Chubb has been oversold on news. Buy This Dip?I have changed up how to best display projected movement. In the case of CB, 1 of my algorithms signaled a BUY on March 22, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move up, but sometimes it may continue to move down first.
I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the 3 Hour chart after a BUY signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement downward before the stock finally moved upward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement downward, before the stock moved upward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential bottom in this instance.
The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final top.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could rise the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never rise (and the green boxes may never come into play).
All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
Buythedip
Buying Energy dipTechnical Analysis / Trade Setup
There could be a trade coming up next week in energy.
The 50sma has worked as support 2 consecutive times, and could potentially do it again.
This level is also coincidental with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level & 2020 highs; which suggests this support level has more strength.
Backtesting Data
There is a very interesting discrepancy between stocks within the energy sector going on; where most stocks are above the 200sma, byt below their 10sma. --> From 1979 until today, there has only been 12 times where this has happened...
What did it mean going forward?
Energy was up 70% of the time looking a year later, with an average of 27%.
Fundamental Analysis
Bull case for energy:
Oil is priced above the level at which the average company can cover expenses;
Supply has declined with lower production and OPEC compliance;
Large diversified energy companies have strong balance sheets and access to capital;
The ongoing recovery of the global economy bodes well for returning oil demand
Bear case for energy:
Oil demand is still down significantly.
Valuations are opaque.
There is weak long-term stock price momentum.
~ For the full article on sector view, send a message and I will be happy to share the resources I have. ~
Buy when there is blood on the street - bitcoinI believe worst case scenario we might go somewhere between 3-5k in the next few months. This will present you with a nice buying opportunity. As the saying goes: buy when there is blood on the street. The fundamentals have not changed at all, this is just pure fear. Be contrarian!
SFIX Short PutSFIX gap down following disappointing earnings and not-so-bright forecast for the next quarter. Same thing happened with INTC twice over the last year and we saw how it was just an over-reactionary sell-off as it quickly rallied up after a continuation sell-off for a week or so. SFIX's fundamentals are solid assuming that shipping problems don't disrupt the business too much. It will most likely close the gap at around 42. It might also pull down a little bit more, but hopefully it won't go below $34. It gives us a decent range from $34-$42 to accumulate the stock. There is also heavy support around the $41.5 area with both a supply/demand zone along with the 200-day SMA.
Trade Ideas:
Shares: Accumulate between $34-$42 . SL below that if it does continue to fall further, which is unlikely but make sure the SL isn't too close to the bottom support. We should see a push up to $53.75, $65 and $72.5+.
Short Put: Medium Risk: 35 Strike for $0.85-$1 Cr. Aggressive: 40 Strike for $1.65 Cr. This can help you reduce your cost basis by at least $0.85 to $1.65 per share if you do get assigned. If you don't get assigned or the stock never dips that low, you get to keep the premium. It also only requires $385/$425 Buying Power which should yield a nice 22%/38% max ROC.
In either case, assuming you have at least 1 lot of shares, you can always sell 70%-80% OTM covered calls for more passive income while your stock appreciates.
DASH, Will the Downtrend ContinueDASH is in a solid downtrend right now. Buy the dip!! I think this stock will recover very well. Good luck.
Clover Health Continues To Track The Broader Market Very CloselySince the market started selling-off late February due to disturbance in the bond market, the movements of $CLOV has since been mirroring the direction of the overall market relatively tightly. With the closing of the market earlier today after a considerably sideway and mixed trading day, S&P 500 rose by 0.60%, NASDAQ fell by 0.04%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.46%. Similarly, $CLOV also had a relatively mixed trading day, showing green for the first half of the trading session, and later closing slightly red on the second half. These movements can be attributed to the general market condition as well, where during the first half of the trading session, the release of bullish CPI data edged the market higher, while a relatively average and within expectations $38 billion 10-year notes auction brought the action back down to trade relatively sideway.
I expect $CLOV to continue tracking the overall direction of the market closely, at least for tomorrow, where we await for the result of a $24 billion sale of 30-year bond that can potentially move the market significantly in either direction, should anything unexpected occur.
Regardless, it is good to note that on a technical perspective, $CLOV is approaching some key trading area that we need to take note of.
We are currently resting just below the dynamic resistance formed by the bottom of the previous bearish channel that were trading in before this bond-induced market correction. While we may have already rejected this area once (likely due to the broader market movement as mentioned above), if we are able to break back into the bearish channel, our next target would be the next Fibonacci resistance and the top of the aforementioned bearish channel at around $9.92. However, if we fail to break back into it, we could be looking at a re-test of $7.78 or even $6.67. As such, tomorrow's trading session will likely be a very important one as it will give us an indication of where we are headed short-term.
Invest safe.
This is not investment advice so please do your own due diligence!
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Re-entry after bullish run on FridayRecent pull-back in NASDAQ from all time highs has exceeded 10% driven by falling treasury bond prices.
Friday saw an end of week rally into close. This morning saw another sell-off through the Asian session presenting an attractive re-entry opportunity.
U reach the dip ?!Fundamental:
U has a very good fundamental as ARK Invest keeps collect on the first day of the sharp drop.
I believe ARK will keep collecting the ticker as the fundamental is still there.
The gaming sector will keep growing especially everyone stay at home.
-Stochastic showing oversold which warren buffet once said that it is wise for investors to be
“fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
Technical Analysis:
1. head and shoulder: after breaking the neckline they will meet the same portion at the support which is 110
2. Fibo 50 is supporting at 120
3. Divergence of Stochastic is showing higher low
I will make a collection of those 2 entries with convincing for long investment, plan to hold for months
**Disclaimer: Buy at your own risk!
Clover Health Rallies Despite An Early Sell-off Into A $6.31 LowThe movement of $CLOV continues to mirror the condition of the overall market. Today, the tech-led sell-off took a pause, with S&P 500 rising by 1.95% and NASDAQ Composite rising by 1.55%. Similarly, Clover Health ended higher by 7.54%, closing above the previous day's close.
Going into next week, I expect $CLOV performance to continue reflecting the overall market condition. Nevertheless, these are some notable resistance and support area that you should take note next week, with key areas highlighted in Bold:
Psychological resistance: $8.00 , $8.50 , $9.00
Psychological support: $7.50, $7.00, $6.50 , $6.00
Fibonacci resistance: $9.92
Fibonacci support: $7.78, $6.67 , $5.07
Dynamic resistance: Bottom of the previous bearish channel that we were trading in before this market correction ( ~$8.50 )
Dynamic support: Top of the very tight bearish channel that we just broke out of (~$7.10)
Once this correction is over, I expect $CLOV to emerge as one of the winners.
Invest safe.
This is not investment advice so please do your own due diligence!
Support this idea with likes and share your thoughts below.
PTON trend bounce?Looks like PTON is primed and ready for a solid trend line bounce, we bounced off oversold levels on the RSI, showed now weakness in the A/D, and we are also sitting a sold Fib levels which i lay out in the video. Overall i think this is a great dip to buy here for PTON NASDAQ:PTON
BTCUSD - Buy the dip?I saw an area of confluence at around $40k - $42k. As you can see, the 161.8% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement also the 55 daily EMA is currently sitting in that area. When the price reaches that area, there's a high probability that the price would rebound. So the $40k - $42k level is considered as a pretty good buy area. But there's also a probability that the price would go through that buy area and bounce off from the 21 weekly EMA (147 daily EMA).