CAD
GBP/CAD Trend following Price broke below the 50 week period moving average, signaling a change in trend.
Trend line was broken with a high momentum Bearish candle.
Price broke below 100 week period moving average, and retested this level as resistance.
Currently consolidated in an area of support.
If price can break below this level I will sell another position on this pair.
After a break and close below the low of 2015, 200 week moving average, the support area and .618 Fib, this will signal a strong trend reversal and another trade will be taken.
'Bullish Bat' pattern on EUR/CAD, good to buy dipsBullish Bat Pattern seen on EUR/CAD daily charts.
The pair has edged higher from 1.4389 levels which is pivotal, weakness seen only on breaks below 1.4380.
Retracement upto 1.5330 (61.8% Fib of 1.59145 to 1.43889 fall) likely.
Immediate support and resistance for the pair are located at 1.4697 (200-DMA) and 1.4734 (5-DMA).
Recommendation: Buy dips around 1.4660/80, SL: 1.4380, TP: 1.4970/1.5150/1.5330
USDCAD Where Does the Market Want to Go?Since the start of the new year USDCAD has sold off of the highs to spark a pretty intense downward move, especially on lower time frames. Many of you have probably followed this price action down as it has been dropping, and hopefully picking up some handsome profits. However we must not forget the long-term bullishness of this pair. For three years, since the spark of 2013 to the beginning of 2016 USDCAD has been extremely bullish consistently making new highs. Whilst a lot of the price action in this pair is related to fundamentals, especially with oil due the correlation between Canada's economy and oil, we cannot throw technicals out the window.
From a technical standpoint... the 1.34500 level was the first major level that most of the street had hoped to be play out as resistance turned to support. While it did not hold as support and price action broke right through it to the downside, it continued its role as resistance. On lower time frames price action can be seen kissing off the 1.34500 level and reversing to the downside sharply making a fresh new low. However that new low stopped abruptly... and it got us thinking... why? Looking at this analysis now you can see that price action stopped so abruptly where it did because it had kissed off the yellow trend line. We are calling the yellow trend line the medium length trend line comparing it to the longer-term red trend line, but the yellow trend line is still extremely strong. For that reason we aren't comfortable taking any short positions on USDCAD until this yellow trend line is broken. If broken, we can expect to see this pair make its way down to the next area of what should become resistance turned support, 1.28100. If price action makes its way down to that level... and it holds as support we may enter into a ranging market between 1.34500-1.28100.
Keep this analysis in mind when trading this pair guys... GOOD LUCK trading!
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USD/CAD hit 23.6 Fibonacci retracement on weekly chart.Long term, the USDCAD looks bullish. the past few weeks has seen the commodity reliant pairing drop a fair amount due to the recovering oil prices. However, the price has hit the 23.6% fibonacci retracement, therefore we are waiting for some sign of a bullish continuation. The daily chart also shows the price touching the 200 EMA then having a strong bullish movement off it, which again suggest a bullish continuation is on the cards. See www.plusfxtrading.com for more analysis
AUD/CAD breaks double top at 0.9990, targets 1.0110AUD/CAD has broken strong trendline resistance at 0.9912 in Tuesday's trade and has closed above.
The pair has also broken above next strong resistance at 0.9990 levels (double top 17th Dec and 28th Jan).
Momentum studies are bullish, close above 0.9990 could take the pair to 1.0085 and then 1.0110.
Supports on the downside are located at 0.9960 (Jan 20th lows), 0.9954 (Jan 18th lows) and then 0.9950 (Jan 13th lows).
Breaks below 0.9910 will invalidate bullish bias.
GBPCAD Targets 1.95USOIL, COPPER, and the CAD are all at a major resistance right now and selling off. I'm expecting a small bounce in GBPCAD into 1.95, which is a big resistance area, retest of the trendline and the .382 fib area. Also, the MACD has just crossed over and flipped showing bullish momentum. Now that we've also broke the counter trendline I'm looking to buy at 1.90 stop loss at 1.89. Targeting 1.95 yielding a potential of 5:1.
U.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar Daily AnalysisU.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar might very possibly be up for a price flip as T.D Combo completed its countdown in to a demand zone this week, which is lining up with the MIDAS support curve. Momentum have created a divergence to the upside as it remains flat in oversold territory, (while price is making lower lows) indicating that a change in price is about to occur. Further indications of a potential price flip is found in the correlation with oil, as the price of oil is approaching supply.
Trading Plan: Wait for price to take out major high on the lower time frame before going long, this have to occur within the maximum range on reversal (displayed on the chart). If price exceeds that range and close below it, then the downtrend remains intact.
USDCAD mid to long term view - long?Dollar is already oversold against the Canadian on the MACD but RSI still shows some leeway which corresponds with the possibility of reaching 1.3450 - 1.3430 region in the coming days.
After that I can see a bounce up back above 1.36 and in a later stage 1.40, 1.45 and even 1.50 (depending on how oil moves in the coming month(s)).
So do note, that in the short term we can still see some downward pressure.
The 1.3450 - 1.3430 area would also create the foundations for Fibonacci retracement lines.
The technical view can also nicely fit with the fundamentals given last weeks OPEC frenzy. If those rumors fade into obscurity we could see renewed selling of the CAD.
NZD/CAD buy setup - target 0.9150NZD/CAD has re-entered the channel after brief dip below, has edged above 10-DMA in today's trade and 5-DMA has turned north.
The pair failed to close below strong support at 0.8874 (double bottom, Oct 27th and Dec 4th 2015).
Stochs are showing a clean rollover from oversold territory, and RSI strong and biased higher, at 46 and further room to run.
Price action has re-entered the channel after brief dip below, has taken rising trendline support.
Minor resistance is seen upto 0.9067, breaks above will see next resistance by cloud base at 0.9079.
Good to Buy dips around 0.9030/40, SL: 0.8960, TP: 0.9070/0.9130/0.9150