EUR/GBP About to flop again?EUR/GBP has been getting slammed, mainly due to increasing tensions in the Ukraine. We anticipate the downtrend to continue, and current prices over a fantastic short opportunity.
Currently retail sentiment is between 65-70% long.
Resistances include the 0.8300 signficiant figure, the short term trendline, and the 50% fibonacci level.
Cable
ICT Short EURUSD OTE Entry (just mute, I cannot disable laptop mic)
Another example of an NY trade today, Shorted the higher time frame bias, Have marked the chart up to show my logic, When you determine what you are looking for to fit criteria pre market and pre trade IE ( A rules based system) its much easier to sit back and wait for the boxes to tick themselves, I dont force trades and I don't make the market give me something, I just ride the wave.
This is another FTMO DEMO ACCOUNT pass for me while still testing this Strat, in just this trade. The market is making these moves everyday, Deciphering the chart and looking for evidence is all I do, It doesn't need to be more complicated, I truly believe that, I know my chart looks dirt but I've written all over it for this video and I'm also colour blind so trust me, In my eyes its beautiful (lol) -
Side note, If your studying ICT or OTE etc etc hit my inbox to join a discord with me, I'm not selling anything I'm not looking for anything other than to exchange ideas with like minded people as trading is a lonely game, What ever stage of your journey you are at. Hit me up lets start a conversation, Especially if your a London / NY session trader..
GBP/USD may drop first before it pulls back to the upside. GBP is a bit under pressure after BOE delivers a dovish statement. But GBP/USD is still supported because of the USD's weakness.
Market commentators said that the sanctions announced by the US against Russia on Tuesday weren't as harsh as feared, facilitating the broad rebound in risk assets and selling pressure on safe-havens.
Market commentators also noted that US officials also committed to implementing further sanctions on Russia if needed.
But still, GBP/USD has big chances to go upside. 1.3640/1.3650 is identified as a trendline and horizontal resistance from the price zone.
So, as long as GBP/USD is below the resistance level, it has chances to drop first. But if GBP/USD can break above the trendline resistance, the scenario will be different than it has a long way to go upside.
On the other hand, 1.3500/1.3480 is a powerful support zone. So, as long as GBP/USD is above 1.3480/1.3500, there will be a strong upside bias.
So, if GBP/USD drops nearly 1.3500/1.3480 price zone, it may be a wise decision to play into buy with stop loss below the 1.3420 price zone.
On the other hand, If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3650, there will be an explicit confirmation of upside breakout. Our first target to the upside is 1.3740/1.3750. Breaking above 1.3750 will open the door for 1.3820, and the final target to the upside is the 1.3950/1.4000 price zone.
GBP/USD sniper entry before breakout +200 pips- We put this short setup after we noticed that price failed to broke the last high nearly at 1.36450.
- We saw the price fall 100 pips from the last high and made a LL.
- Price came back for a corrections and formed a LH nearly at 1.36200.
- after this big bearish candle on 1H we took this beautiful trade even before breakout.
- Price already fall 250 pips from our enter and hit our TP4.
GBPUSD Long IdeaGBPUSD has fallen considerably this week since reaching the key level of 1.36. Cable now finds itself trading just below the 1.355 level however the price has found some support on the 1hr time frame. The RSI levels on the 1hr time frame reflect that price is in oversold regions which adds to our long bias. The target of this trade is located at the previous high of 1.36, with the stop-loss area below the recent support zone.
Buy Cable (GBPUSD)GBPUSD BUY: 1.35700
TP: 1.36800
SL: 1.35150
Buying Cable on the break out of the channel on the 4H chart, supported by general fundamental strength for pound sterling. Being careful on the downside and keeping our SL quite tight on this one, it could be a false breakout down, so not too tight.
Long Low Time FrameWe Have Tow Plan For CABLE.
The First Due To The Bearish Trend in Daily Time Frame And Made Higher Low In January and Reacted That, Probably Price Move Up Again To Test 1.3700 And 1.3750 Again.
The Second Plan For Short Term Analysis Price Clearly In Up Trend And Now In Correction Phase,
I Am Waiting For React The Price to H4 Zone An Long That To 1.3700 Level.
EUR/USD Where next? Possible Bullish scenarioLooking over the daily on EURUSD, I noticed that it appears the ICT concept of the market maker buy sell model has been completed, This is something I need to revisit so that I can utilise better in my analysis however, From what I remember it would appear that all stages have been completed, Including the final "break of structure initial consolidation" stage.
