CAD
SIMPLEXeffects USDCAD OUTLOOK
It's so obvious from what we have on the higher TF (H4 specifically) that we haven't had a change in the market structure being built up until now. We've been moving in a continuous downtrend characterized by the numerous lower lows and lower highs built... It is therefore only wise to look out for sell opportunities in the USDCAD market for the next 2 to 3 days until we thus form a new lower low...
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USDCAD: CURVE ANALYSIS (2D)SLO2 @ 1.3805 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.3695 ⏳
SSO @ 1.3625 ⏳
TP1 @ 1.3485
TP2 @ 1.3305
TP3 @ 1.3175
TP4 @ 1.2975
BLO @ 1.2810 ⏳
— PA on this pair has been insane
— ALL three of our TPs were triggered, but ironically it retraced so hard that it returned back to the Supply Zone.
— Well, it's time to get paid for the second time.
— Here's a new setup
🔥 NEW: USDCAD 🔥 SHORT 🔥RESISTANCE @ 1.3573
SLO @ 1.3570 ⏳
TP1 @ 1.3485
TP2 @ 1.3305
TP3 @ 1.3175
TP4 @ 1.2975
SUPPORT @ 1.2925
BLO @ 1.2810 ⏳
— PA on this pair has been insane
— ALL three of our TPs were triggered, but ironically it retraced so hard that it returned higher than TP1
— Well, it's time to get paid for the second time.
— Here's a new SLO
🔥 NEW: USDCAD 🔥 AGGRESSIVE 🔥 Counter-Trend TradeIt appears that USDCAD could be reacting to a minor support level and pulling back to the upside before continuing the BIG PICTURE downtrend. Here's my latest setup for the Buy and the Long.
RESISTANCE @ 1.3269
SLO @ 1.3245
TP3 @ 1.3235 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP2 @ 1.3210 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 1.3190 (shaving 25%)
BSO @ 1.3166 (if Price Action pulls back to the downside)
BLO1 @ 1.3150
BLO2 @ 1.3140
SUPPORT @ 1.31246
🔥 STOP LOSS MODIFIED: USDCAD 🔥 Counter-Trend TradeRESISTANCE @ 1.3269
SLO @ 1.3245 ⏳
TP3 @ 1.3235 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP2 @ 1.3210 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 1.3190 (shaving 25%) 💰 +24 pips
+SL @ 1.3169 🚫
BSO @ 1.3166 📈 +28 pips 🤑
BLO1 @ 1.3150 ⏳
BLO2 @ 1.3140 ⏳
SUPPORT @ 1.31246
💰 TP1 is in the bag for a profit of +24 pips
💪🏾 TP2, here we come!!!!
🤑 BSO Net Equity is @ +28 pips
🚫 Stop Loss has been modified to preserve capital (see above)
🔥 NEW: USDCAD...LONG 🔥 SWING 🔥RESISTANCE (major) @ 1.3550
RESISTANCE (minor) @ 1.3466
TP2 @ 1.3550 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP1 @ 1.3466 (shaving 50%)
BSO @ 1.3300 ⏳
The USD against the CAD has been trading in a downtrend for the past few months, and it is currently approaching the major resistance level of 1.3550. If the price respects this level, it could signal a reversal in the trend and a continuation of the downtrend retracement that began in mid-October 2022. Also, there is a minor resistance level at 1.3466, which I believe will cause a pullback, so I'm going to shave off some profit and hold my remaining position up to major resistance. Ultimately, the direction of the USDCAD will depend on market sentiment and the outcome of various economic events.
ADDITIONAL INFO:
—If the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates more aggressively than the Bank of Canada, it could put upward pressure on the value of the USDCAD.
—If the US economy continues to grow at a faster pace than the Canadian economy, it could also put upward pressure on the value of the USDCAD.
✨ NEW: USDCAD ✨ SWING TRADE ✨SLO @ 1.3770 ⏳
TP4 @ 1.3740 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP3 @ 1.3633 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 1.3566 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 1.3466 (shaving 25%)
BSO @ 1.3366 📈
BLO @ 1.3305 ⏳
ADDITIONAL INFO:
With CAD and USD News on the horizon, I'm anticipating another bounce to the upside before PA continues the DT.
VIDEO ✨ NEW: USDCAD ✨ PRE CAD NEWS ✨-SL @ 1.36681 🚫
SLO2 @ 1.3620 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.3525 ⏳ (half position)
TP1 @ 1.3350
TP2 @ 1.3215
TP3 @ 1.2980
TP4 @ 1.2833
BLO @ 1.2795 ⏳
-SL @ 1.27278 🚫
00:00 PRE CAD NEWS
00:58 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join
01:40 Technical Analysis
02:54 Fundamental Analysis
05:42 Curve Analysis
07:42 News Anticipatory Trend
08:08 Risk-to-Reward
09:44 LIVE STREAM @ 05:15 PT / 08:15 ET 🔥
✨ NEW: USDCAD ✨ PRE CAD News ✨-SL @ 1.36681
SLO2 @ 1.3620 (conservative)
SLO1 @ 1.3525 (aggressive)
TP1 @ 1.3350
TP2 @ 1.3215
TP3 @ 1.2980
TP4 @ 1.2833
BLO @ 1.2795
-SL @ 1.27278
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Although, the pair is currently trading above the 200-day moving average, which is a bullish signal, Price Action for USDCAD is sideways. This range is a strong indication that it is consolidating before moving in a new direction — a downtrend. Traders should be aware of both the bullish and bearish signals before making any trading decisions.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
At this time, it's not clear what the future holds for USDCAD. The US dollar will do well if the economy is strong and interest rates go up. The Canadian dollar is being helped by a strong home market and rising oil prices. This is why the price action of USDCAD has been consolidating.
