Trade Alert - Long SolanaTraders,
Solana has hit it’s previous inverse H&S neckline for a classic retest and should bounce soon provided BTC maintains its position above 25,300 tomorrow.
Position = SOL
Direction = long
Entry = 14.47
Stop Loss = 12.88
Take Profit(s) = 200 ma/19.61-19.65
Risk/Reward = 3.37/1
Best,
Stew
Buythedip
Trade Alert - Long BitcoinTraders,
Admittedly, taking another risky trade here. But after (3) three long months of waiting, Bitcoin has finally hit my projected neckline retest and I had to take this trade:
Position = BTC
Direction = long
Entry = 25073
Stop Loss = 23400
Take Profit(s) = 30500
Risk/Reward = 3/1
Best,
Stew
Bitcoin Forecast Sunny🌞 (Confidence: 0.98 )🌤️ Good news for Bitcoin investors! Based on the past hour's data, the weather in the Bitcoin world looks sunny ☀️. The cryptocurrency's price opened at 26302 and reached a high of 26387, with a low of 26254. This suggests a stable and positive trend in the market. The trading volume is also relatively high, indicating strong investor interest.
📈 Additionally, the EMA indicators (9, 21, 50, 100, and 200) are all showing an upward trend, with the EMA200 being the highest at 27729. This signals a potential long-term positive outlook for the cryptocurrency.
📉 However, it is important to note that the RSI value is low at 33, indicating that Bitcoin may be oversold. This could mean a possible price correction in the near future. The MACD value of -314 is also negative, which could indicate a bearish trend.
Overall, the sunny forecast 🌤️ is based on the positive trend seen in the majority of the indicators, with the caveat that investors should keep a close eye on the RSI and MACD values for any potential changes in the market.
Post-Fed Update: Ignore Fed RedWe likely just finished Minor wave 2 with the low today or if another low is reached shortly after the open. The prior low at 4049 is the level to watch. A drop below this would likely place us on my prior analysis PATH TWO and continue Intermediate wave 2.
Intermediate wave 3 still remains the likely location and the drop today would have been the Minute wave C we needed to finish Minor wave 2. As of now, strongest model agreement has Minor wave 3 lasting 6 days with next strongest models at 4 days. For waves ending in C33, first quartile move extension would be 150.48% of Minor wave 1, with the median move at 202% and third quartile at 396.60%. There is a horizontal trendline just above 202% so the end of wave three will likely remain below 4330. The drop today presents plenty of ground to be gained starting tomorrow.
The overall end of Intermediate wave 3 could occur sometime before the final week in May. Right now the final market top appears on track for mid-June so a debt ceiling issue by June 1 may not be likely....yet.
I should provide another update around the middle of next week if not one over the weekend.
MATICUSDT Potential Bullish BreakoutMATIC is currently approaching a crucial Fibonacci level that aligns with a trendline created by higher lows. This price range has seen MOST of the recent trading activity, as shown on the chart. Therefore, there is a possibility for a bullish breakout in the near future, especially after the markets close on the weekend. The trading idea suggests buying Matic on Friday and selling it on Monday, as the weekend closure may trigger positive market sentiment and a potential price increase. However, it's important to monitor the price action and adjust the trading plan accordingly to manage the risk.
BTC/USDT Is comeback possible?BTC just bounced on bottom trend line for 3rd time and apparently it is retreating quite strong. Of course, breaking trendline and dip even further is possible, but is bullish triangle comeback is possible? If bulls pull this off, it could be really huge for crypto market. Wish you the best!
Nano (xno) where are you going? Risk reward 4.4For a long time, the asset is in the accumulation stage, and on the daily timeframe, you can see the resulting double bottom. If the resistance zone is broken through and the asset is fixed above 0.935, I expect growth to the area of $1.3
This is not a financial recommendation, everything you do you do at your own peril and risk.
HOW TO BUY THE DIP- What is considered the bottom for a coin?
- How to identify the bottom?
- What technical analysis tools to use?
- What are the fundamental prerequisites for the bottom?
What is the bottom for a crypto asset?
The bottom is the lowest price level of a crypto asset, after which the price of this asset is expected to rise.
The bottom is not always an absolute measure for the entire history of the existence of an asset, but can be calculated for a certain period: a year, a quarter or a month.
How to identify the bottom
Each trader has his own set of tools to determine when to buy an asset.
Here are some of the most clearest signs to each of us:
There is a protracted flat with the upper border breakdowns
The movement occurs in a strong support zone and is accompanied by high volumes
The order book contains big bid checks
Good news on the market or the project
The price is lower than the sale price (ICO, IEO, IDO etc.)
