Get started

Cad-chf

💵Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc 💵 Analyze(Double Top Pattern)🗻🗻 It seems that the Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc is currently making a double top pattern. Since the slope of the price approaching the neckline at the Top 2 is more significant than Top 1, as well as the divergence between the two tops, I predict that the neckline will be broken, and the Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc will go down to the support zone and target of ​​the pattern. It is better to look for confirmation of a valid break of the neckline in lower time frames. 🔅Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc (CADCHF) Timeframe 1H⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
3
CAD CHF - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSCAD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE The CAD has enjoyed far more upside in the past few weeks than we anticipated. We’ve been cautious on the currency given Canada’s dependency on the US (>70% of exports) where the clear signs of a faster than expected slowdown and possible recession should deteriorate the growth outlook for Canada. Apart from that, the risks to the Canadian housing market can negatively impact consumer spending as interest rates rise higher at aggressive speed. Potentially damaging the wealth effect created by the rapid rise in house prices since covid. However, despite the risks to the economy and the outlook, markets still price in a strangely favourable growth environment for Canada, also supported by a big push higher in terms of trade due to the rise in commodity prices. Furthermore, despite clear warning signals, the BoC has chosen to ignore the negatives and has stayed very hawkish, hiking 1.0% in July. The market’s reaction after the 1.0% was quite telling though, with the CAD pushing lower afterwards. This suggests that those players that were long could’ve used the hike as a spot to take profit, or it could be the market pricing in a possible pause for the BoC in the months ahead because hiking so aggressive now means reaching a level to pause their cycle much faster. Either way, we remain cautious on the CAD and favour short-term catalysts that provide us with shorting opportunities. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES As an oil exporter, oil prices are important for CAD. Catalysts that see further upside in Oil (deteriorating supply outlook, ease in demand fears) could trigger bullish CAD reactions. The correlation has been hit and miss in recent weeks though. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CAD. Even though lots of tightening has been priced for the BoC, any overly hawkish comments from the BoC or big upside surprises in econ data could trigger short-term upside, but with a 100bsp providing no upside, risks are titled to the downside. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES As an oil exporter, oil prices are important for CAD. Any catalyst that triggers meaningful downside in oil (deteriorating demand outlook, ease in supply shortage, less supply constraints) could be a negative catalyst for the CAD as well. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CAD. With a lot of tightening priced into STIRs, and a 100bsp hike providing no support for the CAD, we think risks are skewed lower, and any big downside surprises in econ data could offer decent shorting opportunities for the CAD. BIGGER PICTURE The bigger picture outlook for the CAD remains neutral for now. Given the clear risks to the growth outlook due to the slowdown in the US, as well as rising risks to the consumer and the housing market, and potential negative impact for commodities like oil, we remain cautious on the currency (even though it’s moved much higher than we anticipated from the start of the year). With a lot of good news priced in, our preferred way of trading the CAD is lower on clear short-term negative catalysts. CHF FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BULLISH BASELINE The CHF has been supported in recent months as STIR markets have steadily priced in higher interest rates for Switzerland, as well the SNB’s reluctance to intervene in the currency markets to try and weaken the CHF. At their June meeting, the SNB took a very aggressive policy step by hiking rates with 50bsp and removing their previous classification that the CHF is ‘highly valued’. Unlike other central banks, the SNB has chosen to try and tackle inflation before it runs rampant by hiking rates aggressively. Their hike in June was the first hike since 2007, and if the bank follows through with a hike in September it will mean Switzerland will have positive interest rates for the first time in almost a decade. There is scope for further CHF upside in the months ahead with 4 supporting drivers. SNB’s hawkish tilt, the bank’s acceptance of a stronger CHF with less intervention, negative underlying risk sentiment driven by the global cyclical slowdown, rising inflation . The SNB did note that they are willing to be active in the foreign exchange market to ensure appropriate monetary conditions which means too much CHF strength could get the wrong attention from the bank. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES Any incoming data (especially CPI on Thursday) or SNB comments that causes markets to price in even more aggressive policy from the bank could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. The more aggressive markets think the ECB will be with incoming hikes, the more aggressive they will be for the SNB. Thus, data that trigger hawkish ECB expectations could also be supportive for the CHF. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES The SNB has not been as active in trying to devalue the CHF through sight deposits as they have been in recent years. With the bank now on a hiking cycle, any drastic appreciation could spark some intervention and would be a bearish catalyst. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CHF. Further lower repricing of ECB hikes could trigger downside in the CHF as well, and the biggest dovish risk for the currency is a big surprise miss on any incoming CPI data. BIGGER PICTURE The SNB surprised with a 50bsp hike and signalled, that unlike other central banks, they will not get behind the curve. Apart from a hawkish central bank , we also have the economy on a steady footing, as well as less risk of intervention as SNB’s Jordan said they no longer see the CHF as highly valued (there is of course risk that they could intervene if the CHF appreciates too much too fast). This means the bias for the CHF is bullish and we’re looking for dips as CHF for buying opportunities.
by thunderpips
1
CADCHF Starting a rally to 0.78000The CADCHF pair has been trading within a very long-term Channel Up since the July 31 2020 Low. Our most recent idea back in May was focused around the incredible sell opportunity that we were handed when the price hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of that Channel Up: As you see the strategy was successful and the pattern played out exactly as expected. The price made a new Higher Low on August 15 and rebounded. Now it is back above both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), indicating that this is the start of the new rally to a long-term Higher High. This notion is further strengthened by the fact that the 1D RSI and MACD indicators between June - August 2022 and July - September 2021 are identical. Our first target is the previous Higher High and now Resistance of 0.78000. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by TradingShot
CAD/CHF : DOWNTREND | TECHNICAL ANALYSIS | SHORT SCENARIO 🔔Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in CADCHFTrading suggestion: ". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7795). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . CADCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected. . The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support. . The RSI is at 48. Take Profits: TP1= @ 0.7711 TP2= @ 0.7661 TP3= @ 0.7617 TP4= @ 0.7564 TP5= @ 0.7470 TP6= @ 0.7365 SL: Break Above R2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader ? Now, It's your turn ! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Short
by ForecastCity
4
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in CADCHFTrading suggestion: ". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7795). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . CADCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected. . The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support. . The RSI is at 48. Take Profits: TP1= @ 0.7711 TP2= @ 0.7661 TP3= @ 0.7617 TP4= @ 0.7564 TP5= @ 0.7470 TP6= @ 0.7365 SL: Break Above R2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Short
by ForecastCity_World
13
CADCHF: Buy the Pullback-INTRODUCTION- Two weeks ago, CADCHF has reached a new higher high at 0.7800 level. As we forecasted in our previous CADCHF analysis, we expected the price to retrace and retest the support level of 0.7500, which is also the previous resistance level that was tested multiple times. The price nicely retraced and formed an ascending triangle pattern at the 0.7500 level. The price recently broke above the pattern; therefore, we have entered our buy limit orders. Buy Limit Order: @ 0.75180 SL: 0.74450 1st Target Area: 0.75950 2nd target: 0.7680 3rd target: 0.7800 1% risk The previous high at the 0.7800 level is a new high since 2019. Thus, the price should have another retest of the level. Check out our previous CADCHF thought process and other similar trading ideas below :)
Long
by NicoBeau_Capital