Bitcoin Weekend Bearish Flag completion or Rally ?Bitcoin positive start to the day, though the lack of an early relief rally leaving the Bitcoin bears firmly in control going into the weekend.
Bitcoin Technical Overview
Day Trading Range: $6230 - $6650
Key Resistance: $6455 - $6528 - $6580 -$6635 - $6680
Key Support: $6378 - $6320 - $6278 - $6220 - $6170
Most Likely Scenario Long above $6400 with target $6480 & $6550 in extension.
Alternative Scenario Short below $6300 with target $6245 & $6170 in extension.
Technical Indicator:
MACD: MacD shows in 4H lower strength for short, getting power for coming Bullish scenario.
Moving Avg: SMA200 ($6646) strong resistance for the day & SMA100 ($6851) trading also resistance area.
Overall, Plenty of headwinds remain, including the SEC’s review of the 9 Bitcoin ETF applications that comes in the wake of the latest suggestion of market manipulation, a sizeable short position ahead of the Goldman Sachs news that hit the wires midweek.
Sentiment is particularly bearish and while there has been some upside early on, the gains are of little relief, investors needing to protect the downside ahead of next week’s EU gathering.
For the day ahead, holding above $6,410 through the morning would support a run at $6,528 levels and the day’s first major resistance level at $6,545 later in the day, though Bitcoin will need to break out of its current ranges early, else face the prospects of a reversal, investors somewhat bruised from the losses through the week.
Thanks
YoCryptoManic
Buybitcoin
Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2018: Golden RatioRed trend lines are important.
Most important 0.618 Fibonacci level!
In next month we might break 0.786 Fibonacci level (6000$) and come with V shaped bottom at 0.618 Fibonacci (4800$) to make a jump into new rally with possible final target at 1.618 Fibonacci (12230$)
MOON or HELLHi guys!
I wanna share my analysis with you, I do hope you find it helpful. If you liked it please leave a like and If you have any questions leave a comment below!:)
BTC is now in a clear bear market, price action is negative and the sentiment is also negative. Will it moon or we gonna crash? No one knows. Anyone stating that it is 100% gonna go up or go down is just a gambler.
In the past days BTC's price decreased very heavily. Moving in this descending triangle , most people expected that we gonna go down to 6.5K and not to break the April low at around 6.4k then move up to the BLUE trendline at around 8.5k. That sounds like a perfect trade that everyone sees and that is why these seemingly easy and obvious scenarios do not play out. If you want to be a successful trader you should always go against the crowd, but the timing is key.
We have key support levels at 6k 5.5k and at 5k. These round numbers, previous lows or tops are the key supports for the next days, weeks or months. I do expect to break below 6k. That would scare a lot of trades causing even more panic sells and probably also incresing the number of shorts.
As you can see below, short positions are increasing exponentially. You can also see that short positions are very overbought.
If the price falls below 6k it is uncertain which support will hold or break, but when we reverse it should be rapid. The increasing number of short positions and then the reversing price could end up in a short squeeze. Just like on the 12th of April when short positions dropped almost 50% in one day and the price os BTC increased by 20% in one day.
If we do reach 5k and it can't hold which in my opinion is very unlikely, then it is gonna be tough and gonna take a lot of time for BTC and for the whole crypto market to recover. 5k is not only a previous top that acts as a new support, but is very important psychologically too!
On the 4H chart you can also see that the rally yesterday retraced the price to the 0.382 fibb which is a very important resistance and bulls did not manage to break it. It is possible that we gonna form a reversed head and shoulders where the RED trendline is the neckline.
In case of breaking above the 0.318 fibb on the chart above at 6750 usd than our next target is at 7 and 7.5k-7.6k as you can see on another chart below. The engulfing candle and the oversold RSI could lead to this possible short term reverse.
In this falling market price averaging is a good idea since buying at the very bottom is almost impossible, because nobody knows where it is.
***It is not a financial advice. Always do your own research before investing into anything!***