The bottom we search for is not a new all-time bottom
Protracted flat with the upper border breakout
If you observe that for a long time: 2 weeks, 1 month, - the price is at the same level, while occasionally trying to “break out” up, that is, the resistance line is broken, then this is in 90% of cases - the impulse to the rapid growth of prices.
However, if the breakout is more often than just the support level, then get ready to test a new bottom.
Strong support zone and high side volumes
Determine that there is a strong support zone at this level, that is, it met more than 3 times on the chart for the period under study and is supported by good horizontal volumes (Volume indicator).
Display the VPVR (Volume Profile Visible Range) indicator on the same period on the screen and evaluate whether the maximum vertical volumes for the selected period are at this level.
Big average checks
If you observe volumes above average with a “small” candle body, then there are purchases at the same price for a large amount.
This may indicate "big checks" or high market density.
To confirm the existence of “big checks”, you can refer to the order book and make sure that there are real bid orders for large amounts.
Fundamental prerequisites
As an extra springboard from the bottom, news resources can:
Issue positive analytics from experts on this asset
Record the activity of major players - funds
Report new technologies that have been released or are about to be released by the project
Share the conditions for large investments in the project by large funds, etc.
Price analysis for IDO, ICO and Private Sale
If the project token or coin appeared on the market following one of the popular types of crowdfunding: ICO, IEO or IDO, the most popular one, then you need to compare the Public Sale price with the current price.
If the current price is below the Public Sale price of the IDO, then you can put this in another checkbox on your checklist as a sign of a potential bottom.
If the IDO price was lower, then this is not a bottom, there are still a large number of investors on the market who bought the coin at a lower price, which means they can sell it cheaper.
Our bottom is not a new all-time bottom
As we noted earlier, a support line is formed at the level of the potential bottom.
If the price has never dropped so low in the history of the asset, then we cannot build a support zone, which means that the price can go even lower and find many new bottoms.
BTCUSD: The bottom is in! 🚀The Indicator Pi Cycle was been very accurate in the past. It has been quite effective in determining tops and bottoms. About Pi Cycle Indikator TOP: It uses the cross of 111 day SMA and 350x2 day SMA. About Pi Cycle Indikator BOTTOM: It uses the cross of 150 day SMA and 471x0.745 day EMA. And the RSI is below 50, which is also a clear bottom signal imo.
My recommendation as always: Buy the dips and hodl. 😀
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Let's see what happens.
Happy trading.
BTCINVESTING
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My Post Apr 17, 2021 "BTCUSD: Whats about PiCycle? A bearish signal?"
My Post Dec 15, 2021 "BTCUSD: Difference - Bearish Downtrend | Bullish Accumulation"
My Post Apr 15, 2019 (3 year ago!). I was one of the first btw. ;-)
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FOOLS RALLY! $doge down!DOGE has had its peak! it will have a fools rally and then drop! I AGREE WITH BUY THE DIP; but buy the right dip! NO one wants expired CHIP DIP!
The market cycle psychology chart tells me that this is entering to a fools rally next then a downtrend that is harsh! AFTER IT PLUMMETS to below 0.133USDT I will not be buying the dip! THE DIP IS IN THE 0.12-0.133 range . I will be gradually accumulating my position and keep in mind the coins that are tied to the trends, such as $ELON and $DC. $DC might be able to separate from this trend. BUT $ELON I don't think will run independently on its on momentum. DOGECHAIN will be interesting to see what hype is generated from releases on the chain. Its going to be a great year! 2023! Happy trading and don't get greedy or panic!
*This is my personal thought and not financial advice! I am not endorsing cryptocurrency and there are risks with investing. Always do you own research! #DYOR*
-Cryptonightowl
Sticking to stop loss is a must to do when ((BUYING the DIP))Opening a position without setting a stop loss is a big mistake and it can be disastrous when buying the dip !
Here, we show a tempting setup to open a long position in rectangle (1) . It is of course OK to go long in this setup in the hope of catching possible up coming up going wave shown in green. But without setting a stop loss? Not at all ! Followings are just two simple possible scenario which may happen:
Rectangle (2) shows a scenario which may happen if lucky. Although it will bring us profit, believe me it bothers all the traders a lot emotionally. Lots of hopes and fears which makes us nervous. This not only ruin our current trade but also has a powerful negative impact on our next trades.
Rectangle (3) shows a terrifying scenario which can whip out all our capital ! Please keep it in mind that " Preserving capital is a first rule of trading ". If you think this is an unrealistic scenario just take a look at ETSY, SHOP, SQ and ROKU.
Be aware my friends : what we consider a possible abc form of correction can just be waves 1,2 and 3 of a larger degree wave 1 or A . This concept is shown on the rectangle (3) scenario. It is worth to note what is labeled as wave 1 or A in this rectangle is not end of down side move .There will be another at least same size down side move after a wave 2 or B counter trend correction. See the charts carefully to find out what is next after waves 1 or A.
