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Nasdaq - This Is Still Not The End Yet!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) cannot resist bearish pressure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past three months, we saw such a harsh correction on the Nasdaq that a lot of people are freaking out entirely. However technicals already told us that something feels wrong and this is the result. If we see another -10% from here, buying the dip will most likely pay off. Levels to watch: $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
6
What on Earth Is a Circuit Breaker?!Every couple of days since April 2nd, everybody's been talking about a stock market halt all day. You're left there trying to Google it so you're not the only person in the group chat who doesn't know what's going on. But actually, nobody else in your group chat knows what's going on either. They're low-key Googling it under the desk. You don't have to know everything in the market to be a "seasoned" trader. What does get disappointing is when people guess instead of providing facts or a direct link to an article about market halts. So, this is your quick-but-detailed-read article/ guide to market halts and circuit breakers. Send it to your friends in that group chat. Why today's dump happened in the first place? More on that later. It's a long story. 🥹 What is a circuit breaker? It's simple: a circuit breaker is a 15 minute OR whole-day market-wide HALT when the market reaches 1 of 3 decline levels. It all depends on the level, how fast the decline is, and potentially other factors that we are not aware of. Keep in mind this is not something we have to deal with often. When does it happen? And what stock does it track? Good question. The halt is triggered following declines in the S&P 500 only . That is: AMEX:SPY SP:SPX $CME_MINI:ES1!. If these level 1 & 2 are reached before 3:25 PM EDT , there is a 15 minute market-wide trading halt. Meaning you cannot enter or exit positions. If level 3 is reached at any time in the day, the entire day's trading will come to an end. Level 1: -7.00% | 15 minute halt Level 2: -13.00% | 15 minute halt Level 3: -20.00% | Entire day halt So when the S&P 500 index reaches -6.98%, be sure a halt is coming very soon at -7.00%. Sure, like today, "they" might pump it and use that as support and prevent a halt (we got very close to -6.35% on CME_MINI:ES1! if I'm not mistaken). But it's good to be vigilant and make sure you're not in any daytrades. Does CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:QQQ CBOT_MINI:YM1! trigger the halt also? No. The halt is only triggered by the S&P 500. The Nasdaq Composite famously moves much more than S&P 500, so a 7% drop in S&P is way more dramatic than a 7% drop in Nasdaq and it's highly likely at -7% in S&P that Nasdaq would be at -8% or -9%. Although, both are undoubtedly decimating for any long positions. Why does this rule exist? This was introduced after Black Monday of 1987 where the market was free falling ( DJ:DJI dropped 22.6%) with no safety stops in place to prevent a market-wide disaster. This prevents further panic selling and massive stop loss raids, and also gives institutional traders time to zoom out and see the bigger picture. How close did we get recently? Today we got within 0.7% of getting a 15 minute halt. See for yourself: And the intraday 15 minute chart: FUN FACT: What if I shorted the top on CME_MINI:ES1! ? Assuming your time machine goes back 24 hours (some time machines only go back 10 years minimum), you'd have booked 1500 ticks at $12.50 per tick. So around $19k per contract. You know that's not too bad. It's almost a Toyota Camry per contract. Do better! 😆 How do I trade this? Do you really have to? Please do not FOMO & catch a falling knife. Trade light. The market is open for the rest of the year. Trade with a stop loss, and remember, if you FOMO'd and bought at -3% just because it's down 3%, you'd have gotten decimated. Use the charts not the % on your screen. 🔥 Hit the follow button for free educational content because knowledge is free. KD out.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by kingdips
1
More downside for BK?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 5 and around the end of Minor wave 3. The overall target bottom for Intermediate wave 5 and simultaneously Primary wave 1 is below Intermediate wave 3's low of 79.2315 from 12 March 2025. A movement extension to target is 78.00738 (114.59%) or 77.3584 (123.607%) and is depicted by the far right levels and percentages. Intermediate wave 3 was 31 trading hours long. The application of Fibonacci percentages to 31 trading hours is displayed by the vertical lines. The green vertical line represents the start of wave 5. The solid yellow line is 31 bars (100% of wave 3's trading hours). 161% and 261% are the light blue dotted lines thereafter. The current target bottom is around midday on 10 April. If we are currently in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5, the target bottoms are 80.2234 (114.59%) or 79.5333 (138.197%) and depicted by the middle levels and percentages. The hourly chart is currently in the middle of signaling wave 3 which likely means we are looking to finish Minor wave 3 with today's close or within the first hour of trading tomorrow. As of the open tomorrow Minor wave 3 would only be 13 hours long which is shorter than wave 1. This likely means Minor wave 5 will be 13 hours or less whenever it begins. I will begin more specific calculations on Primary wave 2's top once we finished Primary wave 1 likely next week. The very preliminary estimate if Primary wave 1 ends around 11:30 on 10 April would have seen Primary wave 1 last 198 trading hours and drop nearly 13.00 points. Primary wave 2 could top around 85.38 around 7 May.
