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xauusd weekly analysis **XAU/USD Weekly Analysis** *(June 2-13, 2025)* --- ### **LAST WEEK'S PERFORMANCE (June 2-6)** **Price Action:** - Weekly decline: **~2%** - Key levels: - Resistance: $3,355–$3,381 (61.8% Fibo) - Support: $3,272–$3,288 (38.2% Fibo) - Range: $3,291.50 (low) to $3,365 (high) - Close: Near $3,310–$3,316 **Key Drivers:** 1. **USD Strength**: Fiscal concerns (Senate tax bill debate adding $3.8T debt) 2. **Reduced Safe-Haven Demand**: Trump delayed EU tariffs to July 9 3. **Central Bank Caution**: Market awaited ECB/BoC decisions and U.S. jobs data --- ### **NEXT WEEK OUTLOOK (June 9-13)** **Critical Technical Levels:** | **Support** | **Resistance** | |-------------------|-------------------| | $3,272–$3,288 | $3,370–$3,375 | | $3,295 (SMA) | $3,381 (Key Breakout) | | $3,210–$3,214 | $3,400–$3,434 | **Fundamental Catalysts:** 1. **Central Banks**: - ECB Decision (June 12) → Dovish stance = USD strength - BoC Decision (June 11) → Rate cuts may boost USD 2. **U.S. Data**: - Non-Farm Payrolls (June 13) → Strong data = fewer Fed rate cuts 3. **Geopolitical Risks**: - Escalations in Ukraine/Middle East → Safe-haven demand 4. **U.S. Fiscal Policy**: Senate vote on $3.8T tax bill **Market Sentiment:** - **Bullish Case**: Break above $3,381 targets $3,500–$3,800 - **Bearish Risks**: Breakdown below $3,272 risks drop to $3,160 --- ### **TRADING STRATEGY** **Key Approaches:** - **🔺 Long Setup**: - Entry: Above $3,381 - Target: $3,500 - Stop-loss: $3,320 - **🔻 Short Setup**: - Entry: Below $3,272 - Target: $3,210 - Stop-loss: $3,310 - **Event Hedging**: Use options around ECB/BoC/NFP events **Risk Management Note:** > "Gold's trajectory hinges on USD dynamics and central bank guidance. A weekly close above $3,381 confirms bull trend resumption." --- ### **KEY EVENTS CALENDAR** | Date | Event | Impact Level | |------------|---------------------------|--------------| | June 11 | Bank of Canada Rate Decision | High | | June 12 | ECB Rate Decision | High | | June 13 | US Non-Farm Payrolls | Very High | | Mid-week | US Senate Tax Bill Vote | Moderate-High| --- **Conclusion:** Next week presents a binary setup for XAU/USD: - Break above **$3,381** opens path to $3,500+ - Failure to hold **$3,272** risks correction to $3,210 Prioritize risk management during high-impact events. The long-term uptrend remains intact but short-term direction depends on USD and central bank policy. for intra day traders and scalpers follow the range zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
Can the bulls help gold hit 3400 today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices surged more than 0.80% on Wednesday during the North American session, buoyed by disappointing U.S. economic data that signaled a slowdown in business activity and softer job growth. XAU/USD climbed to $3,382 after rebounding from a session low of $3,343. Heightened tensions between the U.S. and China also contributed to bullish momentum in bullion. With uncertainty looming over upcoming trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing, investors sought refuge in safe-haven assets like gold. Adding to market jitters, President Donald Trump signed an executive order doubling tariffs on steel and aluminum imports—from 25% to 50%—effective June 4. The move came just days ahead of a highly anticipated call between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, further fueling concerns over escalating trade frictions. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Buying power is continuing, will break out strongly in the US trading session ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3435- 3437 SL 3442 TP1: $3420 TP2: $3410 TP3: $3400 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3344- $3346 SL $3339 TP1: $3355 TP2: $3368 TP3: $3382 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
Bitcoin Wasn't Built for Bull Runs — It Was Built for This MomenDear traders, You may be witnessing a “first” — a pivotal moment right before things begin to spiral. We’re not fortune tellers. We don’t claim to predict the future. But what you’re about to read is based entirely on **publicly available data**, interpreted not through speculation, but through a deep, rational analysis of interconnected facts — the kind of connections that most overlook, and few dare to question. We may not know how the future is being orchestrated behind the scenes... But one thing seems certain: **crisis always comes first...