Buying
Breakout Signals via Asymmetrical AveragingSpecial Application of Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change Indicator
INDICATOR AVERAGES BULLISH AND BEARISH VOLATILITY SEPARATELY THROUGH THEIR NATIVE PAST CANDLE COUNT. NOT PERIODICALLY!
Asymmetrical averaging is a versatile technique that involves assigning different lengths for independent averaging of opposite market forces. This adaptability uncovers high-probability breakout signals by establishing a threshold that filters out irrelevant fluctuations.
Below, I illustrated 2 practical examples of the method applied to bullish and bearish breakout scenarios:
Bullish Breakout Example:
Set the bullish averaging to 30 and the bearish averaging to 1000.
If the bullish average consistently surpasses the bearish threshold, it indicates robust buying momentum and a potential breakout to the upside.
The extreme bearish average establishes a consistent baseline, filtering out short-term fluctuations and focusing on significant upward momentum to deliver reliable bullish breakout signals.
Bearish Breakout Example:
Set the bearish averaging to 30 and the bullish averaging to 1000.
If the bearish average rises above the bullish threshold, it signals growing selling pressure and a potential breakout to the downside.
The extreme bullish average provides a steady reference point, eliminating minor fluctuations and isolating significant downward momentum for dependable bearish breakout signals.
LINK TO THE INDICATOR:
Raw VS Percentage Volatility FormatA Quantitative Comparison of "Buying & Selling Pressure" and "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change"
In market analysis, the choice of averaging method can profoundly influence the insights derived. The "Buying & Selling Pressure " and "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicators demonstrate the unique strengths of fixed-period and candle-count-based averaging approaches.
Key Differences Between Fixed-Period and Candle-Count Averaging
Fixed-Period Averaging in BSP:
➡︎ In "Buying & Selling Pressure", candle metrics are averaged over a defined period (e.g., 14 bars).
➡︎ This provides rapid insights into market sentiment changes, making it ideal for tracking incentive shifts and volatility in real time.
➡︎ However, because this method includes all candles in the averaging window, it may reflect short-term fluctuations, offering less stability compared to candle-count-based methods.
Candle-Count Averaging in ABBPC:
➡︎ "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change"uses a predefined count of bullish or bearish candles for averaging percentage changes.
➡︎ This produces stable and reliable values, which are less sensitive to noise and better suited for risk and reward assessment.
➡︎ The focus on specific candle states ensures that only relevant market behaviors contribute to the averages.
Using Percentage Change for Risk Definition
One of the greatest strengths of the "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicator is its ability to assist in risk and reward calculations with much more market related figures instead of raw values of volatility:
Defining Risk
The average percentage change of bearish candles can serve as a dynamic stop-loss level.
For example, if the average bearish percentage change over the last 10 candles is 2%, a trader can set a stop-loss at 2% below their entry to account for typical market behavior.
Quantifying Reward:
The average bullish percentage change helps identify realistic profit targets.
If the average bullish percentage change over the last 10 candles is 3%, a trader can set a target at 3% above their entry to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Dynamic Adjustments:
As the market evolves, these average percentage changes update, allowing traders to adjust their risk and reward levels in real time for better precision.
Quantitative Advantages of Percentage Change Averaging
Normalization Across Price Levels:
Percentage changes enable consistent comparison across assets with vastly different price ranges.
Enhanced Stability for Risk Assessment:
Candle-count averaging smooths out noise, offering a reliable basis for setting risk parameters like stop-losses and profit targets.
Improved Predictability:
By isolating specific candle behaviors, percentage-based metrics provide clearer signals for trend-following or mean-reversion strategies.
Advantages of BSP’s Fixed-Period Averaging
Despite being less stable, "Buying & Selling Pressure " excels in areas requiring speed and adaptability:
Fast Incentive Tracking:
Period-based averaging adapts quickly to changing market conditions, providing timely insights into shifts in buying or selling pressure.
Broad Volatility Capture:
BSP includes all candles in the defined period, capturing overall market dynamics, including sudden spikes or reversals.
Real-Time Decision Making:
Its responsiveness makes it highly suitable for momentum or breakout trading strategies.
Bottomline:
Use "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" for stable, consistent data ideal for risk assessment, particularly when defining dynamic stop-loss levels or profit targets based on average percentage changes.