NYSE:BKShort
by StockSignaler
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) 1WTechnical Analysis 1W A breakout from the "falling wedge" could signal potential upside. Key levels: -Support: 94.26 | 77.24 -Resistance: 107.61 | 116.99 | 156.75 Fundamental Analysis -AI Leadership: Baidu continues expanding in AI, cloud computing, and autonomous driving. -Financials: Solid revenue growth but faces regulatory risks in China. -Competition: Strong rivalry with Alibaba and Tencent in AI and cloud services. -Risks: U.S.-China tensions and economic slowdown may impact performance. A breakout above $116.99 could confirm further upside.
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by TotoshkaTrades
NKE Trade Alert – Earnings Shakeout = Huge Opportunity!Nike (NKE) just dropped some earnings news that could pressure the stock in the short term. A price dip = a golden buying opportunity! Smart traders are watching these levels closely. 📉 New Entry Zones: 🔥 68.00 (Buy zone) 🔥 65.00 (STRONG buy) 🔥 60.00 (Deep discount level) 🎯 Profit Targets: ✅ 78.80 📈 (Solid first target) ✅ 82.50 🚀 (Momentum play) ✅ 88.50 💰 (Moonshot!) 💡 Market volatility = trader’s dream. A dip could fuel a massive rebound. Watch for accumulation in the buy zones! 🚀 Ready to catch the bounce? Let’s trade! 💸🔥 #NKE #StockMarket #BuyTheDip 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting with a financial professional before making investment decisions. 🚨
NYSE:NKELong
by Robert_V12
2
BITCOIN (BTC/USD)BTC/USD – Technical Outlook Bias: Bearish BTC/USD has completed the ABCD pattern and is now printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming a shift in market structure to bearish. Price is currently retesting a previous support, now turned resistance. If this level holds, it could open the door for continued downside; with the 68K–50K zone as a potential BTD (buy-the-dip) area. TARGET 1 (78K): A key structural zone. A clean break and close below this level would confirm bearish momentum and increase the likelihood of price falling. TARGET 2 (66K): Likely to act as a magnet; a previous resistance turned support that launched price toward 100K. A return here would retest the foundation of the previous rally to 100k. TARGET 3 (50K): From a fractal and psychological standpoint, double tops often retrace to the origin of the bullish move. In this case, around the 50K zone. Invalidation: A reclaim of 85K–90K would shift bias back to bullish, signalling potential for upside momentum.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by DENCHMON
Use Buy The Dip Like a LynchWhile we can’t say for certain that Merrill Lynch specifically uses VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) in their strategies, one thing is clear: they certainly rely on sophisticated statistical tools and data-driven insights to inform their investment decisions. Merrill Lynch, known for its expertise and successful track record, employs a range of techniques to navigate market fluctuations and identify profitable opportunities. In the fast-paced world of trading, every decision counts. One strategy that has stood the test of time is Buy the Dip (BTD). This approach involves buying assets after they’ve experienced a temporary drop, anticipating that the price will bounce back 📉➡️📈. However, timing the dip correctly can be challenging without accurate data and predictive tools. This article explores how to enhance your Buy the Dip predictions using OHLC Range Map and 4 VWAPs set to Century on TradingView. What is the Buy the Dip Strategy? 🤔 The Buy the Dip (BTD) strategy is simple yet effective. Traders buy an asset after its price has fallen, believing that the dip is temporary and the price will soon rise again 📉➡️📈. The challenge, however, is knowing when the dip is truly an opportunity rather than the start of a longer-term downtrend. This is where data-driven insights come into play. Rather than relying solely on intuition, having the right tools can make all the difference. With the OHLC Range Map, traders can gain a clearer understanding of price action, which helps identify whether a dip is worth buying 💰. Strategies for Predicting Buy the Dip Levels 📍 Spot the Dip Using 4 VWAPS set to Century Spot the Dip Using OHLC Range Map 1. Spot the Dip Using 4 VWAPS set to Century 🎯 Load 4 VWAPs on the chart, and configure them as follow: 1st VWAP: Source - Open, Period - Century 2st VWAP: Source - High, Period - Century 3rd VWAP: Source - Low, Period - Century 4th VWAP: Source - Close, Period - Century When the price approaches key support or resistance zones, such as VWAP bands, particularly for well-established assets like ES, NQ, BTC, NVDA, AAPL, and others, there's a high probability of price reversal. By combining this with price action analysis, you can identify precise entry points for a position with greater accuracy. 