** and *then* we are given a **narrative** to justify it — be it war, a pandemic, or a "global emergency." This is the correct sequence... and it’s the one they never teach you. Yet for those of us who navigate the financial markets, one question matters more than all others: **How do we profit from this?** --- We recently shared an important setup on the **Nasdaq index**, the benchmark that reflects — to a large extent — the true state of the U.S. economy. As a proxy for the 100 largest American corporations, the Nasdaq plays a critical role in signaling macro trends. And while some are just now waking up to the storm ahead, **our outlook has been clear since October 2022**: A major economic crisis was not only probable… it was **inevitable**. Some analysts chalk this up to uncontrolled money printing post-2019 as governments tried to patch the damage from the COVID-19 crisis. That’s one explanation. But at **Glich**, our vision is different. More complex. And for now… **not something we can fully release**. --- For years, strong correlations between **risk markets** — especially U.S. equities and crypto — held firmly in place. But something changed on **May 30th, 2025**. Completely and unmistakably. The link was severed. Now ask yourself: **Why was Bitcoin created in the first place?** It wasn’t just digital money. It was a bold, revolutionary idea. A system designed for a future economy no longer shackled by inflation, central banking failures, or hidden agendas. A fluid, transparent, and secure network for a world in desperate need of change. The current financial model is obsolete. It’s no longer evolving — just surviving. And it can no longer answer the challenges of what's to come. **2008 was not the collapse; it was the setup.** A convenient pretext to slowly roll out something **new**. And "Satoshi Nakamoto"? Well, let’s just say... **That name means more than you think.** _"HIDDEN INFORMATION"_ 👁️ --- What does NEO mean when he says: > "This has all happened before… yet it’s happening for the first time"? And what does that have to do with us? This analysis is *not* just about charts or setups. It’s a **hidden message** — a spotlight on a once-in-a-generation opportunity lying in plain sight. But not everyone is trained to read between the lines. --- Let us ask: - Why was **Donald Trump** specifically pushed into position? - Why is crypto — after being suppressed, banned and attacked worldwide — now being quietly **promoted** and fast-tracked in legislation during 2024 and 2025? Something’s moving beneath the surface. --- ### 🔍 In summary: - Expect a tidal wave of **global crypto legislation** to pass in the coming **days/weeks/months**. - Crypto — particularly **BTC and ETH** — will become silent **stores of value** during the economic storm. - Expect record-breaking levels: **$400K for Bitcoin**, **$40K for Ethereum**. Yes, this may sound like science fiction… But keep your eyes and ears wide open. 👁️ - And brace yourself for a **historic collapse** in U.S. equities. Possibly… something we’ve never seen before. --- The show is starting. And we won’t spoil the ending — because watching it unfold is part of the experience. But here’s what we *can* say, thanks to our proprietary **algorithmic system**: - The **U.S. economy will bleed**. - And crypto will blow past expectations — fulfilling the very purpose it was built for. --- 🛒 Load your bags in the coming days... Because when this train leaves the station — It won't be stopping for anyone.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by LEETALGOCONCEPT_Mentor
Bitcoin Forecast: May 2025 OutlookMay 2025 has marked a strong upward trend for Bitcoin, with the leading cryptocurrency steadily trading in the $100,000–$105,000 range and hitting multi-month highs. This growth has been largely fueled by active accumulation from institutional investors, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reinforcing Bitcoin’s growing integration into the traditional financial system. Institutional Demand as a Key Driver A major factor behind Bitcoin’s recent surge is the increasing flow of capital from institutional investors. Large ETFs, such as those managed by BlackRock and Fidelity, have expanded their positions in BTC, sending a strong signal of confidence from established financial institutions. This has further boosted interest from retail investors and strengthened the overall bullish momentum. Macroeconomic Context Another significant influence is the market's anticipation of a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. A more dovish monetary policy stance would make riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, more