Use "Buying & Selling Pressure " for its speed and adaptability in tracking real-time shifts in market incentives and capturing volatility.
Platinum Insider Stays in the Game, Anticipating Higher PricesA platinum Insider hasn't changed portfolio yet, so there's still potential for more growth.
Let me remind you, on September 4th, an insider came into the Platinum market and went long, which caused the price of Platinum (and other precious metals) to go up.
Now, prices are getting close to his target levels. This is important because it shows the market's future direction. The Insider know when to get in and when to get out. And we can watch them to see what he is doing.
If you don't have the time or inclination to read stock reports, just follow us. We cover all the important stuff and provide valuable insights every day.
FTMUSD Trade setupAccumulate in this area, FTM is primed in Q4 2024 - Q1 2025. Sonic will generate new ATH's.
Bullish Continuation Buying after valid Retest with RRR of 1:2 as we can Clearly see the Market is Bullish so it can Turn out to be a High Probability Trade with proper Risk management.
Buying OpportunityBreak and retest for Continuation Trade, Just wait for a Valid Retest with Conformation for Better Risk Management
Platinum is about to skyrocket and soar by 20%!Platinum's insider was discovered!
He was last seen at it on March 7th of this year, and platinum prices have jumped by 20% since then!
Now, his target price is between $1100 and $1200 , representing a greater than 20% increase. There's some significant momentum going on there.
We are keeping a close eye on it.
Gold Price Hover NearRecord Highs Ahead of Key Labor Market Data the price of gold is expected to continue its soft uptrend. According to recent analyses, gold is currently in a rising channel pattern, indicating a potential for further gains if it maintains its upward momentum. This soft uptrend is supported by factors such as geopolitical tensions and rising real inflation, which are considered favorable for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The predictions suggest that gold might experience a slight increase, moving within a range of $2,491 to $2,643 per ounce throughout the day
US100 CASH BULLISHI am monitoring Nas100 for a buying opportunity around 19,472 ob level, once i will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed
Disclaimer Alert: these are just charts to watch, keep in consideration the news, the best entry, the risk management and price action confirmation. Trade is reactive not predictive.
BUY GOLD, GOLD TO 2500 potentially. Gold is currently testing support lvl at 2383 . We should expect gold to find support there and move upward to 2402 .
If price moves lower I would buy at the next support lvl ( 2363 ) and take that back up. Gold is in a major uptrend and will find more support and move higher. My expectation is $2500. We risk at our lvls(2363,2383). If gold moves lower we readjust for sells.
Don’t let short term trends fool you. Gold will move higher.
BUYING MIGHT COME IN NAUKRI FROM 6000Buying can start at 6000 on NAUKRI as it is a psychological number.
Target seems to be 6400 very quickly. May be good days are yet to come in NAUKRI
SNOW - Major long opportunity! Look for this to enterThis is super interesting and we could be near a great level to get in for a longer term hold.
Many confluences on this one so keep this one on the list!
Happy Trading :)
Trade Idea: Go Long Up To 1100$Rationale:
COT sentiment
The last COT report shows that Commercials' net short positions have been decreasing, which could indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side.
The COT report can be used as a tool to gauge the market sentiment of traders. When Commercials' net short positions decrease, it could signal a potential shift in sentiment towards the bullish side. This could be due to factors such as improving economic conditions, increased demand for platinum, or geopolitical events that could impact the price of platinum.
Option Sentiment
There has been a significant increase in insider option activity, with a notable number of calls being purchased at 100$ strike price. This bullish sentiment has been further corroborated by the options open interest, which has also increased.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Platinum breakthroug range.
"PANW" Palo Alto Networks - Insider TradingPANW is being bought by US Parliament member Nancy Pelosi, she bought twice in past month.
The current price is in perfect Golden Zone on Daily chart. If we go past ATH there is no actual telling where it will go up to next, we might just move sideways for now to reset RSI or even start moving up at any time. But it also might just drop down a bit.
Palo Alto Networks, a cybersecurity company that provides advanced firewall and cloud security solutions. Palo Alto Networks offers a range of products and services aimed at protecting organizations from cyber threats, including next-generation firewalls, cloud security, endpoint protection, and threat intelligence services. The company is known for its focus on innovation and its commitment to helping businesses secure their digital assets against evolving cyber threats.