There are 4 major rules in trading :
1. preserving the capital
2. preserving the capital
3. preserving the capital and if successful then:
4. making profit.
Hope to be helpful and good luck.
Realty Income Corp Set To Move Up Prior To Inflation ReportBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 23, 2022 with a closing price of 61.81.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 63.129999999999995 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.728% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.7065% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.6685% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 15.5 trading bars; half occur within 28.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33.5 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
EAT THE DIPI just bought more #Antex
Antex will explode later this year
#Antex listed on: Houbi, Hotbit, MEXC, Bibox, ZT exchange, PCS , etc
Check it now
TCDA ready to go up - 1 year investmentMy first idea. ☺
TCDA is my long term investment. Within few month I will expect 7$ or more. But I plan to hold it about few years until it reach to 40$ (min 27$). In reality I didn't put stop loss. I pt risk to reward tool for calculation.
Any investment within 1 year will bring some profit but BUY at your own risk.
Do not use leverage.
Let's see.
TWE.ASX - FUNCHARTS - Does Corn Really Lead Treasury Wines?Note: Funcharts are interesting charts I have found that offer a potentially unique perspective on a stock. Sometimes I’ll throw something out there that you might find controversial or wrong headed. If that’s the case your 2 cents worth is most welcome.
The blue line in the graph above is corn (futures) projected forward, now why on earth would corn lead the Treasury Wines share price? While I let you ponder the answer to that the correlation between a projected forward corn price and TWE has been relatively high through history at approximately 30%, simply scroll back through the chart and you can see for yourself that corn has a pretty good track record of leading TWE.
Now that we have a projection of sorts the next step would be to conjure up a trade based on this intermarket relationship (if it truly does indeed exist).
Let me draw your attention to the system on screen, it is a reverse of the Supertrend STRATEGY (Inputs: ATR Length, 3, Factor 1.5) where it buys the short term dips and sells the short term rallies. An analysis of performance shows that TWE is a very choppy stock. To see performance scroll down to the bottom of the chart and make sure Supertrend STRATEGY is showing. Now the next trick is to view the Performance Summary (not overview) where is breaks down the performance of long trades v short trades.
An analysis of long trades shows buying dips was highly profitable with a profit factor above 2 and a high percentage of winning trades. With this evidence the way I would trade TWE is to use Corn, or seasonal analysis or similar to obtain a bullish bias and then look to buy into a pull back on TWE. Once set I would then look to sell the position once the stock reached an overbought level. Stop Losses are a little difficult to set on a mean reversion strategy as theoretically the bigger the pull back the better the opportunity but I would suggest a fairly wide stop level of around 10-15% of the stock price as an emergency stop in case the trades really goes wrong.
The question you're obviously asking is should I get long now? In my opinion awaiting a pull back is probably the best strategy, you could use a stochastic or RSI indicator (or any oscillator) for that matter and look to enter during oversold zones and close out during an overbought period.
BHP - FUNCHARTS: Should we buy the dip?Note: Funcharts are interesting charts I have found that offer a potentially unique perspective on a stock. Sometimes I’ll throw something out there that you might find controversial or wrong headed. If that’s the case your 2 cents worth is most welcome.
BHP has sure been belted, but should we catch a falling knife?
- Let's take a basic look at BHP using a very short term strategy. It involves using a strategy called Supertrend Strategy with a 3 period ATR input and an ATR length of 1.5 times.
- Firstly, I've flipped it upside down, so we get a buy signal when the trend changes to down and a sell signal when the trend changes to UP
- Now, next step, Applying this strategy to BHP, take a look at the performance report for Long Trades and Short Trades using the Performance report TAB. Long Trades Buy the Dip , Short Trades Sell the Rally
- Looking at Long Trades, 66% of the time it was profitable to Buy a short term dip on BHP and wait for the trend to change back to up, after which you exited the long position. The profit fact was 1.77. No stop was used in the analysis.
- It was also marginally profitable to sell short term uptrends in BHP, meaning trend of less than 30 days didn't persist all that often.
- What's the verdict? Buying short term weakness in BHP and selling short term strength has made money in the past. BHP is typically a very choppy stock.
I hear what you're saying, you'd like to know if buying the current dip we are in will result in a profit? Based on this analysis BHP will usually stage some sort of rally in a downtrend and you would have make money 66% of the time historically. But looking at external analysis I'm not overly confident just yet.
When I'd like to get in. Take a look at the blue histogram on the chart, if it goes below -10, I'd expect the odds to be pretty good for a rally of at least a few days, if not more. That means any further (significant) downside could be an opportunity for a countertrend mean reversion play. It'll be a day where there is blood on the streets for BHP.