Still Holding Bearish... But for How Long...?This pair is bearish on the 1 hour and the 4 hour. We choose to limit ourselves to just the 4 and 1 hour charts for now; those are the charts we will be considering the most when taking our trades.
On the 4-hour, we found a bearish push last week, and we were able to catch a bearish trade. We have held on to that position till now, believing that the market still has a bearish trend.
On the 1 hour, we see the market in a bearish PB. The current bullish push has not been able to overthrow the bearish setup. We can see from the charts that the bullish push has come deep into our refined PB zone. We agree that the zone is threatened, but it is still yet to be breached. Until our Bearish zone is breached, we cannot say the bulls have taken over, and as such, we will still hold on to our bearish perspective.
Now for the further analysis:
We hope to see the bearish zone hold. Where it holds, prices are expected to drop bearish toward the 1-hour liquidity target.
Where our expectations fail, we will see our zone breached. In that circumstance, we hope to see prices soar higher for a bit to give us a deeper retracement into the 4 hour PB. From there, we will hope to see a deeper retracement reversal, after which the market will be expected to run the 4 hour liquidity target below.
Cable
GBPUSD D1 - LONG SIGNALGBPUSD D1
We had this markup last week, we took a loss on the trending setup, but we bounced 1.5R from that 1.21 handle, which we are now sitting on again.
Same as before, don't fix it unless it's broken, in the case DXY starts to reject that 106.500 (as per the analysis), we could expect 1.21 to hold and get off the ground again.
GBPUSD D1 - Long SignalGBPUSD D1
We had this markup last week, we took a loss on the trending setup, but we bounced 1.5R from that 1.21 handle, which we are now sitting on again.
Same as before, don't fix it unless it's broken, in the case DXY starts to reject that 106.500 (as per the analysis), we could expect 1.21 to hold and get off the ground again.
Investor bailout on CableA very prominent reversal is spotted on GBPUSD considering the following:
1- Head and shoulders appeared as a reversal structure which is an indication that long positions are being closed i.e. GBP might start to lose the battle against USD.
2- Broken lower trendline indicating a shifting bias to downside.
3- We are still stuck inside the daily tf ichimoku cloud, it has not indicated a reversal yet.
4- Last two monthly candles were a bearish engulfing after a shooting star (inverted hammer) i.e. trend converting to bear
What to expect?
1- I have marked a few structure based targets. First of them is 1.2310 which is the target of the head and shoulders as per the definition.
2- The extended target of head and shoulders 1.1802 is actually a support line based on historic response of the zone.
3- The yellow target box is the all time low marked by cable in the history, there is a chance to nail perfect double bottoms there unless it breaks low further.
4- The retracement levels sketched on the chart are the basic fibonacci levels. I am quite sure you already know how to interpret them.
When is this idea invalid?
1- If the price blows the top at 1.3140.
2- Head and shoulders are invalid if price breaks higher than 1.2820 but that does not invalidate the trend bias as long as 1.3140 is intact. Should head and shoulders invalidate, look for the rejection from the retest of the red trendline to sell again. It is important to have a prominent rejection!
Best of luck and happy trading :-)
$Dollar bears?!TVC:DXY Dollar bears may come into control swiftly if we break down within this channel, reaching the red support zones. However, while we are still within the amber zone, patience.
Whilst analysing the dollar, think of other currency pairs such as £.
Ignoring the outside noise and concentrating on price action is key at this moment in time.
Trade Journal | Empowering Your Trading Journey
GBPUSD: Bullish reaction is coming?Although we cannot yet rule out a new bottom on daily chart, from a technical point of view, we are approaching an interesting support area, and this should trigger a bullish reaction on the pair. That said, our short-term view is bullish and we will follow the development in the next few hours on intraday chart (Reversal Pattern formation is necessary to trigger the rally).
Trade with care
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GBPUSD - Long/Short Trade IdeaMy bias is still lower prices for now (refer to my higher-timeframe ideas). However, am interested to see if these trade ideas play out, at least one of them. What is important to me is the day of week, and the time of day, engineered liquidity, along with any scheduled economic news drivers.
GBPUSD D1 | Falling to Fibo confluence supportGBP/USD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.20707 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and the 127.2% extension levels.
Stop loss is at 1.18248 which is a swing-low support level.
Take profit is at 1.23087 which is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD: 1.2179 is strong so be careful! Hello traders,
1.2179 is strong enough to retrace the GBP. We'll wait for any breaks out of the level before putting sell orders.
There is one entry and1 TP for this pair.
Levels calculated order_block, regarding support and resistances, channel and pivot points.
CABLE - shortsshort cable on trend resumption.
pull back to between 12220 trend resistance to 12250 FIB0.23 resistance.
target 11930 stops above 12400. RSI to act in confluence, turn down around 40 level for validation.
THEME expect UK macro data to disappoint contract to US data showing relative strength.
GBPUSD H4 | Approaching overlap resistanceGBPUSD is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse from here to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 1.25278
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level
Stop Loss: 1.25839
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns beyond the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.24457
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Cable: Short Idea At 1.2820 So far this year, the pound has made significant progress to the upside. However, there's now a chance that the pair completed the final wave (5) of a five-wave bullish cycle, especially if we consider an ending diagonal formation within wave (5) and a broken trendline, so traders should be aware of more weaknes. A drop from 1.3145 can be counted in five waves for wave (A), so weakness will most likely resume, but after rally in wave (B) which has a nice resistance near 1.2818 for a flat. Higher levels to watch is at 1.3.
I may look for shorts on this one, at the upper side of the current range, form around 1.28 then.
GH
GBPUSD H4 | Falling to overlap supportGBPUSD is falling towards the buy entry at 1.26703 which is an overlap support and could potentially reverse from this level to bounce higher.
Stop loss is at 1.25865 which lies below a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 1.27794 which is an overlap resistance that sits under the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
GBPUSD TODAY 22/08/23GBPUSD is starting to break its 100-period moving average (MA100) and entering the area of 1.27488 - 1.27685. Cable is waiting for a breakout to occur along with a golden cross between MA8 and MA100 to confirm a short-term uptrend. However, due to the relatively chaotic MA Pattern, it's better to observe GBPUSD's movement today before entering positions.
Let's wait for a clearer trend on Cable before entering positions.
R3 1.28227
R2 1.28072
R1 1.27685
PV 1.27488
S1 1.27149
S2 1.26961
S3 1.26688
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish reversal off 50% Fibo?GBPUSD is falling towards the buy entry at 1.26993 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and could potentially reverse from here to bounce higher.
Stop loss is at 1.2640 which is an support that sits under a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels.
Take profit is at 1.27836 which is an overlap resistance.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
GBPUSD H4 | Rising towards Fibo confluenceGBPUSD is rising towards an overhead resistance and could potentially reverse from here to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 1.27793
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and 78.6% projection levels
Stop Loss: 1.28160
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Take Profit: 1.26567
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GU Analysis - Monthly Timeframe (ICT)Last monthly price fell short of a monthly FVG and this month retraced lower that last month's low.
Price is currently finding some support at a confluence of PD Arrays (Monthly Order Block, Monthly Breaker Block, and Consequent Encroachment of a inverted monthly wick).
I have no bias at the moment on this timeframe as price could go either way, and we may see choppy moves on the lower timeframes.
-R2F
GBPUSDCurrently there are almost more buyers in the market
GBPUSD is bullish! We believe we are in demand zone and we expect a move!
There could be a short-term long position opportunity.
These are best levels regarding Support and resistance, Channels, Weekly pivots, Buyers and Sellers focus and order_block.