attractive, encouraging further investment in Bitcoin. While the Fed is expected to make a rate decision in June, markets tend to price in such moves early, which is already being reflected in Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Forecast: How Much Could Bitcoin Be Worth by End of May? Given the current momentum and positive market sentiment, analysts suggest that Bitcoin could continue its ascent. Optimistic forecasts predict that BTC might reach $120,000–$130,000 by the end of the month, provided macroeconomic conditions remain favorable. Still, the inherent volatility of the crypto market means potential pullbacks should not be ruled out. Conclusion May 2025 could prove to be a pivotal month for Bitcoin. Increased institutional participation, supportive macroeconomic signals, and favorable technical indicators are all contributing to its ongoing rally. If the current trend continues, Bitcoin could set new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by HCN-News12
Bullish Pennant Confirms Breakout: Momentum Builds Toward 1.19The pair has formed a textbook bullish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe following a sharp impulsive move upward. Price action consolidated within a narrowing triangle, signaling accumulation before the next leg higher. The breakout above the pennant’s resistance suggests continuation of the uptrend, with projected Fibonacci targets at: 1.1781 (1.272 extension) 1.1940 (1.414 extension) Volume behavior confirms the pattern: declining during the consolidation phase and increasing at the breakout, supporting a strong bullish bias. Fundamental backdrop: -The US Dollar faces pressure as markets increasingly price in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. -The ECB maintains a more hawkish stance, reinforcing euro strength relative to USD. -Eurozone economic data shows signs of inflation stabilization, while US CPI readings remain mixed. -Capital rotation favors major currencies with resilient monetary policies and macroeconomic stability. As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.1476, the bullish scenario remains intact. A move toward 1.1781 and 1.1940 appears likely. A breakdown below 1.1237 would invalidate the pennant and shift momentum toward support retests.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels). Key Levels: Support: $3,066 | $3,040 Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138 Indicators: The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback. A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation. Fundamental Factors Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold. Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Potential Scenarios Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138. Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040. A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
BTC Bitcoin Price Target by Year End​Several factors support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $97,500 by the end of the year:​ Institutional Adoption and Treasury Investments: Companies like GameStop are incorporating Bitcoin into their treasury reserves, following the lead of firms such as MicroStrategy. GameStop plans to raise $1.3 billion for Bitcoin purchases, indicating growing corporate confidence in BTC as a store of value. ​ Supportive Regulatory Environment: The U.S. administration has pledged to make the country the "undisputed Bitcoin superpower and crypto capital of the world." Plans include introducing clear regulations for stablecoins and market structures, aiming to stimulate investment and innovation in the crypto sector. ​ Positive Price Forecasts: Analysts have set bullish targets for Bitcoin, with some predicting prices ranging from $120,000 to $150,000 by year-end. These projections are based on factors like supply shocks and increased institutional adoption. ​ Seasonal Trends and Market Liquidity: Historically, the second quarter has been favorable for Bitcoin, with increased market liquidity and investor interest. Currently, approximately $31.8 billion in "dry powder" is poised to enter the crypto markets, potentially driving prices higher. ​ Finite Supply and Growing Demand: Bitcoin's capped supply of 21 million coins, coupled with rising global demand, supports its long-term value appreciation. Its growing acceptance and technological advancements, despite evolving regulatory landscapes, bolster its investment appeal. ​ These factors collectively suggest a favorable environment for Bitcoin to approach or surpass the $97,500 mark by year-end.