2. Spot the Dip Using OHLC Range Map 👀 The OHLC Range Map is a powerful statistical tool designed to plot key Manipulation (M) and Distribution levels over a specific time period. By visualizing these levels, traders can gain insights into market behavior and potential price movements. For example, when analyzing the ES chart, we can observe that the bearish distribution level has already been reached for the next 12 months. This suggests that the market may be poised for a reversal, with the expectation of higher prices in the near future. By identifying these critical levels, traders can anticipate market trends and adjust their strategies accordingly. Key Takeaways 🔍📊 Buy the Dip (BTD): The BTD strategy involves buying assets after a temporary price drop, expecting a price rebound. Enhancing BTD Predictions: Using OHLC Range Map and 4 VWAPs on TradingView improves the accuracy of Buy the Dip predictions. Spotting the Dip with 4 VWAPs: Configuring 4 VWAPs (Open, High, Low, Close) on a chart helps identify key support and resistance zones for potential price reversals. Using the OHLC Range Map: The OHLC Range Map helps pinpoint Manipulation and Distribution levels, aiding in market trend anticipation and timing. Combining Tools for Precision: Integrating the OHLC Range Map and VWAPs with price action analysis allows for more accurate Buy the Dip entry points.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by CandelaCharts
ENA Breaks Downtrend – Is a Rally Incoming?$ENA/USDT 12H chart shows a breakout above the resistance trendline and the 50 EMA, indicating a potential trend reversal. However, the price is currently facing resistance near the previous support-turned-resistance zone. A retest of the trendline breakout is possible before further upside. If the price holds above the trendline and reclaims support, it could confirm a bullish continuation. However, failure to hold may result in a fakeout and further downside. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
1
Understanding Buy The Dip In TradingBuying the dip is a trading strategy where you take advantage of temporary price drops in an overall uptrend. The goal is simple: enter the market at a lower price before it resumes its upward move. It sounds easy, but knowing when and how to do it makes all the difference. In this guide, we’ll explore key setups, ideal market conditions, and smart risk management techniques to help you trade dips like a pro. 🚀 1. Understanding Market Structure 🏗️ Before jumping into a trade, it’s crucial to understand how price moves. A strong uptrend is characterized by higher highs and higher lows—this is where buying dips can be very profitable. But beware: not every drop is a buying opportunity. Some dips are part of a pullback, a temporary retracement before the trend resumes, while others signal a complete reversal—the last thing you want to buy into. Key levels to watch include support zones, Fibonacci retracement levels, and high-volume areas. These zones act as potential turning points where the price is likely to bounce. 2. Proven Setups for Buying the Dip 🎯 🔢 Fibonacci Retracement Support When the price pulls back within a strong trend, it often lands on key Fibonacci levels like 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%. These act as natural support points where buyers step in. If a strong bullish candle appears at one of these levels, it can signal a solid dip-buying opportunity. Combine this with an oversold RSI and rising volume, and you have a strong case for entry. 🎭 Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt) Markets love to shake out weak hands. Sometimes, the price dips below a previous low, triggering stop-loss orders before reversing sharply. This is called a liquidity grab—smart money accumulates positions while retail traders panic. If the price quickly reclaims the level it just broke, it’s a strong buy-the-dip signal. Look for big buy orders, a sharp recovery, and bullish candlesticks to confirm entry. 