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CADCHF Bullish Divergence Trade. Wait for Daily Close > 75EMA This is a possible scenario for CAD CHF following some recent Bullish Divergence on a Daily time-frame. The idea would be to wait for the trade to properly setup above the EMAs 25/50/75 and in particular a Daily close above the yellow 75 EMA would be a signal to get Long. * For educational use only and to explain 1 particular way you can trade divergences in RSI and Price, preference always to higher timeframes for better reliability of the setup.
Long
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Why I won't be 'shaken' out of my Silver-accumulation longs Please, check out my charts. The 4HR, Daily and Weekly. How bullish is looking for Silver. Today's price-action has already taken out last weeks high. I recommended to many of the traders following me here on TV, to get into a Long position(s) in Silver today. Why? Well without even speculating on the FED making it's move on interest rate reductions & where my personal view is the obvious one that the Gold price is going to skyrocket, notwithstanding this the Silver chart on the high T/F's is so bullish at the moment. If one of the Gurus tells you to sell Gold or Silver at the moment and take TP, you are losing the compounding effect of accumulation IMHO. Just chuck on a loose trailing stop. But make it loose because the market-maker 'coats' will drive price down to your stop & take you out. I see it time and time again, which is why I generally only use 'soft-mental-stops'. I'd rather lose the lot myself than have a coat take me out.
EIGHTCAP:XAGUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
LTC: Buy breakLitecoin Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 61.20 (stop at 59.11) Trading within the Wedge formation. Trend line support is located at 60.00. Support could prove difficult to breakdown. A clear break of 61.00 and we would look for further gains to 66.00. Our profit targets will be 65.94 and 68.00 Resistance: 66.00 / 75.00 / 95.00 Support: 60.00 / 44.00 / 20.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:LTCUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY: BUY THE 107 BREAKOUT - RISK-ON TO CONTINUE - BOJ/ BOEUSDJPY: 1 . Been watching $yen closely as my top 2 trades this week (along with GU). As expected/ foretasted 107 was the next key risk sentiment resistance level after 104 and after buying the 104 breakout i have confidence/ advise buying the 107 breakout - we have now crossed the 3m moving average at 106 which provides support/ confirms bullish move. 2 Risk has been depressed excessively in the past 6-months but more so directly after brexit - this risk rally (SP highs etc and UJ higher) isn't a fundamental change in risk sentiment imo (e.g. i dont forecast an UJ uptrend now) however i do believe this is a 2-4wk risk recovery before moving lower again back through the 104 level to the 102. 3. This risk recovery is being fueled by 1) JPY/ BOJ Stimulus hopes since the BOJ hasnt cut its rate since January the market expects strong easing from JPY Govt and BOJ. 2) Markets expect a 25bps cut in the Bank Rate and GBP80bn extension in BOE QE. 3) Several other CBs e.g. RBA/ RBNZ/ PBOC/ ECB are also expected to ease at some-point in 2016 so all speculations are being priced into this risk rally as upside. 4) As mentioned above, risk was depressed for several weeks into/ out of brexit so this is a recovery leg higher e.g. shorts profit taking/ washed out. Volatility: 1. Current 25 delta Risk Reversals RR trade negative at -1.7, indicating either 1) the market is long Spot UJ but covering the downside possibility with options or 2) Option speculators like their chances with UJ lower - given the bullish bias id like to think the first is true. 2wk RR covering the BOJ however surprisingly trade close to flat at -0.3 - i see this as the market really not knowing what to expect/ sitting on the fence. Usually we see a strong bias to put's or call's but given BOJ/ Kurodas history (under-delivery) but also the current situation it makes sense why the market is flat with positioning. 1. IV 1wk and 2wk is: 11.41% and 19.27% and realised is: 6.35% and 13.16% - IV outperforming HV is a bearish signal but given the way markets have been rallying it is unsurprising that demand has increased (i dont see this as a bearish sign). Notably we see a spiking of 2wk IV at 19.27 vs 13.16HV which covers the BOJ meeting, thus clearly there is alot of anticipation going into the meeting.. i expect 28th vol to increase as we get closer to the event which could cause UJ selling however, BOJ expectations will outweight this (e.g. if 20bps + QE is expected we will see UJ upside). Trading Strategy: 1. Buy USDJPY 107 break-out - should be 100pip+ squeeze as shorts are washed out as clearly there are alot of sellers in the market here who will have stops above the big fig (wait for confirmation e.g. high time frame close above 107.) 109TP1, 111TP2 - I don't see USDJPY breaking the pre-brexit recovery rally highs at 112 - if it we were to, this could perhaps signal a true shift in risk sentiment (e.g. market is now fully risk on). - Late now but as initially mentioned this trade combined with the short GU worked well at hedging the risk-on risk-off dynamics at play (see attached) - still if GU retestes 1.33/4 shorts are strong at this level. 2. Assuming my initial assumption is correct e.g. <112 is the terminal rate for this recovery rally, I will then turn net seller of USDJPY and sell to 107TP1 104TP2 100.5TP3 but I will post about that nearer the time. 3. On a side note, if we were not to break 107 (unlikely as safe havens are taking heavy losses and stocks continue to make new highs) this level could be the risk sentiment pivot, but i would update if that becomes the case. If we do not break 107 today, it should be tomorrow as thursday is the traditional risk-on day. Risks to the view: 1. Obvious risk to the view is that 1) JPY/ BOJ easing expectations wane which cause the bull rally to fade - something which is highly possible but more and more unlikely as we get closer (only 8 days away). 2) An unforeseeable risk-o
Long
by QuantumLogicTrading
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