Beyond Meat is dangerous I am not playing BYND, there are far too many people who lost money shorting this. They might be coming back for some more beating...
On the other hand, do you actually believe BYND shares are worth more than $200 ?
The option straddle is pricing a 20% move on earnings reported today (Monday 29th) after close. I think it might change even more. Specially on a downside.
* Set your limits and know how much you are willing to lose if this don't go your way!
Also remember, your limits will NOT apply on the price changing outside regular hours.
BYND
The ship is sinking for BYND!As we can see on the current candle already, BYND has a strong downward pressure ahead of its earnings today. The SEC just passed the 201 uptick rule for short sale restriction on the stock, further diminishing the supply of borrowed stock, as demand rockets. We expect the stock to rise a bit higher intraday and then to fall heavily downwards after profit-taking in the aftermarkets today. The long-term trend still indicates further upside however.
BYND is a BUY with a $300 Price Target before September!!!NASDAQ:BYND is the hottest thing in food right now and for many reasons....it tastes like an actual burger. I've never tried their other products but the Beyond Burger is very tasty. The new deal they inked with NYSE:APRN is very strategic and I believe a true winner for both companies.
Yes, I am BULLISH NYSE:APRN as well and think it will be purchased by NASDAQ:BYND for $500M---5x from current market cap.
NASDAQ:BYND will own the majority of the vegan meat space because of the strong branding i larger distribution network.
Going forward with the NYSE:APRN deal--- NASDAQ:BYND will sell more direct to consumer and get vegan meat to consumers at a cheaper price ---increasing demand and revenue. Grocers mark up the product 100% so this deal will allow NASDAQ:BYND to increase margins while selling the product to consumers for cheaper.
Thank you for reading,
Best,
A
BYND supported by bullish trendline, short squeeze is imminent 1) Uptrend is supported by bullish trend line. If the trend line is maintained, expect the price to be $182 minimum by 7/19/2019.
2) $159 resistance was broken at market open 7/10/2019. Next major resistance point seems to be at $165.
3) Higher stock price and increasing borrow rates is causing a short squeeze which can skyrocket the stock to ~$220.
Credit to u/MikeThePutz on reddit for the following information: S3 is reporting that: "BYND short interest is $885 mm; 5.61 mm shares shorted; 47.88% of float; 142% borrow fee & new borrows at over 300% fee. There is very little left to borrow & recalls are still hitting the street." Additionally, his calls to brokers have revealed increasing borrow rates which are key to triggering a massive short squeeze: "In my calls to brokers I have found borrow rates creeping up from 106% on Friday, to 126% on Monday to 153% yesterday (with a range of 106-197% yesterday)."
Entry 1/2Crowd Strike, although an incredible company that is rapidly growing, is a complete rip off right now. If you multiplied the total Class A and B shares by $ 70.00 high you would get a valuation of $14,135,982,257. This is obviously outrageous, even by historically low-interest rates/Trump Bull Run standards.
You can imagine the typical reaction you’d get if you said this to somebody who bought it; “It doesn’t matter, it’s a great company, just buy and hold and all those wrinkles will eventually flatten themselves out”. Think about it this way, a Mercedes Benz is a great car, but is it worth $10 000 000? Of course not. Please, wait for this company to come back down to reality before you jump over the deep end.
60% of the fully diluted outstanding shares are owned by 3 entities…That should ring some alarm bells. Once those shares start freely trading, the price will probably tank. Not good for the average mom and pop investor, that’s for sure. With only 18 000 000 Class A shares, the addition of 178 688 971 new shares would result in almost 90% dilution in the secondary markets…
Okay, brace yourselves people, we are going to do something that might seem rather unconventional; we are going to divide the total additional paid in capital prior to this offering by the total Class B stock…………
$493 000 000
Divided by 178 688 97
EQUALS…………..$2.75!!!
Let’s do some more fun little math problems. What was the closing price today? 64? Okay, let’s divide 64 by 2.75.
What do you get?
23.2727272727. That means the average gain on the Class B shares, if they were sold today, would be 2327.272727%!!!!!
Now that’s not completely fair. Yes, the average price is $2.75, but, the Series A-1 shares were priced at 50 cents, which is a bit of an outlier compared to the rest of the preferred shares. The image below is a table of each class of redeemable preferred stock
Lets us, just for fun, see what the implied profit would be for each letter in this varied alphabet of stock
The A’s………………………………. 12900% in profits
For the B’s………………………………………4571%
And for the C’s! 1422% in gains!!
Starting to understand why this valuation is ridiculous?
Okay, now let’s take a look at the book value. Even though this isn’t as relevant to this company since most of the value is intangible (i.e., people, know-how, intellectual property), it still sheds light on the extreme amount of dilution one would face if they were to buy this stock at the current price.
Pro Forma dilution is $30?….on a $34.00 stock?…….Makes sense. In order for profit margins like this to occur, almost always, there has to be a counter-party who loses big time, or else where is all this profit going to come from, especially when it is obtained without the receiver of these profits lifting so much as finger, as is the case here with Warburg Pincus, Accel, and “Capital G” (formerly Google Capital 2016, L.P…. so Google)
At least they warn us. A small remnant that is still remaining from the blue sky’s laws created way back following the Great Crash of 1929. Can you imagine the theatrics that went on back then?!
