LINKUSD- Scalping-Day trading- NO SWINGI'll be closing it by day’s end. I prefer not to hold any positions with U.S. elections on the horizon. This feels like the calm before another storm.
Setup details:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3R
Risk Capital: 3%
Take Profit: Partial profits at the first target; once hit, I'll move the stop-loss to breakeven (BE).
Buysideliquidity
WTI Long High riskOil Trade Setup
FPMARKETS:WTI
I've decided to go long just before the news release, as I noticed the liquidity sweep had already occurred. However, I'm cautious about this trade, as the bullish probabilities are mixed, and there are stronger bearish arguments.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss: Placed just below the liquidity sweep, as breaking this level would suggest further downside.
Take Profit: Partial exits planned. First target at $72.38, with the remaining at the next level of buy-side liquidity.
Risk/Reward: 4.85
Risk: 1%
BTCUSD: The Rally Is Just Beginning, Probability Confirms6M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
2W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If you have any questions, need further clarification, or would like to share your own insights, feel free to leave a comment below!
The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you may lose some or all of your investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
58.55% Probability of USOIL Bullish Continuation This Week!Based on a mechanical top-down structural analysis from higher to lower timeframes, there's a strong probability (58.55%) of a bullish continuation in USOIL this week.
This analysis, combined with hourly timeframe probabilities , suggests a favorable outlook for price movement.
Follow me with the detailed top-down analyses linked below to see the key factors contributing to this bullish projection on FX:USOIL
12M:
6M:
3M:
1M:
2W:
1H:
2H - Entry:
Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea.
If you have any questions or want to discuss further, feel free to ask.
Let's make this a great trading week!
Gold Spot USD | Bearish TrendDay Trend : Bearish
15m : Currently Bullish Trend( Supply Zone Mitigation )
after reaching supply zone in 15m, it will likely to sweep entire buyside liquidity, then move towards bearish.
in this process, it can make multiple liquidity sweeps towards bullish trend until it reached to entire buy side liquidity sweep point, then it will grab entire liquidity in buyside and then will make a move towards bearish.
TSLA: Short-term Probability Analysis | 57.35% Reversal!Short-term analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that the price is most likely to head to trade above +$200 in the coming days/weeks.
Breaking down the reason behind the current setup and why we should be expecting new mid-term highs:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
DAILY MARKET WATCH: USDCAD Is Bulllish!This pair is moving toward the LRLR (Low Resistance Liquidity Run).
I mentioned this move in my Weekly Forex Forecast, and price is now reaching for the old highs.
I am mindful that tomorrow's economic news, Core PCE, will likely turn the market volatile, and
potentially turn the bias. We'll see.
Best to wait until after the news announcement for new entries.
ETHUSD: Bouncing back to ATH | 66.67% Probability!COINBASE:ETHUSD has been getting a lot of attention in the crypto world lately.
It recently went through a big drop in price (-25%) , but now it's showing signs that it might be bouncing back and heading bullish again.
Here's what you need to know:
ETH's price dropped a lot over the past 2-3 months, and it's been consolidating since then. According to my Free Probability Indicator , there's a good chance that ETH's price could hit a new high. Around 66% chance on the 3D chart and 62% on the daily chart which is a pretty high number!
This drop in price could actually be a good thing because it's created a big opportunity to buy ETH at a lower price. Right now, it's about 38% cheaper than its highest price ever.
If you're thinking about trading ETH, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like breaking through certain price levels or seeing strong positive movements on the daily chart.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, you could think about buying ETH.
I'm currently looking at 4H Equilibrium to get position
Exit:
To protect yourself from losses, you might want to set a "trailing stop-loss." This means if the price starts dropping again after you buy, your sell order will automatically trigger to limit secure your running profits.
Risk Management:
Make sure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with, and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't any financial advice. It's just some insights to help you make informed decisions.
Always do your own research before investing in anything.
Notcoin is Bullish or Bearish ?The chart is for the cryptocurrency pair BINANCE:NOTUSDT NOT/USDT from Binance , analyzed on a daily timeframe. Here is a breakdown of the analysis presented:
1. **Current Price**: The current price is approximately 0.015983 USDT.