BUY GOLDAfter the drop on gold below 2000, expecations are for a bullish pullback to 2019. Use proper risk management.
TSLA shorts? We shall see
Will we break to the BEAR side on the 1hourly. Key resistance area now tested. If this breaks south, more put buying!
BTCUSD - INSTITUTIONAL BUYING ZONE1. A breakout is about to happen at the support level.
2. A false breakout is when the institutions enter the market at respective level either support or resistance level.
3. But big institutions resist the breakout by buying huge quantities there forming a false breakout.
4. It was the right time to follow their footsteps.
BCTUSD - INSTITUTIONAL BUYING ZONE1. A breakout is about to happen at the support level.
2. A false breakout is when the institutions enter the market at respective level either support or resistance level.
3. But big institutions resist the breakout by buying huge quantities there forming a false breakout.
4. It was the right time to follow their footsteps.
Ethereum - INSTITUTIONAL BUYING ZONE1. A breakout is about to happen at the support level.
2. A false breakout is when the institutions enter the market at respective level either support or resistance level.
3. But big institutions resist the breakout by buying huge quantities there forming a false breakout.
4. It was the right time to follow their footsteps.
Gold finally picking up?As Gold has been falling for the past few weeks. We could see momentum pick up in the direction of gold gaining in value. Since the BTC ETF's have been approved we saw a bit of a stabilized movement with the pair. With this sentiment & analysis we saw the safe haven.. gold drop..from the looks of what it happening currently it could technically still be on a downtrend but i'd like to do a bit of counter trend trading today since the volume looks to be accommodating to the upside since London session.
*** KEY ANALYSIS ***
- I'm looking for breaks to the upside of gold of 2032.87. i need the 30mm candle to close above this point before i can have a confirmation of execution. stops under my zone at 2029.26
Navigating a Downward Channel: A Journey to Potential UpsideWelcome to a comprehensive breakdown of the IGR setup – a compelling narrative rooted in technical analysis that may uncover a path to potential gains. Check out the video, as I delve into the reasons underpinning my decision to hold a current position in IGR, while keeping risk management in this turbulent market in mind.
Firstly, we explore the mechanics of a downward channel, often considered a bullish indicator, which is poised for an upside breakout after several touches against resistance. I'll guide you through my anticipation of the stock's trajectory towards a target, accompanied by a strategic management of entry and exit points. My approach combines a tight stop loss coupled with a keen eye on partial profit targets, ensuring a balanced risk management.
However, the analysis doesn't stop with patterns. The setup also encompasses fundamental factors that add another layer of interest – notably the stock's consistent history of dividend payments through market upheavals, even during the 2008 crisis and the tumult of 2020. We ponder the implications of a sizeable estimated dividend yield that provides not only trade value but also potential for long-term holding as a dividend stock.
Additionally, insider buying acts as a crucial signal in our evaluation, hinting at the confidence held by those with intimate knowledge of the stock’s inner workings.
The final piece of our analytical puzzle extends to examining the weekly chart, revealing a pattern that suggests bullish sentiment, supported by a strong trend line dating back 16 years – an invaluable insight for those studying long-term support levels.
Remember, the choices traders make must be informed by rigorous research and consultation with financial advisors where necessary.
This exploration is intended for educational purposes, offering a peek into the strategic thinking that informs intelligent trading decisions.
Waiting for candler confirmation on latest high to break. We've experienced some turbulence or in other words.... resistance with price since it's been on the down-slop since January 5th 2024.
Price seemly wants to break that down trended cycle by picking up momentum and making a new structure to the upside. It's tested the 2035.80 area/zone earlier today (Jan 08 2024) around approximately 11:00am EST during the course of New York session and by the looks of how price has regained momentum. It looks like it's making it's way back to the same area..
*** KEY ANALYSIS ***
-- If momentum hold's the way it is holding right now (despite slow asian session volume) I will want to see our first confirmation on the candle break and close above our zone and the latest high for the day at 2036.87.
-- Once the candle closes above that area i am aiming for my traditional 120 ($1.20) move to the upside going longs on buys with stops on candle closes anywhere below our zone at 2032.99.