Factors affecting the USDCAD exchange rate are as follows:
(1) U.S. Interest Rates:
How interest rates are right now in the U.S. because of what the Federal Reserve does, interest rates are expected to keep going up in 2023. Buyers will want more USD, which will push the USDCAD exchange rate down.
(2) Canadian Interest Rates:
The Bank of Canada is also likely to raise rates in 2023. But the rate of growth is likely to be slower than in the United States. This could help the Canadian dollar get stronger and stop the USDCAD exchange rate from going down even more.
(3) Oil Costs:
The price of oil has never been this high. This is good news for Canada's economy and may help the value of the loonie stay the same. But if oil prices went down, the USDCAD exchange rate could be hurt.
(4) Canada's Housing Sector:
The home market in Canada is doing well right now. This is good news for Canada's economy and may help the value of the loonie stay the same. But the USDCAD could be hurt if the home market starts to slow down.
EURCAD The goal is LongOn eurcad we are seeing a price drop towards the 1.46500 area where we have a demand zone. the zone seems to be interesting and according to the forex48 strategy, the objective is to wait until the price breaks the high at 1.4695 before setting up a long setup.
Let me know what you think.
Happy trading everyone.
Forex48 Trading Academy
GBPCAD LONG TRADEIn this chart, I have identified two areas, a supply and a demand zone, which I have previously used to close a long trade. Within the supply zone, there is another area of interest that, depending on the strategy applied, will be used as a starting point for a long trade.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Happy trading, bye.
USDCADNow we are in a downward dynamic channel where the price has shown weakness near the middle line of the channel.
I predict that probably this weakness has the ability to reduce the price until near the bottom of the channel.
Oscillators also confirm this weakness, and this means reducing the market's tendency to increase the price.
USDCAD: Top of the range?Looking back over this pair, it's been ranging for a long time.
The candlestick patterns are clearly showing rejection, we now have a doji to back up the change of direction potential.
Fundamentally it seems hat it doesn't matter how good the US news is, the dollar's fate is sealed.
Interesting to see how NFP goes on Friday (but still can't see it getting much past 105.5 even with positive news). I'll probably wait on this pair until after the event has calmed down before getting involved.
Overall I'm bearish on this, waiting for a good entry for at least a 4:1 score initially, but think it'll go further.
🍁USD/CAD Attention We're Falling 🍁🍁 USD/CAD Attention We're Falling
🍁 Nearest strong support zone: around 1.337, 0.382 fibo level of the entire upward wave.
🍁 Nearest strong resistance zone: around 1.36, 0.236 fibo level of the entire upward wave.
🍁 Technical environment:
- Moving averages: Downtrend
- MACD: Downtrend
- RSI: Downtrend
🍁 Price action: USD/CAD for the past month has not found the strength to continue the upward movement, contributed by a sharp capital inflow into the Canadian dollar and a flight from the US dollar. What caused such sharp movements in recent days. Looking at the candlestick formation in which the price, after an upward breakout, accumulates slowly curling southward, the continuation of growth in this case seems very unlikely. It looks like the road to a coy strong wave of declines has opened before us.
🍁 The scenario I'm playing out is a continuation of declines given all the support zones that lie ahead. I don't exclude the possibility of changing the scenario if the market situation changes abruptly. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
🍁USD/CAD Continuation of Declines 🍁🍁USD/CAD Continuation of Declines
🍁 Nearest strong support zone: around the fibo level of the 0.618 wave from the bottom to the local peak.
🍁 Nearest strong resistance zone: around the 0.382 level of the same wave.
🍁 Technical environment:
- Moving averages: Downtrend
- MACD: Downtrend
- RSI: Downtrend
🍁 Price action: after yesterday's price rise near the recent current highs, we scored a very quick decline today due to the strengthening of the Canadian dollar. Looking at the dynamics of the downward movement, another attempt to attack north seems very unlikely.
🍁 The scenario I'm playing out is a continuation of declines to the vicinity of the support zone. I don't exclude the possibility of changing the scenario if the market situation changes abruptly. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
🍁USD/CAD Ready For A Breakout🍁🍁USD/CAD Ready For A Breakout
🍁Looking at the strength with which the USD/CAD took off upwards today.
🍁I get the impression that there is a good chance that this is just the beginning of a new upward wave on this pair.
🍁Looking at the 1D interval (lower right corner) We can see that we have approached the vicinity of a strong resistance zone determined by the 0.618 level of the entire downward wave. Where the price has repeatedly struggled to break upwards.
🍁Looking at price action and the technical environment. It looks like today's movements are not a coincidence and are aimed at breaking through the strong resistance that held the price for a month.
🍁The scenario I'm playing out is a continuation of the upside with the breakthrough of the resistance zone. I don't exclude the possibility of changing the scenario if the market situation changes abruptly. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Bullish outlook on USDCAD: 29th December 2022On the M30 time frame, a throwback to the support zone at 1.35750, in line with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level could see a bounce to the resistance target at 1.36350. Failure to hold above the support zone at 1.35750 could see further downside to the next support zone at 1.35380. Prices are approaching the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands while Stochastic RSI is indicating oversold conditions, supporting our bullish bias.