2. **Price Zones**:
- **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)**: Two Fair Value Gaps are highlighted on the chart, indicating areas where price movement was rapid and may return to fill these gaps.
- The first FVG is around the 0.017000 USDT level.
- The second FVG is around the 0.013500 USDT level.
3. **Order Blocks (OB)**: These are areas of high buying or selling interest, often leading to price reversals.
- Two OB+ (Order Block) areas are noted, correlating with the FVGs.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- **Buyside Liquidity**: This is marked at a higher level, indicating an area where there may be a significant amount of buy orders. The specific levels are marked at 0.029300 USDT and 0.037000 USDT.
5. **Price Projections**:
- **Bullish Scenario**: If the price moves upward, it could aim for the buyside liquidity zones at 0.029300 USDT and then 0.037000 USDT.
- **Bearish Scenario**: If the price declines, it might target the lower OB and FVG areas around 0.013500 USDT.
6. **Volume Analysis**: The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity, with a notable increase during the recent price rise.
7. **50% Shadow**: A level marked as "50% Shadow" which might be an important retracement or equilibrium level.
### Interpretation:
- **Bullish Indicators**: If the price can sustain above the current FVG and OB areas, it may attempt to reach the higher liquidity zones. This bullish scenario is illustrated by the green and black arrows projecting upward movements.
- **Bearish Indicators**: A failure to maintain the current levels could result in the price dropping to fill the lower FVG, supported by the red arrows projecting downward movements.
### Conclusion:
This chart suggests a critical juncture where the price may either move up towards the higher liquidity zones if it can maintain above the current FVG and OB levels or potentially drop to fill the lower FVG if it fails to hold these levels. Monitoring the price action around these key zones and the volume dynamics can provide further insights into the likely direction.
SOLUSD: Snapping Back to $210 | 70.70% Probability!BINANCE:SOLUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days due to its integration with NASDAQ:PYPL
Let's have a technical analysis breakdown:
BINANCE:SOLUSD According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 70.00% chance it could climb back over $210 and beyond, which is pretty much encouraging!
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 8H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
LINKUSD: Rallying Back to $20 | 72.73% Confidence!COINBASE:LINKUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days. It experienced a significant drop in price (-47%), but now it's starting to show signs of a potential rebound and might be heading bullish again.
Here's the breakdown:
COINBASE:LINKUSD price took a major hit over the past 2-3 months and has been consolidating since. According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 72.73% chance it could climb back over $20, which is pretty much encouraging!
This price drop might actually be beneficial as it presents a great opportunity to buy LINK at a lower price.
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like huge up-move candle showing strong positive movements on the daily chart.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 4H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
BTCUSD: The Game of Probabilities | New ATH? 65.28% Chance!Medium-term analysis of COINBASE:BTCUSD indicates that the price is poised to surge towards new all-time highs, with a probability of 65.28%!
Let's get into the underlying reasons for this:
1. The current status on the "1D" timeframe is "Active," indicating that the price has already reached and touched the 50% equilibrium level on the current timeframe.
2. Since the price has reached the equilibrium level of the daily timeframe, our focus now shifts to determining which liquidity side presents higher probabilities compared to the other.
3. In this scenario, the 1D/BSL (Buyside liquidity) indicates a 65.28% probability of the price reaching the 73835.57 level again.
More details:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
My View On AUD/USD Long PositionI am looking forward to long Aussie dollar from the current price zone. My close target will be the recent high at #0.66676 and my long-term target is the buy-side liquidity at #0.68702. The buy is that the price has broken structure to the upside and is currently retracing inside the discount level.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This analysis is only for information purposes. You're responsible for whatever losses you incur.
TRADING FOUNDATION: WHY DOES PRICE MOVE (PART 1 - LIQUIDITY)WHY DOES PRICE MOVE IN THE FOREX MARKET?
A simple answer to this question is... price moves for 2 major reasons
To take liquidity
To fill imbalances or price inefficiencies
I will break this into two parts and discuss Liquidity first.
What is Liquidity in Forex Trading?
