Megaphone - BearishSPY weekly looking interesting heading into the week. Staying hedged with the SPY holding another megaphone. The SPY is being carried by buyer volume with some hidden bearish divergence on the RSI and nearing overbought territory yet again.
With so many sectors and indexes flashing red and a massive bearish cipher on the weekly timeframe as further confirmation, looking forward to playing the downside.
Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime (Accompanying Charts Attached Below)
Buyers
Nifty Institutional levels | Intraday 4-JUNE-2024 | 9:15 IST#Optionbuyers
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1) Zones you always Like:-
Green zone- institutional support
Red zone - institutional resistance
Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
Zone making is helped by pivot points and Fibonacci
Advance version of price action
2) Trade Execution:-
Trade based on order flow data
Timeframe - 1 min
Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
Position sizing
3) House Rules in trading:-
Sharp at 9;15 AM
Priority to risk management
Fast execution (morning breakfast)
Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
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TOTAL 1 Will Crypto Christmas come early?I was thinking to wait till tomorrow till I post this analysis so more people could see it but oh well, let us do it today cause you never know what happens.
I think this is one of the most important charts when following crypto markets. (cause it shows crypto markets money inflows and outflows).
Bitcoin has broken out already from this years highs week ago (I'll add picture down), BUT Total 1 marketcap hasn't made higher highs yet.
If and when this breaks I believe we will see surge on BTC and possibly on alts that will wake up the bull narrative again. (News etc)
Target is 1.49 Trillion so that would be 250 Billion inflows to crypto markets, that's 20% rise!
Better to be prepared than get caught with pants down
Two active trades going on DYDX and GOLD
-PalenTrade
SPY- Bearish Megaphone - UpdatePosting another quick update here on the SPY as it closed last week sitting on its 50-day SMA, after the 50-day SMA crossed below the 100-day SMA, while simultaneously rejecting the .50 FIB level. The SPY is holding yet another bearish megaphone as buyers and sellers continue to fight, accompanied by some slight bearish divergence on the RSI. Just some key FIB levels to keep an eye on in the interim, along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones, staying hedged.
--Previous Charts Attached In Description --
EQT- Going LongAfter being shorted to the N'th degree, and finally breaking out of the downwards channel EQT has been holding, EQT is seemingly consolidating here within a symmetrical triangle, as buyers continue to step in.
After breaking out of the downtrend, EQT has formed an inverse head and shoulders on the daily timeframe, along with finding support right in the FIB golden pocket, accompanied by a SMA golden cross. (See Attached Chart Below)
Will be keeping a close eye on the daily timeframe to start building a position in some synthetic longs and/or leaps. Bullish and am looking for another push upwards from here.
Falling Wedge- BullishAfter finally retracing, the lithium sector is starting to look ready to breakout with buyers starting to step in. Watching LAC & PLL closely here as both are holding massive falling wedges, however, PLL is seemingly forming an ascending triangle as well on its weekly timeframe (See Attached Chart Below). Additionally, PLL is holding the same falling wedge on the 4-Hour timeframe with its Bollinger bands squeezing, along with a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern, MACD golden cross. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels to keep an eye on along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones in the meantime -- Price Targets & Previous Charts Attached In Description --
PT1- $56.12
PT2- $58.74
PT3- $60.07
PT4- $61.26+
--Weekly Timeframe--
--4-Hour Timeframe--
USDCAD : Possible Pull back from major support levelOANDA:USDCAD
Hi trader's .. Market breakout downside from descending Triangle
Market reached major support level , as market now in over sold area
so possible pull back from support level expected
Price Can make double bottom at 1.3556 area and from there buyer's can push market toward's 1.3645 area
Ascending Triangle Forming- BullishEyeing SE here as it heads into earnings as it's been trading sideways for quite some time now after finding a bottom stemming from a big downtrend. SE has formed an inverse head and shoulders on the 4-Hour and daily timeframes, along with holding a massive bullish shark harmonic pattern on the weekly timeframe with the neckline between 62.45 and 63.95 (See Attached Chart Below). Additionally, SE has some nice bullish hidden divergence on the weekly timeframe along with its Bollinger Bands Squeezing. With buyer volume ramping up relative to seller volume, definitely will be keeping a close eye on this one. Bullish & will be watching closely for a breakout if buyers continue to step in (broader market conditions permitting)- Just some FIB levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous Charts Attached Below
PT1- $65.44
PT2- $66.88
PT3- $67.51
PT4- $69.02+
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
Tesla - upcoming earnings reportLet's look at Tesla from the technical point of view. On the chart we have an inverse head and shoulder pattern which signifies an onset of a bullish movement with current price also breaking the resistance trend line indicating strong momentum from the bulls ( buyers).
Investing in exercise bicycles...?People can say Peleton is sooo much more than an exercise bike. I don't disagree, however, it's core business and most valuable product is it's bike. Sure, subscriptions and add-ons bring in lots of cash, but you won't get any of that subscription money if your target market is as small as this one's is. I say that because you have to be financially in a decent position in life to even afford a service like Peleton, and I just don't buy into the idea that Amazon or Apple or some big tech will come along and eat this company. I think they have a better ability to scale the bikes and services making PTON a buyout in my opinion. Who says the acquiring tech company won't pay them $5/share? Buyer's beware.
Where and when are our setups more probable?Setup probability drastically increases when we sell in premium (above 50% of a marked range) and buy in discount (below 50% of a marked range) . You are made to believe that 0.38 fib is magical and mesmerising since it repeats everywhere in nature and in human interactions but It's exactly where stop hunts actually occur. We want to engage from a different angle and follow the logic of price action. Institutions engage in a different way. If they want to achieve a higher high or a lower low that's going to happen from a premium or a discount almost all the time. Go see your desired chart and recognise the pattern and you will grasp a very important element of how price action really works
DXYThis is a quick breakdown on the DXY (Dollar index) and what I see for start of the trading week. Overall, I see the DXY bullish breaking 100.750 area and doing a simple break/retest on that previous high. You will also notice on the 4H chart that engulfing bullish candlestick that shows that the buyers are not done in this market followed up by the ascending channel that was created prior. Pairs to watch for this week; GBP/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD, & EUR/USD.
EURO POTENTIALLY WILL STRENGTHENCURRENCY EURUSD, will experience a price increase if it manages to penetrate the transition area to enter a new demand zone, namely the block order zone.
the best opportunity and opportunity is to wait for the price to enter the demand range area, followed by a price rejection.
GBPUSD STARTS TO CROW UPThe pound sterling will strengthen along with the formation of a price rejection in the demand and order block areas. the best possibility and opportunity to take a position on this cuThe pound sterling will strengthen along with the formation of a price rejection in the demand and order block areas. the best possibility and opportunity to take a position on this currency is to buy, with a very commensurate risk and reward.rrency is to buy, with a very commensurate risk and reward.