GBPCAD SHORTSGBPCAD since the beginning of the week have been moving bearish and in respect to this, I plan to stick to the trend, the daily and the weekly also shows the bearish trend, and to follow this I expect this pair to retrace to the 50 Exponential moving average and we short to the 800 Exponential moving average.
CAD
SIMPLEXeffects USDCAD OUTLOOK
It's so obvious from what we have on the higher TF (H4 specifically) that we haven't had a change in the market structure being built up until now. We've been moving in a continuous downtrend characterized by the numerous lower lows and lower highs built... It is therefore only wise to look out for sell opportunities in the USDCAD market for the next 2 to 3 days until we thus form a new lower low...
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AUD/CAD Analysis: Current Outlook plus fundamental Here's a simplified analysis for AUD/CAD:
Long-term view from the weekly chart indicates a bearish trend.
Mid-term perspective on the daily chart shows a broken bullish channel, replaced by a bearish one.
Considering fundamental factors:
Escalating tensions in the Middle East may increase the chance of the Beijing-Taipei conflict, potentially impacting AUD negatively.
Long-term, increased oil prices due to these middle-east tensions may favor CAD.
Given these factors, AUD/CAD is more likely to maintain a bearish trend over the long term.
Stay informed for further developments.
Best regards,
GBPCAD Quadruple top on 1D?The GBPCAD pair delivered a solid buy trade last time we analyzed it (October 05 2023, see chart below), easily hitting the 1.71110 Target, on a structure rise:
The price is now signaling a bearish call as it has been rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 17 2023 High. This is technically a Quadruple Top if it stays that way and naturally there is strong sell potential behind it. The natural support levels are the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the latter of which is trading exactly on the Higher Lows trend-line, which is our first Target (1.6950).
If the price closes below the 1D MA200 and Higher Lows trend-line, we will re-short and target the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is just below Support 1. What makes selling a stronger probability right now is the formation of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross, which has been a sell signal with 100% accuracy for the whole 2023.
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USDCAD: Buy signal on a very consistent long term pattern.USDCAD is marginally bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.352, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 48.167) as it crossed over the 1D MA50 and is testing the 1D MA100 as Resistance. The key level is the 0.5 Fibonacci line, if crossed, we will buy and target the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 1.36400). The next buy will be on the 0.618 Fibonacci level targeting the bottom of the R1 Zone.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NZDCAD - Keep It Simple 👌Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
NZDCAD broke below a previous major low so it is now acting as a local resistance zone, thus we will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1: Right Chart
📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last major low in gray.
📉 Meanwhile, until the bears take over, NZDCAD can still trade higher for an over-extended correction movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUD/CAD: Geopolitical Factors and Technical Signals at play
Dear traders,
Dive into the AUD/CAD realm with a blend of geopolitical insights and technical signals:
Before we venture into any further downward potential, keep a close eye on the critical level around 0.8822 for potential breakthroughs.
Here's the geopolitical and technical mix in our AUD/CAD analysis:
Geopolitical Considerations:
Wednesday's Bank of Canada interest rate decision sparks intrigue. The balance of power in this market may shift, reflecting the delicate dance of global influences.
Canada's economy, tethered to oil prices, could witness changes spurred by escalating tensions in the Middle East. A surge in oil prices may bolster the CAD.
Conversely, any disturbance in the Persian Gulf, a vital oil source for China, could ripple through Australia's economy, intertwined with China's fate. Geopolitical events, like the Hamas-Israel conflict, may reverberate, potentially impacting China, Taiwan, and, subsequently, the AUD.
Technical Signals:
The battleground of charts and indicators beckons. Before anticipating major moves, consider the technical landscape.
The Bank of Canada's decision could sway the market sentiment, making the 0.8822 level a pivotal point. A breach could signal a shift in the technical dynamics.
This amalgamation of geopolitical considerations and technical intricacies sets the stage for an engaging AUD/CAD landscape.
Stay tuned, adapt to unfolding events, and trade with prudence!
Best regards.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.89000 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82300 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCADConsider selling AUDCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
EURCADConsider BUYING EURCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
GBPCAD BUYConsider selling GBPCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
USDCAD - further move down expectedThe USD/CAD pair is currently hovering around 1.3450 price zone after a recent dip from the psychological barrier of 1.3500. The Canadian dollar (Loonie) is facing some pressure as investors are less attracted to safe-haven assets, even though there's renewed hope that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) won't lower interest rates until May.
Oil prices have dropped slightly below $73.00 due to some economic headwinds. Global demand for oil is expected to remain subdued as central banks look to keep interest rates higher for a while longer to combat inflation. Additionally, China's post-pandemic economic recovery is still fragile, which is further weighing on oil demand.
It's important to remember that Canada is a major oil exporter to the United States, and higher oil prices tend to support the Canadian dollar.
If the USD/CAD pair drops below 1.3415, which was a high point on January 9th, it could open the door to further declines towards 1.3372, a high point on January 3rd, or even 1.3317, a low point on January 4th. Please see charts for all detils.
SELL CADCHFConsider selling CADCHF based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
BUY GBPCADConsider selling GBPCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.89300 zone, AUDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Fundamental Insights: CPI Trends and USDCAD OpportunitiesIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDCAD, where we are monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34700 zone. The currency pair, currently in an uptrend, is undergoing a correction phase as it approaches the trend at the 1.34700 support and resistance area.
Now, let's add a fundamental layer to our analysis, considering the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Reviewing the CPI figures from the past few months, we observe a consistent pattern of inflation stability. The most recent data indicates a CPI of 3.4%, slightly surpassing the forecasted 3.2%, and showing a minor decline from the previous month's 3.7%. This stable inflation scenario can have implications for the US dollar.
From a fundamental perspective, stable inflation often contributes to a stronger US dollar. Investors and traders tend to view stable inflation positively, indicating a healthy economic environment. This can potentially provide the Federal Reserve with room to contemplate tightening monetary policy, leading to USD strength.
Traders should consider these fundamental factors in conjunction with technical analysis when evaluating potential moves in USDCAD. As always, trade safe.
SELL USDCAD
Consider selling USDCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.