Liquidity is the presence of orders at specific prices in the market, ensuring that transactions can take place without disruptions. When traders talk about liquidity, they are usually referring to the resting orders in the market. These orders can be absorbed or targeted by banks and financial institutions (BFIs) to influence the patterns of price movement. Liquidity can be found throughout the market, although certain areas may have higher levels than others. The good news is that it is indeed possible to learn how to identify and recognize liquidity patterns.
Liquidity comprises a variety of orders that gather in the market, including limit orders, stop loss orders, and stop limit orders. These orders come into play when prices reach specific levels of supply or demand in the market. Understanding liquidity is essential in comprehending how prices move.
Why do you need to understand Liquidity?
Liquidity is crucial for predicting price movements. Analyzing liquidity, along with market structure, supply and demand, and order flow, provides insights into potential price directions. It's important to consider liquidity alongside trend analysis and supply and demand to understand market conditions effectively. Highly liquid markets can be manipulated by large banks or institutions, leading to liquidity shortages, price slippage, and poor trade execution. Recognizing liquidity pools during slow sideways price movements is key.
What are the main types of Liquidity in Forex trading?
1. Buy-side liquidity (see chart for example)
Buy-side liquidity refers to the accumulation of orders above a range or high, including buy-stop limits and stop losses placed by sellers and breakout traders. Banks and financial institutions (BFIs) may target these orders to fuel temporary or sustained bullish price movements.
Buy-side liquidity can be divided into 3
a. Relatively equal highs liquidity
b. Previous high liquidity
c. Trendline liquidity
a. Relatively equal highs: This is when the price fails to break a level within a minimum of two tries. When this happens, there is a high tendency that orders will be above that level i.e. stop-losses or buy-stop orders. Due to this, large institutions will target that level to liquidate their orders or fill new orders. see the example below.
b. Previous high: A previous high is the top of a level or range from which a retracement in price started. Every high in the market holds liquidity. Usually not as appealing at the relatively equal highs. see the example below.
c. Trendline: This liquidity setup is usually as appealing as the relatively equal highs as it provides enough liquidity in the market to liquidate orders of large funds or fill in more orders. Anytime you notice a buy-side trendline liquidity building up, expect that price will move radically fast towards it. see example below
2. Sell-side liquidity (see chart for example)
Sell-side liquidity refers to the collection of orders situated below a range or low, including sell-stop limits and stop losses placed by buyers and breakout traders. Banks and financial institutions (BFIs) can target these orders to generate temporary or sustained bearish price movements. Similar to buy-side liquidity, sell-side liquidity serves a crucial role in the market dynamics.
Sell-side liquidity can be divided into 3
a. Relatively equal lows liquidity
b. Previous low liquidity
c. Trendline liquidity
a. Relatively equal lows: This is when the price fails to break a level within a minimum of two tries. When this happens, there is a high tendency that orders will be below that level i.e. stop-losses or sell-stop orders. Due to this, large institutions will target that level to liquidate their orders or fill new orders. see the example below.
b. Previous low: A previous low is simply put at the top of a level or range from which a retracement in price started. Every low in the market holds liquidity. Usually not as appealing at the relatively equal lows. see the example below.
c. Trendline: This liquidity setup is usually as appealing as the relatively equal lows as it provides enough liquidity in the market to liquidate orders of large funds or fill in more orders. Anytime you notice a sell-side trendline liquidity building up, expect that price will move radically fast towards it. see example below
Note : This does not mean you should just trade based on where you see liquidity, you should also do a proper multi-timeframe analysis, and if your narrative aligns with where liquidity is resting, there is a higher chance for it to go there.
I will make a post on the Part 2 - Imbalances.
Ensure to follow so you see what it is and how to make good use of it.
Cheers,
Jabari
FET Sell-Side Liquidty PUMPS UP🤖💹Fetch.ai (FET) is navigating the complex world of cryptocurrency with an intriguing strategy that involves tapping into hidden liquidity, setting the stage for potential growth. 🤖💹
Understanding Buy Side and Sell Side Liquidity
In the world of trading, understanding the dynamics of liquidity is paramount. Two crucial components in this ecosystem are "buy side liquidity" and "sell side liquidity." Let's delve into these concepts:
Buy Side Liquidity: This refers to the willingness of traders and investors to buy a particular asset at a specified price. It represents the demand for the asset.
