentals:
Strong US Core PCE → reinforces expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.
Weak EU manufacturing PMI → puts pressure on the euro.
FOMC minutes and NFP — if hawkish — could strengthen the USD and weigh further on EURUSD.
XAUUSD – Technical pullback before a breakout?On the 4H chart, gold is consolidating just below the descending trendline after a correction from $3,389 to the support zone at $3,252. The current price structure suggests continued range-bound movement between $3,252 and $3,318 before a potential breakout. If price breaks above the trendline, the next target could be the resistance zone at $3,389.
From a news perspective, the easing of Iran–Israel tensions has slightly reduced safe-haven demand, putting short-term pressure on gold. However, the US dollar remains at a 3-year low, and concerns over the US government’s $3.3–3.9 trillion tax reform package are fueling fears of a widening deficit—both of which support a bullish outlook for gold.
In summary, watch how price reacts to the trendline. A confirmed breakout could send gold surging toward the $3,389 zone.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ:
Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally.
From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index.
While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips !Dear friends!
The exit from the bearish channel has led to an impressive price increase. At the time of writing, the financial market is trading above the $3,300 mark. The uptrend is very strong as it consolidates at high levels with stable trading activity on the 2-hour time frame.
Therefore, the upcoming reports on US employment and manufacturing are highly anticipated. This has contributed to the market being hotter than ever. The price increase is expected to reach $3,385, if the Fed signals monetary policy easing. What do you think about this? Do you agree with me?
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base.
2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential.
3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout.
4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter.
5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FFM -- ASX – Breakout Consolidation in Focus
📝 Description
Firefly Metals is setting up a classic breakout continuation scenario after reclaiming the $1.00 psychological level and breaking the long-term trendline resistance.
🔹 Key Observations:
• Trendline Break: The descending trendline from the prior high was decisively breached, signaling a structural shift.
• Accumulation Zone: Price has consolidated in a tight range above $1.00, forming a bullish flag or box accumulation.
• EMA Cluster Support: Both the 15 and 60 EMAs are aligned below the consolidation, providing dynamic support.
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Continuation:
A clean breakout above the top of the blue box could trigger a momentum rally toward $1.30 and ultimately the $1.38–$1.50 resistance levels.
✅ Deeper Pullback:
If price loses the $1.00 support decisively, a retracement to retest the breakout base is possible.
Trade Plan:
I am monitoring for a confirmed breakout candle with volume expansion to validate the continuation thesis.
• Entry trigger above the range high ($1.10 area)
• Stops below recent swing low / $1.00 level
• First target: $1.30 resistance
As always, risk management first—no breakout, no trade.
#MJTrading
#FFM #FireflyMetals #ASXTrading #BreakoutSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingPlan #ChartOfTheDay #AustralianStocks #MomentumTrading #MJTrading
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPAUD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2.098.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2.106 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!