Gross profits of $162 million. That’s a pretty penny, right? Not so fast. The valuation of the company is 14 billion remember? Like we said before, we go against the grain here, do things others don’t do, so we are going to calculate how long it would take to break even if you were to buy the stock right now. …………….Here comes the magic people. Are you ready for this?
14 billion………………………………………………………………………………..
divided by…………………………………………………………………………………….
162 million………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
…………………………………………………………………………..
…………………………………………………………………………………….Equals
86 YEARS!!!!! Yes!!! Just a little over the average life span for an American Citizen. Think about it. If you bought a business that was priced 86 times higher then its yearly earnings, how long is it going to take to pay it back? 86 years right?
You see, it’s not that hard to understand. None of this is. Finance is very simple; it’s 2 + 2 =4, not rocket science. It’s just the people who control the industry; the bankers, the lawyers, stockbrokers, the fund managers; they all like to guard their knowledge, just like in any profession, so they use all this bullshit lingo to keep you ignorant so you keep coming back, like your local mechanic.
Oh, we left out one small detail. That number we just mentioned, it’s not their net income, it’s their gross profit, meaning the money they make BEFORE they pay their bills!
You see that number at the bottom, that $140 077? Yeah? That’s their yearly earnings, not the 193 million we talked about before. It’s NEGATIVE, not positive, NEGATIVE 140 077 MILLION……
Which is completely OK!! They are an AMAZING company experiencing RAPID GROWTH, but $14 billion!?! That’s a little much.
They even tell you that you can’t vote!!!
Kellogg, They're GREEAAAT! maybe...See we may have another place for the veggie traders. If Kellogg starts making a thing of this, we may see a reaction?
Drew some lines that outline some bullish divergences.
problem- These big older companies seem to have a tuff time with balancing their budgets. I have a hard time adding something like this to anything but an active trading account, so much debt. come on guys, get your s together.
Theres a little gap up there too.. nice little bonus.
Let me know if you have any opinions on these guys, am accumulating.
Beyond Meat - the new TLRYThis was the hottest IPO of 2019. Statistically it was totally out of the line with others. But it happened and I'm glad that I was in it
The company is fine and the product is great.
But the revenue and the growth pace need to find balance with the market value of the company.
As soon as greed ends and we move to lock up period end BYND should correct somehow.
The 3 month lock up period is on 2 August,
The 6 month lock up period is on 2 November.
Earnings support and Volume support holds near ~ $100. This will eventually revisit.
Selling short overnight price is around 300%/year , as soon as it settles - we will have the meltdown.
BYND Beyond meat retrace at least 50% from recent high to .618After topping at $200, BYND meat looks like its currently correcting after a parabolic raise completing 5 waves up. I think it will pause at a 50% retracement at around $122, which corresponds with the 55 EMA on a 4hr chart. I then think it will dip lower still until it hits around $100, which is the .618 retracement and golden pocket. Potential long opportunity at $100 psychological level.
$BYND Bottom to Fall Out This Summer - Fad = FadeNASDAQ:BYND
Broke $152 on Friday - likely headed down to $120-$115 level and then next level will likely be $95. I currently own puts in this name.
A little summer projection for the beyond meat craze. "Hexane" carcinogen news will likely only gain traction in the media surrounding the fake meat industry with controversy, leading to shorts to pick up speed and longs to begin to doubt the recent optimism surrounding. Fad = Fade
Russel re-balance at the end of the month that will be including BYND will likely push this down further prior to insure the stability of the index in my opinion.
Tyson technical/fundamental bull analysisFundamental analysis
With all the hype around Beyond Meat meatless burgers. Tyson (TSN) who is a now official competitor on this semi-new (not only for vegetarian) market could be a gainer.
Technical analysis
RSI @48 trending higher (could be stronger)
OBV confirming at all time high
We made a head and shoulders (shown on chart), with a positive uptrend on the support level.
Price target as well as stop-loss limit are drawn in the chart.
Happy trading!
dorfmanmaster
BYND. P&D. Don't be FOMO. It's already x3This stock already did x3 on the chart, do you need more, then you are greedy man. Take your profit at the end of the week, because this share 100% overbought. $TLRY did the same after IPO, if you believe that $BYND can do x10, you're crazy.
Support ~ $100
Resistance ~ $190
If you are thinking to enter and buy a several shares, think twice please.
No selling or buying advice. Just watching on BYND.
I have the subreddit with the same name, if you wanna ask me or community, feel free to do that. Hit like, comment and follow for more profitable ideas.
BYND inside day after 8ema correction? Of course!!I posted an idea about pure momentum fig breakout trade a few days ago in Chinese version of TradingView.
It was an crazy 150.00 fig breakout to go straight to 186.00 in one day!
And here we got an inside day, which will make me very exciting about!
willing to try again if it's able to break to the upside yo!
Let's see how it goes!
Beyond Meat: Discount. Quick long opportunity.One of the hottest stock this month at the market is Beyond Meat, which after an initial 1H Channel Up, skyrocketed to 186.00 before heavy speculators took the initial profits yesterday, making the price decline. 1H is approaching the neckline (120.90) of Head. This creates ideal short term buy conditions for a 150.00 target. The MA50 should provide support but can be also marginally breached. In this case the target should be set even higher (170.00).
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