Long
by TopgOptions
Behind the Buy&Sell Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWhat is a Buy&Sell Strategy? A Buy&Sell trading strategy involves buying and selling financial instruments with the goal of profiting from short- or medium-term price fluctuations. Traders who adopt this strategy typically take long positions, aiming for upward profit opportunities. This strategy involves opening only one trade at a time, unlike more complex strategies that may use multiple orders, hedging, or simultaneous long and short positions. Its management is simple, making it suitable for less experienced traders or those who prefer a more controlled approach. Typical Structure of a Buy&Sell Strategy A Buy&Sell strategy consists of two key elements: 1) Entry Condition Entry conditions can be single or multiple, involving the use of one or more technical indicators such as RSI, SMA, EMA, Stochastic, Supertrend, etc. Classic examples include: Moving average crossover Resistance breakout Entry on RSI oversold conditions Bullish MACD crossover Retracement to the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci levels Candlestick pattern signals 2) Exit Condition The most common exit management methods for a long trade in a Buy&Sell strategy fall into three categories: Take Profit & Stop Loss Exit based on opposite entry conditions Percentage on equity Practical Example of a Buy&Sell Strategy Entry Condition: Bearish RSI crossover below the 30 level (RSI oversold entry). Exit Conditions: Take profit, stop loss, or percentage-based exit on the opening price.
Education
by thequantscience
1
MAJOR SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE OF BTC BASED ON ORDER BLOCKSCurrent Price Action Bitcoin is trading around $93,041, showing a consolidation pattern after recent price volatility. The price action suggests Bitcoin is in a critical zone where traders are watching for directional clues. Support Levels $92,000 (Immediate Support): This level has served as intraday support in recent trading sessions. High trading volumes were observed near this level, suggesting strong buyer interest. $90,000 (Psychological Support): Round numbers like $90,000 act as psychological barriers. Historically, Bitcoin has respected such levels during both upward and downward movements. $88,500 (Technical Support): This level aligns with previous consolidation zones and Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., the 38.2% retracement from the recent rally). $85,000 (Major Support Zone): Represents a deeper correction level but remains a critical support based on long-term moving averages (e.g., the 50-day EMA). Resistance Levels $94,500 (Immediate Resistance): Current trading activity shows selling pressure near this level. Historically, it aligns with a minor peak from earlier price actions. $96,000 (Strong Technical Resistance): Close to the upper boundary of recent trading channels. Converges with key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 61.8% retracement from the last major drop). $98,000 - $100,000 (Major Resistance): $100,000 is a significant psychological level for traders. Breaking this level would signal a strong bullish trend, likely leading to new all-time highs. Above $100,000: If Bitcoin crosses $100,000, potential resistance zones could emerge at $105,000 and $110,000 based on historical extensions and trader sentiment. Other Key Indicators Moving Averages: Bitcoin is trading above the 20-day moving average (~$91,500), which is a bullish signal. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (~$88,000 and $80,000, respectively) are major support zones. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is near 60, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum. A move above 70 could signal overbought conditions. Volume Profile: High trading volume around $92,000–$93,000 suggests significant activity, marking this as a key price region. Summary Supports: $92,000 → $90,000 → $88,500 → $85,000. Resistances: $94,500 → $96,000 → $100,000. Traders should watch for breakouts or breakdowns at these levels to determine the next price trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by realmillionairefx
RNDR SHORT/LONGWe had a strong reaction from $3.5, with a bounce of nearly 50%. Currently, the price is at a support level of around $4.1. From here, the price could either consolidate or gradually move lower toward $3.5, possibly even $3, as the Stoch RSI still has room to go down. However, a short-term rally toward the 21 EMA on the daily timeframe ($5.6) is also possible. I'm considering entering a short if the price makes a fakeout above the 21 EMA, targeting at least $4. After that, if the setup aligns, I would look for opportunities to scale into long positions. We also need to remember that on February 11, RNDR will release 0.10% of its total supply into circulation. This could add some selling pressure, so it’s worth considering when evaluating potential price movements.
COINBASE:RNDRUSD
by BOT721
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you havne`t bought IBKR before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBKR Interactive Brokers Group prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-2-21, for a premium of approximately $3.90. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:IBKRLong
by TopgOptions