Sell Side Liquidity: On the other hand, sell side liquidity represents the supply of an asset that market participants are willing to sell at a certain price.
Fetch.ai's Unique Approach
Fetch.ai (FET) has adopted a distinctive approach to utilizing liquidity. It focuses on "sell side liquidity," which means it strategically leverages the supply side of the market to drive its price upwards. This method often involves executing a "sweep of the low."
Sweeping the Low: A Bullish Strategy
When Fetch.ai "sweeps the low," it means that the project is actively targeting available sell side liquidity by making purchases at opportune moments when the price is at lower levels. This strategy creates an upward push, which can lead to increased demand and a subsequent price surge.
Trading Strategy: Capitalizing on Fetch.ai's Tactics
For traders and investors, understanding Fetch.ai's unique liquidity strategy is essential. Keeping an eye on its activity around "sell side liquidity" can provide valuable insights for potential trading opportunities.
Conclusion: Fetch.ai's Unconventional Path to Success
By strategically embracing sell side liquidity, Fetch.ai is rewriting the playbook on how cryptocurrencies can harness market dynamics to their advantage. With its unconventional approach and potential for growth, FET is one to watch closely in the dynamic world of crypto.
🤖 Innovative Strategies | 📊 Liquidity Dynamics | 🚀 Cryptocurrency Trading | 💡 Market Insights
❗See related ideas below❗
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. 💚🚀💚
Swing Trade on SPXNow that I have 2 funded accounts, going to use one for swing trades with around 1-2 lots just cause I'd like to have 1 funded account on a higher TF level. I find Swing Trading 1 account will let me keep my higher TF bias in check or analyzed consistently without choice, and so I am starting it off with this SPX trade.
We've had Equal Highs into a previous FVG around the 50% mark of said FVG. So I am placing a short here. Wicks show the damage done to that liquidity. I'm quite sure we are going to head downward on a daily level toward the next FVG. I have a bearish bias this week as long as we stay below the weekly open.
We are also sitting in Buyside Liquidity while we had pretty good displacement from the downtrend and this displacement has brought us to retest the break in market structure.
TP1 will be at 50% of the FVG, and TP2 will be at the fully closed FVG.
If that were to play out there are some Bullish Order Blocks formed below the FVG, and that would be where I can start to look for a long. Depends on what happens over the next few days.
Looking to stay in this trade to around Friday or Monday; Really depends on the price action. If the trade hits and we react strong off that FVG I will be looking for continuation trades to the bullish first Bullish OB.
My stop is set at the Equal Highs because if we return to those double Equal Highs there is a high probability we break above it a bit. So just trying to keep losses minimal with a bit of wiggle room to those highs. Let's see.
US30 - 25th Aug - Bear or Bull momentum expected?What a week - Us30 stayed within a range majority of the week until yesterday..
If you followed my Analysis posted on Monday you would see that I gave all areas of interest and probability of where the market most likely will go to
Yesterday the Sellzone was triggered(4h flipzone) and we caught the entire move after NYC Market opened. Total 600 ticks, +1,73%, Zero drawdown..
Today is interesting (apologies for the messy charts)
- Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday buyside liquidity swept
- 4hr flipzone respected
- 4hr eq lows taken and 4hr SP taken
- PWL low taken
im expecting the market to close on the Liquidity Gap created and push higher for the correction.
- We may also see price push towards PWL and selloff again
What goes down must come up and vice versa. Powell normally causes this.
Be on the lookout - i will update if my rules are met.
XAUUSD - Bullish momentum or Bull Trap?Yesterdays PMI data came in and most probably busted many accounts. I watch these live videos on socials. Counted at least 18 people with sell orders for gold yesterday...
we can see bullish momentum with gold currently
- Breaking previous highs
- Sweeping lows
- Buyside target
We can also see sell side liquidity, as market is creating higher highs, sellside liq is building..
What's the move? = Sit on your hands and study price action carefully. We not done for this week yet trust that ;)
Those psychological levels are in play..
Follow your rules !