Cable
Cable Explodes following BOEComments from the BOE meeting this morning
1. CPI inflation is expected to rise quite sharply towards the 2% target in the Spring.
2. Other indicators suggest that Labour market slack has remained higher than implied by the LFS rate.
3. CPI inflation is projected to be close to 2% over the second and third years of the forecast period.
4. A further increase in unemployment is projected over the next few quarters.
5. The average weekly earnings growth has been notably stronger than expected in the November report.
6. See UK GDP +5% in 2021 (Nov. projection: +7.25%).
7. BoE sees UK GDP +7.25% in 2022 (Nov. projection: +6.25%).
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GBPUSD - My humble analysis 👑🇬🇧💂In this video i go through the chart and my personal experience with the GBP and how it affected my life negatively in 2007 (first drop got me out of real estate) and positively during the Brexit (I got my money back, thank you trading).
Today will be a volatile session for pound sterling, trade with care people.
GBPUSD - Things could take a turn...!!Happy Tuesday...Here's a free Cable trade idea...!
I got asked why do I give my trade ideas for free?
It's my passion I live and breathe the markets, I know there's so many scammers out there and capital isn't what I am greedy for ever - but giving the community a guidance to help build confidence for your trading journey is the best gift I could give anyone. This will always be free!
GBP - You know for ages if you are an active follower of mine - I am bullish GBP you probably even know my target areas longer term perspective and 1.50 it could go to. However, for now I am really keeping an eye on this formation we have built.- Dollar squeeze could be coming soon....!
Fundamentally:
- BOE Monetary Policy Report (Thursday)
- Negative Rates - I highly doubt its needed
- Positive vaccine roll out
Technical aspect:
Wedge has been formed a break to either direction.
Support: 1.37570, 1.36585, 1.35520, 1.35240
Resistance: 1.37100, 1.37600, 1.38070, 1.38940
Ways you could the trade GBP:
- Wait for the break out and trade the pull back
- Add orders either directions
- Go to a smaller time frame to get into an early position if you're feeling confident
- Follow your own trade plan for further confluence
Key tip: Patience & Discipline.
If you have any questions, message privately happy to help.
All the best,
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
GBPUSD - PRICE BOUNCELooking at Cable, price has been bouncing between the Support and Resistance Zone for the last few days.
We are also seeing price sat on the Support currently, we will wait for confirmation of a broken trend before entering.
Key points to take from the analysis;
1. Price is sitting at a key support zone (1.3650)
2. Stochastic Indicator is showing the market is Oversold on the 1hr charts
3. We haven't see the 50 day Moving Avergage cross over the 100 day Moving Average.
I believe we will see a continuation of the Ascending price, if the market breaks the Support, we will look to enter a Short Sell.
My thoughts are a short term Long with a follow up Sell Off in next day or two.
GBPUSD breakout imminent the week of 01 Feb 2021Recent price action on this pair has been choppy but grinding higher all the time. As my weekly chart (below) shows, the 1.3750 area has become a barrier that price has been unable to overcome since end Apr 2018.
Back to the H4 view, let us examine price action for the last 10 days. We can see a series of higher lows, while the highs have remained consistently capped in the 1.3750 region. I see this PA as a squeeze in progress. I am expecting that the bears will weaken while the bulls will grab a better control of the market during the next few days. I am watching with a bullish bias, expecting price to impulsively break out to the upside sometimes in the coming week, while also keeping an eye on DXY.
For trade location, an aggressive entry would be when breakout occurs, while a conservative approach would be to wait for a retest of the breakout line. The region around 1.4000 would a good choice for the initial target, while 1.4350 is certainly possible for the patient trader.
If my analysis is correct, we could have a nice Multiple R trade either way.
If you like my analysis please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get immediate notifications.
As always, please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
ridethepig | EURGBP Finding a Floor📌 ridethepig | EURGBP Finding a Floor
After the preparatory manoeuvre, passive sellers are keeping a close eye on the 0.882x ABC target and already starting to cover. Sharp Buyers were aware of this and made the transition to attempt a base formation. With ECB / FED now cleared there is the customary inventiveness to continue with the rally. What we are trading here is the expectation of BOE cuts and calling bluff on ECB holding pattern.
On the GBP side, we have been given a data from Johnson for March where kids will return back to school. Taking it with a pinch of salt once more and recommend resisting temptation to park in GBP. BOE has room to cut rates and with Brexit impact starting to enter into play, the flows will become clearer. Technically taking 0.893x will open the floodgates for a momentum gambit towards the highs, while to the downside 0.887x/0.882x area will continue to be the loading zone.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
GBP USD - continuing to climb buysHello traders and analysts,
See our chart for a Brexit 'Yes' whereby, the fishing stumbling block seems to be the major mover for a 'Yes' before the new year or a 'No'.
The USD will continue to see a deepening soft dollar, which is what the US want right now to keep pushing the stocks into 2021 with cheaper import/exports as a major player. Furthermore a cheaper dollar will boost 2021 visitors to the US and see Gold rushed to as a hedge of inflation .
GBP we have a weekly zone the pound has now surpassed creating a good new daily demand to move further.
The monthly zone towards 1.50 as our target for a position buy.
From a fibonacci point of view -
taking the low from March 2020 as a 0 target. the extensions are now on a 1.48 extension.
£1.42 to $1 is a great opportunity to look to on the daily and 4 hour chart. We have a big imbalance in which the buying potential can extend to in the bull rally.
See the 4 hour update here;
See our long term view here:
When it comes to the USD, we have now been seeing continued devaluing of the USD into 2021 with the Biden administration.
The FED injecting 22% of all USD in circulation within one year.
A Staggering amount of est $9T USD was injected to save the US from collapse, despite its ever mounting debt of as it stands 11. 01 .2021
$27.775T USD
www.usdebtclock.org
The question remains as the USD loses value - in order to promote cheaper investment and more prospects for cheaper imports - the country will have a real issue with the constant cycle of financing debt upon debit.
With the Global fiscal policy to remain between 1.5-2% - this should keep the FED side lined for a few years monitoring the US and world economy.
What we would expect to see will be the growth of EM and commodity based countries in terms of FX to continue the growth against the USD.
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Successful Short Trade (BOOMER Market)Cable (British Pound Sterling , GBPUSD ) is in an obviously beautiful BOOMER market, accelerating North!
During an Uptrend market like this is, one of the wise things to do - is to ride the wave, buying on dips.
As per the CONDI Trading System rules, the only trading allowed in this setup is (strictly!) with the trend.
T.m. only taking Long trading opportunities, 100% confirmed by the CONDI Trading System.
Recognized (yet another) such opportunity at point marked with the callout.
Trade successfully closed with profit within 9 1h candles.
Happy CONDI trading!
Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited scope above 1.3600The pullback towards 1.3500 has given way to a corrective bounce from 1.3520~, whilst oversold intraday momentum studies unwind.
FX:GBPUSD is trading around 1.3600, but falling daily stochastics and the bearish Tension Indicator are expected to cap any break to below the 1.3675 Fibonacci retracement.
Following corrective trade, downside levels are expected to attract, with a later close below 1.3500 adding fresh weight to sentiment and opening up the 1.3450 weekly low of 11 January.
GBP/USD ConsolidatingVery strong resistance was broken at 134.5 level. Since breaking this level it has touched it twice and found support. If the Dollars short term strength continues in the coming days this support will offer a good long entry. There may be some resistance at 1.38 so it could be worth taking profit there or wait for 1.40 for a longer term target.