📊 Anchored VWAP Test Institutions often base their trades around VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), especially when anchored from a significant swing low. When the price revisits this VWAP in a strong uptrend, it’s a potential dip-buying zone. Watch for bounces off VWAP, rising volume, and confluence with other support levels for confirmation. 🔥 Point of Control (POC) Revisit Markets move towards areas of high liquidity. If the price revisits the Point of Control (POC)—the price level where most volume is traded in a range—it often serves as strong support. When price pulls back into the POC and finds buying interest, it’s a great spot to enter. Look for strong reactions, failed attempts to move lower, and confluence with Fibonacci levels. 📏 Previous Range Support A breakout from a trading range is significant, but the price often returns to retest the range high as new support before continuing higher. If this happens on low selling pressure and aligns with moving averages or VWAP, it can be a golden buy-the-dip opportunity. Look for bullish reactions, buying volume, and strong candles off the level. 3. When Buying the Dip Works Best ✅ Not all dips are worth buying. The best setups occur when: The market is in a strong uptrend, making higher highs consistently. 📈 Volume is high, showing that buyers are stepping in. 🔥 Macro conditions support upside movement, like favorable economic news. 📰 4. Risk Management: Protecting Your Capital 🛡️ Even the best traders take losses. What matters is how you manage risk: Set a Stop Loss 🎯: Always place a stop below key support levels. Position Sizing 📊: Never risk more than a small portion of your capital per trade. Have an Exit Plan 🚪: Know where you’ll take profits, whether it's at a resistance level or a trailing stop. Scale In and Out 🎢: Enter gradually instead of all at once, and take profits along the way to lock in gains. Key takeaways 🎤 Buying the dip can be a powerful strategy—when done correctly. The key is patience: wait for strong trends, allow price to reach significant levels, and confirm with volume and momentum. Combine technical analysis with solid risk management, and you’ll improve your chances of success in the markets. Happy trading! 🚀
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
6
NVIDIA Price Rebalance to 132$You most likely already know that most retail traders lose money. With the fear of new cost efficient AI news most people shorted NVIDIA. Whatever the name of the AI and whichever the country it is and however efficient it is, it will still run on hardware and as of now NVIDIA is the biggest hardware maker. This is the chance to buy since price did not go down in a healthy price action. We expect a recovery to equilibrium of the inefficient drop of price at 132$ Please comment any questions you have. Happy and safe trading!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeConfirmed
4
ETH: Sell the Pop, Buy the DipOverall Vibe: We're seeing a bit of a mixed bag here. ETH had a nice run-up, but it's starting to look like it might be running out of steam. The Sell Zone: You've marked a key area around $3,053.38 as a "Sell Zone." This tells me you think there's a good chance we'll see some selling pressure kick in around that level. Smart move to call that out. Potential Dip: If things play out like you expect, you're anticipating a dip down to around $2,622.10, maybe even lower. That's where your "Buy Zone" comes into play. Why This Makes Sense: Looking at the chart, I see a few things that support your analysis: Resistance: The $3,053 area lines up with some previous resistance levels. That's a classic spot for sellers to step in. Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles smooth out the price action and can make it easier to spot trends. I see some red candles forming, which could signal a shift to the downside. Keep in Mind: Market's Gonna Do What It Wants: No chart is 100% accurate. Be ready to adapt if the market throws a curveball. Risk Management is Key: Always have a plan for how you'll manage your risk if the trade goes against you. Overall: Not bad at all! Your analysis is clear and well-reasoned. I like how you've identified key zones and explained your thinking. Keep an eye on those levels and see how it plays out. Disclaimer: I'm just an AI, so this isn't financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trades.
