EUR/GBP: PAT + VPA 11/2/2024Good morning,
I will be closely observing the EUR/GBP currency pair on a daily basis, as I expect a bullish pullback or reversal to materialize in the forthcoming weeks.
- 1W / Weekly Analysis: The market has recently dipped to a low of 0.839, with current support established at 0.832. The price has tested the 0.832 level multiple times without breaching it, suggesting a diminished appetite for selling at this juncture. Additionally, the presence of significant wicks accompanied by relatively smaller bodies may indicate a potential selling climax.
- 1D / Daily Analysis: The daily time frame reveals the formation of a double bottom pattern at the weekly support level of 0.0832. Presently, the price is retesting the recent swing high of 0.84, which represents the latest peak. The price has demonstrated its capacity to remain above the 0.84 threshold, and I anticipate a continued upward movement towards 0.846 in the upcoming weeks.
OANDA:EURGBP
XETR:DAX
TVC:BXY
ThePipAssassin
BXY
GBPUSD 31/4/24GU giving us another pretty simple view on price here, bearish across the board which is telling us 2 things, a new low is likely to be created soon or we will pullback before we put in this new low!
so it gives us 2 ideas of what we want to see, firstly we sell off from the BOS on the hourly timeframe and we put in a new low before we have any kind of bullish PA overall that would mean dropping off from where we closed on Friday. the second option for us is price to pullback and give a higher zone for entry into the new low, this would of course be the nest pace to sell from but i am not banking on it happening.
Main view is put in a new low and follow the higher timeframe bearish PA!
Trade safe and follow your rules!
GBPUSD → Favorable environment for further growth FX:GBPUSD is forging a correction within the local range after a retest of trend resistance. Most likely, a "flag" pattern is forming, which implies further trend continuation.
On D1 we see that the price is overcoming the downside resistance and consolidating above the key support at 1.26525. The next year may start with the strengthening of the pound sterling on the back of favorable fundamental environment regarding the TVC:DXY , which intends to decline.
From a TA perspective, the currency pair may form two scenarios:
Breakout of the flag resistance, price consolidation above 1.2715 and growth towards the target.
Continuation of correction to support, further rebound and growth to the target
Support levels: 1.2615, 1.2506
Resistance levels: 1.2715, 1.2784
The global trend will continue but after a small technical correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD 22/10/23Starting our week off with GU, from last week we had a very bullish out to our week and overall we stay within out bearish higher time frame moves, as it stands we would like to see our high tapped into for the bullish swing range we are on to be fulfilled, keeping in mind we are mainly running major lows, coming into our first session of this week iam looking to our liquid high (21700) i may look for an early short from here to run the EQ lows just under market close.
due to news from the weekend i wouldn't be surprised if we see gap open on our USD pairs.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
BXY, Important, Crucial BEAR-Fractals, Setup of a Next Wave!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of the BXY. Within recent times there are major factors moving the BXY as the inflationary pressures within the BXY are still increasing paired with a historically high interest rate of 5.25% that was seen the last time during the financial crisis of 2008 this is already indicating a high bearish sentiment dynamic that should not be underestimated in any cases.
Also, a major stagnation within the BXY is ongoing with YoY productivity stagnating and not forming any new highs. These factors are determining an increased private sector debt demand that is near an all-time high. These high levels of private sector debt demand have been seen the last time in the financial crisis of 2008 similarly to the high interest rates. The high private sector debt demand is accelerating the bearish momentum for the BXY.
Considering the underlying chart dynamics the BXY is still trading within this enormous gigantic descending channel formation in which it has a major supply distribution channel within the upper boundaries. This supply distribution channel has been already the origin of the major bearish wave A accelerating towards the bearish direction. Exactly the same bearish fractal is setting up now once again as the BXY is pulling back off the upper resistance boundaries.
Furthermore, the BXY has already completed the massive ascending triangle formation with a substantial breakout below the lower boundary completing the whole ascending triangle formation and accelerating the bearish confirmation and continuation dynamics. Now, the BXY already activated the target zone of 115 with the completion of this gigantic ascending triangle formation once this target zone has been reached there is a high potential for further continuation.
Taking these factors into perspective, the BXY is completing two major bearish formations here, and especially with the bearish distribution channel breakout to emerge in the next times this is going to activate the next targets within the lower boundary regions of the gigantic descending channel formation to form a paramount new lower low within this whole chart. An increased interest rate together with an accelerated private sector debt demand moving to all-time highs lastly seen in the financial crisis of 2008 are going to increase the bearish dynamics.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of BXY. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
💱EURGBP - False breakdown. Double top EURGBP made an unsuccessful attempt to break through resistance on the background of weakening pound sterling. A false breakout in the double top format is forming.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout of range resistance may bring the price back to support
2) The liquidity target area is around 0.85600.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A move back inside the range is forming.