Another thing to notice, This final stage on the right appears very similar in a fractal pattern to the original stage on the left. Notice the candles tell the same story in the same stages
1. Initial downward impulse
2. Consolidation (accumulation of orders maybe?)
3. A break of structure that would have taken liquidity (stops for anyone who went bullish and rolled stops to recent structure, A typical retail scenario)
4. Break of structure to the upside that did the same.
5. price runs above the relative equal highs and continues in the bullish trend.
Another thing to pay close attention to here, The green boxes through the larger fractal, these are imbalance candles ( an area where price was pushed through without the candles entire print being revisited for mitigation etc) Price seems to always return to these areas to draw on liquidity or re accumulate orders.
What is interesting is, On our last stage and recent two boxes, we have 2 daily candles that have these areas.
Does this result in EURUSD continuing to the upside from next week?
We will see, However, Some great points to visit here to refresh knowledge.
GBPJPY: Inside Bar Breakout 4-2-2022GBPJPY – SPOT
GBPJPY: Inside Bar Breakout 4-2-2022
Price Action: Price exploded higher from the Inside Bar Breakout Pattern that had formed, earlier this week (We suggested buying the breakout above that pattern in the February 2nd LTTTM Newsletter).
The recent Bearish Fakey Setup, failed (We did not consider trading this setup and hopefully saved some of you on this market).
Potential Trade Idea: We are still considering buying if price pulls back to the current Inside Bar Breakout area.
$GBP - Cable - Where to next?GBP - Where to next?
Looks very interesting on a higher time frame, we could decline further , IF we go below 50 EMA daily close below I expect 1.34200 & lower areas to come into action. If we have a pull back more above than 21 EMA area, I expect bulls to get back in control and re-test the areas of 1.36 higher areas near 200 EMA anywhere above that the TL down would be a good target areas. However, for this current moment of time, the bears are firmly in control and I have taken partial profits.
Don't forget the key fundamental data of FOMC, PMI's etc that could impact the majors this week.
Have a great week ahead & take care,
Trade Journal
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
GBPUSD Reverting To Its Mean Before Another Rally Up!Great British Pounds is now pulling back after the initial bullish run to 1.37488. Will the support holds at 1.35000 or further decline to 1.32400 is anticipated?
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
GBP/USD Signal - GBP Retail Sales - 21 Jan 2022GBPUSD is trading to the downside today after price has broken the ascending and corrective support trendlines. The UK parliament is in the process of outing PM Boris Johnson, giving the GBP some weakness, and Ukraine tensions are also boosting the USD higher. We're looking for a significant drop on the forex pair.
GBPUSD Short Idea GBPUSD has been in an uptrend so far in January after the continuation of the weakening Dollar. Our in-house short-term bias is now short as Cable has been unable to pass the recent high of 1.36426. Cable has also been setting lower lows, which in conjunction with the overbought levels on the RSI indicator, adds to our short bias. If GBPUSD is unable to surpass its recent high then it's likely for the trend to reverse and make a retest of around the 1.36 area. The stop-loss area for this analysis is located just above the recent high at 1.37.
GU ShortsCurrently price is in a bearish trend and is making LL and LHs. We have just stepped out of this trend by not creating a new LL. however NY and LDN sentiment has been bearish the past few sessions at these levels we are pushing up into now so I'm looking to try and get an entry at the 78.6% retracement and then for the NY session to have a bearish sentiment pushing us down to form a new LL. We are following the trendline nicely and have just had a BOS to the downside.
GBPUSD - Return to 2022 High Expecting GBPUSD to climb back up to the current year high around the 1.37500 level after the past week's retracement.
I am mindful of the current situation with UK politics and the potential volatility to the pound, however technically price looks good for a continuation of the December uptrend.
Let's see how this plays out over the the next couple of days.
Todays Decisive time for LONG or SHORT for GBP/USDWait for a Bullish close here on hourly chart or for more accuracy wait for break of this zone we are in right now. We shall most probably get a chance to enter long or short on retest of this zone. As of Now it looks like GBP/USD has lacking volumes below this level. It might just go bullish from here. I am talking about intraday sentiment only.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Cable Is Back To Bullish ModeHello traders!
Today we will talk about Cable (GBPUSD) in which we see quite clear bullish development from Elliott Wave perspective.
As you can see, Cable made only a three-wave A-B-C decline since June 2021 highs, nicely connected within channel range and with equality measurement of waves A=C. It clearly indicates for a higher degree wave IV correction, especially after recent sharp and impulsive reversal from 1.3160 lows and back above channel resistance line that confirms lows is in place.
So generally speaking, we remain bullish on GBPUSD while the price is above 1.3160 invalidation level, especially if breaks above 1.3850 region, just be aware of short-term pullbacks before a continuation higher, because US dollar index is still looking higher.
Trade well!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.