Long
by aminsmithfx
1
Reg Optimism, Implicit Fed Support, & Insti Demand to Boost BTCBitcoin prices surged on President Trump’s inauguration day (Jan 20), reaching an all-time high of USD 109,000. However, since then, prices have stagnated. Recent tariff announcement has driven a sharp selloff. Optimism about a crypto-friendly Trump administration continue to fuel bullish sentiment, but the lack of concrete regulatory guidance has limited near-term momentum. MACRO FACTORS AT PLAY BTC remains below key resistance levels, limiting upward momentum. However, it has outperformed equities in the current macroeconomic environment. While equities faced an AI-driven selloff last week, BTC showed resilience, rebounding quickly from its Jan 24 lows. Additionally, BTC has benefited from market uncertainty, like gold, which is also trading near an all-time high. The recent FOMC meeting initially pressured BTC, as the Fed held rates steady and expressed inflation concerns. However, BTC rebounded 2.4% after Fed Chair Powell clarified that changes in inflation-related language were not intended as a strong signal. Source: CME FedWatch The Federal Reserve’s latest dot plot suggests only two rate cuts in 2025. Market expectations, per the CME FedWatch tool, align with this outlook. While a higher-rate environment limits tailwinds for BTC, bullish sentiment continues, driven by regulatory anticipation and increasing institutional and sovereign adoption. BREAKING DOWN TRUMP’S EXECUTIVE ORDER On Jan 23, President Trump issued an executive order titled "Strengthening American Leadership in Digital Financial Technology." The order emphasizes fostering digital asset growth while maintaining U.S. financial sovereignty, particularly through USD-backed stablecoins. It also protects citizens’ rights to use blockchain networks without government interference. Key provisions include: 1. Creation of a National Economic Council working group on digital assets, chaired by David Sacks. 2. Review of existing regulations within 30–60 days, followed by a report to the President in 180 days. 3. Consideration of a national digital asset reserve while explicitly prohibiting government action on (Central Bank Digital Currency) CBDCs. U.S. BITCOIN RESERVE: REALITY CHECK While the executive order affirms the administration’s pro-crypto stance, it stops short of immediately establishing a national Bitcoin reserve. If approved, the reserve would take shape in at least six months, delaying any near-term impact. The working group may begin by utilizing seized cryptocurrency rather than purchasing new BTC. The U.S. government currently holds 198,000 BTC (~USD 20B, as of Feb 1) and USD 400M in other crypto assets. For context, U.S. strategic reserves include: (a) Gold: 8,133 tonnes (~USD 737B as of 31/Jan), (b) Crude oil: 395M barrels (~USD 28B, as of 24/Jan), and (c) Foreign currency reserves: ~USD 239B (Q3 2024). The U.S. gold reserve accounts for 3.8% of the total above-ground gold stock, while its Bitcoin holdings currently represent just 1% of the total supply. To match the gold reserve proportion, U.S. Bitcoin holdings would need to increase by 554,000 BTC, valued at approximately USD 55 billion at current prices. Over time, a Bitcoin reserve could realistically expand by USD 50 billion to USD 70 billion. Meanwhile, several U.S. states are advancing their own Bitcoin reserve proposals. 