2) Price may form a retest of 0.8659 resistance before further decline
3) False breakout in the double top format is quite a strong set-up. In the long term we should expect a fall to 0.86076 and then to 0.85650.
Key support📉: 0.8630
Key resistance📈: 0.8660
GBPUSD → UK bear market set to weaken further FX:GBPUSD enters a new range amid a global reversal pattern, as evidenced by the breakout of a strong liquidity area and the 200-day moving average
At this stage it is difficult to talk about the strengthening of the price. The currency pair overcomes the mark of 1.24500-1.24000 and enters a new medium-term range, within which the pound can reach 1.20000. This movement can only be broken by strong fundamentals, such as the FOMC & FED press release today at 18:00 GMT . There is not much chance as the CPI (YoY) GBP showed a 0.1 point decline in the index and 0.3 points decline against expectations. The market is weak. From the technical analysis point of view, a small correction may now follow before a further break of 1.23725 and 1.23000 support and further decline to stronger support areas - these could be 1.22500, 1.22000 and 1.20100 area
Resistance levels: 1.2458
Support levels: 1.23725, 1.2309
The market gives us medium-term preconditions for further decline, the fundamental factor of GBP market is now on the side of bears, it is necessary to wait for data from FOMC
FX:GBPUSD TVC:DXY TVC:BXY
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Pound Sterling correction on the fundamental backgroundFX:GBPJPY is forming an attempt to change the trend. The market on the background of the fundamental component related to inflation and the UK interest rate breaks the support of the ascending price channel and fixes in the red zone
The currency pair is forming consolidation and following the weakening of the Pound Sterling is heading downwards. From the point of view of technical analysis - the main potential target in the medium term is the support at 177.4 - the extreme point of the shakeout before the last rise.
Most likely, when the Central Bank of Great Britain announced the halt of rate hikes and further rate cuts, the currency started to form a correction after the tight policy.
After breaking the support, a correction to the previously broken boundary is formed on the chart and the currency pair consolidates for further decline. In the long term, I expect a medium-term decline in the price to the specified target.
Support levels: 181.2
Resistance levels: 181.96
The medium-term target is indicated on the chart. Fundamental and technical analysis indicate further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD 10/9/23GU we have a nice counter and a trend setup here with this pair, as a whole we need to look towards our open to tell us if we can trade these moves, short term bullish, long term bearish but of course as mentioned in our earlier mark up we aren't really that clear with our corresponding pairs for example USD is looking like we might be bullish within some pairs and bearish within others, keeping this in mind at our open and within our first Monday sessions.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPNZD 3/9/23Another move giving us a bias due to news, now of course we are already looking at this with a sell side in mind now we have a range we are looking to get a tap in to follow said direction.
We have a refined 3 min POI for this swing so as we said about USDJPY we are going to follow but with a more refined and less exposed entry method.
high levels of liquid have been built on both sides of the market including above structure which will give price a nice reason to push back to our entry zone.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPJPY 30/7/23Here we have British pounds to the Japanese yen with a nice break to the upside showing clear momentum behind this movement the POI that we are looking at is the POI that presents itself during the break between the high volume of London and the high volume of New York we are looking for this to take us higher out of the current range that we are sitting in, of course as always if we break lower we will follow the bearish bias but last week British pound the Japanese yen played very nicely and was very efficient with our overall range movements!
GBPUSD H4 - Long SignalGBPUSD H4 - If price starts to hold up at current price (618 fib support), we could start to see the next bullish leg come into play here, although this wouldn't be our preferred buy zone, it may be the price we start to reverse at. Preferred buy zone lays on our H4 trading price of 1.22762, which is also marked. Both entries, would be targeting the previous high price of 1.24300, which offers a 3.7R and 5.7R setup. A bullish H4 close here (27 minutes left) would be great.
GOING SHORT IN GBPJPY BY TRADING STRATEGYBearish Indications (BIASED SHORT)
1. Bearish Flag Formation and it breaks its support line as well
2. BXY is in a Bearish/Sideways Trend
3. JXY is in Bullish Trend
4. Broken flag support trend line
Bullish Indications
1. Currently Price is at its major support level in Higher TFs
Neutral Indications
1. No divergence was found as RSI and the chart is in sync
GOING LONG IN GBPUSD | Trading StrategyBullish Indications (BIASED: LONG)
1. Higher Highs and Lows
2. Tweezer Bottom is found on Green Support Line
3. Price gives significance of 0.236 fib level as well as Higher TF Support
4. GBP Index is Bullish & DXY is Bearish
5. The previous 3 December was bullish
6. Bullish Divergence on 1H and 2H TF
Bearish Indications
1. Break Trendline
2. Red candle is forming on 1M TF