15 states are considering BTC-related fiscal policies, with: • Oklahoma, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania proposing 10% public fund allocations • Texas suggesting a donation/tax model • Arizona and Utah advancing legislation beyond committee stages REGULATORY CERTAINTY FOR BANKS Fed Chair Powell recently confirmed that banks can engage with crypto provided they manage associated risks. While this imposes stricter compliance requirements, it provides much-needed clarity following the post-FTX banking shakeout that shuttered major crypto-focussed banks. Fund Flows: Institutional Demand Remains Strong BTC ETFs saw record one-day inflows of over USD 1B on Trump’s inauguration eve. Since then, daily inflows have averaged USD 257M, with only one outflow day (-USD 457M on Jan 27). Cumulative BTC ETF inflows since Jan 20 now total USD 2.3B, pushing assets under management (AUM) to nearly USD 118B. Source: Arkham Intelligence Notably, ETF investors remain highly profitable at current prices. Arkham Intelligence data shows IBIT ETF holders sitting on a 45% gain, which may limit immediate selling but could lead to some profit-taking. MicroStrategy remains a major BTC buyer. The company recently completed a USD 584M perpetual convertible offering to acquire more BTC, potentially fuelling short-term upside. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & TRADE SETUP BTC’s recent pullbacks have ranged from 10.1% to 23.6% Fibonacci levels, like the 2018 bull cycle according to Glassnode . Source: Glassnode The drawdown since reaching ATH on 20/Jan represents a ~13% move which suggests the drawdown is larger than usual ones during this cycle. Historically, this phase of the bull run experiences FOMO-driven price acceleration, though long-term holders’ profit-taking presents a headwind. BTC fell below the 50-day MA over the weekend, this level has served as support recently. The 92k level is also significant as it has provided support several times during recent retracements. However, in case the selloff deepens, the next significant support may be as far as the 100-day MA at 85k. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP BTC has outperformed equities amid macro uncertainty and is increasingly correlated with gold (30-day correlation: 0.67). Recent tariff announcement in the US has driven a sharp selloff. Despite a less-than-ideal FOMC outcome, BTC retains several bullish drivers, supported by Regulatory optimism following Trump’s executive order, Fed Chair Powell’s statements on crypto banking, and Institutional & sovereign demand. The recent selloff offers a tactical opportunity to build long positions during volatile drawdowns. Investors can opt for the following hypothetical trade setup consisting of long position in CME Micro Bitcoin Futures expiring on 28/Feb (MBTG2025). Each contract of MBT provides exposure to 0.1 BTC and requires margin of USD 2,451 as of 31/Jan. • Entry: 94,000 • Target: 100,585 • Stop Loss: 90,000 • Profit at Target: USD 659 ((100,585-94,000) x 0.1 BTC per contract) • Loss at Stop: USD 400 ((90,000-94,000) x 0.1 BTC per contract) • Reward-to-risk Ratio: 1.65x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition starting today. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices. Click here to learn more. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBT1!Long
by mintdotfinance
4
Virtuals Protocol in Freefall Mode, Bounce Next?Virtuals Protocol www.tradingview.com has been in freefall since it cracked $5 a week ago. The good news? Currently Virtual is at $2.70, slowing down for a pit stop at a key support - the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. A strong bounce here (we would want to climb back up past $3) could mean the bulls have taken back control and we might be in for an exciting reversal! If that doesn't happen and the baby bears come correct $2.15 is the next key support level to keep an eye on. Do you think we'll get a second wave? Let us know if you are buying the dip! ............. New video dropping today! Follow us for more timely technicals updates!
CRYPTO:VIRTUALUSDLong
by StonkMarketParty
1